Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - December 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (2/1/8/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/10/3)-(2/1/8/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/10/3)-(2/1/8/10/3)-(2/1/8/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/8/10/3)-(1/5/7/4/2) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/10/3)-(1/5/7/4/2)-(2/5/4/6/7) 125 $1.00 $125 
CT-2   WIN (1/5/7/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/4/2)-(1/5/7/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/4/2)-(1/5/7/4/2)-(1/5/7/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/7/4/2)-(2/5/4/6/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/4/2)-(2/5/4/6/7)-(10/2/1/6/7) 125 $1.00 $125 
CT-3   WIN (2/5/4/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/4/6/7)-(2/5/4/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/4/6/7)-(2/5/4/6/7)-(2/5/4/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/4/6/7)-(10/2/1/6/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4/6/7)-(10/2/1/6/7)-(4/2/8/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-4   WIN (10/2/1/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/1/6/7)-(10/2/1/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/1/6/7)-(10/2/1/6/7)-(10/2/1/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/2/1/6/7)-(4/2/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/2/1/6/7)-(4/2/8/10)-(5/4/9/8/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-5   WIN (4/2/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/10)-(4/2/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/10)-(4/2/8/10)-(4/2/8/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/8/10)-(5/4/9/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8/10)-(5/4/9/8/10)-(10/3/5/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/4/9/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/9/8/10)-(5/4/9/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/9/8/10)-(5/4/9/8/10)-(5/4/9/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/9/8/10)-(10/3/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/9/8/10)-(10/3/5/8)-(9/2/4/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (10/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/3/5/8)-(10/3/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/3/5/8)-(10/3/5/8)-(10/3/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/3/5/8)-(9/2/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/3/5/8)-(9/2/4/8)-(3/1/10/8/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-8   WIN (9/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/4/8)-(9/2/4/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/4/8)-(9/2/4/1/8)-(9/2/4/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/2/4/8)-(3/1/10/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-9   WIN (3/1/10/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/10/8/6)-(3/1/10/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/10/8/6)-(3/1/10/8/6)-(3/1/10/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   12/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTY STARKEY Nov23 Oct18 Sep21 Aug24 Jun21 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 1.80 20% 4.00    
EL MORITO Nov23 Oct26 Oct05 Sep26 Aug15 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
JOHN'S GLORY Sep26 Jun28 May04     (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
JUBA'S YANKEE ONE Nov23 Nov06 Sep21 Jun01 May10 (racanelli mark )BOCACHICA O 122 30.00    
PEDAL TO THE MOON Dec06 Nov23 Nov07 Oct17 Oct05 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00    
SCR  PRETTY CASTLE Nov30 Nov20 Jan11 Dec14 Aug04 (boykins kevi)BATISTA A 121 30.00    
BEST HOP IS A DROP Nov23 Oct18 Sep21 Sep14 Aug24 (atkins mi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 8.00    
GAMBLING FEVER Jan26 Dec13 Nov10 Oct20 Jul20 (rangel ricardo)GILPIN SEAN 124 20.00 18% 4.40    
VIESTE Nov30 Nov20 Oct31 Oct18 Oct05 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 10.00    
10  CANDY OUTLINE Dec06 Nov23 Jun21 Jun01 May10 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   12/13/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNIFIED WEEKEND Oct24 Sep29 Sep08 Aug15 Aug01 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50 51% 1.00    
WELLING Nov22 Nov01 Oct10 Sep20 Aug29 (spriggs toschia)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SUBJECT TO CHANGE Dec04 Nov21 Oct31 Oct10 Sep20 (spriggs tosc)LEWIS M 122 12.00    
ICE BAR Oct10 Jun13 Mar30 Dec13 Sep08 (galligan )CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
RIDICULOUS Dec04 Nov14 Nov01 Oct03 Sep21 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  JITTER JUICE Nov13 Oct29 Oct14 Sep24 Sep10 (pyke joseph)GILPIN SEAN 122 20.00    
OVERLY CRITICAL Nov27 Nov14 Nov01 Oct17 Oct03 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 3.00 11% 8.10    
ROAD SLEW Nov30 Nov22 Nov09 Nov01 Oct10 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
UNCLE WATER FLOW Nov22 Nov01 Oct10 Sep20 Sep11 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
10  BLAMEITONTHEFUN Nov02 Sep02 Jul19 Jun29 Jun14 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 20.00    
 
CT-3   12/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAGTIME RICHES Nov14 Nov01 Oct03 Sep02 Aug22 (gillespie ryan )BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
KENNY HAD A NOTION Nov21 Nov01 Oct10 Jul25 Jun20 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
REBELDE Nov01 Oct17 Aug16 Jul21 Feb01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00    
SARGENT KOBE Nov30 Nov07 Oct25 Oct12 Sep21 (jones michae)LEWIS M 124 3.00 8% 12.30    
QUALIFLY May09 Mar15 Mar02 Feb08 Jun21 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.00 10% 8.70    
MUNI MUNI SLEW Nov22 Oct31 Oct06 Sep02 Aug12 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
MISTER WINSTON Nov06 Oct17 Sep21 Aug16 Jul26 (shanley tim)CACHA-PADILLA B 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
CHANGE YOUR LUCK Nov21 Oct31 Oct17 Sep26 Aug17 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
TAPIO (IRE) Oct10 Sep21 Aug22 May25 May04 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00    
SCR  EISELE Nov29 Nov08 Oct19 Sep26 Jul05 (hummer a)LARROSA G 120 30.00    
11  GOLDEN APPEAL Oct25 Oct10 Sep20 Aug24 Jul26 (craig e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
SCR  MY FRIENDS BEER Oct12 Sep28 Sep08 Aug18 Apr26 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 122 12.00    
SCR  GREAT DAYS AHEAD Nov30 Sep29 Aug23 Aug03 Jul13 (woodit jo)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 20.00    
 
CT-4   12/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN LADY Nov22 Oct31 Oct19 Oct03 Sep21 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 3.50 16% 5.20    
SPECIAL NOTE Nov30 Nov09 Oct04 Sep12 Aug09 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 4.00 17% 5.00    
GONE WITH THE WYN Dec07 Nov29 Nov09 Oct19 Oct03 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 120 8.00    
PLAYING FOR TWO Oct31 Sep14 Aug10 Jul25 Jul06 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 12.00    
POLICE WOMAN Dec06 Nov08 Oct27 Oct12 Oct04 (woodit josep)LEWIS M 122 15.00    
BEATIFUL KARLA Nov09 Oct19 Sep25 Aug24 Aug11 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00 11% 7.80    
SOMEBODY LOVES ME Dec06 Nov13 Oct19 Oct10 Sep26 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
HIGH SCHOOL CRUSH Nov29 Nov09 Sep13 Jul19 Jun30 (rangel ricardo)GILPIN SEAN 122 50.00    
QUEEN NEFERTARI Nov27 Nov07 Sep21 Aug22 Jul04 (reynold)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50    
10  LITTLE JOSIE WALES Oct31 Oct10 Sep22 Aug10 Jul21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  MAJESTY'S FREEDOM Dec06 Nov10 Oct31 Oct10 Sep13 (leaf ro)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 20.00    
 
CT-5   12/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDERSLAM Nov23 Jun22 May05 Apr06 Mar17 (sewell le)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 20.00    
ORANGE JUICE Nov16 Oct31 Sep12 Aug24 Jul26 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 120 4.00 16% 5.30    
HOYLAKE Nov20 Nov05 Oct22 Sep23 Aug19 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50    
MORETHANICANHANDLE Oct12 Sep20 Aug23 Jul26 May26 (jones michae)LEWIS M 120 6.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  AGAIN WE MEET Oct31 Oct11 Sep13 Jul25 Jun15 (heath georg)CACHA-PADILLA B 120 15.00    
ANGEL OF ATTACK Nov29 Oct31 Sep20 Aug25 Jul25 (jones e)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
SCR  SECRET SATURDAY Nov18 Oct31 Oct24 Sep21 Sep13 (bailon ne)BOCACHICA J 120 3.00    
RAMSEY Nov22 Oct11 Sep12 Aug27 Aug15 (joy j)STANLEY O 122 8.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  I HAD ENOUGH Nov10 Oct17 Aug31 Aug24 Jul31 (leaf ro)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 20.00    
10  PHOTO HOP Nov21 Oct19 Sep13 Aug24 Aug18 (aguirre a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   12/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERTRAM FLIGHT Nov29 Nov06 Sep27 Aug15 Jul04 (rose j)ACOSTA D 120 30.00    
SCR  CECIL THE GREAT Nov21 Oct24 Sep27 Aug23 Jun01 (clement rolan)THORPE DARIUS 124 10.00    
POWERED BY LOVE Nov13 Aug15 Jul04 May18 May02 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 8.00    
KING KONTIE Aug31 Jul20 Jun16 Nov25 Oct14 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 2.50 20% 4.10    
MIC'D UP Nov06 Sep27 Aug03 Jun21 Apr19 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 3.50 38% 1.60    
SHOW TIME ALLEN Nov06 Sep27 Aug24 Aug03 Jul12 (harrison n)LARROSA G 118 15.00    
AIM FOR THE CORK Oct19 Oct03 Sep13 Sep01 May25 (mancill)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 20.00    
YOUTHFUL ENERGY Nov07 Oct24 Sep02 Aug24 Aug03 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 4.50 8% 10.90    
DORADO Nov07 May24 May09 Apr20 Mar29 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 4.00 10% 9.30    
10  RIVER MALBUMOONRVF Nov09 Oct18 Sep27 Aug24 Jul25 (runco jeff )ROBLES O 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   12/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEBT RELIEF Nov17 Oct27 Sep26 Jul11 Jun13 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 3.50    
CHAMPAGNE PLEASE Nov21 Sep26 Jul25 Jul11 Jun20 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 118 30.00    
ARGAN Dec06 Nov23 Nov01 Sep26 Sep04 (gutierrez)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 2.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  UNCONSCIOUS MIND Sep26 Jul11 Jun20 Apr20 Mar13 (davis e)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
HONORS LEGACY Oct24 Sep20 Aug12 Apr17 Feb14 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SAWEETIE GIRL Oct31 Oct15 Sep17 Aug27 Aug12 (gotera car)LEON A 120 30.00    
SWEET DAYDREAM Nov24 Oct10 Sep30 Sep09 Aug29 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 124 8.00    
INTEGRATED DESIGN Nov23 Nov14 Nov01 Jun24 Jun05 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
KLUVYAMEANANDNASTY Nov22 Nov01 Oct11 Sep26 Aug23 (atkins)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 12.00    
10  LOVE THE SAUCE Nov16         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
CT-8   12/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY CONCHO Nov22 Nov07 Oct31 Jul26 Jul09 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 4.00    
SARAH'S CANDY CAMP Nov15 Nov07 Oct25 Oct03 Aug15 (murdock)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 3.50 11% 8.50    
C R'S MANDATE Nov15 Oct31 Oct12 Jul19 Jun27 (schiano-d)BOCACHICA J 120 12.00    
XCELLENT START Nov16 Oct31 Oct12 Sep19 Aug17 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 6% 15.40    
MR. DUMBLEDORE Nov22 Oct18 Sep27 Aug24 Jul25 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 8.00    
BOSS E BOOGS Nov22 Oct31 Oct12 Aug23 May30 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
ROCKET APPEAL Nov27 Nov04 Oct18 Aug24 Aug16 (spriggs toschia)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00    
THEWITCHISGONE Nov22 Oct12 Sep19 Aug10 Jul26 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
MUAD'DIB Nov16 Oct12 Sep19 Aug23 Jun22 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 60% 0.70    
10  JUNGLE BEAST Nov16 Oct31 Sep19 Aug31 Aug03 (contreras jav)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
SCR  SUMMONING DENIS Nov30 Nov09 Nov01 Aug17 Jul19 (shanley ti)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
SCR  MARCHED Nov30 Nov16 Nov01 Oct24 Oct10 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00    
SCR  BAD LINEAGE Dec04 Nov22 Nov09 Oct18 Sep27 (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
SCR  NO LOVE FOR JUBA May19 May05 Apr12 Mar22 Mar09 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 120 6.00    
 
CT-9   12/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMBERLY Oct31 Sep28 Aug23 Jul20 Jun28 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
LET'S DO THIS Nov22 Oct31 Oct11 Sep14 Aug10 (aylor n)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
CEDAR'S WISH Nov22 Nov06 Oct19 Aug23 Aug01 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCARLET REBEL Nov22 Oct31 Sep21 Jun28 May07 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 12.00    
MAD SWANN Nov22 Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 Sep14 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 4.00    
RIVER REWARDS RVF Nov30 Nov21 Oct31 Sep28 Sep21 (smith osborn)LEWIS M 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
WITNESS THE ENERGY Nov21 Oct19 Jun28 May07 Apr18 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.50    
AT THE HALF Nov22 Nov01 Oct19 Sep28 Aug24 (davis rus)BOCACHICA J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIL BUNNY Nov25 Nov17 Oct27 Oct01 Sep25 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 120 30.00    
10  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Nov30 Nov22 Nov01 Oct12 Aug22 (dollinger-sth)ADAMS L 115 10.00 12% 7.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.