Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - May 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (1/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4)-(1/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/4)-(4/6/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/4)-(4/6/1/5)-(5/4/3/7/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5)-(4/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/5)-(5/4/3/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/5)-(5/4/3/7/1)-(7/2/8/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/4/3/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/7/1)-(5/4/3/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/7/1)-(5/4/3/7/1)-(5/4/3/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/3/7/1)-(7/2/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/7/1)-(7/2/8/5)-(11/4/10/8/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-4   WIN (7/2/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/5)-(7/2/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/5)-(7/2/8/5)-(7/2/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/8/5)-(11/4/10/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8/5)-(11/4/10/8/7)-(4/8/6/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (11/4/10/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/4/10/8/7)-(11/4/10/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/4/10/8/7)-(11/4/10/8/7)-(11/4/10/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/4/10/8/7)-(4/8/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/4/10/8/7)-(4/8/6/5)-(5/7/2/8/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (4/8/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/5)-(4/8/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/5)-(4/8/6/5)-(4/8/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/6/5)-(5/7/2/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6/5)-(5/7/2/8/10)-(2/5/3/10/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (5/7/2/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/8/10)-(5/7/2/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/8/10)-(5/7/2/8/10)-(5/7/2/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/7/2/8/10)-(2/5/3/10/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/8/10)-(2/5/3/10/9)-(1/9/6/7/10) 125 $1.00 $125 
CT-8   WIN (2/5/3/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/10/9)-(2/5/3/10/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/10/9)-(2/5/3/10/9)-(2/5/3/10/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/3/10/9)-(1/9/6/7/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CT-9   WIN (1/9/6/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/6/7/10)-(1/9/6/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/6/7/10)-(1/9/6/7/10)-(1/9/6/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   05/09/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST MURPHY (IRE) Mar22 Feb21 Jan30 Jan11 Dec12 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
IN HIGH GEAR Apr17 Mar13 Jun29 Jun01 May18 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00 8% 11.60    
JUST CALL ME AL Apr17 Mar07 Feb15 Jan11 Nov27 (cromer )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.80 25% 3.00    
CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Apr23 Mar13 Feb28 Jan30 Jan11 (frock l)ACOSTA D 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
KARMA BUS Apr23 Feb28 Feb01 Jan03 Dec11 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50    
OUR BRIGHTEST STAR Apr26 Apr04 Mar22 Feb28 Feb13 (hanagan lela)DIAZ JR 120 5.00    
DONNIE B Apr17 Mar13 Oct03 Aug15 May18 (barber bo)BOCACHICA J 120 20.00    
 
CT-2   05/09/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEP SHINING ON US Apr23 Mar14 Feb14 Jan30 Jan17 (petty kr)DAVIS A 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of CAMERON STREET by DENIS OF CORK)
IVYLEAGUEDROPOUT Apr17 Feb21 Feb14 Jan31   (sigler ronald)THORPE DARIUS 122 6.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CELESTIAL HAZE by UTOPIA (JPN))
PEACH PARFAIT Apr23 Mar22 Feb27     (lewis r)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of BRASS MAGNOLIA by GREAT NOTION)
CHANGES Apr26 Mar28 Feb27 Jan31   (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 60% 0.70    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LOOKS LIKE TROUBLE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
JUBA'S TOPAZ Apr23         (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of MISTY'S TOPAZ by GEMOLOGIST)
PRESHOW HYPE Apr23 Mar14 Feb14 Jan30 Jan10 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 2.50 14% 6.10    
  (by BAYERN out of PRESHOW by BERTRANDO)
SKIE'S MUSIC Apr23 Mar14       (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of SHILOH ROAD by CONGRATS)
 
CT-3   05/09/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LACE REVOLUTION Apr19 Mar28 Mar08 Mar01 Jan03 (shanley mark)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
DREAM OF GOLD Apr19 Mar28 Mar01 Jan31 Jan10 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
BOUNDTOBEOK Mar28 Mar08 Feb08 Jan18 Jan03 (brown kelton)BOCACHICA O 124 6.00 12% 7.00    
CHIQUITA MOSCA Jan15 Nov27 Nov02 Sep29 Sep19 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 2.00 28% 2.50    
RAINBOWSNSUNSHINE Apr19 Mar28 Feb13 Jan10 Dec06 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
TRAVEL SMART Mar28 Feb28 Nov30 Nov09 Oct18 (atkins w)DAVIS A 120 12.00    
MUSIC LASS Apr25 Mar08 Feb21 Feb07 Jan15 (tuomisto cl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00 5% 18.40    
GOLD TIME VIXEN Apr27 Apr05 Dec20 Nov29 Nov08 (kee j)ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
THENCOMEMORNING Mar28 Feb28 Feb13 Nov29 Aug03 (ceciliano mi)DIAZ JR 122 15.00    
10  PEACE FIRE Apr10 Mar20 Jan31 Jan16 Dec11 (adorno je)BOCACHICA J 122 15.00    
SCR  MAJESTY'S FREEDOM Apr12 Apr04 Feb19 Jan10 Dec28 (leaf robe)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 119 6.00    
SCR  DESTINED TO DANCE Apr26 Apr13 Feb28 Dec29 Aug24 (corrales jo)HERNANDEZ JORGE 122 20.00    
 
CT-4   05/09/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANDY'S REFUGEE Apr23 Feb28 Feb07 Nov20 Oct25 (carpio erin)PELTROCHE F 124 10.00    
  (by WINCHILL out of SHOW SHAPE by SAFFIR)
NOTHING BUT HEIR Apr23 Feb01 Dec29 Sep28 Aug24 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50 22% 3.50    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of ALL FLATTER by FLATTER)
CHASING COLTON Apr23 Mar20 Feb27 Feb05 Jan05 (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 118 6.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of HOBOKEN HONEY by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
ZAPTASTIC Apr23 Mar28 Mar20 Feb27 Feb05 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 5.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHEERY OATS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
DOWNTOWN MAN Mar21         (perri gin)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of CHOCOLATE SWIRL by TWIRLING CANDY)
NO BRAKE NEEDED Apr23 Mar20 Feb27 Feb05 Jan23 (keller)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 4.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of NO NAME NEEDED by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
NORTH SHIP Apr23 Jan23 Jan16 Dec11 Nov14 (hetrick kris)DIAZ JR 124 6.00 39% 1.50    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LARKIN by BERNARDINI)
BERNIE THE STAR Apr25 Apr11 Mar09 Dec21 Dec01 (singh s)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 3.00 13% 6.80    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of MY STAR POTENTIAL by TRITAP)
 
CT-5   05/09/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BONNIE BILL Apr18 Mar22 Feb27 Feb06 Jan18 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00    
KIT KAT KIDD Apr10 Mar20 Feb27 Jan31 Jan17 (knudsen )DAVIS A 122 30.00    
BIG HAMBONE Apr12 Mar20 Feb28 Feb07 Nov30 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
BUBBA GRUMP Apr11 Mar14 Feb28 Jan17 Jan03 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 24% 3.10    
SCR  BESOTTED Mar15 Feb21 Jan24 Jan03 Dec06 (atkins mi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 119 8.00    
VESELSKY Apr18 Mar07 Feb14 Feb06 Jan25 (singh s)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 8.00    
TAPIO (IRE) Apr11 Feb27 Jan17 Dec13 Oct10 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
IKIGAI Apr12 Mar20 Feb28 Feb23 Jan30 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
WATASHA Apr10 Mar13 Feb21 Jan03 Dec06 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 124 3.00    
10  BOURBON AND ICE Apr18 Mar17 Feb27 Jan28 Jan09 (farrior anth)DIAZ JR 124 10.00 22% 3.60    
11  SKI COUNTRY Apr11 Mar21 Feb27 Dec14 Nov23 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  BIG SMILE Apr18 Mar20 Feb27 Jan30 Dec12 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 12.00    
SCR  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Apr25 Apr05 Mar13 Feb22 Feb14 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 5.00    
SCR  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Apr18 Apr06 Mar22 Feb07 Jan30 (mancilla ca)BURNHAM MATILDA 115 10.00    
 
CT-6   05/09/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKING TO HOME May01 Apr17 Jan23 Jan04 Dec11 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 30.00    
TIMMY Mar29 Jan03 Nov29 Nov08 Oct19 (cornwell james )JORGE JULIO 124 3.50    
MINELLA Apr17 Mar29 Mar07 Feb13 Feb05 (rangel rica)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 20.00    
NAY'S ONLY ONE Apr23 Feb28 Feb01 Jan02 Dec12 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 124 1.00 40% 1.50    
FEARNOUGHT Apr18 Mar27 Mar13 Feb14 Jan24 (clatterbu)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
COLT ROCK Apr17 Mar29 Feb19 Jan04 Nov14 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 12.00 19% 4.40    
MY BUDDY DUANE Apr03 Mar13 Feb14 Jan24 Jan02 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 20.00    
RAISE A RUCKUS Apr10 Mar13 Feb14 Jan03 Dec07 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 2.50 19% 4.30    
 
CT-7   05/09/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEMBE ZUMA Apr25 Mar28 Feb22 Jan31 Jan03 (carlisle john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of TAKE A VOW by PULPIT)
MIRACLE LAD Apr19 Mar15       (walters da)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of HOPE FOR MIRACLES by ORB)
INTENTION TO ZIP Apr19 Mar28       (stehr )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 30.00    
  (by SIENTE EL TRUENO out of TEMILY by TENPINS)
SWIFT WATERS Apr11 Mar14 Feb22 Feb01 Jan10 (kirlew le)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of WORK WIFE by PHILANTHROPIST)
ROCK OF AGES Feb21 Jan31 Jan11     (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 66% 0.50    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of CLEFT IN THE ROCK by ARCH)
RUM N COKE Apr23         (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 12.00    
  (by ENTICED out of ALL THAT BEAUTY by FIBER SONDE)
WISH ON JUBA Apr23 Mar13 Feb22 Feb01   (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.00 7% 13.60    
  (by JUBA out of WINDSOR'S WISH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
ENTICE ME Apr11         (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ENTICED out of TRACINGS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
FELICIAS CINCO Apr11 Mar22 Jan31 Jan11   (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 10.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MISS FELICIA by FAMILY CALLING)
10  MEXICALI MIKE Apr11 Feb21       (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of HANDS UP by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
CT-8   05/09/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREAKING RULES Mar20 Feb28 Feb15 Jan17 Jan10 (jones e)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
PONTIFFANY Mar04 Jan14 Jan07 Nov13 Aug18 (calhoun amanda)CHILO MAXIMO 120 4.50 34% 1.90    
FRENCHIES GOLD Apr25 Apr05 Feb07 Jan18 Jan02 (hanagan lela)DIAZ JR 124 6.00 7% 12.90    
SPECIAL NOTE Apr19 Mar29 Mar20 Mar08 Feb14 (knudsen k)BOCACHICA J 120 12.00    
KRISTINACHRYSALIS Apr25 Mar29 Mar01 Feb15 Jan23 (murdock)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 3.50 21% 3.80    
CHARGE NURSE Mar29 Mar04 Jan24 Jan03 Nov29 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 3.00    
SCR  FORTUNATA ITALIA Aug02 Jun21 May31 Apr19 Mar29 (pickett c)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 20.00    
MON PETIT CHOU Mar20 Mar04 Feb04 Jan27 Jan03 (jones mi)DAVIS A 120 10.00    
FORTES Apr19 Mar20 Mar06 Jan30 Nov14 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 10.00 7% 14.10    
10  SKIP THRU DA FIRE Apr26 Apr04 Mar28 Mar02 Feb09 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 122 8.00 7% 13.00    
 
CT-9   05/09/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUDD'S ROCKET Apr19 Mar21 Dec11 Nov16 Oct25 (gillespi)DAVIS A 124 4.50 43% 1.30    
FIRENZE FOREVER Apr19 Mar07 Nov13     (jones michae)DIAZ JR 118 10.00    
ANDY'SBOURBONGUY Apr18 Feb07       (allen f)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 20.00    
DAGUERRE Mar27 Mar07 Feb21 Jan30 Oct23 (shanley timothy)CULLUM W 118 15.00    
COOLKID Apr19 Mar29 Feb13 Jan23 Dec06 (viands stacey)ADAMS L 115 6.00    
A MILLION STORIES Apr19 Mar07 Feb20 Jan04 Nov23 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 118 4.00 15% 5.80    
FLIGHT WAY Apr19 Mar27 Mar07 Feb27 Feb13 (shanley mark)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
TREE OF DEM Dec05 Nov14 Oct26     (viands st)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 20.00    
A B C YA Mar28 Feb22 Nov16 Oct20 Sep20 (joy kevin)BOCACHICA J 124 3.50 16% 5.30    
10  LIKEAGENTLEMAN Apr19 Mar27 Mar07 Jan23 Jan15 (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SCAR NOSE Apr19 Mar28       (rangel rica)CESPEDES JHORMA 108 30.00    
SCR  RESTRIKE Sep28 Sep13 Aug28 Aug17 Jul25 (garber owen)JORGE JULIO 124 20.00    
SCR  DESTINED HONOR         (gonzalez claudio)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.00    
SCR  CUNDI May02 Mar30 Mar08 Feb21 Feb02 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 119 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.