Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Friday - September 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(2/1/3)-(3/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(3/2/1)-(5/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(5/1/2)-(2/4/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-5   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(4/2/5)-(6/5/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-7   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(6/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-8   WIN (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/7)-(6/5/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/7)-(6/5/4/7)-(6/5/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   09/12/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HECTOR B Aug13 Jul31 Jul16 Jul02 Jun19 (melancon pa)FIGUEROA SERGIO 125 15.00    
WILD UNION Aug29 Aug20 Jul26 May24 May02 (ocasio osv)VILLARREAL OSCAR 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
DONTKISSDAMINISTER Aug28 Jul25 Jun14 May21 Feb21 (hale jr)MURGIA A 125 1.00 57% 0.80    
STREAKY Dec17 Nov19 Oct29 Sep21 Aug30 (bennett r)CORREA L 125 2.00    
SARGEANT BARGER Aug29 Jul04 Jun13 May21 Apr02 (alessi james)JURADO EDDIE 125 3.00 17% 4.70    
 
BTP-2   09/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.5K) 2 F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOLIDAY BETTY Aug16 Jul24       (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 122 10.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of HOT TUB HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SILVER BROOK         (riley barbara)OUZTS W 122 5.00    
  (by MONTBROOK out of LIPSTICK STAIN by ARROMANCHES)
SCR  KERKYRA Aug16 Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 Jun21 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 2.50    
  (by CORFU out of SHELTOWEE'S GAL by PAYNTER)
CAST YOUR SPELL         (maker j)MCKEE J 122 1.40 55% 0.80    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LA QUEBRADA by MORE THAN READY)
HOT DISPUTE         (cowans wil)VILLARREAL OSCAR 122 3.00 13% 6.40    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of DEVILISH DISPUTE by DIABOLICAL)
 
BTP-3   09/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONOR THE D Aug21 Jul26 Apr10 Mar10 Jan23 (bates l)PAULY SUMMER 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SHANGHAI PRINCE Jul26 Jul01 Jun12 Feb04 Dec30 (cline rob)CORREA L 123 2.00 68% 0.50    
ROCKET LAUNCHER Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jul11 Jul03 (johnston rebecca)MURGIA A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHECK THE FACTS Aug21 Aug07 Jul26 Jul17 Jul05 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 1.60    
DERBY INCLUDED Aug21 Feb26 Feb04 Jan08 Dec05 (cline c)OUZTS W 123 2.50    
 
BTP-4   09/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14K) 2 F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A ROSE FOR SKYLER Aug16 Jul04 Jun21 May30 May01 (spanabel r)MCKEE J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of LET RIGHT BE DONE by WAR FRONT)
UNFAITHFUL ROSE Aug16         (west ethan )PETERSON FERRIN 122 2.50 38% 1.70    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of STARSHIPUNFAITHFUL by DIALED IN)
CONSTANT CHATTER Aug16         (smith larry)PAULY SUMMER 117 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of ACTING CHIPPER by STREET SENSE)
SCR  BRIGHT STAR         (corrigan )CORREA L 122 5.00    
  (by ELUSIVE QUALITY out of BERNINGBRIGHTLY by BERNARDINI)
SCR  PETRONIA STREET         (waltz brian)LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DEJA BLU by SEEKING THE GOLD)
WORKIN THE ROOM Aug16         (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 4.50    
  (by CONNECT out of VITAE by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
BTP-5   09/12/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TKAC Aug23 Feb21 Dec06 Nov08 Oct12 (combs ben)CORREA L 121 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by YOSHIDA out of GRANDEZZA by SCAT DADDY)
DUAL CITIZEN Aug25 Jul24 Jun11     (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of LITTLE MARYRUTH by BADGE OF SILVER)
WHERE'S JACK Aug30 Jun07 May28 Apr13 Aug26 (alessi james)JURADO EDDIE 125 20.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of MARILYZE L' TIETA by GRINDSTONE)
SCR  FRANKIE'S BOY Aug20 Aug02 Jun12     (miller)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 125 5.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of DONAMOUR by LANGFUHR)
BEE CAT Aug30 Aug04 Jul03 May01 Mar22 (arnold george)SOSA LAUREANO 118 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of EVIL KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
ZELIHA Aug18 Jun07 Mar28 Feb21 Jan31 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 117 3.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of TORRE DI PISA by TIZNOW)
LEGEND OF BOBBY C Aug20 Aug01 Jul11 May15 Apr24 (greenhill )VILLARREAL OSCAR 121 3.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MEG GIRY by ESKENDEREYA)
 
BTP-6   09/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRICELESS PICTURE Aug21 Aug07 Jul10 Jun28 Jun07 (ocasio osv)VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
WHISKEY DIAMOND Aug29 Aug07 Jul24 Jul05 Jun13 (bush s)MCKEE J 125 1.40 54% 0.90    
DESDEMONA KAY Aug21 Aug07 Jul18 Jun28 Jun12 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 123 4.50    
RUBY LAYNE Aug07 Jun12 May08 Apr09 Mar03 (overholt )CORREA L 123 8.00 13% 6.90    
ROCKY CHANNEL Aug21 Jul24 Jun12 May08 Apr03 (cline robert )SOSA LAUREANO 123 3.50    
EARLY BLOOMER Aug21 Aug06 Jul10 Jun28 Jun12 (barker sco)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50    
 
BTP-7   09/12/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STERLING CLASS Jul30 Jul04 Jan23     (baker james)SHEEHY DANNY 119 4.50    
LITURGIA Aug29 Jul04 Oct23 Oct04 Sep13 (alessi james)PAULY SUMMER 118 5.00 7% 12.60    
INSTABRAT Aug02 Jun06 May22 Apr12 Mar12 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 2.50    
CHEMICAL REACTION Aug28 Jul09 Apr23 Feb27 Dec27 (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.50 54% 0.80    
PANIC MODE Aug20 Jul30 Jun18     (dominguez )HERNANDEZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BLANK SPACE BABY Aug28 Aug15 Aug02 Jul19 Jul09 (rivera xavier )JURADO EDDIE 119 3.00    
SCR  GOOD BY FAITH Aug15 Jun27 Jun13 May17 Apr18 (nunez mau)CORREA L 123 8.00    
 
BTP-8   09/12/2025 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPOTAWAY Aug01 Jul19 Jun18 May08 Mar23 (rouck l)OUZTS W 119 8.00    
STORMY PARADISE Aug16 Aug04 Jun07 May19 May05 (moger jr)PAULY SUMMER 116 4.50    
TIMBAVATI Aug14 Jul17 Jul01 May17 Apr25 (estvanko r)VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 5.00    
GOLD DEL MAR Aug02 Jul14 Jun15 May20 Apr10 (salas marcel)CALLEJA ANDRES 123 3.50    
SCR  BARBARINA Aug15 Jul04 Jun11 Nov24 Oct25 (alvarez yi)HERNANDEZ N 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
ULTIMA GRACE Jul17 Jun21 May17 Apr06 Mar06 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 2.00 72% 0.40    
CAUSE IMA ROSE Aug09 Jul17 Feb27 Oct05 Aug29 (guida antho)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SARISSA Sep02 Aug14 Jun27 Jun05 May14 (sandy ste)CORREA L 123 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.