Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - December 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6)-(4/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/5/6)-(3/5/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/6)-(3/5/1/7)-(6/4/1/8/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/7)-(6/4/1/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/7)-(6/4/1/8/5)-(6/1/4/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/4/1/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/8/5)-(6/4/1/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/8/5)-(6/4/1/8/5)-(6/4/1/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/1/8/5)-(6/1/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/8/5)-(6/1/4/2)-(3/9/6/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/2)-(6/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/2)-(6/1/4/2)-(6/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/2)-(3/9/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4/2)-(3/9/6/7)-(4/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/9/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/6/7)-(3/9/4/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/6/7)-(3/9/4/6/7)-(3/9/4/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/9/6/7)-(4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/6/7)-(4/1/7)-(5/2/3/6/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/3/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/3/1/7)-(4/3/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(5/2/3/6/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(5/2/3/6/8)-(8/7/2/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/2/3/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/6/8)-(5/2/3/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/6/8)-(5/2/3/6/8)-(5/2/3/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/3/6/8)-(8/7/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3/6/8)-(8/7/2/5)-(1/9/7/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/5)-(8/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/5)-(8/7/2/5)-(8/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/2/5)-(1/9/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-9   WIN (1/9/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/7/6)-(1/9/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/7/6)-(1/9/7/6)-(1/9/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   12/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONNECT THE DOTS Nov15         (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
  (by CONNECT out of HAPPY NUMBERS by POLISH NUMBERS)
2  FORBIDDEN SPIRIT Nov22 Nov15 Oct26 Oct05 Sep21 (clatter)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  OUR BRIGHTEST STAR Nov15 Oct26 Oct04 Sep12 Aug09 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 5.00    
  (by JUBA out of WINDSOR'S PUNCH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
4  SPOTAFREEONE Nov15         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.20 56% 0.80    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of HARBIN ICE by FIRST DUDE)
5  TARS TARKAS         (craig armonte)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of FERZETTI by MUNNINGS)
6  SWIFT WATERS Nov15 Oct26 Oct05 Sep13   (kirlew le)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of WORK WIFE by PHILANTHROPIST)
SCR  RENEGADE RABBIT Nov22 Oct26 Oct05     (o'neill m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of SISTER AIM by BROTHER DEREK)
8  BOLD DESERT Oct25 Oct12 Sep21 Sep13   (johnson dewayn)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.50    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of DOUBLE DESERT by DESERT WINE)
 
CT-2   12/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Nov13 Oct19 Oct10 Sep26 Aug16 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  HAZELMOOR BEACH Oct31 Oct10 Sep29 Aug13 Jul26 (shankle)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 3.50    
3  TRAIN WRECK Nov15 Oct22 Oct01 Aug30 Aug01 (lane j)STANLEY O 122 1.60 60% 0.70    
4  SISTER SPIRIT Oct25 Oct04 Sep13 Aug09 Jul19 (aylor l)MAWING A 122 30.00    
5  INTERCEPTION Nov15 Oct04 Sep19 Aug15 Jun21 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00 13% 7.00    
6  RAINBOWSNSUNSHINE Nov09 Aug22 Jul12 Jun13 Mar02 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00    
7  RED PRIESTESS Oct26 Oct18 Oct05 Nov17 Oct26 (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  DREAM OF GOLD Jun14 May17 Apr26 Mar30 Mar14 (boggs joanna)LEWIS M 122 15.00    
 
CT-3   12/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASTLE OF CORK Nov23 Nov15 Sep21 Jun27 Apr25 (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 120 4.50 8% 11.40    
2  MASON ALEXANDER Nov16 Oct17 Sep26     (barahona is)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 30.00    
3  KVELLION Oct25 Aug24 Jul29 Jun17   (gazzie)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 5.00    
4  BLAZE FOR DAZE Nov06 Oct25 Oct11 Sep14 Aug09 (barber bobby)LEWIS M 122 6.00 12% 7.20    
5  CANDY OUTLINE Nov23 Jun21 Jun01 May10 Apr25 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  FUNKLE Nov16 Oct25 Apr05 Mar15 Jan11 (robbins cli)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  ROARK Nov16 Oct05 Sep04 Aug17   (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00    
8  PEDAL TO THE MOON Nov23 Nov07 Oct17 Oct05 Jul12 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 5% 18.00    
9  NO CONVERSATION Nov27 Nov06 Oct18     (jackson)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 12.00    
 
CT-4   12/06/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOGSTRADAMUS Nov15 Oct25 Oct04 Aug24 Aug10 (meehan )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 1.80 13% 6.50    
2  ROBBIELIKESHIM Oct31 Oct12 Sep27 Mar23 Feb17 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 8.00 7% 13.80    
SCR  CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Nov16 Oct18 Jul26 Jul06 Jun29 (hanagan lela)LEWIS M 118 20.00    
4  NOCASHREFUNDS Nov15 Apr06 Mar02 Dec16 Nov18 (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.50 11% 7.80    
5  RIVER WARRIOR RVF Oct30 Sep27 Nov09 Oct21 Mar31 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 10.00    
6  JUDGEMENT DAY Nov15 Oct25 Oct12 Oct04 Sep19 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 1.60 48% 1.10    
7  FEARNOUGHT Nov30 May03 Apr19 Mar29 Mar13 (clatterbuck)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 30.00    
8  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Nov15 Oct25 Oct04 Sep19 Aug24 (clatterbu)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
 
CT-5   12/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROBCO BOY Oct20         (rangel ricardo)GILPIN SEAN 122 20.00    
SCR  WHISKEY AND WINE Oct30 Aug11 Jun19 May14 May04 (schottroffe)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 124 15.00    
3  R CHELLO Nov15 Oct24 Oct16 Oct03 Sep23 (rojas m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 1.60 64% 0.60    
4  NO BLUSHING HERE Nov15 Oct25 Oct03 Sep13   (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 ★    
5  AWESOME FRIEND Nov30 Nov15 Jul07 Jun22 Jan24 (s)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 122 15.00    
6  CALL ME KAT Nov15 Oct30 Oct03 Sep13 Jul27 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  COOLKID Nov15 Oct25 Apr06 Mar14 Feb10 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  BESOTTED Aug24 Aug09 Jul13 Jun13 Apr18 (atkins micha)LEWIS M 120 15.00    
9  DRAWINCONCLUSIONS         (cornwell jame)THORPE DARIUS 124 10.00 12% 7.30    
10  LEPRECHAUN Nov15 May29 May19 Aug12   (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 3.00    
 
CT-6   12/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  O K SMARTY PANTS Nov01 Oct12 Sep28 Aug20 Jul19 (sterling mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BEATIFUL KARLA Nov09 Oct19 Sep25 Aug24 Aug11 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00    
3  MISS BEE BOP Nov13 Oct31 Oct11 Sep21 Aug23 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 6.00 ★    
4  MOONLIT KISS Nov23 Nov01 Oct09 Sep25 Sep12 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 1.40 73% 0.40    
5  LITTLE HOT MESS Nov08 Oct02 Sep13 Aug29 Aug14 (sullivan el)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
6  SLEWING Nov23 Nov09 Jun15 Nov10 Sep30 (groves janice)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
7  DIXIE YODELER Nov06 Oct19 Oct12 Sep12 Aug23 (davis e)ACOSTA D 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KRISTINACHRYSALIS Nov14 Oct31 Oct18 Sep27 Sep13 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 5.00    
9  ARGAN Nov23 Nov01 Sep26 Sep04 Aug15 (gutierrez)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 6.00    
 
CT-7   12/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOODLESWASMYNAME Nov22 Oct25 Sep12 Aug09   (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 3.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of ROCK N' GOLD by MEDALLIST)
2  GOING TO OMBRA         (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 16% 5.30    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of PARKAVENUEPRINCESS by ASCOT KNIGHT)
3  ED'S PROPHECY         (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 10.00 16% 5.30    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of THAT'S JUST DANDY by HALF OURS)
4  HEY MR POSTMAN Nov22 Nov15       (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of EARLY ANNUITY by LUFTIKUS)
5  DIRECT APPEAL Nov22 Oct25 Oct12 Oct04 Sep12 (clatterbu)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 1.40 31% 2.20    
  (by REDIRECT out of BROOKE'S APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
6  PAPA TAY         (johnson jame)LEWIS M 122 8.00 16% 5.30    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of STORMIN SANDY by DEPOSIT TICKET)
7  THE HOUND Nov15         (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of TWO TURN TAMMY by JERSEY TOWN)
8  GIMMETHATSUGAR Nov15         (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of COTTON CANDY by BANDINI)
9  BULL RIDER Oct25 Sep12 Aug23 Jul25   (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 30.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of PASCUALA by NICANOR)
 
CT-8   12/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALK MUCH Oct23 Aug19 Aug05 Jul10 Jun25 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 120 20.00    
2  MUSICMANSANDY Nov01 Sep11 Aug03 Jul19 Jun18 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHARED AUTHORITY Nov21 Oct31 Oct04 Aug30 Aug17 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 15.00    
SCR  SWEET DAYDREAM Nov24 Oct10 Sep30 Sep09 Aug29 (dollinger-sthr l)ACOSTA D 124 20.00    
5  CASTLE TOY Nov01 Oct24 Sep28 Sep21 Aug24 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  PRINCESS MARGARET Nov23 Nov09 Nov01 Oct11 Sep28 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
7  SPEEDY BUBBLES Nov26 Oct24 Oct04 Sep14 Aug09 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 11% 8.00    
8  MENDYS HONEY Nov09 Oct12 Sep13 Aug30 Aug01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60 63% 0.60    
9  PHANTOM QUEEN Nov14 Oct19 Sep28 Dec06 Nov10 (cornwel)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 5.00    
 
CT-9   12/06/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 F PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COAL COUNTRY Nov15 Nov06       (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by JUBA out of THREE BELLES by FLATTER)
SCR  KAYLEE'S FIREBALL         (clatterbu)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 15.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of KAYLEE'S ATTITUDE by STROLL)
3  MI CATRINA Nov06         (mangual)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of LA JESSICA by ECCLESIASTIC)
4  RUNAWAY GOLD Oct04         (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 15.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of LIL CHAMP by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
5  LITTLE MAGGIE         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 5.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of MAGINOT LINE by FIRST DEFENCE)
6  RUBY BAY         (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of PEPPER BAY by BOP)
7  FELL IN LOVE         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 11% 8.40    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of MISS HENNY PENNY by HALF OURS)
SCR  CREED CALLING         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GALLANT CALLING by OVERDRIVEN)
9  I'M A COOL QUEEN Nov06         (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LUYU by INDIAN CHARLIE)
10  BULLY'S NOTION         (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of SILENT NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
SCR  PRESHOW HYPE         (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 10.00    
  (by BAYERN out of PRESHOW by BERTRANDO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.