Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Friday - February 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (3/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5)-(3/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/5)-(4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/5)-(4/1/5)-(6/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-2   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(6/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(6/2/7)-(2/7/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LRL-3   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/7)-(6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/7)-(2/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7)-(2/7/6)-(5/7/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6)-(2/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/6)-(5/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6)-(5/7/2/4)-(7/3/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-5   WIN (5/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4)-(5/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/4)-(7/3/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/4)-(7/3/8/2)-(3/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-6   WIN (7/3/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/2)-(7/3/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/2)-(7/3/8/2)-(7/3/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/8/2)-(3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/8/2)-(3/1/6)-(2/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-7   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(2/1/4)-(6/2/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-8   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(6/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (6/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5)-(6/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   02/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3 ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST TALKIN MAN Jan30 Dec21 Dec01     (sullivan )HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
SEVERN RUN Jan26 Dec21 Dec01     (capuano philli)CONNER TYLER 124 1.80    
TETCHED Feb01 Jan17 Dec13 Nov30   (eubank)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 2.00 23% 3.40    
REAL TALENTED Feb01 Jan18       (gonzalez cl)DEL SARA 110 12.00    
WHERE'S MY CHEW         (pecoraro anthon)VEGA L 124 8.00 12% 7.10    
FURIOUS GEORGE         (dilodovico )HAMILTON WESTON 124 10.00    
ZIO LINO         (dilodovico dam)TORREALBA JG 124 6.00 12% 7.00    
 
LRL-2   02/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($38K) 4UP ALL PT-12:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SQUARE SLICE Mar22 Mar08 Feb16 Jan13 Dec17 (klesaris ro)HAMILTON WESTON 126 2.50 27% 2.60    
MALIBLUE Jan31 Dec09 Nov11 Oct09 Aug27 (penaloza miguel)MENA E 126 4.50    
TWICE GOLD Jan25 Dec20 Dec01 Dec09 Dec01 (mcmahon hug)DEL SARA 112 10.00    
RAPIDITY Feb14 Dec08 Oct10 Aug18 Jul12 (magee kieron)TORREALBA JG 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCRAPPY T LEE Jan09 Nov20 Oct15     (mcmahon hug)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
MEDAGOOCH May11 Apr07 Mar16 Mar01 Feb04 (bailes )BRICENO GREGOR 126 3.50    
SCR  THEDINGOATEYOBABY Jan25 Nov30 Sep27 Jan07 Dec09 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00    
 
LRL-3   02/21/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TINA TINA TINA Oct25 Oct11 Aug24 Jul28 Jul06 (frock charl)HAMILTON WESTON 122 4.50    
PRINCESS LUCIA Jan25 Dec20 Nov28 Nov02 Aug17 (mcmahon hug)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 117 2.50 9% 10.20    
VOODOO PRIESTESS Dec29 Dec07 Oct26 Oct06 Aug25 (smith d)TORREALBA JG 122 10.00    
LILLY LIGHTNING Jan31 Dec13 Nov02 Apr19 Mar10 (kjelstrup e)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 15.00    
MAXIMO MADNESS Feb01 Jan25 Dec29 Dec15 Nov29 (sanchez-sal)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.50    
LOOKING FOR WATER Feb07 Jan17 Dec29 Nov17 Oct26 (tessor)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
DETERMINED BLUE Feb01 Dec28 Nov30 Oct25 Oct12 (frock c)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 10.00 8% 10.80    
 
LRL-4   02/21/2025 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47K) 3 F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRAND NEW DANCE         (saville nia)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 15.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of WILD EYED by INDIAN CHARLIE)
BIRDIEJUICE         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 1.80 32% 2.10    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of TETE A TETE by MALIBU MOON)
CHATTOLANEE SPRING Jan24 Dec29 Oct25     (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 8.00    
  (by LONG RIVER out of LADINA by WILD AGAIN)
WIKOLIA LADY Jan24 Dec13 Oct24 Aug29   (allen fer)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 10.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SAFE JOURNEY by FLATTER)
LATE NITE CALL Jan28 Dec28 Nov15     (saville niall)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50    
  (by AUDIBLE out of CLOCKSTRUCKTWELVE by MALIBU MOON)
READY FOR MAGIC Feb07 Dec28 Dec13 Nov30 Oct24 (singh somraj)TORREALBA JG 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MY MAGICIAN by STREET MAGICIAN)
PASSAGE EAST (IRE) Feb01 Dec29 Aug26     (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 124 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SALTEN SAPITY by CONGRATS)
 
LRL-5   02/21/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH WARLOCK Jan18 Dec15 Nov16 Oct12 Sep06 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50    
B WEST Feb07 Jan17 Dec29 Nov16 Oct25 (magee ki)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
MISTER AGENT Jan18 Dec28 Dec20 Dec06 Nov17 (shankle j)HERNANDEZ A 119 15.00    
HE'S ORIENTATE Feb01 Dec29 Dec15 Nov30 Oct25 (heil nan)RODRIGUEZ L 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
THE JUDGE AND JURY Jan30 Nov30 Oct17 Sep26 Sep11 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00 28% 2.60    
WHISKEY AND YOU Feb01 Jan18 Dec15 Nov28 Oct10 (peacock m)TORREALBA JG 123 20.00    
SHAPE NOTE Feb01 Jan09 Dec20 Nov17 Oct19 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 126 5.00 26% 2.90    
MAGIC SPIN Jan17 Jan03 Dec15 Oct06 Aug30 (eubanks ann)HAMILTON WESTON 123 6.00    
 
LRL-6   02/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3 F PT- 2:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAGA'S HAMSOME Feb07 Jan16 Dec29 Nov29 Oct31 (gonzalez clau)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 3.00    
ESROH Feb02 Jan17 Dec01 Oct30   (cox m)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 12.00 10% 9.40    
ITSAMONSTAMASH Dec08 Nov03 Oct12 Sep13 Aug23 (robb j)TORREALBA JG 121 6.00 15% 5.70    
RAPIDO ROSA Jan17 Oct26 Oct12 Aug03 May27 (corrales jo)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 116 5.00    
CAN DO Feb02 Dec21 Nov30     (magee ki)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 121 6.00    
GREEN EYED MONSTER Feb02 Sep15 Aug25     (robb j)CONNER TYLER 121 8.00    
ADE Jan26 Dec20 Dec07 Nov08 Oct25 (sanchez-sal)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 117 3.50 24% 3.10    
FIRST PEARL Feb01 Dec20 Oct02 Sep11 Aug14 (perri gina)TOLEDO JEVIAN 117 4.50 14% 6.00    
 
LRL-7   02/21/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($38K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOR MOR MOR Jan31 Jan17 Dec07 Nov08 Oct11 (gonzalez claud)TORREALBA JG 126 1.80 22% 3.60    
GRACEFUL ROSE Jan23 Dec29 Dec13 Nov21 Jul21 (gorham michael )MENA E 126 3.00    
DISSOLUTE Jan24 Dec18 Nov27 Oct25 May12 (lynch catha)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 2.50 43% 1.30    
DWELLING LEGACY Jun28 May16 Apr06 Feb21 Jan14 (capuano gary )CHAVEZ ANDRES 121 12.00    
FEELIN SO LUCKY Jan31 Jan08 Dec14 Nov16 Oct17 (mcmahon)BRICENO GREGOR 126 10.00    
VICOUNTESS Jan01 Dec13 Nov15 Oct09 Sep01 (mcclellan eri)TOLEDO JEVIAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KILO ROAD Nov28 Nov02 Oct11 Sep22 Sep02 (mcmahon hug)HAMILTON WESTON 126 10.00    
 
LRL-8   02/21/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC MICHAEL Jan26 Dec27 Nov29 Oct19 Sep21 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  JUST CALL RAY Jan29 Jan13 Dec06 Oct13 Sep23 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.00    
SECRET ZIPPER Jan31 Dec13 Sep27 Aug31 Aug17 (capuano a)TORREALBA JG 126 1.00 47% 1.10    
CROSSLAND Jan24 Dec13 Oct26 Oct12 Aug18 (hohlbein kerry)CRUZ ANGEL 126 6.00    
CURLIN'S MALIBU Dec15 Nov28 Nov06 Sep14 Aug23 (atkins will)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
YOUR ANALYSIS Dec15 Nov28 Oct13 Aug24 Aug02 (gonzalez cl)HAMILTON WESTON 123 5.00    
LITTLE LANCE Jan24 Dec22 Dec01 Oct31 Oct12 (campbell willi)ROSADO JOHAN 123 8.00    
 
LRL-9   02/21/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTUMN IN VERMONT Dec14 Nov30 Aug22 Jul26   (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 126 15.00    
THIRD TUESDAY Feb02 Dec28       (sanchez-salomon)GOMEZ KEVIN 126 3.00 28% 2.50    
STORM CREED Feb02 Dec20 Dec07 Oct27 Sep22 (parram )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 5.00    
TIA MAYIN Feb02 Dec20 Nov17 Oct25 Oct12 (salaza)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00    
CUNDI Feb02 Nov17 Nov03 Jul06 May27 (corrales )BETANCOURT R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
RASCALLION Feb02 Oct24 Aug30     (gaudet lace)HAMILTON WESTON 126 0.80 41% 1.40    
AUNT MARGARET Dec07 Nov17 Oct25 Oct13 Aug16 (corrales jo)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 117 10.00 8% 11.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.