Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - October 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/4)-(5/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/4)-(5/2/6/4)-(5/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/4)-(5/3/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/4)-(5/3/6/2)-(6/2/1/4/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/6/2)-(6/2/1/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6/2)-(6/2/1/4/5)-(7/5/6/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/2/1/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/4/5)-(6/2/1/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/4/5)-(6/2/1/4/5)-(6/2/1/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/2/1/4/5)-(7/5/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1/4/5)-(7/5/6/2)-(5/9/3/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/2)-(7/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/2)-(7/5/6/2)-(7/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/6/2)-(5/9/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/2)-(5/9/3/1)-(2/5/10/7/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/9/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/3/1)-(5/9/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/3/1)-(5/9/3/1)-(5/9/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/3/1)-(2/5/10/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/9/3/1)-(2/5/10/7/9)-(8/11/10/4/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (2/5/10/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/10/7/9)-(2/5/10/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/10/7/9)-(2/5/10/7/9)-(2/5/10/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/5/10/7/9)-(8/11/10/4/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/5/10/7/9)-(8/11/10/4/9)-(6/8/5/1/10) 125 $1.00 $125 
CT-7   WIN (8/11/10/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/11/10/4/9)-(8/11/10/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/11/10/4/9)-(8/11/10/4/9)-(8/11/10/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/11/10/4/9)-(6/8/5/1/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/8/5/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/1/10)-(6/8/5/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/1/10)-(6/8/5/1/10)-(6/8/5/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   10/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZAFASTBULLET Oct03 Jul13 May31 Apr19 Mar14 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 118 10.00    
2  CASINO TRICKS Sep12 Aug15 Jul07 Jun15 May05 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00 11% 8.30    
3  DISCREET DEVIL Oct03 Sep26 Sep12 Sep01 Aug23 (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
4  ALL THE WAY Oct09 Sep29 Aug30 Aug03 Nov03 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  MAJESTIC PHAROAH Oct09 Sep01 Aug06 Jun16 May20 (co)LUNA PAUL 120 3.50 50% 1.00    
6  LANDON JACK Oct03 Sep01 Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 4.00 10% 8.50    
7  MONCRIEF Sep29 Sep20 Aug30 Aug17 Jul26 (robb troy)HO WESLEY 122 1.80    
 
CT-2   10/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SETTLEMENT DATE Sep28 Sep14 Jun07 May16 May03 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 6.00    
2  GOLD FIBER Oct11 Aug16 Jul27 Jul12 Jun20 (peltroche va)LEWIS M 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  DE'S CASTLE Sep28 Sep14 Sep10 Aug27 Jul20 (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 5.00 18% 4.60    
4  REMYS GUNSMOKE Sep27 Sep14 Aug03 Jul12 Jun15 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 4.50    
5  AREYOUGONNAKISSME Sep21 Aug23 Jul27 Jul04 May18 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.60 48% 1.10    
6  JUBA BOUND Sep28 Sep14 Aug23 Jul24 Jul04 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 124 6.00 7% 12.40    
7  AIM FOR THE CORK Oct03 Sep13 Sep01 May25 Apr13 (salazar marco)MENA E 120 12.00    
8  TIMMY Sep14 Jul05 May25 May04 Apr18 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 15.00    
 
CT-3   10/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUJI FIRE Sep28 Aug24 Aug15 Aug03 Jul13 (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 121 20.00 5% 18.70    
2  TOUCHED UP Sep28 Aug31 Aug22 Jul13 Jul04 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 121 2.00 15% 5.90    
3  RUN ROCKY RUN Sep19 Sep02 Jul04 Jun12 May25 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 124 1.80    
4  AMAZING JETT Oct06 Sep20 Aug18 Jul19 Jun29 (woodit)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  LATIN JET Sep20 Aug28 Jul27     (reynold)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  CROWN THAT SAINT Sep28 Aug31 Aug15 Jul27 Jun28 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 116 2.50 55% 0.80    
7  COLONIAL ROAD Sep21 Sep13 Aug24 Aug09 Jul26 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 122 20.00    
8  MEXICAN KRYPTONITE Oct03 Jun13 Apr26 Feb28 May19 (rangel rica)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 30.00    
9  COUSIN GIORGOS Oct10 Sep06 Aug16 Jul25 Jun07 (cooney sus)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 121 15.00    
 
CT-4   10/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS SOMETHING Sep28 Mar27 Mar06 Feb24 Feb14 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 120 30.00    
2  AT THE HALF Sep28 Aug24 Aug03 Jun22 Jun06 (davis e)ACOSTA D 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  WITNESS THE ENERGY Jun28 May07 Apr18 Mar30 Feb21 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 1.60    
4  GRANDIOSELY Aug24 Jun04 May05 Mar23 Feb21 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
5  STRESSED Sep03 Aug03 Jul25 May12 Mar14 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
6  GREEN GABLES Sep28 Aug22 Jul04 May09 Apr17 (schottroffe edw)GILPIN SEAN 124 4.50 11% 7.90    
7  FORTES Sep28 Aug03 Jun22 Jun06 May09 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 120 4.00 42% 1.40    
8  TRUE HEIRESS Aug24 Aug03 Jun22 May31 May10 (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
 
CT-5   10/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARITABLE WINDSOR Sep27 Aug23 Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 (sanderson wade )PELTROCHE F 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  EISELE Sep26 Jul05 May31 May10 Apr19 (hummer richa)LEWIS M 117 30.00    
3  STROLLINGINTHEWIND Sep27 Aug24 Aug01 Jun15 Jun03 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  PHOTO HOP Sep13 Aug24 Aug18 Jul11 Jun13 (aguirre a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 12.00    
5  PINNACLE REEF Oct05 Aug01 Jul06 May25 May03 (runco jef)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  TAPINTOYOURBEER Oct14 Sep11 Aug25 Aug13 Jul17 (gotera juan)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
7  MIKE THE BOMB Oct11 Oct05 Aug18 Jul27 Jul07 (mancilla )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
8  VALHALLA'S PALACE Oct11 Sep26 Aug17 Jul30 Jul03 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 1.60    
9  BUDDY BUDDY Sep21 Jul30 Jul20 Jun18 Oct28 (collins tim)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 124 8.00 23% 3.30    
 
CT-6   10/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDSOR'S PLAY Oct04 Aug09 Jul25 Jul11 May23 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 12.00    
2  DIXIE YODELER Oct12 Sep12 Aug23 Jul27 Jun13 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
3  PHANTOM QUEEN Sep28 Dec06 Nov10 Oct19 Aug25 (cornwell )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00    
4  CEDAR'S WISH Aug23 Aug01 Jul04 Jun13 Jun01 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.50    
5  MANAROLA Aug24 Aug03 Jun13 Feb15 Jan18 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 5.00 16% 5.20    
6  SILVER RULES Sep12 Feb09 Dec02 Nov10 Sep30 (bourne j)LARROSA G 120 30.00    
7  REMY'S HOTSHOT Sep25 Sep12 Aug20 Jul27 Jul16 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 12.00 10% 9.20    
8  GHOSTLY SQUALL Sep21 Aug24 Aug03 Jun28 Jun13 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 12.00    
9  SMOKIN LADY Oct03 Sep21 Jul20 Jun21 May23 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  CHEROKEE CASTLE Sep12 Aug23 Aug03 Jun28 Jun07 (rideout antho)THORPE DARIUS 120 4.00 11% 8.10    
 
CT-7   10/19/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROMAN CANDLE Sep20 Jun25 Jun14 May30 May17 (hillegass ale)THORPE DARIUS 118 30.00    
2  ABBY THE BULL DAWG Sep28 Aug09 Jul20 Jun22 May26 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 120 12.00    
3  FINE WHINING Sep28 Jun08 May14 Apr23 Mar26 (brown ron)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 3.50    
4  BIG TIPPA Sep16 Aug24 Aug12 Jul20 Jun29 (comi w)HO WESLEY 118 10.00 8% 11.60    
5  BREADMAN'S ROSEBUD Oct03 Aug23 Jul20 Jul13 Jun22 (jackson ang)CACHA-PADILLA B 120 20.00    
6  TESHIMA Sep28 Sep10 Sep03 Jul17 Jun24 (joy kevin )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
7  TRANSPARENCY Sep28 Aug23 Jun14 Apr30 Mar23 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 15.00    
8  FLOWER MOUND Sep28 Sep14 Aug17 Jul08 Jun14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80 24% 3.20    
9  IHEARTRAINACOMN Oct10 Sep28 Sep20 Aug16 Jul26 (dollinger-sthr)CHILO MAXIMO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  I CAN DO IT Aug11 Jul20 Jun28 May31 May09 (perri gina)ALVELO C 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
11  BEATIFUL KARLA Sep25 Aug24 Aug11 Jul21 Jul05 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
 
CT-8   10/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Oct10 Sep26 Aug16 Aug02 Jul25 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JUJU ON DA BEAT Oct04 Sep19 Aug24 Jul26 Jun28 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
3  CHELLS GIRL Oct10 Sep28 Aug14 Aug01 Jul24 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 6.00    
4  MY SWEETHEART DANI Sep19 Aug10 Jul21 Jun16 May05 (ramgeet andre )CHILO MAXIMO 120 30.00    
5  FROSTY MAYA Sep26 Aug30 Aug17 Jul14 Jun28 (perri gin)BOCACHICA J 120 3.50 12% 7.10    
6  GONE WITH THE WYN Oct03 Sep26 Sep14 Aug15 Aug09 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  MUCHO MACHO MRYTLE Sep28 Sep19 Aug25 Aug02 Jul24 (mancilla )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 6.00    
8  TIDBIT Sep28 Aug22 Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
9  IMINCHARGENOW Aug30 Aug16 Jul18 Feb22 Feb02 (schottroffe edward)CULLUM W 120 30.00    
10  LOVE NOTION Oct03 Sep12 Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  RED RIVER SUSI Sep27 Sep07 Aug24 Jul25 Jul11 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 15.00    
SCR  DASHING LASS Sep28 Aug12 Jul13 Jun01 May23 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.