Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Sunday - May 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (4/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/8)-(4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/8)-(7/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8)-(7/6/8)-(2/1/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
MTH-2   WIN (7/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/8)-(7/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/8)-(7/6/8)-(7/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/8)-(2/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/6/8)-(2/1/7)-(9/7/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
MTH-3   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/7)-(2/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(9/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(9/7/4/3)-(7/6/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-4   WIN (9/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/4/3)-(9/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/4/3)-(9/7/4/3)-(9/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/4/3)-(7/6/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/7/4/3)-(7/6/4/5)-(6/7/8/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
MTH-5   WIN (7/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/4/5)-(6/7/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/5)-(6/7/8/5)-(6/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-6   WIN (6/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/8/5)-(6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8/5)-(6/1/3)-(5/6/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-7   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(5/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(5/6/3/1)-(8/3/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-8   WIN (5/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/1)-(8/3/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MTH-9   WIN (8/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/2)-(8/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/2)-(8/3/1/2)-(8/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   05/18/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($22K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BODE'S MAKER May09 Apr07 Aug01 Jun16 May11 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 4.00    
DENYING May10 Apr19 Mar29 Mar07 Feb19 (ryan s)LEON SONNY 121 6.00    
SPANISH NOBLE May03 Apr18 Mar22 Feb22 Feb05 (o'connell ka)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 6.00    
SPACE LAUNCH Apr06 Mar12 Jan19 Jan01 Dec07 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 54% 0.90    
MAGICAL MARRIAGE Apr11 Mar12 Feb15 Dec14 Sep14 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.50    
BODECREAM Nov17 Oct10 Sep04 Aug11 Jun15 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 121 4.50    
FATIMA'S BLESSING Apr18 Mar14 Feb12 Jan11 Oct26 (dini mike)RUIZ ELISEO 119 8.00 6% 16.40    
BE HERE May10 Dec20 Nov23 Nov03 Oct16 (siculietano )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THREE CAPTAINS Apr25 Mar29 Feb16 Dec27 Dec13 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 121 6.00    
SCR  BROOKLYN GUY Apr11 Feb06 Nov21 Sep27 Sep07 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 20.00    
 
MTH-2   05/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANCE'S SMILE Oct13 Sep22 Aug16 Aug02 Apr26 (alvarado dia)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 3.00    
SCR  TRUE HONEY Mar16 Feb19 Jan26 Dec24   (hernandez e)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 118 15.00    
SCR  QUINN FOR THE WIN Apr25         (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 119 5.00    
WINNING SHOT Apr18 Mar09 Feb12 Jan15 Jul04 (wilson tony)OLVER MADISON 119 8.00    
SCR  MABEE A MIRACLE Apr29 Feb15       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50    
GIANT'S AUDIBLE Apr21 Mar31 Feb14 Jan25 Nov30 (ramirez silvin)AGUILAR JEAN 119 10.00 22% 3.50    
LOOP OF HENLE Apr25 Apr05 Mar23 Feb28 Feb16 (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 2.00 28% 2.60    
WILDCAT FIRE Apr25 Mar22 Dec26 Nov25   (breen kell)SANCHEZ J 123 8.00 14% 6.00    
 
MTH-3   05/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANTAFIO Mar16 Feb12 Feb01 Dec29 Dec20 (delgado)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 4.00 23% 3.40    
UMBRAL May10 Apr12 Mar29 Mar08 Jan31 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 121 2.50 29% 2.40    
SHE CAN SCAT May07 Jan01 Nov18 Oct30 Oct14 (brown r)CAMACHO SAMY 121 5.00    
LADY COLLECTED Apr30 Mar16 Feb26 Feb01 Jan17 (ortega leopoldo )LEON SONNY 117 3.50    
GRAND GOLDEN ROAD May03 Apr12 Mar20 Feb14 Jan04 (david a)MARIN SAMUEL 115 3.00    
SCR  STORMIN HEIST Apr24 Mar13 Feb19 May16 Apr14 (siculietano)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 116 6.00    
RACHEL CAROLINE Oct18 Sep14 May11 Oct08 Sep22 (frangella jam)OLVER MADISON 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-4   05/18/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY PAL MAX Apr26 Apr11 Feb22     (ryan s)LEON SONNY 119 5.00    
SULLIVAN Feb16 Jan02 Sep28     (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 119 8.00    
DANGEROUS DRIVER Mar14 Feb15 Jan26 Jan05 Dec14 (moreno-ba)HERNANDEZ A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
IRISH WISH Apr22 Mar06 Feb20 Jan31 Jan05 (padilla e)VARGAS A 123 8.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  DAW SAMAA Apr24 Mar21 Jan26 Jan03 Dec06 (kantarmaci ilka)RUIZ ELISEO 119 12.00    
SCR  TEARS IN RAIN Apr10 Nov16       (dutrow richard)PENNINGTON F 119 6.00    
VINO GRIGIO Apr26 Apr13 Mar19     (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  GAP TO GAP Apr16 Mar28 Mar01 Feb15 Dec22 (avila car)MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00    
BLIND EYE Apr18 Mar08 Feb16 Dec14 Oct13 (alvarado dia)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 4.00 31% 2.20    
10  HALLELUJAH HARRIS Mar28 Mar20 Feb27 Dec14 Nov10 (siculietano da)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00    
11  THE ELUSIVE DRWONG Apr26 Apr02 Sep08 Aug24 Jul21 (mcburne)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
 
MTH-5   05/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGER FOREVER Feb01 Dec20 Nov03 Oct11   (gonzalez cl)GONZALEZ MELVIS 110 12.00    
SCR  YAYI NIKOLLE Apr24 Apr11 Mar08 Feb09 Jan17 (kantarmaci ilka)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00    
GULF COAST GIRL Apr27 Apr02 Mar14 Feb19 Jan26 (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50    
RAGTAP GIRL Apr26 Apr06 Mar16 Feb27 Feb09 (crook-dema)SANCHEZ J 121 6.00 23% 3.30    
QUEEN OF SOUL Apr26 Mar15 Feb26 Jan08 Dec07 (orseno j)LOPEZ CARLOS 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
STAR VENEZUELAN Mar29 Mar20 Mar09 Feb09 Jan18 (siculietano dani)LEON SONNY 117 3.00 25% 3.00    
PROFIT HUNTER Dec23 Aug21 Jul17     (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 3.50 27% 2.80    
RED HAIRED GAL Mar31 Mar03 Feb24 Jan14 Sep08 (flores-coba fe)MOYA F 121 10.00    
 
MTH-6   05/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIRIYAH Apr05 Mar04 Nov06 Oct01   (dutrow richa)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.50    
OBLIGING May10 Apr02 Feb12 Jan08 Nov28 (gonzalez cl)GONZALEZ MELVIS 112 12.00    
ROSIEONTHERIVER May09 Mar15 Mar02 Feb07 Dec27 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 117 5.00    
DYNA SOAR May10 Mar21 Feb21 Jan25 Dec28 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
TOWER TWENTY TWO Apr09 Mar17 Feb28 Feb07 Jan10 (ramirez silvino)RUIZ ELISEO 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
VANILLA SUNDAE Apr05 Feb27 Nov21 Aug18   (pletcher tod)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 2.00 36% 1.70    
NOTABLE EXCHANGE May04 Apr11 Mar21 Feb28 Feb09 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 6.00 16% 5.40    
PINK RUBY Apr18 Mar09 Dec29     (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 117 4.00 14% 6.00    
 
MTH-7   05/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST John Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT NAVIGATOR Mar29 Feb07 Jan12 Aug25 Jul22 (owens jr)MARIN SAMUEL 123 1.60 23% 3.30    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of ALL EVEN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
SPEAKING Mar27 Mar01 Sep15 Sep01 Jun25 (owens edd)VARGAS A 122 1.80    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of HIGH NOON NELLIE by SILVER DEPUTY)
KAZ SWEET HEIST Apr23 Mar28 Mar13 Feb19 Jan09 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BANK HEIST out of SWEET AND FUZZY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
ELECTRIC EEL Feb23 Dec01 Nov01 Aug25 Jul20 (david a)CAMACHO SAMY 116 15.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of SHE'S HOT WIRED by CABLE BOY)
SCR  CASSATION Apr13 Nov06 Oct04 Sep28 Sep08 (margotta j)NO RIDER 116 20.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of HIGH RENAISSANCE by GIROLAMO)
NO CENTS Apr11 Dec06 Oct10 Aug25 Aug11 (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of FAKER by PETIONVILLE)
FOREVER CHOCOLATE Aug25 Aug03 Jun28 May26 Sep09 (huston rory )LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 10.00    
  (by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA out of CHOCOLATE BLUSH by FIT TO FIGHT)
 
MTH-8   05/18/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH BOOLUM Jul13 Jun09 Mar10 Jan28 Sep24 (milne joan)MARIN SAMUEL 120 20.00 9% 10.10    
POST COMMAND Oct18 Oct05 Aug25 Aug10 Jul07 (spina charles)LEON SONNY 120 6.00    
MICRO BREWSKY May03 Mar26 Feb23 Aug25 Aug10 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 124 8.00 18% 4.70    
VESPARO Oct18 Oct04 Aug31 Aug09 Jul14 (huston k)OLVER MADISON 120 6.00    
LEO MONTE Apr25 Mar29 Nov30 Oct04 Sep21 (breen j)BRAVO J 120 1.40 29% 2.40    
SEE THE TRUTH Oct18 Oct04 Sep08 Aug25 Aug10 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00 19% 4.20    
JUST COMPLY Sep28 Sep08 Jun29 Jun21 May12 (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50    
OPTICAL BIJOU Apr25 Nov10 Oct04 Sep08 Aug25 (perkins be)SANCHEZ J 120 8.00    
SCR  LAST ROMANCE May02 Feb10 Jan29 Dec31 Dec10 (lynch cat)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
SCR  AMATTEROFTIME Feb10 Jan15 Dec04 Nov25 Oct21 (ramirez silv)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 5.00    
SCR  MAX'S GLORY Jul13 Jun28 Jun09 May19 Sep03 (spina charle)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00    
 
MTH-9   05/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOAR RICHARD Apr05 Mar19 Feb16 Apr26 Feb02 (margotta antho)MOYA F 123 3.50 20% 3.90    
NOUVEAU DEPART         (paterno rober)OLVER MADISON 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
JACE IS NO JOKE Mar20 Jan24       (synnefias pan)JARA FERNANDO 119 4.00 22% 3.60    
ATENTION TO DETAIL Jan04 Dec07 Oct12     (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.00    
SURPRISE PACKAGE Apr26 Feb27       (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 119 6.00    
SCR  ALWAYS WIN         (simone )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 10.00    
FERATOVIC         (siculietano dani)LEON SONNY 123 10.00    
LEX Apr22 Feb20       (hawthorne )SANCHEZ J 123 4.50 32% 2.10    
PRIME MOTIVE Aug04 Jun02       (spina charle)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.