Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Miles City
Sunday - May 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MC-2   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-8   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-9   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-10   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-11   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-12   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MC-2   05/04/2025 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EPIC DRAMA Apr06 Mar21 Mar07 Jan28 Dec31 (warren )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 7.00 5% 19.00    
CAPTAIN DON Mar21 Mar07 Feb22 Nov02 Oct06 (brewer j)MARTINEZ R 124 5.00    
DANCE FOR RANSOM Nov16 Oct27 Oct18 Sep28 Sep13 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 124 2.50 16% 5.20    
THINKN BOUT DRINKN Oct06 Sep02 Aug18 Jun01   (champagne cora)WOOD DAKOTA 124 4.00    
DAAHERS BULLY Sep18 Sep09 Jul21 Jul13 Jun15 (cavanaugh)IRONEYES R 124 2.00 61% 0.60    
 
MC-8   05/04/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUS EMMA Feb19 Jan13 Jan01 Dec17 Feb05 (nelson buckshot)GAMEZ M 121 6.00    
ABRAA JABRAA Oct14 Sep29 Jul27 Jul21 Jul13 (birdrattl)IRONEYES R 121 2.00 51% 1.00    
MEAN SHARON Apr03 Mar18 Feb20 Jan21 Jan09 (warren )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 3.00 26% 2.80    
QUEEN OF THE ICE Oct06 Sep13 Sep07 Aug18 Jul20 (ducheneaux jamie)MARTINEZ R 121 4.00    
PEPPERMINT SISTER Sep09 Aug27 Aug04 Jul20 Jul14 (champagne cora)WOOD DAKOTA 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
GONEWITHTHEBREEZE Aug03 Jul27 May18     (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 121 3.50    
 
MC-9   05/04/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUDGE JENNINGS Apr12 Mar29 Mar14 Feb22 Sep20 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 121 7.00 5% 19.00    
STARDUST DREAMS Mar24 Jan07 Dec04 Apr29 Apr10 (warren )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 5.00 29% 2.40    
GLORIOUSLY WICKED Oct08 Sep02 Jul23 Jun24 May29 (conway laura)BANDA F 121 2.00    
LASSIE CAT Oct06 Sep29 Sep22 Sep08 Aug18 (birdrattl)IRONEYES R 121 2.50 49% 1.00    
FULL MOON BEACH Mar29 Mar16 Nov01 Oct25 Sep18 (brewer j)MARTINEZ R 121 4.00    
 
MC-10   05/04/2025 3465ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINBARFUREY Aug04 Jul27 Jul14 Jun01 Jun14 (hurley tristin)BEETEM BRIAN 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
DELTA DELTA Jan14 Dec31 Dec10 Nov19 Oct13 (birdrattl)IRONEYES R 124 4.00    
AMERICAN SMOOTH Apr05 Mar28 Mar01 Feb05 Dec18 (wilson robert)MARTINEZ R 124 2.50    
SHARP WARNING Mar31 Feb19 Feb04 Jan21 Dec26 (warren )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 2.00 29% 2.50    
DARNQUICK Apr19 Apr05 Mar21 Mar08 Feb23 (cavanaugh pe)BETHKE A 124 7.00 28% 2.60    
 
MC-11   05/04/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAYNESPUN Feb20 Jan24 Dec19 Jul27 Jul21 (warren )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 2.50    
LADY CREATIVE Jul22 Jul12 Jun28 Jun13 May30 (johnson r)IRONEYES R 121 7.00 20% 4.10    
BRINEE Jun29 Jun22 Jun08 Jun01 May12 (cross ken)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 4.00    
IMA TROUBLE MAKER Apr08 Mar11 Feb22 Jan09 Aug30 (nelson buckshot)WOOD DAKOTA 121 2.00 35% 1.80    
FESSY Apr06 Mar23 Mar09 Feb23 Nov17 (brewer j)MARTINEZ R 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
MC-12   05/04/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCHESTER'S FINEST Apr26 Apr18 Mar28 Mar15 Nov17 (cavanaugh perry)MARTINEZ R 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
CORTE Sep14 Sep08 Aug17 Jun30 Jun15 (ducheneau)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 5.00 7% 14.40    
CONNECTER Jan13 Dec27 Dec04 Nov20 Oct13 (birdrattl)IRONEYES R 124 4.00    
TOOLITTLETOOLATE Apr19 Apr01 Mar05 Feb12 Jan22 (nelson buckshot)WOOD DAKOTA 124 2.00 14% 6.20    
THE BONDSMAN Jun30 Jun22 Jun14 May19 May05 (cross k)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 7.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.