Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Great Falls
Sunday - July 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GF-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $3.00 $6.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(4/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
GF-2   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(3/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
GF-3   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
GF-4   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
GF-5   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $3.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
GF-7   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $3.00 $6.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
GF-9   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $3.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
GF-11   WIN (2/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/4)-(2/6/1/4) 12 $3.00 $36.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/4)-(2/6/1/4)-(2/6/1/4) 24 $2.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GF-1   07/27/2025 3465ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUTICAL MILE Jul20 Jun14 May26 May11 Dec06 (birdrattler )BANDA F 121 5.00 27% 2.70    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of GIPOIA by MEDICEAN)
PHARAONIC PHOENIX Jul20 Jul13 Jun22 Jun06 May17 (nelson bucks)ANDROS CORRINE 117 2.50    
  (by PROTONICO out of PHARAONIC PRINCESS by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
SCR  HARBOR STRIKE Apr15 Mar20 Feb13 Jan23 Dec15 (dennis cli)BAD JOSSIAH 117 2.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of PACIFIC STRIKE by FLATTER)
MR MAKUNOUCHI Jul13 Jun29 Jun08 Jun06 May10 (mccracken ro)JOURNET JARRED 126 4.00 35% 1.80    
  (by GIACOMO out of BIG ADVENTURE by MR. BIG)
NEW WEST Jul20 Mar06 Feb26 Feb11 Jan21 (birdrattler)MEINEKE SHELDON 116 7.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of SEPHORA by NEWFOUNDLAND (IRE))
 
GF-2   07/27/2025 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT DECLARATION Jul20 Jul12 May31 May17 Oct12 (birdrattler terra)GAMEZ M 126 2.50    
SHOCKAZULU Jul19 Oct14 Sep21 Jul28 Jul20 (birdrattle)CARLSON J 121 5.00 19% 4.30    
EL OCHO Jul20 Jul13 Mar27 Mar13 Feb18 (birdrattler shan)WARD KENNY 126 4.00    
LIL ZAPPER Jul12 Oct26 Oct12 Oct06 Sep21 (calfrob)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 2.00 47% 1.10    
SPEEDY PIEDY Jul12 Sep22 Aug31 Aug09 Jul24 (calfrobe ka)MEINEKE SHELDON 121 7.00 5% 19.00    
 
GF-3   07/27/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND COMPARE Jul19 Jul13 Jun08 Jun01 Apr19 (nordlund pat)ANDROS CORRINE 126 5.00 14% 6.30    
SOUTH SEA Jul19 Jul13 Jun21 May31 May18 (nelson bu)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.00    
WE CALL HIM DOC Jul13 Jun21 May30 May23 May10 (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 126 2.50 42% 1.40    
OBVIOUSLY TOO Jul13 Jun20 Jun14 Jun08 May31 (ball jay)GAMEZ M 126 7.00 16% 5.10    
KEDAR         (deroche he)CARLSON J 121 4.00    
 
GF-4   07/27/2025 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVERS LAST DANCE Jul12 Oct13 Jul13 Jun29 Apr21 (birdrattle)CARLSON J 121 5.00 26% 2.80    
LASSIE CAT Jul19 Jun08 May18 May04 Oct06 (birdrattle)BAD JOSSIAH 126 4.00    
FOREST SONG Jul19 Jul12 Sep22 Sep01 Jul20 (schmitt bill)ANDROS CORRINE 126 2.00    
MISCHIEVOUS EMMA Jul19 Jun15 Jun08 May11 May04 (nelson bu)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.50 31% 2.20    
MISCHIEVIOUSLANIE Jul19 Jul27 Jul20 Jul13 Apr27 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 7.00 5% 17.30    
 
GF-5   07/27/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTTESTYOURLUCK Jul19 Jul12 Jun13 May31 May10 (birdrattler )JOURNET JARRED 126 2.50 14% 6.00    
FASCINATED Jul13 Jun13 Sep29 Sep01 Aug18 (gibbs tyl)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 5.00    
EYE CANDY RANDY Jul19 Jul27 Jul21 Jul13 Sep23 (birdrattle)CARLSON J 121 7.00 7% 13.10    
CONNECTER Jul20 Jun01 May18 May04 Jan13 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 4.00    
EL CHAVO DEL OCHO Jul19 Sep06 Sep01 Jul28 Jul20 (birdrattler natha)GAMEZ M 126 2.00 54% 0.80    
 
GF-7   07/27/2025 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Falls Thoroughbred Purse ($8.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBO WARRIOR Jul19 Jun20 Jun13 May25 May10 (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 126 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of MORNING RIDGE by QUAKER RIDGE)
SMILINGATTHEMOON Jul12 Jun06 May25 May17 Aug02 (nordlund pat)ANDROS CORRINE 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of MOONSTONE MAGIC by MALIBU MOON)
SHE'S MY PRIORITY Jul19 Jun29 May31 Sep23 Sep11 (schmitt b)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 3.50    
  (by APRIORITY out of SHE'S PRADO'S IDOL by SCREEN IDOL)
SCR  BERNALINHO May09 Apr19 Apr05 Mar22 Mar08 (smith j)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 1.60    
  (by MR. BIG out of DEMOCRATIC SWEEP by GOTHAM CITY)
 
GF-9   07/27/2025 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOOL BOX Jul19 Jul22 Jun24 Jun11 May11 (carlson ervi)BANDA F 126 8.00    
HINT OF FRIPPERY Jul20 Jul13 Jun22 May17 May11 (nelson bucks)ANDROS CORRINE 117 3.00 12% 7.50    
LEVEL Jul20 Jun27 Jun13 May18 May03 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
IT'S A GIRL Jun22 Jun15 May17 Apr26 Apr03 (holds h)GAMEZ M 121 3.50    
THIRSTY THURSDAY Jul20 Jul12 Jun01 May18 Mar17 (birdrattle)CARLSON J 126 4.00    
LET'S REJOYCE Jul19 Jan23 Dec30 Oct25 Sep26 (fitzpatric)BAD JOSSIAH 126 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
GF-11   07/27/2025 3465ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALADJUSTED MISFIT Jul19 Jul13 Jun27 Jun07 Jun01 (cross kent)BAD JOSSIAH 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHARP WARNING Jul19 Jul12 Jun20 May18 May04 (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 126 4.00 55% 0.80    
STAR OF STARS Jul19 Jul12 Jun15 Aug31 Aug18 (gibbs t)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 4.50    
QUICK INTRO Jul19 May31 Mar23 Mar08 Feb23 (carlson er)CARLSON J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
NIPAWIN Jul19 Jul27 Jul20 Jul13 Jul30 (schmitt bill)ANDROS CORRINE 126 7.00    
SCR  MEAN SHARON Jul19 Jul12 Jun08 May30 May04 (alejandre fi)BANDA F 121 5.00 19% 4.30    
HIDETHELOOT Jul19 Sep07 Sep01 Jul27 Jul20 (birdrattler natha)GAMEZ M 126 6.00    
DEO Jul20 Jul13 Jun22 Jun14 Dec29 (gibbs tyl)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.