Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lone Star Park
Friday - June 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LS-1   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(2/8/6/7/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
LS-2   WIN (2/8/6/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/7/5)-(2/8/6/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/7/5)-(2/8/6/7/5)-(2/8/6/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6/7/5)-(6/4)-(6/7/1/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LS-3   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(6/7/1/3)-(9/7/4/11/8) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LS-4   WIN (6/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-5   WIN (9/7/4/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/4/11/8)-(9/7/4/11/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/4/11/8)-(9/7/4/11/8)-(9/7/4/11/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-6   WIN (9/1/5/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/5/4/8)-(9/1/5/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/5/4/8)-(9/1/5/4/8)-(9/1/5/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (9/1/5/4/8)-(1/7/8/9)-(1/10/2/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LS-7   WIN (1/7/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/9)-(1/7/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/9)-(1/7/8/9)-(1/7/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/8/9)-(1/10/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LS-8   WIN (1/10/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/2/4)-(1/10/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/10/2/4)-(1/10/2/4)-(1/10/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LS-1   06/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPEAL GUY Mar07 Aug11 Jan05 Aug26 Aug12 (hernandez ale)FUENTES MARIO 124 20.00 5% 18.00    
PLUTONIUM May30 Jun16 May29 Dec20 Nov26 (chaparro g)PEREZ ANGEL 119 20.00    
MY ADDICTION May17 May10 Apr19 Mar27 Feb13 (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  TOO INTIMIDATING May30 May10 Apr19 Mar28 Mar07 (kotara ronald)BENAVIDES D 124 15.00    
LONE TREE May30 Mar31 Mar17 Mar03 Feb23 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 2.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  DOUBLE RIDE May30 Apr25 Mar21 Feb07 Jan04 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 119 0.60    
ALL COUNTRY May30 Apr17 Mar29 Mar08 Oct12 (laday ashton)CASTILLO AMIN 124 20.00    
 
LS-2   06/13/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T BACKDOWN Apr19 Nov09 Oct04 Sep08 Jul13 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 119 1.80    
ADGER May16 May03 Mar08 Jan17 Nov07 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
KING ARTHUR RIDGE May16 Apr17 Mar23 Mar16 Mar01 (kotara ronald)DIEGO V 124 12.00    
SUMMER HELP Jun01 May03 Apr17 Mar28 Mar07 (padilla car)WETHEY JR 124 6.00    
GHURAIR'S WARRIOR Jun01 Mar30 Mar16 Feb28 Aug22 (castellanos j)RIVERA SANTOS 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
MORO MAFIA May16 Apr18 Feb13 Jan10 Dec11 (bryant georg)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 10.00 13% 6.80    
TI CAILLOU Apr19 Mar23 Mar02 Feb16 Feb02 (willis mindy)JUAREZ J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
MISTER MOSCATO May16 Apr17 Mar16 Mar01 Jan17 (gustafson austi)VAZQUEZ A 124 5.00 22% 3.50    
ECHO MARINE May16 May03 Mar01 Jan03 Nov18 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00    
 
LS-3   06/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Texas Stallion Staunch Avenger Division Purse ($75K) 2 C/G PT- 8:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AQUILEGIA         (caldwell r)JUAREZ J 120 8.00    
  (by ALYDAR out of SAGE IN BLOOM by CONGAREE)
SCR  TUFF BIZ         (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 4.50    
  (by BRAVAZO out of INDY BUSINESS by A.P. INDY)
CANDY CACTUS         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 6.00    
  (by EAGLE out of TRIFOLIUM by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SPEAK THE TRUTH         (young scot)ERAMIA E 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of GOLDEN GLASS by GOLDENCENTS)
PREACHERMAN         (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 120 3.00    
  (by DEPUTY MINISTER out of ALL A TWITTER by D'WILDCAT)
LEXI'S COMEBACK May10         (newbold jon)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 1.20 54% 0.80    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of LEXI ON THE MOVE by FAST ANNA)
 
LS-4   06/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECOND BATTALION Mar11 Feb21 Jan12 Nov14 Oct04 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 10.00 14% 6.20    
DEVITO May17 Jun21 Jun07 May11 Apr21 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 20.00    
TOO MUCH LONG LEGS May04 Mar17 Mar01 Feb19 Feb03 (govea cesar)RIVERA SANTOS 124 15.00 12% 7.50    
OTHERBROTHERDARYL May24 May03 Apr19 Apr05 Mar08 (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 119 4.00    
SCR  SIX IRON May10         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 1.40    
FLY RED BIRD FLY May10 Apr06 Mar09 Feb22 Feb08 (rivera jos)CAMACHO VALENTIN 119 2.00 30% 2.30    
JOHN LOUIS' BEVO Jul04 Jun16 Jun02 May18 Apr23 (george wayne)FUENTES MARIO 124 12.00 17% 4.70    
CLAMOROUS BLING Oct28 Sep29 Sep13     (baldillez )PEREZ ANGEL 119 20.00    
 
LS-5   06/13/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANE CREEK ROAD Apr27 Apr04 Mar08 Feb28 Jan26 (williams matt)ELLIOTT S 122 15.00    
SCR  SPECIAL MEMORY May25 Jan24 Oct26 Oct12 Jul13 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00    
BASEBALL POLITICS May16 Apr18 Dec21 Oct19 Oct05 (caldwell r)DIEGO V 122 5.00    
PUDDING Apr26 Mar14 Feb23 Jan18 Dec11 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 122 8.00 5% 18.40    
SCR  NORTHVALE ROAD Apr26 Mar28 Mar09 Feb16 Feb02 (gourneau jerr)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 4.50    
CHANGING TIMES Mar30 Jan26 Nov09 Oct03 Aug22 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 122 10.00    
HELLADIC Apr29 Nov10 Aug29 Jul28 Nov23 (diodoro robert)REYES R 122 2.50 9% 9.60    
SHOTSHELL May24 Feb08 Jan19 Dec18 Dec10 (baldillez ale)RIVERA SANTOS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
IMA BLING CAT May16 Apr26 Mar28 Mar07 Feb28 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 122 3.00 61% 0.60    
10  POMEROY HAZE May11 Apr17 Feb14 Jan15 Dec19 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00    
11  CAMPTON May30 Apr15 Mar27 Feb14 Jan17 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SWEET RIVER BAINES May31 Mar28 Feb20 Jan24 Nov19 (cappellucci dick)ELLIOTT S 122 6.00    
SCR  FOLLOWMEIFYOUCAN May03         (swift dale)CAMACHO VALENTIN 117 30.00    
SCR  WEIRD YEAR May16 Apr18 Mar08 Feb21 Jan24 (rossi j)DIEGO V 124 4.50    
 
LS-6   06/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRINKS AT THE CLUB May30 May11 Apr04 Jan25 Dec18 (cappellucci dic)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.00 18% 4.50    
FASTENED May25 May11 Apr17 Mar01 Feb07 (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 124 20.00    
SCR  CASH FOLLOWS ME May25 Apr18 Mar13 Jan23 Dec10 (marr h)ELLIOTT S 124 5.00    
DANCE MAN May25 May11 May02 Apr18 Apr06 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
STORM MAN May24 Apr14 Mar29 Mar07 Feb02 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 124 2.50 10% 9.40    
GOLD BARON May24 Mar21 Mar01 Feb17 Feb03 (durham danel)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 30.00    
LOUISIANA FLASH May07 Mar14 Jan24 Jan05 Jul03 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 124 12.00    
AMERICAN ICON May23 Apr04 Mar08 Jun23 Jun02 (govea cesar)REYES R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
EL MERO MERO May25 Apr18 Feb23 Jan26 Jan05 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
10  CAPTAIN JACK May25 Apr18 Apr04 Feb28 Feb07 (durham danele)CASTILLO AMIN 124 30.00    
 
LS-7   06/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEIGHT AND MALICE May11 Apr19 Apr04 Mar09 Feb22 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 124 2.50 60% 0.70    
SCR  LEWIS BERE (FR) May31 Mar28 Mar14 Feb21 Feb07 (green greg)PEREZ A 124 10.00    
SCR  LUV TO WIN May31 Apr27 Apr04 Mar08 Feb17 (rami)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.00    
AFFECTIONTO AUTISM May09 Apr18 Apr04 Mar07 Feb21 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 124 20.00    
SUITABLE May09 Apr19 Apr04 Feb21 Jan31 (gustafson austi)VAZQUEZ A 124 6.00    
UNION DATA May03 Apr19 Apr04 Mar07 Feb23 (davidson sar)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 20.00    
SUPER BRADY May31 May09 Apr27 Apr13 Mar14 (green ike)DIEGO V 124 10.00 13% 6.90    
DOSE'S DREAM May11 Apr27 Apr19 Apr04 Mar08 (davidson sarah)REYES R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
PLAYING HARDBALL May16 Apr27 Mar09 Feb23 Dec13 (calvario samue)SANCHEZ OBED 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUMMER SPLASH Apr19 Mar23 Mar08 Feb16 Nov20 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 3.50    
 
LS-8   06/13/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-10:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPLE May09 Jan03 Nov24 Aug24 Sep09 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
CAJUN EDDIE May11 Apr26 Mar28 Feb14 Feb01 (gour)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
BROTHER REID May09 Apr18 Feb01 Jan19 Jan09 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 122 3.50    
LEGENDARY LORE May11 Apr20 Mar30 Mar07 Feb23 (kane mackenz)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BROCK ON BY May24 Apr18 Mar08 Feb09 Jan03 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 122 5.00    
PROWLING TIGER May26 May04 Apr20 Apr06 Feb21 (govea cesar)CABRERA DAVID 122 4.50    
SCR  KALEO May26 May05 Apr09 Mar19 May06 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 122 15.00    
FACE VALUE Jun01 Apr13 Mar29 Feb24 Jan26 (williams se)WETHEY JR 122 15.00    
DON GUILLERMO May01 Apr12       (hebert matt)RIVERA SANTOS 122 30.00    
10  COASTAL BRINK May26 Apr06 Mar15 Feb22 Feb01 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.