Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Sunday - February 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-1   WIN (6/5/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/8)-(6/5/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/8)-(6/5/9/8)-(6/5/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/9/8)-(3/4/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/9/8)-(3/4/6/2)-(6/8/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
HOU-2   WIN (3/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/6/2)-(6/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/2)-(6/8/1)-(7/2/6/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-3   WIN (6/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/1)-(6/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/8/1)-(6/8/1)-(6/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/8/1)-(7/2/6/1/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/8/1)-(7/2/6/1/5)-(4/2/1/12/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
HOU-4   WIN (7/2/6/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/1/5)-(7/2/6/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/1/5)-(7/2/6/1/5)-(7/2/6/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/6/1/5)-(4/2/1/12/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/1/5)-(4/2/1/12/6)-(8/6/1/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-5   WIN (4/2/1/12/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/12/6)-(4/2/1/12/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/12/6)-(4/2/1/12/6)-(4/2/1/12/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/2/1/12/6)-(8/6/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/12/6)-(8/6/1/3)-(4/9/7/8/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
HOU-6   WIN (8/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/3)-(8/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/3)-(8/6/1/3)-(8/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/1/3)-(4/9/7/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HOU-7   WIN (4/9/7/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/7/8/3)-(4/9/7/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/7/8/3)-(4/9/7/8/3)-(4/9/7/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-1   02/16/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BRAVE OKIE Jan18 Dec07 Nov26 Nov16 Oct11 (villafranco )WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 20.00    
2  OOEY GOOEY CHEWY Jan29 Jan19 Dec04 Nov14 Jul18 (villafran)TRIANA JR 121 30.00    
3  YACHT ROCK (IRE) Jan19 Nov21 Oct21 Oct04 May29 (p)DE CRUZ 121 3.00    
SCR  CADILLAC COWBOY Feb07 Jan24 Jan05 Dec28 Dec05 (g)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 4.50    
5  EMBOITE (IRE) Jan19 Jul06 Jun15 May18 Jan21 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 3.50 32% 2.10    
6  TURQUOISE BLUE Jan11 Nov15 Nov06 Oct16 Oct03 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 2.00 38% 1.60    
7  WITT AMERICA Apr05 Mar09 Feb19 Jan20 Sep21 (g)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 12.00    
8  GABARRA Jan24 Sep16 Aug13 Jun02 May14 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  CINCO MAJESTIC Dec20 Nov06 Oct16 Oct01 Sep02 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-2   02/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISTER HONEY Feb01 Jan04 Sep24 Aug08 Apr21 (hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 123 3.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of HONEY BUNNY by TAPIZAR)
2  MISS MAVIS Feb01 Nov08 Jul13     (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of COSTA DEL SOL by ISTAN)
3  AWAKENING Jan05 Nov30       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 0.80 37% 1.70    
  (by CURLIN out of VERTICAL OAK by GIANT OAK)
4  REBA DEBA Dec13 Nov30 Nov02 Oct18 Sep11 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 119 12.00 16% 5.10    
  (by MITOLE out of GOTAGOGOTAGOGOTAGO by KIPLING)
5  MISSY GURL Feb01 Nov15 Oct30 Oct02   (clary jaylan)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 4.50    
  (by CUTTING HUMOR out of MISS ATTRACTIVE by RUNNING STAG)
6  MATAGORA BAY Jan04 Nov23 Oct26 Oct04 Sep19 (asmussen )TRIANA JR 123 8.00 13% 6.70    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SKY WALK by SKYWALKER)
7  TONE OF SILENCE Jan26 Sep27 Sep02 Jun27 Jun09 (childs g)PARKER L 123 20.00    
  (by TONALIST out of TRUMPIT by SUPER SAVER)
 
HOU-3   02/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLOCKED Jan05 Nov13 Oct05 Sep18 Aug29 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 121 8.00 8% 11.40    
2  BOBWHITE BOBBY Jan26 Jan05 Dec13 Nov29 Nov09 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 6.00    
3  LARIDAE Dec05 Nov19 Nov06 Oct12 Sep26 (willis mindy)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 10.00    
SCR  ICE AGAIN Dec17 Dec03 Nov26 Oct24 Sep28 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 123 30.00    
5  IBERIAN RUNNER Jul13 Jun01 May17 May04 Mar23 (govea cesar)RIVERA SANTOS 121 20.00    
6  COPPER STORM Jan05 Dec13 Nov19 Oct30 Oct10 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 1.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  KANT BEAT THE ROCK Jan17 Jan05 Nov29 Nov14 Oct12 (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 123 3.00    
8  MAMBRINO Jan25         (ashford ray)PARKER L 123 4.00 20% 4.10    
 
HOU-4   02/16/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TI CAILLOU Feb02 Jan12 Nov14 Feb04 Jan26 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 121 5.00 6% 16.50    
2  CHARMING OAKIE Jan24 Nov01 Oct11 Sep19 May27 (castellan)TRIANA JR 121 4.00 26% 2.80    
3  GET RIPPED Jan24 Nov19 Sep16 Sep04 Aug20 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 10.00    
4  WILL TAKE CASH Jan24 Jan03 Dec20 Oct25 Sep26 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 4.50    
5  LEMON MERINGUE Jan24 Dec20 Oct01 Sep02 Aug17 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  KENTUCKY DREAMIN Jan19 Nov25 Nov14 Oct17 Oct02 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 117 3.50 6% 16.50    
7  WAYLON'S GUITAR Dec07 Oct11 Sep27 Aug31 Aug16 (ashford)GONCALVES R 117 6.00 40% 1.50    
8  PRETTY MACHO Jan24 Jan05 Dec12 Nov15 Oct17 (jacks e)WADE LYNDIE 121 20.00    
9  KANGAROO COAST Jan11 Nov16 Oct24 Aug15 Jul25 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 117 12.00    
10  HIGH RANSOM Jan17 Dec20 Sep19 Sep07 Aug24 (west henry)PARKER L 121 8.00    
 
HOU-5   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASING COYOTES Jan12 Jul13 Jun15 May31 May12 (capp)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  BERGHEIM Jan25 Nov25 Nov08 Sep29 Sep05 (gelner j)PARKER L 117 3.00 14% 6.30    
3  FAMOUS HIGHWAY Jan25 Jan04 Nov28     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 5.00    
4  COALCOWBOY Feb01         (martin steve)ALVAREZ L 119 4.00 60% 0.70    
5  KING ADOLIS Jan11 Dec05 Oct24 Jul12 Jun28 (baldillez)TRIANA JR 119 12.00    
6  FLYING CAESAR Feb07 Jun28 Jun16 May26 Mar17 (willis mindy)WADE LYNDIE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  TEXAS CREED Jan25 Jan11 Dec06 Nov16 Oct25 (cravens ii)DIEGO V 117 8.00    
8  SUMMER HELP Jan12 Jul12 Jun22 Jun02 May19 (padilla carlo)CABRERA DAVID 121 30.00    
9  PAINTED LAD Feb07 Jan12 Oct16 Sep18 Aug30 (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 15.00    
10  DAPILOT Jan04 Nov16 Oct31 Oct10 Sep12 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 117 20.00    
11  RIPSTER Jan12 Nov30 Nov09 Oct16 Sep26 (george wayne)SANCHEZ OBED 121 30.00    
12  MIDNIGHT HUMOR Jan25 Jul13 Jun09 May26   (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
HOU-6   02/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANDERA AZTECA Jan05 Dec05 Nov13 Nov02 Oct02 (g)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 121 12.00 6% 16.20    
2  I GOT NO MUNNY Dec06 Nov22 Oct30 Sep26 Aug18 (asmus)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 116 3.50    
3  NORTHVALE ROAD Feb02 Jan05 Dec11 Nov13 Oct23 (gourneau jerry)WADE LYNDIE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  THIRD STREET Jan11 Oct24 Oct04 Jul06 Jun14 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 121 20.00    
5  RED DIRT RICH Jan26 Oct09 Sep05 May06 Apr16 (bravo francis)CABRERA DAVID 123 4.00    
6  OPTIMAL COURAGE Sep26 Sep03 Aug07 May20 Apr16 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 121 8.00 32% 2.20    
7  HAILSTORM Jan04 Dec01 Oct08 Sep17 Aug04 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 6.00    
8  BLUE LIGHT Nov30 Sep14 Aug29 Jul14 Jun02 (caldwell r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 1.60 37% 1.70    
 
HOU-7   02/16/2025 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOSE'S DREAM Jan31 Jan03 Dec07 Nov08 Sep28 (davidson sara)RIVERA SANTOS 121 30.00    
2  BRAHMS BOY Feb02 Oct10 Jul03 May11 Apr28 (sauceda jesse)WADE LYNDIE 121 8.00    
3  SIGN OF WAR Dec06 Nov22 Nov08 Sep25 Sep04 (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  STAYED IN FOR HALF Feb08 Nov08 Sep06 Aug17 Jul12 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 1.40 64% 0.60    
5  SATURDAY'S GOLD Feb08 Jan02 Nov08 Sep04 Aug17 (g)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
6  HARD CANDY Jan18 Dec13 Nov29 Nov13 Nov02 (v)DE CRUZ 121 10.00    
7  BOLSHIE Jan05 Dec02 Nov12 Oct24 Sep04 (ashford)GONCALVES R 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  SIDETOWN Feb02 Nov19 Oct16 Jul10 Jun02 (williams ste)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  BLING BLING BLING Sep25 Aug28 Aug07 Jul13 Jun23 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 8.00 10% 8.80    
10  PAPA RIZZO Sep19 Aug25 Aug04 Jun27 Jun01 (roberts j)TRIANA JR 121 4.50    
11  CIELO'S KNIGHT Jan05 Dec05 Nov09 Oct24 Oct04 (davidson brent)PARKER L 123 20.00    
SCR  PUDDING Jan18 Dec11 Nov19 Oct16 Sep25 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 121 3.00    
SCR  SUPREME CAPO Jan24 Nov22 Oct17 Aug25 Aug10 (sauceda jesse)FUENTES MARIO 121 50.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.