Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fairmount Park
Tuesday - June 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FP-1   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(5/1/4)-(3/5/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-2   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(3/5/4)-(5/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-3   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(5/4/3)-(4/1/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-4   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(4/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(4/1/5/7)-(7/3/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FP-5   WIN (4/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/5/7)-(7/3/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/7)-(7/3/4/5)-(7/5/3/1/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FP-6   WIN (7/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/4/5)-(7/5/3/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4/5)-(7/5/3/1/6)-(3/7/5/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FP-7   WIN (7/5/3/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/1/6)-(7/5/3/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/1/6)-(7/5/3/1/6)-(7/5/3/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/3/1/6)-(3/7/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FP-8   WIN (3/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/1)-(3/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/1)-(3/7/5/1)-(3/7/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FP-1   06/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAZY DIXIE May31 Aug07       (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 3.00    
STEAL PROUD May24 Oct19 Oct08 Sep21   (retana gabe)DIEGO JAVIER 126 6.00    
SABRE ATTACK         (childers )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 12.00 25% 2.90    
SYDNEY'S JOY Apr26 Mar22 Feb28     (lynch )ORTEGA JOSEPH 126 4.00    
SCR  I BE GONE Dec15 Oct16 Aug30 Aug16 May03 (higgins denn)GILES EMMANUEL 126 2.00    
BOGGALITA May24 May10 Apr26     (lynch harr)SIMPSON M 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MY INDY BLUE         (randazzo frank )ORTIZ ALVIN 126 10.00 25% 2.90    
 
FP-2   06/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENSE May20 May06 Oct24 Oct12 Sep24 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 5.00 24% 3.30    
FREEDOM ATTACK Jun01 Apr20 Dec16 Sep29 Sep12 (childers )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 4.00    
SCR  MORNING LINE NEWS Oct10 Sep26 Sep15 Aug11 Aug04 (alonso ferna)GILES EMMANUEL 124 3.00    
ROCK THE BIRDHOUSE May06 Oct17 Sep24 Sep10 Aug20 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
PLAY TWENTY May27 May06 Apr22 Dec16 Nov19 (watkins james )DIEGO JAVIER 124 2.00 33% 2.10    
DELTA LADY (CHI) May20 May06 Apr22 Sep24 Aug20 (pompell rober)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 10.00    
 
FP-3   06/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ERNESTINA Jun10 May13 Apr29 Oct22 Oct08 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 126 3.00    
RESOLUTION (FR) May27 May06 Nov02 Oct15 Sep26 (bahena fe)ULLOA JOAN 126 5.00    
BEAUTIFUL SUMMER May27 May06 Apr22 Mar15 Feb15 (martinez )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 2.00 57% 0.80    
SCAPITURE Oct24 Oct12 Sep28 Sep14 Aug27 (wells duane)LOPEZ A 124 6.00 7% 12.50    
TINA'S TAPIZAR May27 Apr29 Oct31 Oct08 Sep21 (manley steve)FELIX E 126 4.00 12% 7.20    
FANCY HILL May27 May04 Sep29 Sep12 Sep05 (bahena fernand)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00    
 
FP-4   06/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLCOMBE May31 May13 Apr26 Oct17 Oct02 (durham mike)WALES T 126 2.00    
DRAGGING MAIN May31 Apr26 Oct05 Sep21 Sep10 (durham)BAILON JADHIR 124 10.00    
BROKEN JUSTICE Mar19 Feb26 Jan18 Dec04 Nov14 (fridley stev)GILES EMMANUEL 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
MINNESOTA MOON Jun03 May20 Apr26 Mar28 Nov02 (quinonez m)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.00 24% 3.20    
COG Jun03 May20 Mar12 Feb23 Jan04 (fridley steve)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
FP-5   06/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREAKFASTRUN May27 Oct01 Sep16 Aug18 Aug03 (durham mike)WALES T 124 3.50 15% 5.70    
CATTY CRUISE May20 Sep07 Aug20 Jul29 Jun10 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 5.00    
GRACEFUL SCARLETT Jun03 Jun11 May21 May07 Apr20 (manley steve)DIEGO JAVIER 124 4.50    
ISABELLA'S BEAUTY Oct22 Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 Aug04 (hernandez arm)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
FOREVER BLESSED Jun03 May20 May06 Apr22 Apr13 (lynch )BAILON JADHIR 124 6.00 7% 12.70    
PRIMITY Jun03 May20 May06 Oct15 Sep21 (martinez-)ULLOA JOAN 124 8.00    
GREEN GRACE May27 Nov02 Oct22 Oct08 Sep07 (thurman rhonda)FELIX E 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FP-6   06/17/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAFE Jun03 May20 Apr26 Nov02 Oct12 (martinez-li)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 10.00    
TAPINYOURBLUEJEANS May20 Apr26 Oct26 Sep21 Aug31 (becker scott)WALES T 124 3.00    
ROAD GAME Jun10 May20 May03 Sep14 Aug24 (durham mi)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00 5% 17.30    
U S HONOUR NAP Jun08 May18 Apr27 Apr13 Mar30 (dizeo dino)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 4.00 5% 18.20    
BOURBON DELIGHT May31 May03 Dec03 Nov06 Oct19 (castro isi)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00 5% 18.40    
KEEN RESPONSE May31 May20 Nov02 Oct19 Aug31 (mosier harold)LOPEZ A 124 12.00    
ONE WAY HOME May31 May20 Apr26 Apr10 Mar27 (martinez a)FELIX E 124 2.00 61% 0.60    
 
FP-7   06/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEIGHTIEMAN May24 Nov02 Oct17 Oct01 Sep14 (retana gabe)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00 6% 16.30    
GUN IT AND RUN IT Jun03 Oct01 Sep14 Aug27 Aug13 (pompel)BAILON JADHIR 124 15.00    
VINEGAR HILL May19 Apr05       (hernandez armando)WALES T 118 3.50 23% 3.30    
CUTLASS KING May31 May01 Apr06 Mar08 Feb16 (lynch e)FELIX E 120 10.00    
VALIANT WEST Jun03 May11 Apr24 Mar30 Mar16 (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 6.00 25% 3.10    
BRAHMS JR. May24 Nov02 Oct17 Sep03 Aug03 (retana gabe)LOPEZ A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
XAVI Jun03 May10 Apr19 Dec27 Dec07 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 118 4.50 26% 2.90    
REWIRE Apr18 Mar14 Feb07 Dec20 Nov20 (shorter a)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 2.50    
RECAUSE May31 May17 Sep17     (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 118 10.00    
 
FP-8   06/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOUNG MISCHIEF May31 May03 Nov02 Oct17 Sep21 (essenpreis ed)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of YOUNG ROYALTY by ROYAL ACADEMY)
SCR  SAND CAST Apr19 Nov28 Oct27 Oct12 Sep05 (leonard george )ORTIZ ALVIN 120 10.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of NECK OF THE MOON by MORE THAN READY)
MAN OF QUALITY Oct23 Sep26 Aug31 Jul15 Jun24 (martin dawn)DIEGO JAVIER 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
  (by LAOBAN out of EMERALD QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
BRAHMS HALO Dec08 Nov26 Nov19 Nov12 Oct30 (smith mik)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 15.00    
  (by BRAHMS out of DEVIL PASTDUE by DEVIL HIS DUE)
JOHNNY BOLT         (becker scott)WALES T 120 8.00 11% 8.30    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BEAUTIFUL BECCA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
GONNA PICK DOMENIC May31 May03 Apr13 Mar22 Feb07 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 3.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of BELLAMENTARY by BELLAMY ROAD)
UNIFIED USYK May31         (becker scott)FELIX E 120 4.00 16% 5.30    
  (by UNIFIED out of INFLICTION by STORMY ATLANTIC)
PEACEAFTERTHUNDER Aug31 Aug21 Aug08 Jul20 Jul04 (smith )BAILON JADHIR 126 20.00    
  (by PEACE WINS out of CORAL LACE by TALC)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.