Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Saturday - July 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (7/8/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/9/4)-(7/8/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/9/4)-(7/8/9/4)-(7/8/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/9/4)-(2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/9/4)-(2/7/1)-(2/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-2   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/7/3/1/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
MTH-3   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(2/7/3/1/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(2/7/3/1/8)-(5/6/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
MTH-4   WIN (2/7/3/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/1/8)-(2/7/3/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/1/8)-(2/7/3/1/8)-(2/7/3/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/3/1/8)-(5/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/1/8)-(5/6/4)-(6/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
MTH-5   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(6/5)-(5/2/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MTH-6   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(5/2/1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(5/2/1/3)-(2/7/10/9/4) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
MTH-7   WIN (5/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/1/3)-(2/7/10/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1/3)-(2/7/10/9/4)-(4/1/8/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
MTH-8   WIN (2/7/10/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/10/9/4)-(2/7/10/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/10/9/4)-(2/7/10/9/4)-(2/7/10/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/10/9/4)-(4/1/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MTH-9   WIN (4/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5)-(4/1/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   07/05/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN THE DARK         (sanchez l)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of SHE'S RIGHT AGAIN by DISCREETLY MINE)
VOLUNTEER FIREMAN Jun14         (ryan s)OLVER MADISON 119 8.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of HAPPY HARMONY by RUNHAPPY)
SCR  ROYAL STRIKE         (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
  (by CURLIN'S HONOR out of MELISSANI by MALIBU MOON)
BLISS STREET Jun01         (cash russell )PANAIJO JORGE 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of BLISS TO YOU by FREUD)
BIG ERN MCCRACKEN Jun14 Jun21 Jun02 Apr30 Apr09 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 123 4.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of HEAVENLY VIEW by DISTANT VIEW)
SCR  TRULLI WARRIOR Jun18 Nov24 Oct17 Sep14 Aug08 (padilla e)VARGAS A 123 4.50    
  (by CURLIN out of ALBEROBELLO by BERNARDINI)
MAN WITH THE MONEY Jun05         (lake a)SUTHERLAND C 119 3.00 49% 1.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BROADWAY RUN by PROSPECTIVE)
AMOUDI BAY         (schultz lind)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of SANTORINI MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SILVER POCKET Jun22 Jun01 Aug18 Jun22   (cash j)MOYA F 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of ANGELS WAY by MASTER PHONE)
 
MTH-2   07/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROFIT HUNTER Jun15 Jun01 May18 Dec23 Aug21 (siculietano da)AGUILAR JEAN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
UMBRAL Jun22 May18 May10 Apr12 Mar29 (gonzalez clau)OCASIO M 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
MY HONEYBUNCH Jun22 Jun01 May10 Dec06 Nov07 (spina charles)SUTHERLAND C 121 4.50    
SCR  JAYCE AND LIAM Jun07 Mar31 Mar03 Feb21 Feb04 (englehart je)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 8.00    
CROSSATI Jun07 May03 Apr23 Mar30 Feb16 (pompay terri)IORIO MELISSA 120 3.50    
SCR  BLUE EMBER Jun07 May01 Mar28 Mar14 Feb03 (compton greg)JARA FERNANDO 121 10.00    
LITTLE SQUEEZE Jun15 Jan30 Nov17 Oct20 Aug23 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 117 2.00 29% 2.50    
 
MTH-3   07/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOCA GUY May31 May17 Aug15 Jul26 Jun28 (alvarado dian)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
IMMENSE FAITH May17 Apr27 Apr12 Mar12 Mar01 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50 29% 2.40    
GET LIKE MIKE Jun20 May31 May17 Apr25 Apr11 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 121 2.50 29% 2.40    
HATMAKER GIZMO May12 Mar21 Feb24 Jan07 Nov29 (linder louis )OCASIO M 121 5.00    
MAGICAL ROAD Jun27 May11 Apr23 Apr07 Mar19 (ramirez silv)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.00    
SCR  RUN FOR YOUR LIFE Jun29 Jun15 Apr25 Mar07 Feb02 (dougherty de)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 12.00    
JADES JAY Jun15 May28 May20 Apr13 Mar14 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 121 3.50    
 
MTH-4   07/05/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACKSEAT ROMANCE Jun20 Jun08 May24 Mar30 Feb16 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 119 3.50 5% 19.00    
PARK AVENUE BETTY Apr11 Mar19 Jan10 Dec15 Oct19 (volk scott)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 3.00 41% 1.40    
MICHAELA Jun20 May04 Apr17 Mar30 Mar15 (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 119 5.00 11% 8.00    
LIL MISS LOLLIPOP Jun21 May03 Apr06     (yanez reyn)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 20.00    
ITSACHARDONNEIGH Jun21 Jun07 May01 Mar27   (breen kelly )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00    
SCR  WHISKEY AND RAIN Jun21 Jun07 May10 Apr29 Apr14 (simon linda)MOYA F 123 30.00    
JAM'S PAPER MOON Jun22 Jun01 Feb19 Jan02 Dec08 (wilson faith)MARIN SAMUEL 123 4.50 22% 3.60    
PRINCESS NORMA Jun21 May17 Apr13 Mar14   (o'connell kat)OLVER MADISON 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
LADY CATALINA Jun20 May24 Oct19 Oct04 Sep08 (rabadan)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 8.00    
10  BLUESUP GREENSDOWN Jun20 Jun29 Jun15 May14 Oct30 (dougherty dev)OCASIO M 123 8.00    
 
MTH-5   07/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VINI VIDI VICI (MEX) May28 May07 Mar17 Feb26 Feb05 (linder jr)RUIZ ELISEO 121 8.00    
MO RUM Apr26 Apr18 Mar15 Mar08 Feb07 (schultz lindsa)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00    
SCR  TOOMUCHAINTENOUGH Jun25 May31 May03 Apr03 Mar15 (yanez rey)RODRIGUEZ RONALDO 111 6.00    
SEVEN ANNIVERSARY Jun15 Jun08 May26 May03 Apr19 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 8.00 21% 3.90    
RUN HAPPY PAPPY Jun15 May26 May11 Aug24 Jul19 (spina charles)SUTHERLAND C 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
AWESOME ENTRY Jun14 Jun01 May02 Apr23 Apr04 (ortega leopo)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00 21% 3.70    
SCR  NOBLE FISH May24 Apr11 Mar06 Jan31 Jan03 (alvarado dian)JARA FERNANDO 121 12.00    
SCR  BOLT D'PLATA Jun15 May31 May11 Mar27 Mar07 (ramirez silvino)LEON SONNY 124 2.50    
ALPHA COMPANY Jun08 Oct08 Aug03 Jul20 Jul05 (huston ror)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 15.00    
 
MTH-6   07/05/2025 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Jersey Girl Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  I CAN EXPLAIN Jun29 Jun15 May26 May10 Apr11 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 114 30.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of SPA SUNRISE by EDDINGTON)
SCR  MOLLY'S A BULLET Jun29 Jun15 May10 Apr04 Jan30 (margotta ant)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 8.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MILAYA by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  MIA'S CRUSADE Jun01 May17 Sep15 Jul26 Jul06 (spina charle)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 3.50    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of MINI MONEIGH by MO MON)
SCR  SUMMER FLOWER Jun22 Jun04 May17 Apr13 Dec04 (dini mike)RUIZ ELISEO 118 10.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of PHALEONOPSIS by SIPHON (BRZ))
SUMMER'S COMIN Jun01 May17 Apr12 Dec04 Nov23 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 118 6.00 12% 7.70    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of EMIRATES GIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
BEL PENSIERO Jun21 May17 Mar22 Feb23 Sep15 (margotta antho)MOYA F 120 4.00 31% 2.20    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MILAYA by ESKENDEREYA)
PRECIOUS AVARY May24 Apr19 Nov09 Oct12 Sep14 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of ALYTANIA by MUTAKDDIM)
RIDING PRETTY Jun01 May17 Mar13 Feb15 Jan18 (owens jr)MARIN SAMUEL 121 2.50    
  (by JACK MILTON out of HIGH RENAISSANCE by GIROLAMO)
 
MTH-7   07/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($68.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILDOON Jun15 May17 Oct12 Sep27 Sep14 (huston k)LEON SONNY 120 3.00 8% 11.50    
I CAN RUN Dec08 Nov30 Oct20 Sep01 Aug25 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.80 31% 2.20    
LITTLE LIA Jun22 May24 Nov27 Sep14 Aug25 (martin ramon )OLVER MADISON 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
ME SO LUCKY Jun21 May26 Mar12 Jul26 Jul12 (marquez cesar)OCASIO M 120 20.00    
JEWEL OF THE OCEAN Jun07 May10       (spina charles)MARIN SAMUEL 115 2.50 41% 1.50    
CAPTURED DARLING Jun15 Feb14 Jan25 Dec24 Dec04 (mcburney pat)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00    
EATONTOWN GIRL Jun15 May17 Sep14 Aug25 Jul06 (frangella jam)JARA FERNANDO 120 12.00    
EMILY REWARD May24 May05 Nov20 Oct12 Sep14 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 120 8.00    
 
MTH-8   07/05/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($40K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C C GIRL May24 Apr24 Apr05 Mar26 Mar06 (hills timoth)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 8.00    
UNBOUNDED MOVEMENT Jun15 Apr03 Mar12 Feb26 Jan22 (delgado jorge)LEON SONNY 117 3.50 42% 1.40    
AUTHENTICATE NOW May24 Apr30 Apr05 Mar15 Feb22 (dini mike)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00    
VICTORY GIRL Jun15 May24 Apr19 Mar29 Mar05 (pimental joh)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
MIA VITA Jun15 Apr18 Mar29 Feb07 Jan09 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 115 4.50    
BAZZARINA Aug24 Jul26 Jul06 Jun15 Jan25 (mazza joseph )IORIO MELISSA 121 6.00    
SOUTHAMPTON DOCK Jun15 May24 Apr18 Mar21 Jan31 (linder j)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
MISS RUMMIKUB (FR) May24 Apr11 Mar08 Feb08 Jan25 (moreno-barba)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 15.00    
HALA BLUE (IRE) Jun15 Apr20 Apr03 Feb09   (wilson tony)JARA FERNANDO 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  BECKETT'S MAP Jun13 May24 Apr20     (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 117 6.00 6% 14.70    
 
MTH-9   07/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORRIB QUEEN Jun07 May25 Sep20 Aug25 Aug03 (rabadan serg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
NONA'S GIRL Jun08 Jun01       (dini mike)LEON SONNY 119 5.00    
MI BELLA GENIO Jul27         (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 119 4.50    
VIVID ARTISTE Jun21 May10 Aug25 Aug09 Jul06 (spina charles)IORIO MELISSA 123 2.50 39% 1.50    
NEW CENTSATION Dec29 Nov29       (avila juan)ORDONEZ R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
MY LADY BAE Jun21 Jun07 May09 Apr12 Jul11 (atras rob)OLVER MADISON 117 4.00    
TRUE HONEY Jun07 Mar16 Feb19 Jan26 Dec24 (hernand)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 20.00    
I'M KATHY KAT         (huston rory )BARBOSA JEIRON 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.