Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - June 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (9/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/8)-(9/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/2/8)-(9/2/8)-(9/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/2/8)-(4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/2/8)-(4/6)-(2/8/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
MTH-2   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/6)-(2/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6)-(2/8/6)-(9/3/8/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MTH-3   WIN (2/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/6)-(2/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/6)-(2/8/6)-(2/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/6)-(9/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6)-(9/3/8/5)-(6/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-4   WIN (9/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/8/5)-(9/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/8/5)-(9/3/8/5)-(9/3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/3/8/5)-(6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/3/8/5)-(6/3/4)-(8/4/6/5/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-5   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(8/4/6/5/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(8/4/6/5/10)-(8/4/5/6/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
MTH-6   WIN (8/4/6/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/5/10)-(8/4/6/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/5/10)-(8/4/6/5/10)-(8/4/6/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/6/5/10)-(8/4/5/6/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6/5/10)-(8/4/5/6/7)-(10/9/3/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
MTH-7   WIN (8/4/5/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/6/7)-(8/4/5/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/6/7)-(8/4/5/6/7)-(8/4/5/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/5/6/7)-(10/9/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/6/7)-(10/9/3/6)-(4/5/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-8   WIN (10/9/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/9/3/6)-(10/9/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/9/3/6)-(10/9/3/6)-(10/9/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/9/3/6)-(4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   06/28/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEESE Jun12 Jun04 Mar08 Feb07 Jan10 (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 117 8.00    
2  WHY NOT GRACE Mar09 Feb09 Feb01 Dec13 Nov28 (gorham mich)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 12.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  TE AMO Jun12 May17 Sep27 Sep15 Aug25 (keithan rachae)COTTO L 121 20.00    
SCR  SUNDAY TIFF Jun04 Mar09 Feb16 Dec20 Nov30 (morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 121 3.50    
SCR  RUNWAY LIGHTS May25 Apr13 Mar26 Mar08 Feb15 (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50    
SCR  WHIRLWIND Apr18 Mar16 Dec26 Nov30 Oct20 (hendriks ric)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 5.00    
7  HIPATIA Jun15 Oct18 Sep21 Sep14 Aug23 (harris )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 30.00    
8  DIXIE ESCAPE Jun14 May17 Feb26 Jan24 Nov28 (delgado jorge)JARA FERNANDO 117 10.00 16% 5.40    
9  ARANCIATA Jun07 May28 May17 Mar15 Feb05 (simone michael)CAMACHO SAMY 117 8.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  DUCHESS OF DESTIN Jun14 Nov29 Nov01 Sep27 Aug25 (david a)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50    
SCR  LITTLE SQUEEZE Jun15 Jan30 Nov17 Oct20 Aug23 (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.50    
SCR  MISSPENT Jun15 Jun01 Apr25 Apr05 Feb28 (pantaleo jose)OLVER MADISON 115 5.00    
13  RED HAIRED GAL Jun08 May18 Mar31 Mar03 Feb24 (flores-coba fe)MOYA F 119 8.00    
 
MTH-2   06/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASSATION Jun08 Apr13 Nov06 Oct04 Sep28 (margotta )VARGAS A 121 15.00    
SCR  CHARLIE'S EXPRESS Jun15 May03 Sep15 Aug03 Jul05 (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.00    
SCR  PROTECTED May25 Apr25 Jul06     (kimmel john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.00    
4  J J ZO ZO May25 Oct05 Sep07 Aug25 Jul26 (sanchez l)MARIN SAMUEL 117 2.50 49% 1.00    
5  POGI Jun14 May17 Oct12 Aug03 Jul06 (synnefias pa)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 3.50    
6  ELECTRIC EEL May18 Feb23 Dec01 Nov01 Aug25 (david a)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-3   06/28/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNSOLVED MYSTERY Nov24 Sep21 Aug31 Nov22 Mar18 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 121 1.20    
2  AMBITIOUSLY PLACED Mar19 Feb20 Dec18 Nov19 Oct19 (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 64% 0.60    
3  LOOKINGFORTREASURE Jun07 May17 Apr14 Mar18 Mar03 (gomez pompe)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 30.00    
4  DUELA DENT Jun14 Jun01 Apr21 Feb04 Jan13 (plaza albert)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 20.00    
SCR  SHEZANARCTICQUEEN Jun21 Jun01 May25 May02 Apr19 (jones eduardo)JARA FERNANDO 121 15.00    
6  I BELIEVE IN MAGIC Jun01 Apr18 Apr02 Mar02 Aug28 (bernardini j)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  BUSTIN DOWN DOORS Jun09 Apr28 Apr16 Mar19 Feb11 (moore m)RUIZ ELISEO 121 5.00    
8  BERTIE'S CAUSE May02 Apr09 Mar21 Feb28 Feb03 (gonzalez c)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 115 6.00 11% 8.20    
 
MTH-4   06/28/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIANT'S AUDIBLE May24 May18 Apr21 Mar31 Feb14 (ramirez silvin)AGUILAR JEAN 120 12.00    
2  MYSARIA May01 Apr18 Feb22 Feb01 Jan05 (hills timo)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 6.00    
3  REASSESS Jun13 May15 Apr17 Feb20 Jan30 (crowell susa)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50 13% 6.60    
4  MAGNOLIA WIND Jun02 May25 Oct10 Aug29 Aug02 (dunham be)VARGAS A 121 5.00    
5  SASSY BABE Sep05 Aug07 Jul02 Jun19 May29 (simone michae)JARA FERNANDO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUNY YINA (FR) Mar01 Nov14       (moreno-barba)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00    
7  MEXICAN SUGAR May11 Mar28 Mar09 Feb20 Dec15 (coletti edward)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.50    
8  WELLAREYOUHAPPYNOW Dec27 Dec13 Nov02 Oct04 Sep11 (sullivan elliott)LEON SONNY 121 8.00 9% 10.40    
9  WHATTA WORLD Jun09 May17 Mar14 Feb19 Dec27 (breen kell)RIVERA R 121 4.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  MAGGIE MISCHIEF May27 Mar17 Feb25 Nov25 Oct30 (rodriguez m)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.50    
 
MTH-5   06/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL SENSATION Aug24 Jul20 Jul05 Jun23 Jun01 (poalucci fran)IORIO MELISSA 121 8.00    
2  VANZZY Jun07 May21 Apr29 Mar29 Feb28 (pino michael)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50    
3  KING OF HOLLYWOOD May31 May02 Dec31 Dec04 Nov16 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 124 2.50 28% 2.50    
4  BROTHER BRAD Mar22 Feb21 Jan15 Dec21 Nov17 (alvarado di)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 8.00 6% 17.20    
SCR  KING MIANO Apr18 Mar29 Mar08 Jan29 Dec20 (yanez reynaldo)MARIN SAMUEL 121 12.00    
6  CUPID'S DUDE Jun14 May29 Apr06 Mar21 Mar05 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  CATCH THE SMOKE May31 May10 Apr25 Apr05 Mar02 (potts wayne)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.00    
8  GUN RIGHT Jun15 May17 Mar30 Feb26 Feb05 (gomez pompeyo)JARA FERNANDO 121 15.00    
 
MTH-6   06/28/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENEZUELAN TRIUMPH May24 May10 Apr23 Mar22 Mar05 (avila c)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 15.00    
2  MAILMAN MONEY Jun14 Jan04 Dec12 Nov09 Oct13 (breen kell)RIVERA R 121 5.00    
3  LONELY RIDE Jun14 Mar28 Feb08 Dec28 Nov30 (padilla-prec)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00    
4  FATIMA'S BLESSING Jun01 May18 Apr18 Mar14 Feb12 (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50 12% 7.30    
5  BE HERE Jun14 Jun01 May18 May10 Dec20 (delgado jorge)JARA FERNANDO 121 8.00 6% 14.40    
6  HAPPY CAT Jun21 Aug24 Jun16 May22 Nov16 (duarte jor)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 6.00 12% 7.60    
7  FAST PAYDAY Jun09 May19 May03 Apr15 Mar31 (tapsas i)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 30.00    
8  MORE THAN WORK Jun01 Mar29 Feb22 Dec28 Nov30 (crook-demasi k)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.00 48% 1.10    
9  CABINET PIK Jun01 May10 Jan01 Dec18 Oct11 (gomez p)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 30.00    
10  DRAKON Jun14 May16 Apr06 Mar28 Jan17 (david carlo)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-7   06/28/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65.625K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERROTTO Jun15 May31 May11 Oct18 Oct05 (huston rory )CASTILLO ISAAC 123 5.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of ROCKIN HEATHER by IN EXCESS (IRE))
2  FERATOVIC Jun15 May31 May18     (huston k)CAMACHO SAMY 123 15.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of CASSIDY'S REWARD by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
3  FRANKIE G Jun15 Aug31 Jun16 Jun01 Jul23 (cash russell )PANAIJO JORGE 123 20.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of GINNY G by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  BOARDWALK JACK Aug25 Jul26       (owens edd)VARGAS A 119 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of EBONY BALL by PARK AVENUE BALL)
5  HAPPY OFFERING May31         (spina c)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 4.50 19% 4.20    
  (by QURBAAN out of AFRAAH by HARD SPUN)
6  LIVALISCIOUS May31 May11 Aug25     (spina charl)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 8% 11.50    
  (by WEST COAST out of WINILISCIOUS by LAWYER RON)
7  LECANTO May11 Nov12 Oct28 Oct05 Aug31 (marquez cesare)AGUILAR JEAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of BROAD GALE by BROAD BRUSH)
8  HYDRUS May31 May11 Apr19 Mar13   (ryan s)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by VEKOMA out of ELUSIVELY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9  RANUNCULUS Oct05 Aug31 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 (wilson ton)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 116 12.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of FOXIE FREESIA by DEFRERE)
10  HOLIDAY EXPRESS Oct02         (perkins j)IORIO MELISSA 119 8.00    
  (by NAME CHANGER out of DUMTADUMTADUM by MINESHAFT)
 
MTH-8   06/28/2025 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Tale Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOM'S MAGIC Apr07 Mar01 Dec22 Nov28   (stidham mic)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 6.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of DIXIE CHICKEN by RAHY)
SCR  GOLDEN CHANNEL Jun07 May10 Mar22 Feb22 Jan18 (weaver george)JARA FERNANDO 116 6.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of GOLDEN REVIEW by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  FLASH FROZEN Apr27 Apr09 Mar23 Feb09 Jan15 (o'connell kathleen)NO RIDER 116 12.00 11% 8.20    
  (by FROSTED out of GLADITA F. by GEMOLOGIST)
SCR  UNCATALYZED (GB) May04 Mar14       (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 116 3.00    
  (by KINGMAN out of QUEEN'S CODE by DESERT CODE)
5  SOLEIL VOLANT May17 Apr26 Feb22 Jan11 Dec06 (motion gra)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 5.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of VALENTINE WISH by LEMON DROP KID)
6  COOL INTENTIONS May31 May10 Mar29 Jan04 Dec07 (delgado jorge)NO RIDER 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of INTENTIONAL CRY by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  QUIZLER May31 Apr04 Mar07 Feb27 Jan26 (breen j)CAMACHO SAMY 116 20.00    
  (by CURLIN'S HONOR out of IMPERIAL CODE by IMPERIALISM)
SCR  MYTHICAL MAN Dec06 Oct03 Aug21     (gargan danny)CASTILLO ISAAC 116 6.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of PARK LANE by GHOSTZAPPER)
9  VERSUS Apr07 Mar09 Feb09 Jan04 Dec07 (breen kell)RIVERA R 116 6.00 24% 3.20    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of EVITA'S SISTER by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
10  OUTRUNNER May11 Oct25       (duarte jr)LEON SONNY 116 4.50 34% 1.90    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of GALE FORCE by CAT THIEF)
SCR  NATIONAL LAW Jun14 May11 Dec03 Sep07 Jul28 (duarte jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 5.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SUSIE'S BABY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
MTH-9   06/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONOR CAT May28 Apr06 Feb28 Jan19 Dec20 (compton gre)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  GOLD STRATEGY Jun14 May31 Apr27 Mar02 Jan24 (ward dan)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 117 6.00    
SCR  JESS'S GYPSY GIRL Jun07 May25 May02 Mar23 Feb19 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 124 3.50    
4  IT'S GOODTOBE JOSE May31 May10 Mar30 Jan25 Dec27 (crook-demasi kat)LEON SONNY 121 3.00 59% 0.70    
5  PURE BEAUTY Jun05 Apr05 Mar06 Jan12 Sep01 (mcgaughey cl)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.50 15% 5.50    
6  FROSTED LACE May06 Apr14 Nov25     (brown r)CORREA JULIO 117 20.00    
SCR  JUST BE YOU May17 Sep24 Aug19 Jul30   (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.