Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Saturday - May 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(6/5)-(5/2/9) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(5/2/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(5/2/9)-(4/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (5/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/9)-(5/2/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/9)-(5/2/9)-(5/2/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/9)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/9)-(4/1/5)-(5/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(5/3)-(5/4/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(5/4/1)-(2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-7   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REIGERT GIRLS Feb07 Jan08 Nov15 Oct09 Sep23 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  EXTREMELY GRUNTLED Apr23 Mar27 Mar06 Jan08 Dec06 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 4.50    
3  BRACCESCA Apr17 Mar06 Dec27 Dec04 Oct31 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  NEVER SO LUCKY (IRE) Apr23 Oct25 Sep20 Aug29 Aug16 (harigeorgio)BURNHAM MATILDA 113 5.00    
SCR  LUMINOUS SECRET Apr25 Mar15 Feb20 Jan25 Dec29 (schoenthal ph)RODRIGUEZ YAN 117 3.50    
6  PINK ROSE May02 Mar07 Feb07 Nov07 Oct09 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
7  SHIGEKO Apr23 Mar27 Mar07 Feb07 Apr25 (kreiser c)CORA D 120 2.50    
 
PEN-2   05/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHUCK ADAMS Apr24 Oct26 Oct12 Aug16 Jul26 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 6.00    
SCR  BOLD HOPPERTUNITY May03 Apr15 Mar31 Mar05 Feb04 (abrams j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 8.00    
SCR  TRANSACTIONAL (GB) May02 Feb22 Jan31 Dec27 Oct05 (smith lawrenc)ROJAS MARTINA 120 2.50    
SCR  PRETORIAN GOLD May03 Sep02 Aug22 Jul25 Jul03 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50    
5  MAX BARLEY Apr13 Mar13 Dec11 Nov20 Oct21 (harigeorg)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 21% 3.80    
6  SPINNING HEART Apr25 Apr07 Mar18 Feb24 Jan30 (diaz jorge)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 4.00 40% 1.50    
7  SUNSHINE JOHNNY May03 Apr18 Mar28 Mar07 Jan09 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
 
PEN-3   05/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIZ THE BOMB Dec14 Nov03 Oct11 Jul21 Jun23 (hendriks )RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00    
2  HERE'S WALDO Apr24 Mar27 Mar06 Dec20 Nov15 (sinnefia paulina)CORA D 120 10.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  WE BE THERE May02 Apr14 Mar25 Mar11 Feb25 (rodrigue)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 15.00    
SCR  MISCHIEF WARRIOR May07 Apr23 Mar28 Mar13 Feb19 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 30.00    
5  WISH FOR PEACE Apr24 Apr04 Mar01 Dec27 Dec06 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00 67% 0.50    
SCR  SACHMO Nov10 Oct10 Sep25 Sep02 Aug23 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  CRAZY KATER Oct22 Sep30 Sep10 Aug23 Jul17 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00    
8  TUBTIMSIAM May02 Mar28 Mar13 Feb21 Jan03 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 15.00    
9  ET'S MAGIC MAN Apr23 Mar28 Sep10 Aug23 Jul17 (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WHISKEYMAC Mar26 Jul25 Jul05 Jun17 Jun04 (betancourt eli)CORREA JULIO 120 3.50    
11  BONDED (IRE) May02 Apr05 Dec18 Dec04 Oct24 (martin r)FLORES E 120 15.00    
SCR  FACTOTUM Sep14 Sep01 Jun14 May17 Apr27 (smith lawrenc)ROJAS MARTINA 118 15.00    
 
PEN-4   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASK PATROL May03 Mar17 Feb10 Jan02 Nov29 (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  YES IT'S ROO May03 Mar21 Mar13 Feb27 Feb06 (rideout ronal)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
3  MAJESTIC TIGER May03 Apr23 Apr06 Mar11 Feb28 (richards m)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 8.00    
4  BYK May03 Apr13 Mar20 Jan18 Jan03 (kreiser c)CORA D 120 1.60 39% 1.50    
5  ONE WAY FARRIOR May03 Mar20 Feb27 Feb06 Jan08 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 120 6.00 19% 4.30    
6  POGI Oct12 Aug03 Jul06 May19 Dec30 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00    
 
PEN-5   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARM ALARM May02 Mar14 Feb27 Jan29 Jan08 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.50    
2  NORMANDY LIFE May02 Mar14 Feb27 Jan29 Jan08 (albright ge)RAMOS O 120 2.50    
3  PHABULOUS PHOEBE Mar28 Mar07 Feb07 Jul17 May30 (kravets b)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JUST START DANCIN Apr24 Mar28 Feb19 Dec27 Dec13 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00    
5  DIANE'S MERLOT May02 Sep11 Aug21 Jul22 Jul03 (pino michae)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 1.40 37% 1.70    
 
PEN-6   05/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROTHER LAD Apr22 Jul11 Mar03 Feb11 Dec31 (sullivan elli)ROJAS MARTINA 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  ADDED MISCHIEF Apr25 Mar20 Feb28 Feb05 Nov23 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00    
3  CODY PASS Apr24 Mar27 Mar07 Feb14   (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 3.50    
4  AWESOME HARRY Apr25 Mar20 Feb27 Jan09 Dec18 (fields kevin)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 2.50 16% 5.30    
5  KAZ CREED Apr25 Mar21 Feb07 Dec27 Dec07 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 3.50 47% 1.10    
6  CARCHAROTH Apr23 Apr14 Mar12 Feb25 Jan30 (penalo)GONZALEZ JR 122 3.50    
 
PEN-7   05/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND PICK Apr29 Apr07 Mar04 Feb05 Jan15 (diaz jorge)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 117 4.50    
2  NIFTY May06 Apr23 Apr14 Mar25 Mar05 (diaz j)GONZALEZ JR 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
3  HENRYTHETHIRD Apr25 Mar26 Mar12 Feb21 Jan25 (moreno-barban leandr)CORA D 124 2.50    
4  HELMS DEEP (GB) May03 Mar28 Mar14 Feb28 Feb07 (kreiser c)FLORES E 122 2.00 ★    
5  DANCE A DINI Apr28 Apr14 Mar12 Mar05 Feb05 (padilla este)TORRES L 112 4.00 13% 6.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.