Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - April 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (1/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/3)-(4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/3)-(4/2/5)-(5/1/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-4   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(5/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(5/1/6/7)-(2/9/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-5   WIN (5/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/7)-(5/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/7)-(5/1/6/7)-(5/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/6/7)-(2/9/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/7)-(2/9/4/5)-(3/4/6/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/9/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/4/5)-(2/9/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/9/4/5)-(2/9/4/5)-(2/9/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/9/4/5)-(3/4/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/9/4/5)-(3/4/6/2)-(3/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-7   WIN (3/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/2)-(3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/2)-(3/4/1)-(1/7/2/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-8   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/6/1)-(3/4/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(1/7/2/8/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TUP-9   WIN (1/7/2/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/8/9)-(1/7/2/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/8/9)-(1/7/2/8/9)-(1/7/2/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   04/28/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARINAS TINA (IRE) Mar31 Mar06 Feb13 Jan15 Nov26 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 57% 0.80    
2  LOVE ALIVE Apr03 Feb25 Feb03 Aug02 Jun15 (drysdale n)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.00    
3  EMPRESS LORRAYNE Mar28 Feb28 Dec01 Nov08 Oct14 (alvarez edw)HERNANDEZ HARRY 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  INXPRESS Apr01 Mar04 Jan06 Dec18 May04 (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 118 5.00    
5  SAPELLO LA FINA Apr10 Mar22 Mar05 Feb20 Jan17 (hernandez m)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ANNIE FOX Apr03 Mar10 Feb25 Jan24 Jan07 (tubbs scott)KRIGGER K 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
7  PINK SOLITAIRE Apr03 Mar14 Feb14 Jan18 Oct05 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 6.00    
 
TUP-4   04/28/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BARACKO Apr03 Feb27       (fuentes )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 1.00    
2  DRIVE FOR SHOW Apr03 Mar19 Feb25 Feb10 Jan24 (hernandez valen)VERGARA P 124 12.00 8% 10.90    
3  PANDEMIO Mar24 Feb10 Jan23 Jan07 May18 (ortega mo)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
4  LISA'S DOCTOR S Mar27 Feb27 Nov29 Nov14 Sep20 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00 62% 0.60    
5  GLORIOUS OSCAR Mar17 Oct25 Aug15     (barrio sergio)GARCIA F 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIFESBEENGOODTOME Mar27 Jun15 May27 Apr23 Mar16 (dennis g)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00    
7  BRINSON Apr15 Mar24 Feb18 Jan23 Dec27 (brinson clay)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00    
8  CROWN PROSECUTOR Apr03 Mar24 Feb25 Jan15 Jan02 (campo stacy)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
 
TUP-5   04/28/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC TIP Apr17 Apr02 Mar20 Feb17 Feb06 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
2  LOTSA GIRL Mar13 Feb26 Feb03 Feb15   (owens kor)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00    
3  ACES OVER DEUCES Mar24 Feb13 Jan22 Jan08 Nov30 (torres-ca)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
4  CHIPS Mar24 Feb15 Jan26 Sep13   (bean rober)AMERICANO MANUEL 113 4.50    
5  BE AWARE Mar31 Mar20 Feb03 Dec04 Nov13 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 2.00 39% 1.50    
6  HOT JAMMIES Mar06 Feb08 Nov02 Oct11 Sep14 (matt l)CORBETT W 124 8.00 6% 16.80    
7  TRACK QUEEN Mar20 Sep04 Aug19 May29 May08 (stevens sat)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-6   04/28/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OH GREAT (IRE) Mar29 Mar21 Jan16 Dec18 Dec01 (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 12.00    
2  WAR CHEST Apr08 Mar24 Mar12 Feb25 Dec28 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 2.00 62% 0.60    
SCR  THIRTY SECONDS OUT Apr08 Mar18 Feb06 Jan13 Dec28 (gutierr)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 8.00    
4  CLUB MESQUITE Apr08 Mar20 Feb25 Jan27 Dec28 (mccartney jack)MAWING A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SUNNY SPOT Apr19 Mar27 Mar18 Mar06 Feb25 (perez hilario)KRIGGER K 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SYNTACTIC Apr15 Mar12 Feb13 Jan30 Jan07 (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00    
7  PEPPER JACK Apr01 Mar12 Mar03 Feb02 Jan12 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
8  I'M NOBLE Apr08 Mar18 Dec30 Dec11 Dec03 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00    
9  DOS VICIOS Mar18 Mar10 Feb25 Feb11 Dec30 (lucarelli f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 2.50 13% 7.00    
 
TUP-7   04/28/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLUM CREEK Mar24 Feb13 Dec29 Jun22 May19 (barrio sergio)GARCIA F 124 10.00    
2  DAME LORRAINE Apr17 Mar26 Mar06 Feb11 Jan21 (perkinson c)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ETHAN'S GIRL Apr02 Mar11 Aug04 Jul20 May26 (evans justin)CORBETT W 124 1.60 55% 0.80    
4  LULA BELLA Apr02 Mar06 Feb11 Jan23 Dec18 (villamar candel)VERGARA P 118 10.00 9% 10.10    
5  CHILEAN BRIDE Jan20 Dec06       (bean robert)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 12.00    
6  ILA VEIW TOO Apr17 Mar24 Mar05 Feb12 Jan22 (belvoir va)AMERICANO MANUEL 119 6.00 8% 11.70    
7  CY'S SILKSTOCKING Mar05 Feb22 Jan28 Jan08 Dec12 (uranga j)KRIGGER K 124 5.00    
SCR  RICKELLE Mar15 Feb16 Dec08 Nov15 Oct20 (whiteho)ALCALA ROSARIO 124 4.00    
 
TUP-8   04/28/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONZAGA Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 Feb25 Feb03 (homer jason)KRIGGER K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  FOR A LAUGH (IRE) Apr01 Mar11 Jan01 Nov15 Feb17 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.50    
3  SENSICAL Mar22 Feb12 Jan22 Jan09 Dec18 (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 46% 1.20    
4  TRIPLE PASS Mar17 Mar03 Feb17 Feb05 Jan27 (gutierrez qui)GARCIA F 122 6.00 28% 2.60    
5  A VOTRE SANTE Apr17 Mar07 Jan20 Nov30 Oct18 (kitchingman ada)VERGARA P 116 5.00    
6  ENOUGH ALREADY Mar22 Feb21 Feb02 Dec29 Nov29 (cerin vladimir)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 ★    
7  ST. ELMO Sep26 Sep07 Aug10 Apr27 Feb17 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00    
 
TUP-9   04/28/2025 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MENDELSSOHNS MUSIC Mar30 Mar02 Sep02 Aug16 Jun22 (martinez esteban)GARCIA F 124 2.50 28% 2.50    
2  YELLOW JACKET Apr01 Mar17 Feb10 Jan14 Dec26 (sepich f)CORBETT W 124 8.00 11% 7.80    
3  ARROMAX Mar22 Feb23 Jan25 Dec27 Dec14 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50    
4  GOLDEN SERENADE Apr22 Mar24 Feb16 Jan03 Dec04 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 6.00    
5  GOLDEN AFFAIR Apr15 Mar17 Mar06 Feb10 May04 (lucarelli f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00    
6  DAWKINS Apr17 Jan18       (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 118 4.50    
7  EL SIETE LEGUAS Apr15         (kemper kasey)BARNES JOSE 124 10.00 14% 6.20    
8  CHASIN A DOLLAR Apr15 Apr01 Mar20 Feb18 Feb02 (christian )AMERICANO MANUEL 113 12.00 11% 8.30    
9  KNOCKOUT GUY Mar24 Feb25 Nov11 Sep15 Aug31 (fearon johnathon)KRIGGER K 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.