Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Sunday - July 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(4/5)-(7/6/1) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
FE-2   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(7/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(7/6/1)-(1/6/4) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
FE-3   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/5/1)-(7/6/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/1)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/1)-(1/6/4)-(3/5/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
FE-4   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(3/5/4)-(1/7/6/5) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-5   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(1/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (1/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/5)-(1/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/5)-(1/7/6/5)-(1/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   07/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISA BREEZE Jun23 Oct17 Sep26 Sep12 Aug29 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
2  LINDA'S OPAL Jun23 Jun03 May16 Dec01 Nov09 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 2.00    
3  SINFUL FORESTER Jul01 Jun15 Jun05 May23 Nov28 (buttigieg kevi)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  DISGRUNTLEDPELICAN Jun30 Jun15 May27 Oct31 Oct10 (davis )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00    
5  FANNY M Jun27 Jun07 May10 Apr26 Dec07 (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 1.80 ★    
 
FE-2   07/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEZIATE Jul01 Jun10 May27 May10 Mar14 (husb)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 2.50 ★    
  (by WITHOUT PAROLE out of TAPICERIA by TAPIZAR)
2  MORE GALILADY         (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of GALILEO'S LADY by GALILEO)
3  AUSSIE HYPER Jul01         (husbands ant)HUSBANDS TERRY 120 3.50    
  (by HYPER out of AUSSIE AWAKENING by LONHRO (AUS))
4  SPEEDY LADY Jul01 Jun15 May27     (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00 51% 0.90    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of TREE POSE by OLD FORESTER)
5  CHARLETTA Jul01 Jun15 Jun03     (hum)DENNIS JEREMIAH 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BLACK EAGLE out of POST HOUSE by BERNSTEIN)
 
FE-3   07/13/2025 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACKMARSH Jun19 Dec14 Dec07 Nov30 Nov17 (russiani carri)JOHNSON KIRK 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  DANISH BELLE Jun26         (dixon patrick)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 8.00    
3  NOTYOURHUNNY Jul01 Jun15 Oct08     (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00    
4  MAGNETIZE Dec06 Nov22 Oct24 Sep26 Sep12 (loe)DENNIS JEREMIAH 122 5.00    
5  ONE HELL OF A GIRL Jul01 Jun10 Dec05 Nov17 Oct08 (spada lauren)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 ★    
6  IMPECCABLE TIMING Jun26 Jun10 Nov29 Oct31 Oct17 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50 20% 4.10    
7  KINDOFBLUEKITTEN Oct08 Sep16 Aug12 Jul29 May28 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 3.50 48% 1.10    
 
FE-4   07/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG TIME LOUIE Jun15 May27 Dec01 Nov16 Oct21 (agos)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 4.00 49% 1.10    
2  M C JACKHAMMER Jul01 Jun15 May27 Oct21 Oct15 (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 122 5.00    
SCR  BACK TO REALITY Jun03 May27 May04 Jan07 Nov25 (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50    
4  FASCINATION STREET Jun30 Jun15 May27 Oct15 Oct01 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 7% 13.20    
5  BRADY O'BRADY Jul01 Jun10 May27 Oct21 Oct15 (smith )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00    
6  MR. MARSHALL Jun30 Jun15 May29 Apr27 Mar20 (raghunath er)HUSBANDS TERRY 124 3.00 18% 4.70    
7  HE'S FULLY LOADED Jun30 May27 Nov08 Oct26 Oct04 (cathcart ste)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 12.00    
 
FE-5   07/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIDDIE HOLIDAY Jun30 Jun15 May27 Dec05 Nov15 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.50 ★    
2  PAPERBACK HERO Jun30 Jun15 May27 Oct15 Sep30 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 120 6.00    
3  HEY CUE Jun13 May04 Mar13 Feb09 Nov30 (adamo anthony)CRAWFORD J 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
4  HALF TO RELOAD Jun23 Oct22 Oct08 Sep02 Aug13 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BLUE MAX Jun23 Jun03 Apr01 Mar13 Feb12 (buttigieg kev)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
6  WHERE IS ESSA Jun30 Jun15 Jun03 Dec28 Dec04 (robillard ju)HUSBANDS TERRY 122 5.00    
7  BELLA FUTURE Jun15 May29 May18 Apr06 Feb23 (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.50    
 
FE-6   07/13/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE FOR A DAY Jun24 Oct07 Sep10 Jul21 Jul07 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.50 42% 1.40    
2  BINGO'S GRIND Jun24 May11 Apr26 Apr04 Mar12 (newland georg)KERR CHEYENNE 115 5.00    
3  LOADED JUSTICE Jun24 Dec06 Nov17 Oct18 Sep27 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00    
4  MISS D'S PRIDE Jul08 Jun10 Oct22 Oct07 Sep24 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 15.00    
5  HARDWARE GAP Jun24 Nov08 Oct18 Sep13 Aug13 (agostino roy )DAVID MICHAEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SEHR SCHOEN Jun30 Jun10 May18 Apr27 Mar19 (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 20.00 7% 13.20    
7  BOSTON BAY Jun23 Jun10 May27 Nov25 Nov04 (smith kenneth)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
8  UNDER SURVEILLANCE Jun27 Jun20 May24 May11 Dec13 (fairl)GASKIN ZAVIER 120 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.