Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Downs Tb
Saturday - November 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTD-1   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-2   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-3   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(1/2/3)-(4/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTD-4   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-5   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-6   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-7   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(6/7/5)-(6/3/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTD-8   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/5)-(6/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTD-9   WIN (6/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1)-(6/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTD-1   11/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN MYA RUN Oct12 Sep28 Sep13 Aug10 Jul26 (ward anderson)PARRIS SACHIN 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
PASSAGE Oct26 Oct06 Sep21 Sep07 Aug17 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 122 0.20 40% 1.50    
E PAY ALL THE WAY Jul06 Jun07 May04 Oct07 Sep23 (laczo brant)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 12.00    
DERMOT'S DILEMMA Oct19 Sep29 Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 (d)GRIFFITH DELANE 122 15.00    
MAN AT THE PULPIT         (reid c)STEADMAN LEON 122 5.00 32% 2.20    
 
CTD-2   11/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISABELLE ANNE Oct26 Oct13 Sep21 Sep07 Aug17 (kettleson al)HUGHES RASHEED 122 1.20    
DISTORTED ROSE Oct27 Oct13 Sep29 Sep01 Aug17 (robson travis)ROCHA O 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
MORNING RAIN Oct20 Sep14 Aug09 Jul05 Jun21 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 6.00    
DIAMOND DI Oct20 Sep29 Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 (ward a)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 1.80 14% 6.10    
WISH ON A STAR Oct13 Sep07 Jun07 May25 Oct07 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 3.50 46% 1.20    
 
CTD-3   11/02/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACHECO Oct20 Oct06 Sep21 Sep07 Aug11 (kettleson al)HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.00    
REMARKABLE ELI Oct26 Oct12 Sep22 Aug31 Aug09 (gilkyso)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 12.00 9% 10.50    
IMPERIAL GO BOY Oct26 Oct12 Sep29 Sep21 Sep14 (robson travis)LUNAN RICHARD 125 20.00    
SILENT COUNT Oct06 Aug30 Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 (kingston k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 4.00    
H K RAPPER Oct20 Oct13 Sep28 Sep14 Aug25 (coney )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 36% 1.80    
FULLOUT FIRE Oct12 Oct06 Sep21 Sep08 Aug24 (robson travis)ROCHA O 125 15.00 28% 2.50    
 
CTD-4   11/02/2024 2310ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12K) Purse ($13.5K) 2 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUCK SPRINGS Oct12 Sep29 Aug31 Aug03   (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
MERT'S TREE LOT Oct12 Sep07       (mead colten)POON ANDREW 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
ITALIAN GRIZ Oct12 Sep07 Aug31 Aug10   (heggie rod)NATERA KEIHTON 122 8.00 15% 5.60    
KIKIS GOLDEN TOUCH Oct20 Oct13 Sep28 Sep06   (brown r)PARRIS SACHIN 109 3.00    
LOVINGTIME Oct26 Oct12       (tingle ken)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 119 15.00    
TANSI Oct27 Oct12 Sep18     (cone ro)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 119 2.50    
 
CTD-5   11/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE HARPER Oct13 Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 Aug03 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 8.00 11% 8.20    
WALKINTHEWALK Oct12 Sep29 Sep14 Sep07 Jul20 (coney j)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 4.50    
NO PEOPLE Oct19 Sep29 Sep13 Sep07 Aug23 (rumsey )CHASE RICHARD 125 10.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  MISS MCBRIDE Oct20 Oct06 Aug31 Aug02 Jun07 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.00 43% 1.30    
DAZZLING CHIC Oct19 Sep29 Aug23 Jul13 Jun29 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 15.00    
BURNING UP Oct26 Oct06 Sep13 Aug31 Aug09 (hiesinger jod)LUNAN RICHARD 122 3.00    
 
CTD-6   11/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHEELSUPINTHIRTY Oct19 Oct13 Sep13 Sep06 Aug10 (biggs seymour)LUNAN RICHARD 125 12.00    
STEVIE WONDER GIRL Oct19 Sep22 Sep07 Aug17 Jul27 (kettleson al)HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.00 45% 1.20    
WHISKARITA Oct19 Sep28 Sep06 Aug17 Aug09 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 5.00    
SASSY CINDERELLA Oct26 Oct13 Sep29 Sep01 Aug11 (rycroft tom)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
QUEEN RHONDA Oct20 Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 Aug17 (smith r)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 8.00    
HENRY'S GAMBLE Oct19 Oct13 Sep28 Sep07 Aug04 (coney jason)NELSON DANE 125 3.00 19% 4.20    
 
CTD-7   11/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIR BREGOVIC Oct12 Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 Aug09 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.00    
SQUALOTORO Oct19 Oct06 Sep21 Sep06 Aug24 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 4.50    
KAUAI DAN Oct20 Oct06 Sep21 Aug24 Jul24 (smith rob)NELSON DANE 125 1.40 25% 3.00    
BRODY'S STREAK Oct13 Aug20 Aug05 Jul16 Jun26 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 115 10.00 22% 3.60    
FOUR O SIX CREED Oct19 Sep21 Aug24 Jul12 Jun28 (kingston k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 123 6.00    
CONRADO Oct12 Aug18 Jul28 Jul14 Jun28 (heggie rod)NATERA KEIHTON 125 15.00 8% 10.90    
 
CTD-8   11/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMEER Oct27 Oct13 Sep28 Sep13 Sep06 (biggs seymour)MARTIN ANDRE 125 8.00    
MAGNIFICENT MARIO Oct27 Oct19 Oct05 Sep22 Sep06 (cone rodney)HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.50    
COMMON KNOWLEDGE Oct12 Sep28 Sep14 Aug23 Jul19 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 4.50    
SCR  ASKMENOQUESTIONS Oct19 Oct13 Sep28 Sep14 Aug16 (ananas edw)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 15.00    
A LATE ONE Oct27 Oct13 Sep22 Sep06 Aug10 (ward an)CHASE RICHARD 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
BARE BACK JACK Oct12 Sep28 Sep14 Aug24 Aug02 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 3.50 35% 1.80    
DELVECCHIO Oct19 Sep23 Sep17 Sep03 Aug13 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 115 3.00 25% 2.90    
 
CTD-9   11/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONE IT UP Oct06 Sep22 Oct21 Sep30 Aug26 (nicholson dav)PARRIS SACHIN 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
TELLTALE Oct19 Sep22 Aug24 Aug09 Jul27 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.00    
DANCE SHOES Oct12 Sep14 Aug17 Jul26 Jul10 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 125 3.50 37% 1.70    
NOVEL Oct19 Sep07 Aug03 Jun28 Jun08 (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
ARUNDEL CASTLE Oct06 Sep22 Aug31 Aug24 Aug03 (g)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 4.50    
WHO'S THAT BABY Oct19 Oct06 Aug30 Aug24 Aug09 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
AFTER A FEW Oct19 Aug17 Jul26 Jul10 Jun14 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.