Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - November 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(6/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(6/7/4)-(3/2/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/2/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/2/7/4)-(6/2/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/4)-(3/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4)-(3/2/5/7)-(6/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/5/7)-(6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/7)-(6/1/5)-(4/3/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(4/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(4/3/1/5)-(8/4/3/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/1/5)-(8/4/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/5)-(8/4/3/6)-(6/7/3/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/6)-(8/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/6)-(8/4/3/6)-(8/4/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/3/6)-(6/7/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3/6)-(6/7/3/4)-(1/8/9/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4)-(6/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/4)-(1/8/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/8/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/9/6)-(1/8/5/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/9/6)-(1/8/5/9/6)-(1/8/5/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   11/01/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVA ROSE Jun21 Apr11 Mar23 Feb28 Jan31 (craig lew)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Oct12 Aug22 Aug03 Jul19 Jul13 (dollinger)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 10.00 19% 4.20    
CASTLE TOY Oct24 Sep28 Sep21 Aug24 Aug18 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 115 1.80    
TIZ THE REASON Oct24 Sep28 Aug24 Aug02 Jun28 (schottroffe edw)GILPIN SEAN 124 12.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  IHEARTRAINACOMN Oct19 Oct10 Sep28 Sep20 Aug16 (dollinger-sthr)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.00    
AT THE HALF Oct19 Sep28 Aug24 Aug03 Jun22 (davis e)ACOSTA D 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
BEST VIRGINIA Oct04 Sep28 Aug09 Jul11 May09 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.60    
 
CT-2   11/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KLUVYAMEANANDNASTY Oct11 Sep26 Aug23 Aug01   (atkins mi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 15.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KLUVYABYE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
SWAN Sep20 Aug16 Jul17 Jun27 May11 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 122 2.50    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of VENOM GIRL by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
CITY OF ARCHES Oct04 Sep14 Aug10 Aug01 Jul11 (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 3.50    
  (by SIENTE EL TRUENO out of BREEZY ARCH by ADMIRALTY ARCH)
LAST GLANCE Oct05 Sep04 Aug24     (williams l)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SCATBACK by SCAT DADDY)
GETTOTHSTORYIMDONE Sep06 Aug14 Jul07 Jun14 May22 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00    
  (by CURLIN out of NAKANO TAKEKO by FIRST SAMURAI)
JUST A RAINBOW Aug23         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 68% 0.50    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of GRISHAM by GRINDSTONE)
WAC IS FAST Oct03 Sep20 Aug16 Aug01 Jul18 (perez ernesto)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of WAC by LOST SOLDIER)
 
CT-3   11/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY FOR JUBA Oct11 Aug17 Jul20 Jun28 Jun07 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.80    
SUMMONING DENIS Aug17 Jul19 Jun27 Jun06 May24 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 5.00 24% 3.20    
VALHALLA'S PALACE Oct19 Oct11 Sep26 Aug17 Jul30 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 3.50 32% 2.10    
MARCHED Oct24 Oct10 Aug30 Aug04 Jul19 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00    
LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Oct11 Aug16 Jul19 Jul05 Jun29 (rideout antho)THORPE DARIUS 122 6.00 11% 8.50    
LET'S EAT Oct11 Sep12 Jul04 Jun13 Apr27 (gillespie ryan )GILPIN SEAN 122 20.00    
NEVERPOPTHECORK Oct11 Aug17 Jul19 Jun28 Mar14 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
HOT FUDGE SONDE Oct11 Oct04 Aug28 Jun15 May10 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 124 8.00    
 
CT-4   11/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONLIT KISS Oct09 Sep25 Sep12 Aug17 Jul25 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Oct19 Oct03 Aug23 Jul20 Jul13 (jackson ang)CACHA-PADILLA B 124 30.00    
SCR  CHAMPAGNE PLEASE Sep26 Jul25 Jul11 Jun20 May30 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 118 30.00    
SAFFRON Oct10 Sep20 Aug16 Jul25 Jul06 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 20.00    
LONA LEE Oct24 Oct12 Sep13 Aug02 Jul05 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 9% 9.60    
OVERNIGHT POW WOW Oct12 Sep20 Aug23 Jul27 Jul13 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 0.20 46% 1.20    
O K SMARTY PANTS Oct12 Sep28 Aug20 Jul19 Jun15 (sterling michael )HO WESLEY 124 12.00    
SCR  NO BODY LIKES ME Oct10 Aug22 Aug01     (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 118 20.00    
 
CT-5   11/01/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROTA Oct11 Sep21 Aug16 Jul27 Jul05 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00 8% 11.70    
I AM THAT I AM Oct10 Sep20 Aug31 Aug23 Jul27 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
MINXZLUCKYSTARFYRE Oct05 Sep20 Sep08 Aug21 Aug03 (magee kie)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 4.50 12% 7.10    
WORKISLIFE Oct05 Jul12 Jun22 May12 Apr05 (geralis e)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60 54% 0.90    
WELLING Oct10 Sep20 Aug29 Aug16 Jul27 (spriggs toschia )ACOSTA D 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MINEOLA MIKE Sep11 Aug28 Jul25 May04 Mar22 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00    
ROAD SLEW Oct10 Oct03 Sep13 Aug22 Aug09 (ramos agosto)LEWIS M 117 8.00    
SCR  STRIVE FOR STRIDE Oct17 Sep26 Aug17 Jul26 Jul05 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 12.00    
UNCLE WATER FLOW Oct10 Sep20 Sep11 Aug21 Aug01 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00    
 
CT-6   11/01/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTEGRATED DESIGN Jun24 Jun05 Apr20 Mar20 Feb23 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 10.00    
SCR  CRACKALACKING Aug08 Jul13 Jun13 May23 Apr17 (joy kev)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 1.60    
SWEET SHUGS Sep21 Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 May12 (binning matt)LEWIS M 115 15.00 7% 14.20    
GREEK MOJO Jun07 May17 Apr19 Mar22 Mar07 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00 13% 6.90    
WINDSOR'S PLAY Oct19 Oct04 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00    
PRINCESS MARGARET Oct11 Sep28 Sep21 Aug24 Jul12 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
ARGAN Sep26 Sep04 Aug15 Jul20 Jun15 (gutierrez)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.00    
MUSICMANSANDY Sep11 Aug03 Jul19 Jun18 May05 (hurley jack)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 6.00 53% 0.90    
 
CT-7   11/01/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY IT LOUD Sep12 Apr04 Mar14 Feb23 Feb09 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00    
ROYAL PAIN Oct12 Oct03 Aug17 Jul26 May19 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 124 4.00    
RIDICULOUS Oct03 Sep21 Jun27 Jun07 May24 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 10.00 10% 9.50    
RAGTIME RICHES Oct03 Sep02 Aug22 Jun29 May24 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
OVERLY CRITICAL Oct17 Oct03 Sep01 May16 Apr15 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 4.50    
MAGICAL MONARCH Oct20 Sep02 Aug16 Jul20 Jun29 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
CANDY TYCOON Sep16 Aug23 Jul08 Jun16 May25 (craig armont)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00 21% 3.70    
GROUP EIGHTEEN Sep25 Sep11 Aug23 Jun30 Jun01 (figgins o)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50    
 
CT-8   11/01/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENNY HAD A NOTION Oct10 Jul25 Jun20 May04 Apr12 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.00 45% 1.20    
WE B SHACKIN Oct05 Sep18 Sep04 Aug15 Aug03 (sanchez)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 4.50    
BATTLE OF BASTOGNE Oct19 Sep20 Sep05 Aug23 Apr19 (bailon he)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
REBELDE Oct17 Aug16 Jul21 Feb01 Dec23 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 6.00    
MONTAUK DADDY Oct11 Oct04 Aug17 Jul06 Jun23 (spriggs tosc)LEWIS M 117 3.50    
CAYENNE CREEK Oct10 Aug16 Jul27 Jul06 Mar28 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLDEN APPEAL Oct25 Oct10 Sep20 Aug24 Jul26 (craig e)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
DESERT RULER Oct10 Sep20 Jul18 Jun27 Jun15 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 5.00 20% 3.90    
SMOOTH RICO Oct11 Jul24 Jun18 May09 Apr06 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  REMYS SHOWTIME Oct12 Aug24 Aug10 Jul24 Mar30 (craig armont)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00    
SCR  SPEAKERIT Sep29 Sep01 Aug13 Jul19 Jun14 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
SCR  AL LOVES JOSIE Oct06 Aug23 Jul26 Oct14 Sep10 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.00    
SCR  STRIKING SPEED Oct17 Oct04 Sep27 Sep18 Jul26 (nazario p)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.