Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - February 21, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(3/4/5)-(7/4/10/2/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(7/4/10/2/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(7/4/10/2/9)-(3/6/4/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/4/10/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/10/2/9)-(7/4/10/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/10/2/9)-(7/4/10/2/9)-(7/4/10/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/10/2/9)-(3/6/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/4/10/2/9)-(3/6/4/8)-(8/4/1/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/8)-(3/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/8)-(3/6/4/8)-(3/6/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/4/8)-(8/4/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/8)-(8/4/1/7)-(2/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/7)-(8/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/7)-(8/4/1/7)-(8/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/1/7)-(2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1/7)-(2/6/5)-(1/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(1/3/2)-(2/3/8/1/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(2/3/8/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/3/8/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/8/1/6)-(2/3/8/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/8/1/6)-(2/3/8/1/6)-(2/3/8/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/21/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE SO COOL Jan31 Oct26 Oct10 Sep27 Aug01 (r)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 122 10.00    
2  SWEET SENSATION Jan30 Jan10 Nov19 Oct14 Sep10 (pyke joseph)GILBERT KYLE 122 20.00    
3  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Feb05 Jan15 Dec11 Nov20 Oct30 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.80 33% 2.00    
4  SHOOPTHEREITIS Jan31 Dec12 Nov17 Oct23 Jun20 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 4.50    
5  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Feb06 Jan31 Jan10 Dec13 Dec06 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  MUSIC LASS Feb07 Jan15 Dec11 Nov20 Oct30 (tuomisto cl)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.00 33% 2.00    
 
CT-2   02/21/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO TIME TO BOOGIE Jan15 Dec11 Nov27 Oct26   (atkins)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 12.00    
2  RADAR ALERT Jan25 Dec07 Nov23 Sep11 Sep02 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.50    
3  LAWYER UP RILEY Jan23 Dec11 Feb16 Dec21   (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 1.60 38% 1.60    
4  IN THE CHASE Jan12 Dec15 Nov16 Oct21 Oct04 (jones e)ACOSTA D 116 3.50 15% 5.50    
5  COSTNER Feb06 May28 Apr28 Apr12 Mar08 (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ARTWELL Feb07 Jan29 Dec21 Nov17 Nov01 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 120 4.00    
 
CT-3   02/21/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CONNECT THE DOTS Dec06 Nov15       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00    
  (by CONNECT out of HAPPY NUMBERS by POLISH NUMBERS)
2  JAZMAN CAN         (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of JAZLYNN C by GONE ASTRAY)
3  JUBACANTFIXTHIS Feb01         (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 30.00    
  (by JUBA out of ADALZARA by TAPIZAR)
4  BONDS REVENGE Feb01 Jan11       (rofe jean)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 25% 2.90    
  (by BLOFELD out of BANK TELLER by BANKER'S GOLD)
5  SLEW THE LION Jan03         (perez ernesto)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of CALLMEALION by LION HEARTED)
6  FORBIDDEN SPIRIT Feb01 Dec06 Nov22 Nov15 Oct26 (clatter)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  ROCK OF AGES Jan31 Jan11       (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.00 43% 1.30    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of CLEFT IN THE ROCK by ARCH)
8  JUST A WIZARD Feb01 Jan11       (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of WIZARDS FEVER by FIBER SONDE)
9  CHIPPEWA BAY         (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of CHIPPEWA DREAMER by GEROSA)
10  MEXICALI MIKE         (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.00 11% 8.30    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of HANDS UP by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  WISH ON JUBA Feb01         (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 6.00    
  (by JUBA out of WINDSOR'S WISH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
SCR  A REASON TO PARTY Feb01 Jan11       (grigsby)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 30.00    
  (by ALLIANCE out of PARTY N THE PALACE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
SCR  CHARLIENITE Feb01         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of CORAIL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  RAY OF SUNSHINE         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.50    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of BURREN TRAIL by SHAMARDAL)
 
CT-4   02/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS GLORIA JEAN Jan09 Nov20 Oct02 Jul31 Jul17 (meeks kar)BOCACHICA J 120 30.00    
2  DIXIE RAG Jan31 Jan09 Dec04 Nov26 Oct20 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 50.00    
3  TANGERINEGINGER Jan25 Jan15 Dec07 Nov16 Oct27 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 124 1.60 44% 1.30    
4  CATALINA CRUZIN Jan31 Jan10 Dec18 Dec04 Oct23 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 4.00 9% 10.20    
5  RED PRIESTESS Jan11 Dec06 Oct26 Oct18 Oct05 (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 50.00    
6  MALTESE ROSE Feb15 Feb05 Jan18 Nov23 Sep20 (haynes )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 2.00 18% 4.60    
7  MARGARET'S LADY Jan31 Jan04 Nov19 Oct19 Sep04 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50    
8  GONE WITH THE WYN Feb06 Jan10 Dec13 Dec07 Nov29 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   02/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3 F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONSHINE MAMA Feb05 Jan25 Dec07 Oct24 Oct05 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 3.00 9% 10.40    
2  IVYLEAGUEDROPOUT Feb14 Jan31       (sigler ronald)THORPE DARIUS 122 4.50    
3  UNBRIDLED CHOPT Nov06         (espinos)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
4  EYESONTHECANDY Jan31         (petty kris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50 18% 4.70    
5  TIGER'S CANDY Feb14 Jan31       (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
6  RUBY BAY Jan30 Jan17 Dec06     (jones mic)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
7  ALL ABOARD Feb14 Jan31       (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  ALICE'S MOON Jan30 Jan17 Dec12 Nov20 Oct12 (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
CT-6   02/21/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OZONE Dec07 Oct26 Sep14 Aug10 Jul18 (butts m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 3.50    
2  GRAN ANDREWS Jan11 Dec07 Nov06 Oct10 Sep02 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60 37% 1.70    
3  SMOOTH RICO Jan30 Jan17 Nov21 Nov01 Oct11 (johnson dewayn)CHILO MAXIMO 120 20.00    
SCR  GOODLUCKCHUCK Dec16 Nov13 Sep27 Sep06 Aug23 (bailes)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.50    
5  THE KHOZAN ONE Jan11 Nov27 Oct10 Oct03 Aug16 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  AL LOVES JOSIE Jan24 Nov19 Oct06 Aug23 Jul26 (farrior anth)BATISTA A 120 10.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  JACKIE A Feb07 Dec20 Dec04 Nov13 Oct24 (fields kevin)FLORES E 120 30.00    
 
CT-7   02/21/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DORADO Jan16 Dec13 Nov07 May24 May09 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 1.60 35% 1.90    
2  GABRIEL SEVEN Feb08 Jan18 Nov23 Oct27 Oct11 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  ROL AGAIN DANCER Jan10 Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 Apr27 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 6.00 27% 2.70    
4  BESOTTED Jan24 Jan03 Dec06 Aug24 Aug09 (atkins micha)LEWIS M 120 20.00    
5  NANCY MADE MY DAY Feb01 Jan18 Dec28 Nov29 Nov02 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20    
6  LOGSTRADAMUS Jan31 Jan17 Nov15 Oct25 Oct04 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 5.00    
 
CT-8   02/21/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST MURPHY (IRE) Jan30 Jan11 Dec12 Nov16 Jul01 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  DIVA'S DEMON Jan11 Nov23 Oct17 Sep26 Aug15 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.40 46% 1.20    
3  RIDE THE BRAND Sep13 Aug10 Jul26 Jul13 Jun20 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
4  TUP'S TO TAKE Jan30 Nov27 Nov02 Oct24 Sep27 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
5  GETTIN SPICY Feb14 Jan30 Jan11 Dec12 Nov27 (boykins kevi)BATISTA A 122 30.00    
6  WHY WINCHILL WHY Jan30 Oct08 Sep13 Sep02 Aug20 (meeks karl)BOCACHICA O 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  EL MORITO Jan17 Dec13 Nov23 Oct26 Oct05 (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 122 4.00    
8  SALTY STARKEY Jan30 Jan11 Dec13 Nov23 Oct18 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 4.50 6% 15.30    
9  SHINEY GHOST Jan30 Jan11 Jan03 Dec11 Nov16 (aylor william )CHILO MAXIMO 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.