Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - May 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (7/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5)-(7/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/4/5)-(3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4/5)-(3/2/1)-(5/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(5/1/2)-(5/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-3   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(5/3/1)-(6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(6/1)-(6/1/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/1)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(6/1/3)-(5/1/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD NUGGET Mar27 Feb21 Oct25 Oct03 Sep01 (synnefias dim)TUNON JORDANO 122 3.00    
2  BROTHER RICE Mar07 Jun13 May10 Mar15 Feb15 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 122 2.00    
3  ENGLISH DADDY Apr23 Feb27 Jan26 Dec22 Nov14 (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 119 5.00 18% 4.50    
4  AIKMANS AUDIBLE Mar01 Feb14 Jan17 Dec21 Nov29 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 119 6.00 17% 4.80    
5  BEJUCO Mar06 Feb21 Feb07 Jan03 Nov15 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ROCK ANNA ROLL Apr23 Mar27 Mar06 Jan25 Aug23 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 15.00    
7  WILLY WILLY Feb19 Dec19       (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 119 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
PEN-2   05/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROAD JUMPER Apr01 May18 Apr16 Mar20 Feb28 (marquez cesar)RIVERA D 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BLAME CATALAYA Mar20 Feb28 Feb06 Jan03 Dec20 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
3  CALVARY KAT Oct07 Sep09 Aug20 Oct24 Sep18 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.80 35% 1.80    
4  NO EASY ANSWER Mar20 Feb20 Dec15 Dec06 Oct25 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00    
5  WARRIOR'S TREASURE Feb27 Jan09 Nov29 Oct31 Oct09 (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 120 1.50    
 
PEN-3   05/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREY STREAK Apr23 Mar27 Dec27 Nov22 Nov13 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 3.00 35% 1.90    
2  MISCHIEF WARRIOR Apr23 Mar28 Mar13 Feb19 Jan09 (bobadilla j)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  CALI HEAT Mar27 Feb20 Feb06 Jan03 Dec11 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 1.40    
4  GOING AT IT Feb28 Feb06 Dec27 Nov13 Oct24 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
5  SAPONARA Mar27 Feb19 Jan09 Dec19 Nov21 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 1.50 39% 1.60    
6  CHIEF ALPHA Nov10 Sep27 Jul15 Jun26 Jun11 (n)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 120 15.00    
 
PEN-4   05/07/2025 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAULA'S SURPRISE Apr07 Mar14 Oct24 Sep24 Mar08 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  YOU'RE THE ONE Apr09 Mar14 Dec02 Oct31 Oct16 (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.50    
3  SO FULLY SUE Apr09 Feb20 Jan27 Dec16 Aug19 (linder louis )OCASIO M 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
4  STASSI Nov27 Nov08 Oct25 Oct08 Sep10 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.50    
5  NATURE'S CANDY Apr21 Dec31 Dec16 Nov10 Oct29 (padilla hugo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 1.60 35% 1.80    
 
PEN-5   05/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EGOT A POKER FACE Apr21 Mar28 Feb21 Feb01 Jan15 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  UNIFIED BY CANDY Mar27 Feb28 Jun04 May18 Mar27 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 122 2.00    
SCR  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Apr29 Mar28 Feb28 Jul08 Jun17 (kreiser timoth)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00    
SCR  CODY PASS Apr24 Mar27 Mar07 Feb14   (houghton thomas)CORA D 117 20.00    
5  MO MONEY MO MONEY Dec27 Oct09 Sep13     (caiazzo c)RODRIGUEZ R 117 15.00    
6  PALM ISLAND Apr14 Mar14 Jan24 Dec04 Oct28 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 122 1.80 41% 1.40    
 
PEN-6   05/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONCRETE JACK Mar20         (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.00 37% 1.70    
2  VOLODYMYR Apr25 Jun25 Jun18 May31 May24 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00    
3  MICHAELSHATRICK Mar07 Feb21 Jan09 Dec13 Nov13 (boyer david)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  DAVE DID IT Apr04 Mar07 Feb21 Dec13 Nov13 (martinez a)CORA D 124 15.00    
SCR  YACHT INTENTIONS Apr24 Sep10       (rojas murra)RAMOS O 121 8.00    
6  CAPPETTA Apr24 Feb19 Nov08 Oct07 Aug26 (fields kevin)FLORES E 121 1.20 40% 1.50    
7  OLLIE BOY Apr24         (demario charl)ROJAS MARTINA 124 5.00    
 
PEN-7   05/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENTUCKY REIGN Apr23 Mar06 Feb20 Feb06 Jan02 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 4.50 29% 2.40    
2  STELLA D'AMORE Apr21 Mar31 Feb04 Jan02 Dec18 (n)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 122 5.00    
3  BITCOIN BABY Mar18 Mar03 Dec02 Oct30 Sep24 (iannotti t)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 4.00    
SCR  MYGIRLISABOMB Apr23 Mar15 Jan31 Jan16 Nov30 (martinez a)AGUILAR M 122 2.50    
5  SMART SHERYL LEE Apr23 Mar28 Aug22 Jul31 Jul04 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
6  BUCKFAST ABBEY Apr23 Mar13 Aug07 Jul24 Jun25 (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.