Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - April 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(4/6/1)-(2/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(2/1/4)-(3/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-3   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(3/5/1)-(7/6/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-4   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(7/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(7/6/3/5)-(7/2/4/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (7/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5)-(7/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/5)-(7/2/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/5)-(7/2/4/5)-(7/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (7/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/5)-(7/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/5)-(7/2/4/5)-(7/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/4/5)-(7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/4/5)-(7/5/4)-(6/1/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-7   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(6/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TAM-8   WIN (6/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/7)-(6/1/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/7)-(6/1/4/7)-(6/1/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/09/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPASS FIRE Mar19 Feb28 Jan12 Aug29 Jul27 (seale christophe)LEON SONNY 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  KIKILOVE Mar22 Feb22 Feb08 Dec29 Nov15 (russo vi)GALLARDO A 122 15.00    
3  LADY IN HEELS Mar12 Jul25 Jun10 Jan03 Nov24 (bowersock ma)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 4.50    
4  AWESOME PIC Mar30 Mar09 Feb14 Jan31 May03 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
5  SIMMERING (GB) Mar23 Jan15 Dec18 Nov27 Oct31 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 122 1.50 41% 1.40    
6  SYLLABUS Mar12 Feb22 Feb01 Jan08 Jan01 (dominguez lu)BELISARIO JUAN 112 30.00    
SCR  VINGATIVA Apr02 Mar21 Feb22 Feb09 Jan22 (simone micha)BATISTA A 122 4.00    
 
TAM-2   04/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY HUMOR Mar15 Feb28 Jan31 Jan10 Oct23 (marrero nes)BELL BARRINGTON 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  UNDALAY Mar19 Feb19 Feb07 Jan12 Oct12 (mckanas j)GIL CIPRIANO 120 4.00    
3  NORFIE Mar23 Mar01 Feb22 Jan29 Jan18 (richards ren)BATISTA A 120 8.00    
4  AWESOME PRINCE Mar23 Mar02 Feb14 Jan31 Jan08 (simone michael)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  CHAIN REACTION Mar15 Feb28 Jan29 Jan15 Dec18 (moreno-barb)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 30.00    
6  OCEAN OF STORMS Jan31 Jan17 Jan04 Dec11 Nov29 (arriagada juan)LEON SONNY 120 2.00 22% 3.50    
7  FEAST Feb28 Dec18 Nov20 Nov02 Oct20 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 3.00    
 
TAM-3   04/09/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS C BANKER Mar23 Feb26 Feb01 Oct26 Sep28 (granitz anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
2  BELLE OF THE SOUTH Mar22 Jan18 Sep19 Aug29 Aug02 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
SCR  GRACIOUS BEAUTY Mar28 Mar05 Feb12     (gardea ab)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 15.00    
4  IN THE BREEZE Mar27 Feb14       (yates michae)MENESES MARCOS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  SHE STOPPED SHORT Mar26 Mar09 Feb05 Jan03 Dec07 (campbell joel)MORALES PABLO 122 2.00    
6  E COMPLICATO Mar28 Mar16       (ciaio a)FERRER C 122 30.00    
SCR  TO MUCH STYLE Mar23 Feb26       (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 122 10.00    
 
TAM-4   04/09/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIZQUEENFLUERDELIS Mar07 Dec13 Nov27 Sep06 Aug02 (yanez moises)BATISTA A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  MY JANNET Mar28 Feb23 Jan01 Dec13 Nov27 (kleine berna)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.50    
3  GIRLY THE BUTCHER Mar28 Mar07 Feb23 Jan01 Oct11 (delgado jose )SANTOS ADEMAR 118 0.60 50% 1.00    
4  ARMONIA Feb23 Oct11 Sep27 Sep15 Aug23 (avila c)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 5.00    
5  AZTEC PRINCESS Mar28 Oct24 Oct09 Sep09 Jul29 (hamm timothy)GIL CIPRIANO 118 6.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  UTOPIA ROSE Mar28 Mar02 Feb16 Jan18 Nov29 (moysey chelsey)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.00    
7  HEARTBURN Mar28 Mar07 Feb23 Jan01 Oct18 (simone m)RODRIGUEZ O 118 10.00    
 
TAM-5   04/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNING BAYOU Mar28 Feb07 Jan08 Oct06 Sep01 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
2  LOVE HATE Mar15 Feb22 Jan16 Jan04   (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 118 8.00    
3  ITS PIZZA TIME Mar05 Feb07 Dec18 Nov23 Oct27 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.00 18% 4.50    
4  WORDS OF FORTUNE Feb19 Feb02 Nov21 Oct11   (lopez mario )GONZALEZ CESAR 111 8.00    
5  INDIE FREEDOM Mar05 Feb12 Sep28 Aug25   (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 20.00 7% 12.60    
6  RIDING A DREAM Mar26 Feb22 Feb02 Dec27 Nov23 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 2.50 26% 2.90    
7  LOU MAN Feb23 Jan08 Nov22 Nov13 Sep29 (rivelli larry)MORALES PABLO 120 1.20 28% 2.60    
 
TAM-6   04/09/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 3 ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKY MASTERSON Mar08 Feb02 Jan18 Jan03 Dec07 (contessa c)SPIETH S 118 10.00    
2  FLASH FROZEN Mar23 Feb09 Jan15 Dec22   (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 30% 2.30    
3  FULLY AUTHORIZED Mar26 Feb26 Feb02 Dec13 Oct19 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 118 8.00    
4  PEACE CLOUD Mar08 Feb21 Jan18     (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00 8% 11.00    
5  SPEIGHT THE SNOW Mar26 Oct23 Oct07 Sep20 Aug12 (potts ro)RODRIGUEZ O 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  ENGLISH LAW Mar13 Feb02 Dec07 Oct12 Sep01 (casse mark)GIL CIPRIANO 118 3.50    
7  LASTABITLONGER Feb26 Jan17 Dec27 Dec07   (stewart j)MARIN SAMUEL 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
8  INNATELY GOOD Mar02 Jan17 Jan04 Dec07 Sep28 (goodwin g)FERRER C 118 20.00    
 
TAM-7   04/09/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PASTOR DAVE Feb19         (stewart j)MARIN SAMUEL 120 2.50    
2  GLOBAL GIANT (GB) Mar21 Mar02 Feb15     (sacco d)FERRER C 120 4.00    
3  AMAURY M. V. P. Feb19 Dec24       (tsirigotis j)MENESES MARCOS 120 30.00    
4  SPURIOUS Mar01 Jan24 Jan15 Dec29 Dec07 (lopez r)VARGAS E 110 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  EMIRATES HONOR Mar02 Feb22 Jan10 Dec18 Sep01 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 120 6.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  DANCER'S SHADOW Mar15 Feb19 Jan15 Dec24 Oct28 (alessi james)HESS SARA 113 30.00    
7  WEEK'S STRONG Mar21 Mar02 Jan10     (o'connell kath)COTTO L 120 3.00 55% 0.80    
8  FIT TO FIRE Dec18 Oct20 Sep14     (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50    
 
TAM-8   04/09/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENDLESS REIGN Mar16 Feb19 Feb09 Jan22 Dec27 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.00 13% 6.40    
2  OVERHAUL Mar28 Feb26 Jan31 Jan19 Dec22 (alessi james)BUSH V 119 30.00    
3  MINTENON Mar28 Mar08 Feb12 Jan16 Dec04 (carrascojr v)MENESES MARCOS 119 15.00    
4  CAMILO Aug13 Jul22 Jun26 Jun04 Feb02 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 119 4.00 12% 7.60    
5  SAM STORMY Mar28 Mar05 Feb02 Jan24 Dec21 (lopez robe)LEON SONNY 119 2.50    
6  HANDSOME PLAYBOY Mar15 Jan14 Dec21 Dec03 Oct04 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 3.00 50% 1.00    
7  DIAL HIM UP Mar16 Mar05 Feb12 Feb02 Jan17 (mendieta ale)GONZALEZ CESAR 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.