Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - April 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(2/3/6)-(4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
HAW-2   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(4/5)-(1/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-3   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(1/6/4)-(4/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-4   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(4/6/2)-(3/2/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-5   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/2)-(3/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2)-(3/2/7)-(10/2/3/11/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-6   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/7)-(10/2/3/11/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HAW-7   WIN (10/2/3/11/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/3/11/5)-(10/2/3/11/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/3/11/5)-(10/2/3/11/5)-(10/2/3/11/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   04/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN HORNET Apr06 Mar30 Mar03 Apr06 Mar12 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.80 39% 1.60    
2  TWIRLING ROSES Apr11 Mar21 Feb21 Jan31 Jan10 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50    
3  EYE DEE KAY Apr06 Mar21 Feb28 Feb08 Jan10 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 122 5.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  PLUNDER Apr10 Mar27 Mar05 Feb12 Jan24 (quinonez )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 10.00    
SCR  WILDWOOD SICILIAN Oct06 Sep12 Aug27 Jul06 Jun11 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.50    
6  GAVEL Apr06 Feb16 Jan30 Dec12 Sep01 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 5.00    
 
HAW-2   04/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HATCHET CREEK Apr10 Mar27 Aug22 Jul21 Jun29 (dizeo din)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 5.00    
2  WINGING WAYS Oct24 Sep05 Aug24 Jun22 Apr27 (quinonez ma)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 0.80 42% 1.40    
3  HURTS SO BAD Apr10 Dec10 Nov19 Oct24 Oct06 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
4  UNCAPTURED PULSE Apr03 Oct06 Sep05 Aug29 Aug08 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00    
5  SON OF GRACE Apr17 Apr06 Mar27 Oct13 Sep26 (hughes w)LOPEZ A 122 15.00    
6  TRY TRY AGAIN Jul28 Jun30 Jun09 May18 May12 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 8% 11.90    
 
HAW-3   04/27/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAYFIELD Apr06 Feb17 Jan27 Jan02 Dec15 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.50    
2  MONEY AGENT Apr06 Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 Jun08 (perez manny)MOJICA O 124 5.00    
3  BLACK RUSSIAN Apr13 Apr06 Sep19 Aug15 Jul21 (perez manny)COLON H 124 5.00    
4  MALIBU FINALE Apr06 Mar30 Dec21 Nov02   (watkins m)FELIX E 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
5  BYWORD Apr06 Jan24       (hughes w)HERNANDEZ K 118 4.00 22% 3.50    
6  HOLDEN MICHAEL Apr13 Feb14 Dec19 Sep26 Sep08 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 3.50 ★    
 
HAW-4   04/27/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALL GIRL Mar27 Feb22 Feb08 Jan15 Jan03 (slager mike)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
2  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Apr17 Apr03 Sep15 Aug18 Jul14 (dizeo din)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 1.60    
3  HOT DAME Apr13 Jan02 Oct26 Oct08 Sep24 (lynch harry)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 6.00    
4  SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) Nov05 Oct06 Sep22 Aug04 Jul11 (villa francisco)FELIX E 122 8.00 11% 8.10    
5  PASTA SALAD RHONDA Apr13 Mar13 Jan05 Dec15 Oct06 (candelas b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50    
6  AUTISM COMPASSION Apr10 Jan23 Dec26 Dec06 Sep21 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 122 4.50 19% 4.30    
 
HAW-5   04/27/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHERE'D THE DAY GO Apr13 Mar30 Oct10 Sep15 Sep01 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
2  REMEMBER THE MAINE Sep22 Sep15 Aug29 Aug15 Aug01 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Apr06 Sep29 Sep08 Aug04 Jul06 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 3.50    
4  GITA'S LAD Apr13 Mar30 May12 Apr14 Mar24 (young r)COLON H 122 1.80 61% 0.60    
5  MISTER CHARMING Apr06 Mar27 Oct19 Sep26 Sep08 (spagnola )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 4.00    
6  U S HONOUR NAP Apr13 Mar30 Dec02 Nov17 Nov02 (dizeo dino)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.50 9% 10.00    
 
HAW-6   04/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CANYON SHADOWS Oct13 Sep19 Sep05 Aug08 Jul07 (kirby fra)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 10.00    
2  FROSTY VIEW Sep19 Aug10 Jul28 Jul13 Jun22 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 8.00 20% 4.00    
3  STRANGE ARRANGE Apr06 Oct13 Sep21 Aug25 Aug08 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
4  YO DAWG Apr06 Oct03 Sep22 Aug29 Aug03 (berndt joel)MOJICA O 122 4.00    
5  WE MISS ARLINGTON Apr20 Apr03 Mar09 Feb14 Jan19 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50    
6  MAHONEY ROAD Feb28 Jan09 Oct10 Sep05 Aug08 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
7  BALADINE Apr10 Oct30 Oct10 Sep22 Sep01 (poulos de)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-7   04/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA REYNITA Apr06 Mar19 Feb15 Jan17   (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of MY MACH FOUR by MACHIAVELLIAN)
2  CLEOPATRA SELENE Dec16 Oct21 Sep16     (correas ignacio)LAZO HECTOR 124 6.00 29% 2.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of CLEOPATRA'S CHARM by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  SUNSET EXPRESS Mar29 Mar13 Feb14 Jan11   (campbell joe)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 4.00 7% 12.60    
  (by KHOZAN out of JELLY CABLE by SKY MESA)
4  REGAL MAJESTY Mar28 Aug04 Jul14     (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 20.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of SILVER LULLABY by NAJRAN)
5  DIXIE ONE         (tracy tanner)HERNANDEZ K 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOCK HOP out of CREME DE CACOA by EASYFROMTHEGITGO)
6  CATNIP HILL Apr06 Nov06 Oct18 Sep13   (horvath fr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 30.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of NOMORERICHBLONDES by HARD SPUN)
SCR  SPINNING GLORY Apr06 Mar22 Mar06     (rivelli l)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 2.50    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of JADED GLORY by SMART STRIKE)
8  TRINITYTHREEINONE Sep26 Sep08       (spagnola )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 20.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of FOLLOW MY LUCK by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
9  ROARING VIXEN         (cristel j)FELIX E 118 12.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of TRAVELING TIGER by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
10  ELIZA VANCE Aug25 Jun23       (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.50 42% 1.40    
  (by MITOLE out of LE MOINE by CURLIN)
11  HIGH CLASS LADY         (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of WHATACLASSYLADY by ARCHARCHARCH)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.