Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - August 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(4/1/3)-(1/3) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
FE-2   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(1/3)-(2/5/4) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
FE-3   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(2/5/4)-(1/5/4) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
FE-4   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(5/4/6/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-5   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(5/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (5/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   08/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAMELESS AFFAIR Jul31 Jul17 Jun07 May24 May03 (hall philip)RIVERA A 117 1.40    
SCR  LAST GLIMMER Jul28 Jun23 Jun02 May19 Oct21 (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 6.00    
3  BAD ZEZE Jul27 Oct22 Sep16 Jul29 Jul22 (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  NIGHTSABER (GB) Aug04 Jul14 Jun23 Jun10 Jun03 (bailey j)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 55% 0.80    
5  LEGS LIKE FLATTER Jul03 Jun21 May24 May03 Nov04 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00    
 
FE-2   08/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEFALO Jul24 Jun20 Jun05 May16 Apr26 (palmer)ALDERSON IAN 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  DREAMING OF HOPE Jul07 Dec14 Nov15 Oct22 Oct08 (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 119 1.80    
3  BORN TO BE GOOD Jul22 Jul14 Jun24 Jun03 Oct22 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 8.00 10% 9.50    
4  SIGIRIYA Jul22 Jul14 Jul01 Jun23 Jun10 (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
5  ALBERTA BE MINE Jul14 Jul08 Jun20 Jun05 May04 (williams noel )JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50    
 
FE-3   08/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I TRULY BELIEVE         (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 12.00 26% 2.80    
2  OUR STELLA Jul22 Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 Sep20 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50    
3  UP CREEK         (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 8.00 26% 2.80    
4  SCARY BOO Jul22 Jul03 Jun14 May16 May10 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 2.00 ★    
5  REALLOVEISLUCKY Jul22 Jul08 Jun30 Dec13 Nov28 (count)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 3.50    
6  UNE DE MAI Jul30 Jul20 Jun29 May27 May08 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 4.00    
 
FE-4   08/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FASCINATION STREET Aug05 Jul13 Jun30 Jun15 May27 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00    
2  ERNIE'S MARTINI Jul21 Jun30 May27 May04 Apr08 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 1.40 71% 0.40    
3  GUS'S GAMBLE Jul14 Jun30 Jun23 May27 Sep09 (albu k)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 4.00    
4  INFLATION NATION (IRE) Jul27 Jun30 May25 May04 Apr12 (husbands ant)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  HICKSY Jun15 Jun03 May04 Sep02 Aug06 (hum)DENNIS JEREMIAH 122 12.00 6% 16.90    
6  FORESTER HUMOR Jul22 Jul07 Jun27 Jun13 May18 (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 124 2.50    
 
FE-5   08/11/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEEDY LADY Jul22 Jul13 Jul01 Jun15 May27 (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 35% 1.80    
2  SUPER HONEY TIMBER Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May27 Oct07 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 122 5.00 ★    
3  MAIKEN THE VIKING Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 Oct21 Oct14 (davis m)CRAWFORD J 122 4.50    
4  SUPER SERENADE Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 May22 Dec12 (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 14% 5.90    
5  BRILLIANT DISGUISE Jul27 Jul07 Jun10 May11 Apr22 (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 25% 3.10    
6  OLIVIA'S MELODY Jul10 Jun26 Jun07 May10 Dec05 (palmer kerron)FORDE XAREL 117 6.00    
7  SILENT PASSION Jul27 Jul08 Jun10 Nov14 Oct31 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.50    
 
FE-6   08/11/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THELONIOUS Jul21 Jul14 Jun30 Oct21 Oct15 (concessi arm)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 122 10.00    
2  LULU'S LULLABY Jul22 Jul01 Jun24 May27 Nov29 (squires a)PINTO MELANIE 117 15.00    
3  CUPID'S CLAWS Jul14 Jun15 May27 Feb22 Jan01 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  DOT'S VISION Jul14 Jun24 Jun15 Sep23 Sep02 (voyce jeff)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  JACK THE CAT Jun15 Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 Oct11 (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50 49% 1.00    
6  MISTER MESEEKS Aug01 Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 Dec02 (mitche)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  DRAGON'S BREW Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 Dec01 Oct18 (agostino g)ADAMS AUSTIN 117 4.00    
8  PRINCE FOR A DAY Jul13 Jun24 Oct07 Sep10 Jul21 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 6.00    
SCR  MR. MARSHALL Aug04 Jul13 Jun30 Jun15 May29 (raghunath er)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.