Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Thursday - July 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(3/1)-(4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-3   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(4/5)-(7/8/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-4   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(7/8/4)-(4/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-5   WIN (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/4)-(7/8/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/4)-(7/8/4/5)-(7/8/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(5/3/7)-(6/1/8/7/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
BTP-7   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/7)-(5/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/7)-(6/1/8/7/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
BTP-8   WIN (6/1/8/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/7/5)-(6/1/8/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/7/5)-(6/1/8/7/5)-(6/1/8/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIN HERBIE WIN May31 May12 Oct26 Oct10 Aug14 (cline c)MURGIA A 119 1.00    
DOUBLE AGENT Jun07 May12 Dec27 Nov21 Oct29 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 3.00    
MR. BALI May14 May03 Mar19 Feb26 Sep26 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 1.60 38% 1.60    
SHOWTIME BOY Jun24 May21 May03 Feb08 Jan13 (mendieta al)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-2   07/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUTH May20 Apr25 Nov18 Sep30 Sep01 (stephen an)VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 2.00 35% 1.80    
RAISON KARTER Jun04 May16 Oct28 Oct02 Sep04 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
MY ROMEO LIMA Jun04 May16 Feb28 Feb12 Jan26 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 122 1.60    
DAY TRIPPER Jun26 Jun07 Mar15 Jan29 Dec28 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 122 3.00    
ICONIC ROCK Jun26 Jun13 May27 May08 Apr16 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-3   07/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($22.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C V JERSEY BEE Jan25 Dec28 Nov27 Sep29 Jul23 (gonzalez agu)TAVARES JAVIER 123 6.00 31% 2.20    
GONE WILD May29 May12 Nov27 Nov12 Oct10 (cline rob)CORREA L 119 2.50    
ENVELOPE PLEASE Apr03 Mar03 Feb13 Nov13 Oct05 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 123 1.60 40% 1.50    
JERICHO TRUMPET Jun13 May22 May08 Mar30   (acevedo is)HERNANDEZ N 123 4.50    
CALCULATED MOVE Jun18 May31 May22 Oct04   (riley barbara)OUZTS W 119 3.50    
 
BTP-4   07/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VENEZUELAN FAITH Jun20 Jun05 Jan11 Dec22 Nov30 (nunez mauri)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 5.00    
EL CUERVO FELIS May23 May09 Oct08 Sep07 Aug24 (oviedo jose)JURADO EDDIE 123 3.50    
ONE FOR MY BROTHER Jun12 May25 May10 Apr16 Mar29 (vosler eugene)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 1.40    
WAUHATCHIE Jun14 May24 Jan30 Jan04 Dec05 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
MITHRIDATES Jun18 May28 May17 May08 Apr04 (mendieta aleja)PAULY SUMMER 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-5   07/03/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($25.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHECK THE FACTS Jun20 Jun07 Sep21 Aug30 Aug09 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 12.00    
LINO'S KID Jun17 May29 May14 Feb12 Dec23 (mendieta aleja)PAULY SUMMER 118 4.50    
C V DYNAMIC Jun21 May14 May03 Apr02 Mar11 (gonzalez agu)TAVARES JAVIER 123 3.50    
OBI KENOBI Jun20 May31 May16 Apr22 Apr03 (barker w)MCKEE J 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
CARSON N SPENCE Jun20 May14 Apr02 Mar18 Feb26 (cline rob)CORREA L 123 6.00    
CANNON MAN Jun20 May31 May14 Nov06 Oct26 (orantes yoni )SOSA LAUREANO 123 10.00    
LUCK OF THE CAT May14 Sep14 Aug08 Jul11 Dec14 (drury thomas )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.50 70% 0.40    
ORFANO Jun06 May03 Mar18 Jan30 Dec27 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
ROCKET LAUNCHER Jun21 May31 Sep25 Sep06 Aug22 (johnston rebecca)MURGIA A 123 15.00    
 
BTP-6   07/03/2025 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T WORRY May30 May17 May03 Mar12 Jan31 (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 3.50    
TWO LUCYS Jun08 May27 Jan17 Dec06 Nov05 (donjuan sergio)PAULY SUMMER 118 4.50    
ALL ABOUT ALICE Jun15 Jul09 Jun06 May11   (kinmon keith)MOJICA JR 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
R ROSE' ALL DAY Jun19 May15 Mar19 Feb26 May09 (waltermire bruce)MCKEE J 123 1.60 37% 1.70    
SHAMU Jun11 May23 May10 Apr12 Mar28 (orantes y)CORREA L 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-7   07/03/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.5K) 2 F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RIVERS ANGEL         (corriveau john)PAULY SUMMER 114 10.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of ANGELSMADISONGRACE by GRAEME HALL)
COMPOSITION         (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 119 4.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of GO GO TAMMY by TIZNOW)
KERKYRA Jun21         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 5.00 28% 2.60    
  (by CORFU out of SHELTOWEE'S GAL by PAYNTER)
BLUE TAIL FLY         (cowans willia)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 3.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of VERTRAZZO by TRAPPE SHOT)
R U ENTICED         (drury jr)MCKEE J 119 2.50 37% 1.70    
  (by ENTICED out of R U FORREAL by DISTORTED REALITY)
SCR  WHAT A BOMBSHELL         (cline rob)CORREA L 119 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of BOMB VO YAGE by HIT IT A BOMB)
MSHAWISH'GIRL         (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of CANDYS GIRL by BERTOLINI)
 
BTP-8   07/03/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENSE OF PEARL Jun18 May17 May03 Apr18 Mar29 (decker ann)HERNANDEZ N 123 6.00 21% 3.80    
ICE QUEEN Jun04 Apr02 Feb01 Jan04 Nov22 (alessi james)PENA L 123 10.00    
FLAME FOR REAL Jun23 May08 Apr10 Mar31 Mar11 (zielinski r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 15.00    
FACTISIMFLASHY Jun06 May17 May03 Nov14 Oct09 (antonuik j)HERNANDEZ A 123 10.00    
SCOOP Jun13 May13 Mar20 Mar05 Feb13 (orantes yo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 8.00 6% 16.30    
RAZZLE RED Jun19 May08 Mar29 Mar08 Feb13 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
KNIGHTOFCARAVAGGIO May08 Sep20 Jul30     (danner kelsey)ELLIOTT JANE 119 5.00 9% 9.70    
JACK'S SUMMER May14 Feb05 Nov14 Oct30 Sep11 (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 123 4.00 13% 6.40    
ISA LEI Jun18 Mar19 Feb23 Jan15 Dec21 (estvanko )CORREA L 123 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.