Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Parx Racing
Tuesday - November 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRX-1   WIN (5/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4)-(5/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/1/4)-(5/7/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/4)-(5/7/2/3)-(5/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-2   WIN (5/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/3)-(5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/3)-(5/2/4)-(1/4/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-3   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(1/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(1/4/3/2)-(5/2/8/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-4   WIN (1/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/3/2)-(5/2/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3/2)-(5/2/8/7)-(3/4/1/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PRX-5   WIN (5/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7)-(5/2/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/8/7)-(3/4/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8/7)-(3/4/1/2)-(2/4/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-6   WIN (3/4/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2)-(3/4/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/2)-(2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/2)-(2/4/6)-(2/1/8/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PRX-7   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
PRX-8   WIN (2/1/8/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/3/4)-(2/1/8/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/3/4)-(2/1/8/3/4)-(2/1/8/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRX-1   11/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIXIE MUSIC Oct23 Sep30 Sep11 Aug21 Jul17 (bravo-estrada)RIVERA D 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
DREAMINGOFFREEDOM Oct15 Sep27 Aug26 Jul28 Apr02 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 117 4.50    
HYACINTH BUCKET Jan03 Dec11 Nov08     (linder louis)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.50 17% 4.70    
OUR LADY IN RED Sep18 Aug15 Jun18 Feb21 Feb07 (coletti edward)ADORNO ABNER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
PAINT ME BEAUTIFUL Sep21 Sep07 Aug17 Jul27 Jun08 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 3.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  GO CHLOE GO Oct15 Sep25 Sep11 Aug20 Jul17 (gonzalez-milian jo)CARTER T 122 6.00    
BAHAMIAN BABY Oct23 Sep30 Sep15 Sep02 Aug18 (nicholson j)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 6.00    
SCR  MARYVIC Oct23 Oct09 Sep02 Aug18 Jul27 (soto- martinez)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 5.00    
PICARDY Oct23 Oct09 Sep30 Sep09 Aug15 (bedard)GONZALEZ JR 122 15.00    
 
PRX-2   11/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADOW BOX Oct28 Oct08 Sep24 Sep09 Aug29 (diaz j)GONZALEZ JR 125 6.00    
RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Oct22 Oct07 Sep18 Sep11 Aug28 (rodriguez mig)RIVERA D 122 5.00 10% 9.50    
WOOD BE WILD Sep18 Jul13 Jun22 May18 Apr16 (linder jr)BOWMAN ADAM 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
JW'STRICKYMISCHIEF Sep17 Jul23 Jun26 May07 Apr16 (guerrero guad)RUIZ ELISEO 122 0.60    
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Oct28 Oct17 Oct05 Sep15 Sep07 (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 122 6.00 37% 1.70    
PYLON Oct16 Sep30 Sep18 Aug04 Jul24 (rodrigue)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 5.00    
THUNDERING MARCH Oct23 Oct01 Sep18 Sep04 Aug21 (williams om)WILLIAMS AJHARI 125 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
PRX-3   11/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19K) 2 ALL PT-12:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROTHER VINNY Oct14         (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 122 5.00    
MASTER OF TWEETS Aug21         (simoff a)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 5.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  SWEET WINNER         (velazquez dani)ORTIZ JOSHUA 112 5.00    
CHILLING TIME         (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCUDETTO Oct23 Oct07 Aug28 Aug03   (flores-cob)SANCHEZ J 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
WILD CAPTAIN Oct10 Sep07 Aug25     (aristone phili)MOYA F 122 4.50    
SCR  BERNIE GOES BOOM Oct11 Aug31       (miceli m)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 3.00    
 
PRX-4   11/05/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GROUP TICKET Oct16 Sep14 Sep07 Aug23 Aug17 (ramirez silv)HADDOCK DEXTER 119 2.00 49% 1.00    
MAJESTIC LION Oct16 Jun17 May28 May04 Apr08 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
ASCRIBE Oct19 Sep26 Sep08 Aug18 Jul23 (rodriguez migu)ADORNO ABNER 122 12.00 8% 11.40    
RENEGADE SERENADE Oct16 Sep23 Sep09 Aug20 Jul24 (diaz jo)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 6.00 10% 9.40    
DANCE A DINI Oct16 Sep24 Aug27 Jul23 Jun17 (montoya )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 5.00    
FERRARI KID Oct16 Sep28 Sep03 Jun26 Jun16 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 4.00    
BIG BEEMSTER Oct16 Sep25 Aug18 Feb05 Jan09 (crook-demasi ka)RUIZ ELISEO 122 3.00    
DARVESH Sep28 Sep12 Aug21 Jul07 Jun20 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
 
PRX-5   11/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ADIOS JERSEY         (chacon gusta)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 15.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of ALEXANDRA'S MIST by SMOKE GLACKEN)
ZANDUHOC Oct14 Sep15       (servis j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 3.00 25% 2.90    
  (by KHOZAN out of POINTE DU HOC by SOLDAT)
LATTA Oct20 Sep22 Aug17 Jul28 Nov11 (solis jacint)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of DARYANNA by FRIENDS LAKE)
ELVIS HIMSELF Jul13 Jun22       (salazar marco)SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of MOSTLY ELVIS by PEACE RULES)
EXPLORATION Jan20         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 0.80 36% 1.70    
  (by CURLIN out of TANGERE by MALIBU MOON)
I CAN DO MAGIC Oct14 Sep18 Sep04 Aug20 Apr28 (guerrero g)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 8.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of BE BOP A LULA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
D DAY Oct20 Aug10 Jun27 Jun05   (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
JOLLY GREY GIANT Mar25         (vega ric)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00 17% 5.10    
  (by FRIESAN FIRE out of EYE OF THE CHUB by HEY CHUB)
 
PRX-6   11/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWENTYEIGHTTOTHREE Oct16 Jul17 Jul10 Jun16 Jun04 (lake scot)VARGAS A 118 5.00 12% 7.30    
RYAN'S FLEET Oct08 Sep17 Aug18 May29 May30 (leung a)RUIZ ELISEO 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
SMOKE WAGON Oct16 Sep23 Aug27 Aug02 Jul10 (solis jacinto)PENNINGTON F 125 1.80 45% 1.20    
EJTIMAA Apr12 Mar22 Feb17 Feb04 Sep08 (dini mike)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50 13% 6.90    
CURLINS CRUZIN Oct16 Sep16 Aug18 Jul22 Jun25 (perez rupert)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 5.00    
SOZE Oct16 Oct02 Sep08 Aug24 Aug09 (soto- ma)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 2.00    
BALI AMOUR Oct08 Sep25 Jul24 May18 Apr29 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00    
 
PRX-7   11/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELOQUIST Sep23 Aug21 Jun24 May27 Apr16 (crook-demasi ka)RUIZ ELISEO 120 5.00    
MOVISITOR Aug26 Jul07 Jun15 May07 Apr22 (montoya marya)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.00 26% 2.90    
EXCELLORATOR Oct18 Sep13 Aug23 Jul05 Apr20 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.00    
NINETYPRCENTMADDIE Oct19 Sep21 Aug26 Jul06 Jun08 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 125 5.00 18% 4.50    
CELESTIAL MOON Oct19 Oct05 Sep04 Jul26 Nov26 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 120 3.00    
PRAETORIAN GUARD Oct22 Sep21 Aug24 Jul23 Jun12 (linder louis )RIVERA D 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-8   11/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAMINGO WAY Sep10 Aug26 Jul08 May20 Nov22 (hawthorn)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 8.00 24% 3.20    
HOT FUDGE WARRIOR Oct16 Sep18 Aug24 Aug03 Jul11 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 125 3.50 36% 1.80    
UNDICI Sep04 Aug22 Jul09 Jun12 May20 (guerrer)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
ET'S MOON MAIDEN Sep21 Aug28 Jul10 Jun16 Apr30 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
DEWEY DOIT Oct08 Sep22 Jul19 Jun12 Apr22 (sillaman ri)WOLFSONT ANDREW 119 8.00    
MIDNIGHT IN ALASKA Oct08 Jun24 May08 Feb02 Aug21 (crook-de)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 4.50    
DISCO EBO Jul26 Jul08 Jun24 May18 Apr13 (reid e)PENNINGTON F 122 3.00    
EMPRESS DEONA Oct20 Sep07 Jul18 Jun20 May13 (lake a)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00 10% 9.50    
MARY Q Oct02 Sep10 Sep01 Jul18 Jul01 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.