Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fairmount Park
Tuesday - May 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FP-1   WIN (2/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/7)-(1/5/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/7)-(1/5/4/2)-(6/2/5/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FP-2   WIN (1/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2)-(1/5/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/2)-(6/2/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/2)-(6/2/5/1)-(4/6/7/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FP-3   WIN (6/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/1)-(4/6/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/1)-(4/6/7/5)-(10/5/1/6/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FP-4   WIN (4/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/5)-(10/5/1/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/5)-(10/5/1/6/3)-(8/2/6/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FP-5   WIN (10/5/1/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/1/6/3)-(10/5/1/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/1/6/3)-(10/5/1/6/3)-(10/5/1/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/5/1/6/3)-(8/2/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/5/1/6/3)-(8/2/6/4)-(5/1/7/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FP-6   WIN (8/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/4)-(8/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/4)-(8/2/6/4)-(8/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/6/4)-(5/1/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/2/6/4)-(5/1/7/3)-(2/8/10/9/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FP-7   WIN (5/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3)-(5/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/3)-(2/8/10/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FP-8   WIN (2/8/10/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/10/9/5)-(2/8/10/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/10/9/5)-(2/8/10/9/5)-(2/8/10/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FP-1   05/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELIGHTED (IRE) Apr10 Mar21 Apr14 Mar01 Feb08 (blea tony)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 8.00 9% 10.40    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BREATHLESS by KRIS S.)
2  FLIGHTNING BOLT Apr29 Mar16       (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 126 2.00 50% 1.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SPEEDY BIRD by BIRDSTONE)
3  MEGANTHEEBATTALION Apr29         (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 6.00    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of CAUSAL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
4  TEGWAR Apr18 Nov20 Oct23 Sep26 Aug25 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 118 4.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of MARQUEE CAL GAL by COWBOY CAL)
5  STEAL POETIC Nov02         (retana gabe)LOPEZ A 118 12.00    
  (by STEALCASE out of PERFECT POET by OXBOW)
6  DANCING RAQUEL Apr29         (becker scott)WALES T 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
  (by KHOZAN out of ESPANOLA WAY by COZZENE)
7  KATIESGONNAMAKEIT         (nesbitt amy)GILES EMMANUEL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of STEAM by STATE CRAFT)
 
FP-2   05/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIALEAH HOTTIE Sep24 Aug20 Jul09 Jun09 May12 (watkins jam)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 2.50 51% 0.90    
2  ENGLISH Apr29 Oct12 Oct21 Sep05 Aug19 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  CHANEL POINT Apr29 Sep07 Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 (randazzo ted)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 8.00    
4  ERNESTINA Apr29 Oct22 Oct08 Sep01 Aug08 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.50 8% 11.20    
5  MISS DUTTON Oct31 Oct17 Oct05 Sep17 Aug27 (martinez-linare)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 6.00 12% 7.50    
6  SERENDIPITY COCO Apr29 Jun08 May25 Apr30 Apr09 (durham mike)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.50    
7  HALLIE'S RAINBOW Apr29 Oct12 Sep14 Aug17 Jul16 (mosier ha)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00    
8  JERSEY GOLD Apr29 Dec19 Nov27 Nov10 Oct24 (nesbitt amy)GILES EMMANUEL 124 10.00    
 
FP-3   05/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETHY Apr29 Jul23 Jun15 May28 May11 (randazzo c)LOPEZ A 124 10.00 6% 14.40    
2  NEXT TIME YOU WIN Apr29 Oct26 Oct12 Sep24 Jul06 (nesbitt a)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
3  ORNERY ANGEL Oct31 Oct13 Sep26 Aug06 Jul06 (randazzo c)WALES T 124 6.00    
4  LIFE OF SATURDAYS Apr29 Oct31 Oct17 Aug31 Aug13 (randazzo te)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 10.00    
5  WILD TAPIT Apr13 Mar27 Mar12 Feb05 Nov05 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
6  MAMBA OUT Apr29 Mar27 Dec21 Nov29 Oct22 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
7  ONACOUNTA Apr29 Oct24 Oct15 Sep21 Aug31 (bentler don)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 12.00    
 
FP-4   05/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARNACK ON TOUR Apr26 Nov02 Oct22 Oct08 Aug24 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00    
2  BEST MAN SPEECH Apr26 Oct15 Sep28 Sep10 Aug24 (lynch e)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 12.00    
3  SPOONMAN Apr24 Mar16 Mar08 Feb16 Jan26 (burdess terry)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.00    
4  CROWN ROYAL KID Apr26 Dec04 Oct17 Sep14 Aug20 (higgins denn)GILES EMMANUEL 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
5  HOLCOMBE Apr26 Oct17 Oct02 Aug30 May14 (durham mike)WALES T 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  CUTADAY Nov02 Oct24 Oct08 Sep24 Sep07 (burdess te)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
7  DURANGO CHROME Apr26 Apr10 Jul02 Jun15 Jun04 (blea tony)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00 14% 6.30    
 
FP-5   05/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REALTA Apr29 Apr10 Mar26 Dec28 Nov07 (irion heather)FELIX E 126 4.50 12% 7.40    
2  WILDWOOD ENCORE Oct31 Oct22 Oct08 Sep21 Aug31 (martinez-linar)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00    
3  BACKSTAGE BAMBI Oct31 Oct15 Jun22 Jun11 May11 (randazzo ted)GILES EMMANUEL 124 20.00 6% 16.20    
4  NEW YEAR'S BELLE Sep26 Sep08 Aug24 Jul13 Jun17 (retana gabe)LOPEZ A 124 20.00    
5  FLATHEAD FINALE Apr29 Mar27 Dec19 Nov02 Oct15 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 3.50 13% 6.60    
6  FRENCHYS TOAST Apr29 Apr03 Aug17 Jul23 Jul09 (burdes)BAILON JADHIR 116 12.00 10% 9.10    
7  INTO GOLDEN ROAD Apr29 Nov13 Oct23 Sep23 Sep12 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 8.00    
8  HUCKLEBERRY HUSTLE Apr29 Oct29 Oct15 Oct01 Aug27 (essenpreis ed)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 6.00    
9  K O AMERICAN PIE Apr29 Mar24 Mar04 Nov15 Oct30 (durham mike)WALES T 124 20.00    
10  STAGFLATION Apr22 Mar26 Nov13 Oct24 Sep25 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
FP-6   05/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN WARRIOR Mar23 Mar08 Feb09 Jan15 Dec24 (watkins james)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.50    
2  MR. CHIVAS Apr26 Dec05 Nov02 Oct17 Oct01 (manley steve)WALES T 126 6.00 27% 2.70    
3  BROWN RESERVE Apr21 Apr07 Mar24 Nov26 Nov14 (durham mike)FELIX E 124 12.00    
4  CREPE YARNS Oct17 Sep28 Sep10 Aug06 Jul09 (laux clay)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  DENNIS'S PRIDE Aug17 Jul20 Jul02 Jun11 May28 (watkins jam)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.50    
6  RUNNING WATER Oct17 Sep21 Aug27 Aug07 Jul23 (mcewen j)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00 15% 5.70    
7  WICKED GUS Nov02 Oct19 Oct01 Sep14 Aug27 (straub marve)GILES EMMANUEL 124 8.00    
8  MYSTIC POWER Apr24 Nov02 Oct19 Oct05 Sep12 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 2.50 32% 2.20    
 
FP-7   05/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEYTONS HONOR Apr29 Oct29 Oct15 Sep07 Jul16 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.00 15% 5.80    
2  AIR GERRI Apr29 Oct29 Oct15 Oct01 Aug27 (manley steve)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 10.00    
3  BIKINI MARTINI Apr29 Oct29 Oct15 Aug24 Jul23 (essenpreis ed)SANTOS ADEMAR 116 10.00 11% 8.50    
4  WICKED SKY Apr29 Oct29 Sep24 Jul13 Jun22 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 124 12.00    
5  W W GRAND FINALE Aug20 Jun29 Jun15     (becker scott)WALES T 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
6  CANDY LOOKER May28 May04 Apr16 Nov07 Oct24 (fridley steve)FELIX E 124 6.00    
7  BAR MONEY Apr29 Oct29 Sep07 Aug20 May07 (essenpreis )ARRIETA REYNIER 124 4.00 13% 6.40    
 
FP-8   05/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAYHOP Oct29 Oct15 Sep28 Sep10 Aug24 (plasters lo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.50    
2  AWESOME DREW Apr26         (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 2.50 53% 0.90    
3  OSCAR NOMINEE Oct24 Aug24 Jul18 Jun01 May18 (retana gabe)FELIX E 124 8.00    
4  HE'S A FINE MAN Oct29 Jul20 Jul06 Jun11 May28 (straub mar)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 20.00    
5  SPAN Apr29 Apr10 Jan02 Nov21 Oct29 (blea t)ORTEGA JOSEPH 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  TRUIST Apr29 Oct29 Oct15 Sep28 Sep10 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 124 10.00    
7  STANCE Apr29 Oct29 Sep28 Sep10 Aug24 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 124 6.00    
8  CRAZY HEART Apr17 Jun01       (quinonez max)HERNANDEZ K 126 4.50 11% 8.40    
9  DREAM GOLD Oct29 Oct06 Aug06 Jul23   (fridley stev)GILES EMMANUEL 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  MIDNITE ALEX Apr29 Oct31 Oct22 Oct08   (burdess terry)SANTOS ADEMAR 116 10.00 9% 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.