Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Friday - May 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-2   WIN (6/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/7)-(6/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/7)-(6/2/4/7)-(6/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-3   WIN (5/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2)-(5/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/2)-(7/4/1)-(4/7/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTM-4   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(4/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-5   WIN (4/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-6   WIN (1/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/6)-(1/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/6)-(1/5/8/6)-(1/5/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-7   WIN (1/8/9/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/9/5/2)-(1/8/9/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/9/5/2)-(1/8/9/5/2)-(1/8/9/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
CTM-8   WIN (1/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/8)-(1/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/8)-(1/5/7/8)-(1/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/8)-(4/9/6/8/1)-(6/1/7/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CTM-9   WIN (4/9/6/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/6/8/1)-(4/9/6/8/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/6/8/1)-(4/9/6/8/1)-(4/9/6/8/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/9/6/8/1)-(6/1/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CTM-10   WIN (6/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/2)-(6/1/8/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/2)-(6/1/8/7/2)-(6/1/8/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-2   05/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDER OF ZION May16 Mar08 Feb15 Feb01 Jan11 (o'hagan colleen)NELSON DANE 125 2.50    
JULIUS THE GREAT May17 Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jul31 (reid colton)BRYAN D 125 3.50 21% 3.70    
CALI CONQUEST May16 Oct19 Sep29 Sep13 Aug31 (cone r)STEADMAN LEON 125 5.00    
BROWNING ISLAND Nov03 Oct26 Oct06 Sep21 Aug28 (heggie rod)HUGHES RASHEED 125 4.50 12% 7.40    
JOKER MATT Oct26 Oct12 Sep29 Sep13 Aug31 (brown r)CARTER KYLE 125 8.00    
FRANKIE MACHINE Oct05 Sep22 Sep07 Aug16 Jul20 (henson rober)WILLIAMS SCOTT 125 3.00 33% 2.00    
SPOT ON DUDE Oct21 Oct14 Sep23 Sep01 Aug06 (wyness james)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-3   05/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OAK BAY QUALITY May16 Oct12 Sep22 Aug30 Aug02 (frey carson)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 3.00 12% 7.30    
LEGAL ASSASSIN Oct26 Oct12 Aug30 Aug03 Jul19 (heggie rod)FOSTER R 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
QUATRE BAK May09 Oct06 Sep21 Sep06 Jul27 (s)GRIFFITH DELANE 123 15.00    
HARBOR DANCER May16 Oct20 Oct06 Aug30 Aug09 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 2.50    
LAST ROUND Sep29         (robertson je)HUGHES RASHEED 118 4.00 54% 0.80    
DETERMINED FREEDOM May10 Mar09 Feb07 Jan03 Dec11 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.50 8% 11.80    
I'M SEEING RED May16 Sep14 Jul05 Jun15 May25 (henson r)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 123 5.00    
 
CTM-4   05/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHATTY GAL May09 Sep13 Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 (jones dan)ZENTENO JR 125 8.00 6% 15.00    
SCR  OUT FRONT May09 Sep07 Aug23 Aug09 Jul24 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 125 2.50    
EYESPYMYLITTLEEYE May10 Aug30 Aug16 Jul27 Jul12 (biggs seymou)FOSTER R 125 4.00    
BAKFIRE BABY May09 Oct26 Sep28 Sep15 Aug24 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 1.80 25% 3.00    
MAJESTIC HORIZON May17 May03 Sep13 Aug30 Aug17 (walper deanna)CARTER KYLE 125 5.00    
BEAUTIFUL BABE May16 Oct19 Sep28 Aug30 Jul24 (calhoun kimb)WILLIAMS SCOTT 125 10.00    
GO MAMA Oct26 Oct13 Sep28 Sep06 Aug17 (grieves ron)NATERA KEIHTON 125 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  TEXAS LEGACY Oct12 Sep29 Sep14 Aug09 Jul06 (bell jess)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 125 15.00    
 
CTM-5   05/30/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAYLOR FIELD Oct27 Oct13 Sep22 Aug30 Aug09 (petrowski jo)WILLIAMS SCOTT 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
COUNTRIFIED May10 Oct06 Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 (frey carson)HUGHES RASHEED 123 5.00    
ATTENZIONE Apr23 Oct27 Oct13 Sep29 Sep07 (anderson )ZENTENO JR 123 12.00    
GHOSTLY SPITFIRE May16 May03 Dec01 Nov16 Oct06 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
J DUTTON May16 Jan16 Dec07 Nov16 Oct06 (and)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 4.50    
GONE NUTS May10 Apr02 Mar13 Feb19 Jan29 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.00 12% 7.50    
ALL RUN May16 Oct27 Oct13 Sep28 Sep21 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 2.00 18% 4.50    
BUZZINGA KARMA Sep07 Aug30 Jul27 Jul13 Jun01 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 123 8.00    
 
CTM-6   05/30/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASE THE SUN May16 Sep06 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 123 3.00 69% 0.40    
GLAVA Sep14 Aug27 Jul12 Jun08 May31 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 123 5.00    
FROSTEDBIRD May10 Sep07 Aug24 Jul31 Jul05 (baker t)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 123 4.50    
SILENT COUNT Nov02 Oct06 Aug30 Aug10 Jul13 (kingston kar)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 15.00    
BRODY'S PAL May16 Oct27 Oct20 Oct05 Sep14 (biggs seymou)FOSTER R 123 2.50 6% 16.40    
MY MUNNINGS MODEL May09 Nov29 Nov08 Oct14 Oct06 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
QUARTERBACK DAK Feb24 Feb11 Jan08 Nov01 Oct09 (humbke chery)NATERA KEIHTON 123 3.50    
SAXON SAGA Oct27 Sep22 Sep06 Aug24 Aug09 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-7   05/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARFALL May16 Apr19 Mar21     (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.60 33% 2.00    
DESTIN TO BE GREAT Oct05 Sep14 Aug31 Aug17 Jul06 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
EYES OF BEAUTY Sep14 Aug10 Jun07 May25 Oct09 (and)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 5.00    
WE THE FRINGE May16 May03 Oct20 Oct05 Sep14 (biggs seymou)FOSTER R 123 2.50    
AH TOUCHE Oct12 Sep29 Sep14 Aug31   (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 118 3.50 10% 8.70    
HERETHEREVERYWHERE May16 May03 Dec13 Nov28 Nov07 (frey carson)NATERA KEIHTON 118 15.00    
DREAMING D'ORO May03 Sep14 Aug26 Aug05 Jul26 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 123 3.00    
IN YOUR BIZ Sep29         (robertson jerri)NELSON DANE 118 8.00 22% 3.50    
NASAS PRINCESS May16 Oct26 Sep14 Aug23 Aug10 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 118 6.00 12% 7.00    
 
CTM-8   05/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILLS BILLS BILLS May03         (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 120 5.00 40% 1.50    
TENNESSEE MOSES Oct20 Sep22 Aug30 Jul31 Jul06 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 8.00    
LATE NIGHT LIVING May16 Aug30 Aug10 Jul17 Jun08 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 15.00    
TITIAN Oct26 Oct06 Sep07     (kingston )ZENTENO JR 123 12.00    
THATSWHATIMHEREFOR May03 Apr09 Oct27 Oct05   (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  WRIT IN STONE Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 (kingston kar)HUGHES RASHEED 118 3.50    
LORD OF BATTLE May16 Sep14 Aug24 Jul31   (baker t)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 123 2.50 5% 19.00    
DERECHO DANDY May16 Jul17 Jun29 Jun08 May27 (frey carson)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
HANDSOME HENRY Nov03 Oct20 Oct13 Sep22 Aug30 (grieves ron)FOSTER R 123 15.00    
 
CTM-9   05/30/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASE THE CHAOS May17 Aug26 May20 Apr29 Mar04 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 12.00 5% 18.30    
THERE'S NO JOE May10 Sep08 Jul21 Jun01 Nov12 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 15.00    
STOP AND A TRES Apr17 Mar11 Jan23 Jan08 Dec10 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 123 5.00    
DRINKING AGAIN May17 May03 Aug10 Jul24 Jul05 (rycroft tom)WILLIAMS SCOTT 125 2.00 39% 1.60    
YOU'RE THE CAUSE Apr02 Feb18 Jan25 Dec31 Dec11 (buffal)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 8.00    
STONEVICIOUS Apr23 Mar24 Sep08 Aug16 Jul20 (brown r)CARTER KYLE 123 3.00 11% 7.80    
DON'T LET ME DOWN May16 Apr08 Mar19 Mar04 Dec31 (anderson gon)FOSTER R 123 3.50    
KEEN FLATTER May17 Sep06 Aug24 Aug09 Jul19 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 8.00 9% 10.30    
FOUR O SIX CREED Nov02 Oct19 Sep21 Aug24 Jul12 (kingston )ZENTENO JR 123 4.00 14% 6.00    
 
CTM-10   05/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACHECO Nov02 Oct20 Oct06 Sep21 Sep07 (rycroft tom)WILLIAMS SCOTT 123 3.00 18% 4.60    
POINT TO THE STARS May16 Oct13 Sep21 Sep06 Aug24 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SPORTSCARR Nov03 Oct19 Oct06 Sep21 Sep13 (petrowski joan)BRYAN D 123 12.00    
MUDINATOR May16 Jun21 Jun08 May24 Sep16 (russell monica)CARTER KYLE 123 15.00    
H K RAPPER Nov02 Oct20 Oct13 Sep28 Sep14 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 123 5.00    
BON PRIX Oct27 Oct13 Sep28 Aug10 Jul19 (wyness james)NELSON DANE 123 2.50 56% 0.80    
LINCHPIN STORM May10 May03 Oct27 Oct13 Sep21 (rumsey cory)FOSTER R 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
CREDIBILITY May16 Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 Aug24 (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 123 6.00    
QUINTO SOL May14 Sep06 Jul27 Jul12 Jun29 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 123 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.