Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - March 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(5/2/6)-(2/1/8/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(2/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(2/1/8/4)-(4/3/1/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/4)-(2/1/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/4)-(2/1/8/4)-(2/1/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/8/4)-(4/3/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/4)-(4/3/1/2)-(5/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/2)-(4/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/2)-(4/3/1/2)-(4/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/1/2)-(5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/2)-(5/4/6)-(1/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(1/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6)-(1/8/3)-(2/3/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-6   WIN (1/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/3)-(1/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/3)-(1/8/3)-(1/8/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/3)-(2/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/3)-(2/3/8)-(4/3/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-7   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/8)-(2/3/8)-(2/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/8)-(4/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8)-(4/3/2/6)-(3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
PEN-8   WIN (4/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6)-(4/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/6)-(3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-9   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARM ALARM Feb27 Jan29 Jan08 Dec18 Nov27 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KIKITSA Jan17 Dec14 Nov07 Oct11 Sep21 (chircop steven)CONNER TYLER 121 6.00    
3  CARDINAL WAR CRY Jan09 Dec13 Nov07 Aug22 Jul31 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50    
4  NORMANDY LIFE Feb27 Jan29 Jan08 Nov01 Sep23 (albright ge)INIRIO J 121 8.00 8% 10.80    
5  VELVET VIXEN Feb23 Jan13 Dec19 Dec06 Nov08 (vera miguel)BURNHAM MATILDA 114 10.00    
6  DISSOLUTE Feb21 Jan24 Dec18 Nov27 Oct25 (lynch cat)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 55% 0.80    
7  TOOTALOO KANGAROO Jan03 Nov21 Oct31 Oct17 Sep24 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00    
 
PEN-2   03/14/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA TACHE Feb27 Feb07 Jan17 Dec06 Nov08 (sillaman richar)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 2.50    
2  DESI'S REWARD Feb28 Dec06 Oct30 Sep25 Aug29 (beattie cody)TORRES JOMAR 125 2.00 33% 2.10    
3  BEACHGRASS Feb27 Feb07 Jan26 Dec06 Nov13 (rodriguez jose )VEGA L 121 3.00    
4  MIKEY'S JEWEL Feb19 Nov29 Nov06 Oct30 Aug29 (salinas jose)CORA D 121 6.00    
5  G'S FIREBALL Feb27 Feb06 Jan26 Jan09 Dec19 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 3.50 35% 1.80    
6  CRICKET WEST Feb19 Jan31 Jan17 Dec16 Dec06 (m)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 121 50.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEONIDS Jul03 Jun10 May06 Apr20 Mar11 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 121 4.00 20% 3.90    
2  WILDHUNCH Feb14 Dec16 Oct22 Oct13 Aug24 (gerali)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 6.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  EL DIVINO NINO Feb09 Jan31 Jan24 Dec13 Nov20 (sanchez-)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 8.00    
4  TOWN'S WARRIOR Feb27 Jan03 Dec13 Nov28 Nov08 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  VALYRIAN SKY Feb21 Jan15 Jan02 Oct04 Sep19 (chircop s)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00    
6  ZANDUHOC Jan30 Dec09 Nov05 Oct14 Sep15 (servis ty)WILLIAMS AJHARI 123 3.00    
7  UNIWINNER Dec20 Nov15 Oct20 May19 Apr30 (gaudet lacey)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00    
8  PALM ISLAND Jan24 Dec04 Oct28 Sep23 Aug16 (crook-demasi ka)RUIZ ELISEO 121 5.00 9% 9.90    
 
PEN-4   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STEPHANIE MY LOVE Feb21 Feb06 Jan03 Dec20 Nov08 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 3.50 20% 3.90    
2  CARLY HUSTLE Feb21 Dec13 Nov27 Nov20 Oct25 (salinas jose)FLORES E 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  KELLY'S PARTY GIRL Feb21 Dec20 Dec07 Nov13 Oct23 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 123 3.00 23% 3.30    
4  MY BOSS LADY Feb28 Feb06 Jan03 Nov29 Nov06 (salvaggio)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00 29% 2.50    
5  TESTED POSITIVE Mar01 Feb06 Dec19 Dec09 Nov08 (m)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 123 20.00    
6  CEDAR VALLEY Feb04 Jan07 Dec18 Nov26 Nov04 (linder louis )OCASIO M 123 4.00    
7  STORMY SPELL Feb21 Dec13 Nov29 Nov20 Oct23 (harigeorgiou kons)CHIAPPE R 123 8.00    
 
PEN-5   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BACK FORTY Jan29 Dec06 Aug30 Jul08 Jun20 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 121 4.00    
2  COULD BE A COUGAR Jan29 Dec06 Aug30 Jul08 Jun20 (salvaggio v)CHIAPPE R 121 4.50    
3  NAIL POLISH Feb27 Jan09 Nov29 Nov01 Sep20 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 125 6.00    
4  PURE LURE Jul15 Jun12 May20 Dec26 Nov22 (moore mic)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 22% 3.60    
5  CHAPA Aug16 Jul18 Jun19 May30 May17 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 2.00 50% 1.00    
6  PAULA'S SURPRISE Oct24 Sep24 Mar08 Feb21 Jan24 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-6   03/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNSHINE HAZEL Feb27 Jan18 Jan08 Dec20 Oct07 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 1.80 35% 1.90    
2  SEARCH FOR SILVER Feb20 Jan02 Dec20     (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 4.00    
3  DEPOSIT SLIP Feb27         (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  EPISTEME Jan08         (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 123 15.00    
SCR  FIFTY NINE FIFTY Jan02 Dec20 Nov14 Oct23   (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 123 3.00    
SCR  MIA COUNTING Mar03 Feb05 Jan15 Jan01   (betancourt eli)ORTIZ JOSHUA 116 10.00    
7  STROKE OF LUCK Jan08 Nov07 Oct15     (rojas murra)BURNHAM MATILDA 116 15.00    
8  ASHTEAD LADY Feb27 Feb05 Jan15 Nov18 Oct22 (servis ty)GONZALEZ MELVIS 116 6.00 23% 3.30    
 
PEN-7   03/14/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONY'S MO Feb21 Jan03 Oct31 Aug28 Aug17 (sinnefia pa)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 4.00    
2  TOWN KISSER Feb28 Feb21 Jan02 Nov27 Nov07 (fields kevin)FLORES E 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  WARRIOR ON TAP Feb21 Jan08 Dec18 Nov27 Nov08 (kulp brando)RAMOS O 123 4.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  WILLIAM'S CAUSE Mar01 Feb06 Jan17 Sep20 Sep07 (jones mic)HERNANDEZ A 123 20.00    
SCR  TAP ANCHOR Feb14 Jan25 Nov28 Nov15 Sep27 (mcmahon demelz)CONNER TYLER 123 6.00    
6  ON THE CHILL Feb14 Jan23 Nov08 Oct17 Sep14 (iannotti thomas)VEGA L 123 15.00    
7  LETSGETLUCKYTONITE Jan08 Dec18 Dec04 Aug30 Aug21 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 3.50    
8  WEMBY Jan08 Dec18 Nov07 Oct17 Sep25 (nunley randy)TORRES JOMAR 123 8.00 6% 14.90    
 
PEN-8   03/14/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COVE BAY BOY Feb19 Jan09 Oct24     (albright ge)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 5.00    
2  SPECTACULAR JEDI Feb19         (kravets bruce)ROJAS MARTINA 123 10.00 12% 7.70    
3  ROWDY WARRIOR Feb27 Jan09       (kulp l)BEATO INOEL 123 1.50 14% 6.10    
4  SMALLSCHOOL WONDER Mar04 Dec17       (padilla est)GONZALEZ MELVIS 116 2.00 44% 1.30    
5  MALIBU WARRIOR Feb27 Jan09       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00    
6  SPEZIA'S SON Dec20         (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  GOLLUM Feb27 Feb05       (smith lawre)INIRIO J 123 30.00    
 
PEN-9   03/14/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKIE A Feb28 Feb07 Dec20 Dec04 Nov13 (fields kevin)ROJAS MARTINA 123 10.00 22% 3.60    
2  COPPERHEAD CREEK Mar06 Feb24 Jan28 Dec17 Nov26 (stites flin)INIRIO J 123 5.00 ★    
3  TROPHY ROOM Feb28 Jan08 Dec12 Nov21 Oct24 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  HE'S ON FIRE Feb01 Dec04 Nov16 Nov02 Oct25 (mancilla ca)BURNHAM MATILDA 116 6.00    
5  HELMS DEEP (GB) Feb28 Feb07 Jan03 Nov28 Nov02 (kreiser c)FLORES E 123 4.50    
6  ENTRUST Jan03 Dec20 Nov13 Aug10 Aug03 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 123 3.50    
7  PICCOLO DIAVOLO Feb07 Jan09 Dec13 Oct19 Sep23 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.