Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Friday - July 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(7/2)-(7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/2)-(7/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(7/5)-(7/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
MTH-3   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/5)-(7/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(7/8)-(2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
MTH-4   WIN (7/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/8)-(7/4/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/8)-(7/4/8)-(7/4/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/8)-(2/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/8)-(2/3)-(9/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MTH-5   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(9/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(9/4/3)-(6/10/4/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MTH-6   WIN (9/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/3)-(9/4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/4/3)-(9/4/3/1)-(9/4/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/4/3)-(6/10/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/3)-(6/10/4/8)-(5/8/9/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-7   WIN (6/10/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/10/4/8)-(6/10/7/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/10/4/8)-(6/10/7/4/8)-(6/10/7/4/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/10/4/8)-(5/8/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/10/4/8)-(5/8/9/2)-(4/1/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-8   WIN (5/8/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/9/2)-(5/8/9/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/9/2)-(5/8/9/1/2)-(5/8/9/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/9/2)-(4/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (4/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/8)-(4/1/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/8)-(4/1/5/8)-(4/1/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIVID ARTISTE Jul05 Jun21 May10 Aug25 Aug09 (spina charles)IORIO MELISSA 123 4.50 27% 2.70    
2  NONA'S GIRL Jul05 Jun08 Jun01     (dini mike)OLVER MADISON 119 20.00    
3  WINNING SHOT Jun21 May31 May18 Apr18 Mar09 (wilson ton)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 112 3.50    
4  SIGNATURE COCKTAIL Jun21 Apr25 Mar07 Feb09   (pompay terri)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
5  LOOP OF HENLE Jun22 May18 Apr25 Apr05 Mar23 (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.50 ★    
6  LANCE'S SMILE Jun22 May18 Oct13 Sep22 Aug16 (alvarado dian)JARA FERNANDO 123 5.00    
7  CORRIB QUEEN Jul05 Jun07 May25 Sep20 Aug25 (rabadan sergio)LEON SONNY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JESS'S BREW Jun22 Apr23 Feb19 Jan26 Dec13 (cudworth paul)COTTO L 123 8.00    
 
MTH-2   07/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVES MAKIN' WAVES Jul04 Jun08 May11 Apr21 Mar24 (crowell susan)OLVER MADISON 121 15.00    
2  TIZ MARKS SPIRIT Jul06 May30 May11 Apr25 Mar27 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 121 5.00 14% 6.10    
SCR  KING PHOENIX Jun03 Mar23 Feb23 Jan17 Nov23 (dutrow richard)PENNINGTON F 117 1.80    
SCR  BLUE MARBLE Jul06 Jun15 May25 May10 Apr13 (mcburney patri)CAMACHO SAMY 124 4.50    
5  SPICE BAG Jul06 Jun22 May11 Mar12 Feb23 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 117 6.00 ★    
6  MINE SEEKER Jun29 Jun08 May25 May10 Apr22 (crowell susan)JARA FERNANDO 120 8.00    
7  PUTTHEPASTBEHIND Jun08 May11 Apr13 Mar07 Feb09 (alvarado dia)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.00 60% 0.70    
 
MTH-3   07/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPHA COMPANY Jul05 Jun08 Oct08 Aug03 Jul20 (huston k)LEON SONNY 124 3.50    
SCR  KEEP DEM TALKING Jul08 Jun25 May02 Apr15 Mar27 (badillo jona)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 20.00    
3  IMMENSE FAITH Jul05 May17 Apr27 Apr12 Mar12 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  CRAFTY DON Jul06 Jun20 Nov12 Oct25 Sep30 (ramirez silvin)AGUILAR JEAN 124 5.00    
5  SEVEN ANNIVERSARY Jul05 Jun15 Jun08 May26 May03 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 8.00 8% 10.80    
SCR  DR. DOYLE Jun29 Jun14 Nov30 Nov09 Oct25 (ramirez si)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 4.00    
7  HOT ROD RUMBLE May24 May17 May03 Apr12 Mar21 (bernardini ju)OLVER MADISON 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
MTH-4   07/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VOLUNTEER FIREMAN Jul05 Jun14       (ryan s)LEON SONNY 119 10.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of HAPPY HARMONY by RUNHAPPY)
2  DOMINICAN THUNDER Jun14 Feb08 Nov17 Sep07 Jul25 (jimenez jose)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 30.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of SASSY SIENNA by MIDSHIPMAN)
3  MIKE'S MAGIC Jun29 Jun07 Apr11     (cibelli jane)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.00    
  (by FROSTED out of SMILE MORE by TIZNOW)
4  FROSTED BULL May26 May04 Apr06 Mar15   (alvarado dian)JARA FERNANDO 119 4.50 ★    
  (by FROSTED out of CYPRIANA by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  CHARISMA         (pletcher tod)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.50    
  (by TURKOMAN out of COACH ROCKS by OXBOW)
SCR  KRAKEN Nov01 Sep26       (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of INTENTONSEDUCTION by STREET SENSE)
7  HELLACIOUS         (pletcher todd )SUTHERLAND C 119 4.00 38% 1.60    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BUSY BEV by NOT FOR LOVE)
8  DOMINICAN PIRATE Jun27 Jun13 May02 Apr05 Feb22 (jimenez j)VARGAS A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of BLANK SLATE by GIO PONTI)
 
MTH-5   07/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jersey Shore Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GUNMETAL Jun07 Apr08 Feb01 Dec26   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 116 1.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CLASSY DANCER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  DONUT GOD Dec07 Nov14       (lynch a)CAMACHO SAMY 116 2.50 61% 0.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SWEET KISSES by CARPE DIEM (FR))
3  FIRE PIT May28 Apr18 Mar01 Feb01 Dec30 (preciado gua)HERNANDEZ ANDY 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TRUE MARTHA by CREATIVE CAUSE)
4  PERSISTEN Jul04 Jun21 May26 Apr26 Mar22 (avila juan)ORDONEZ R 116 30.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of DIAMOND MAKER by MINESHAFT)
5  NEOEQUOS Jun07 May03 Mar29 Mar01 Jan23 (joseph saffie )MARIN SAMUEL 116 1.60    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of BOLD BIRDIE by BIRDSTONE)
SCR  PEDRO NUNES         (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 10.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ORBOLUTION by ORB)
 
MTH-6   07/18/2025 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON BOSS May16 Apr26 Mar27 Feb15 Dec28 (pino v)ADORNO ABNER 121 4.00 ★    
2  BIG Z OG May26 Apr19 Apr05 Feb07 Jan18 (crook-demasi kat)LEON SONNY 122 8.00    
3  TEN GAUGE May16 Apr09 Mar06 Feb06 Jan13 (velazquez danie)BOWMAN ADAM 121 15.00 12% 7.30    
4  OUTLAW COUNTRY Jun15 Apr27 Oct05 Sep07 Jul20 (breen kelly )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 6.00 25% 3.10    
5  BERNIE'S MITTS Jul04 Apr15 Apr01 Mar09 Feb12 (caban carlos )RIVERA D 121 8.00    
6  RUSE Jun04 Mar29 Mar05 Jan31 Dec28 (hills timothy)JARA FERNANDO 121 6.00    
SCR  SESAME SEED BAGEL Apr19 Mar28 Feb22 Jul12 Jun16 (green j)MARIN SAMUEL 121 8.00    
SCR  BOAT'S A ROCKIN Jul05 Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 Aug24 (kulp l)RUIZ ELISEO 121 3.50    
9  QUICK TEMPO Jun12 Feb28 Feb06 Jan18 Dec10 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  RIVER DOG Jun15 May17 May10 Jan10 Oct15 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 121 4.00    
 
MTH-7   07/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($68.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EATONTOWN GIRL Jul05 Jun15 May17 Sep14 Aug25 (frangella jame)CAMACHO SAMY 120 20.00    
SCR  COOL SPITE May24 Oct26 Aug25     (lynch cat)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 6.00    
3  RACHEL CAROLINE Jun15 May18 Oct18 Sep14 May11 (frangella)VARGAS A 120 15.00    
4  CARATS FOREVER Jun15 Sep14 Jun30 Sep09 Aug20 (owens eddi)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  EAZY WHIRLED Jun22 Jun07 May17 Dec12 Oct26 (spina charles)MOYA F 117 15.00    
6  JEWEL OF THE OCEAN Jul05 Jun07 May10     (spina charle)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 55% 0.80    
7  D' TIGER LILY Jun15 May17 Apr30 Apr11 Sep14 (wilson tony)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 ★    
8  LOOKINGFORTREASURE Jun28 Jun07 May17 Apr14 Mar18 (gomez p)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  MILDOON Jul05 Jun15 May17 Oct12 Sep27 (huston k)LEON SONNY 120 4.50    
10  KATE'S LOVE Jun27 Jun07 May10 May18 Mar18 (bertone joann)OLVER MADISON 124 3.50 19% 4.40    
11  EMILY REWARD Jul05 May24 May05 Nov20 Oct12 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 120 30.00    
 
MTH-8   07/18/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BINGO'S BIRKIN Jun21 May17 Sep15 Jul19 Jun08 (sanchez jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 ★    
2  AMAZING GRACES JOY Jun22 Aug25 Aug04 Jul19 Jul07 (mazza joseph )JARA FERNANDO 124 10.00 6% 15.30    
3  WELLAREYOUHAPPYNOW Jun28 Dec27 Dec13 Nov02 Oct04 (sullivan ellio)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00    
4  BLAME THE BANKER Jun29 Jun01 May25 Oct13 Sep14 (synnefias pana)MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00    
5  SINGALONG KAYLA Jun29 May25 Mar29 Jan11 Dec14 (wilson ton)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 6.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  DUELA DENT Jun28 Jun14 Jun01 Apr21 Feb04 (plaza albert)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 15.00    
7  PRINCESS GLADYS Jun29 May25 May02 Oct24 Sep27 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 122 6.00    
8  TAP IT UP Jun07 May25 Apr27 Oct31 Oct11 (ryerson james )PENNINGTON F 121 4.00 16% 5.20    
9  MOLLY'S A BULLET Jun29 Jun15 May10 Apr04 Jan30 (margotta ant)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 6.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  MONEY MAGNETTES Jul04 Aug11 Jun23 May25 May11 (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 124 6.00    
 
MTH-9   07/18/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKULL HONOR Jul02 Jun18 May28 May13 Apr04 (kirby t)RUIZ ELISEO 117 5.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  CARCHAROTH May27 May17 Apr23 Apr14 Mar12 (penaloza migue)AGUILAR JEAN 121 6.00    
3  PRIME MOTIVE Jun21 Jun08 May29 May18 Aug04 (rabadan serg)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 15.00    
4  GAMETIME GLADIATOR Jul02 Jun13 May21 May08 Aug26 (ness jamie)PENNINGTON F 121 1.80 41% 1.40    
5  STRAND ROAD Jun21 May03 Apr03 Feb10 Jan17 (dutrow richa)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.00 ★    
6  MAX'S GLORY Jul06 Jun08 May25 Jul13 Jun28 (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00    
7  FULLY COMMITTED Jul06 Jun14 May25 Apr23 Apr07 (ramirez silvi)OCASIO M 121 10.00    
8  DEPORTIVO Jul06 Jun01 Apr26 Mar26 Mar02 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.