Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delaware Park
Wednesday - October 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
DEL-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(3/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(3/5/1/7)-(9/6/8/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-2   WIN (3/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7)-(3/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/7)-(9/6/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/7)-(9/6/8/4)-(10/1/8/6/11) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
DEL-3   WIN (9/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/8/4)-(9/6/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/8/4)-(9/6/8/4)-(9/6/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/6/8/4)-(10/1/8/6/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/6/8/4)-(10/1/8/6/11)-(7/8/9/2/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
DEL-4   WIN (10/1/8/6/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/8/6/11)-(10/1/8/6/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/8/6/11)-(10/1/8/6/11)-(10/1/8/6/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/8/6/11)-(7/8/9/2/3) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/1/8/6/11)-(7/8/9/2/3)-(5/3/8/1/10) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
DEL-5   WIN (7/8/9/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/9/2/3)-(7/8/9/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/9/2/3)-(7/8/9/2/3)-(7/8/9/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/8/9/2/3)-(5/3/8/1/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/8/9/2/3)-(5/3/8/1/10)-(1/6/4/2) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
DEL-6   WIN (5/3/8/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/3/8/1/10)-(5/3/8/1/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/3/8/1/10)-(5/3/8/1/10)-(5/3/8/1/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/3/8/1/10)-(1/6/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8/1/10)-(1/6/4/2)-(10/8/6/4/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
DEL-7   WIN (1/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/2)-(1/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/2)-(1/6/4/2)-(1/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/4/2)-(10/8/6/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
DEL-8   WIN (10/8/6/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/8/6/4/3)-(10/8/6/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/8/6/4/3)-(10/8/6/4/3)-(10/8/6/4/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DEL-1   10/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY OPPORTUNITY Oct01 Sep10 Sep03 Jul22 Jun12 (perez flo)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 6.00 8% 11.40    
2  PASSING BAYOU Sep27 Sep12 Aug15 Jul25 Feb21 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 3.00    
3  HEIROZAN Sep07 Jul12 Jun01 Mar29 Jan17 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 120 1.80 53% 0.90    
4  TRECHMO GIRL Sep11 Aug22 Jul24 Jul10 Jun25 (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 123 5.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  SHAYMYNAME Oct02 Sep18 Sep04 Aug24 Aug10 (siculietano danie)PANAS A 123 12.00    
6  SKY BUY Sep27 Sep07 Aug29 Aug07 Jul18 (pickett cry)ROBLES O 118 8.00    
7  STEAL THE DEAL Oct01 Sep09 Sep02 Aug03 Jul22 (diaz jorge)ASTUDILLO FELIX 113 5.00    
 
DEL-2   10/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDS OF WICKLOW         (smith rob)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 117 8.00 17% 4.90    
2  SANDI SUE Oct03 Sep14       (bailon h)MENA E 117 4.00    
3  WINE SNOB         (wagner ka)HERNANDEZ A 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  LAGUARDIA Oct03         (sanchez-pin)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 10.00    
5  MISS HARD TO GET         (sanchez-pin)ROBLES O 114 3.00 22% 3.70    
6  SELECTIVELY SWEET Sep13 Aug28 Jul26 Jul11   (chichakly ami)PANAIJO JORGE 119 6.00    
7  BELLA CREED Oct09         (nambo ce)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
DEL-3   10/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($28K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCSGOTALLTHECANDY Aug21 Jul03       (pecoraro )HERNANDEZ A 116 8.00    
2  MILLIBAR Sep26 Sep04 Aug02     (lawrence l)RUIZ JORGE 120 4.50    
3  JUST FOR THE MONEY Oct04 Sep07 Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 (nambo ce)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 10.00    
4  TWENTY ONE KID Sep28 Sep03 Aug20     (wyner harold)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHIPOTLE (GB) Sep28 Aug31 Aug10     (gorham michael )MENA E 118 10.00    
6  SUPREME MIND Sep28 Sep01 Jul28     (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 116 10.00 23% 3.30    
7  SCOTT TWENTYTWO Sep28 Aug28       (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 6.00    
8  LET'S HAVE A PARTY Sep14 Aug31 Aug10 Jul18   (allard edwar)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
9  BANGKOK BOB Sep11 Aug14 Aug07 Jul18   (capuano gar)ROBLES O 113 2.50 35% 1.80    
 
DEL-4   10/16/2024 5940ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SABI Sep19 Aug14 Jul25 Jun02 Feb17 (stidham michae)CEDENO CAROL 121 3.50 26% 2.80    
2  HE'S FANCY FREE Aug28 Aug16 Jul19 Jul10 Jun25 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00    
SCR  HUSBAND MATERIAL Sep14 Aug24 Aug03 Jul06 Jun21 (simoff an)HERNANDEZ A 120 12.00    
SCR  ASPIRING COMEDIAN Oct04 Sep14 Aug29 Jul20 Jul04 (gerlach fre)ASTUDILLO FELIX 110 12.00    
SCR  GOOD KNIGHT NILE Sep15 Aug16 Jun23 May25 Nov16 (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 10.00    
6  GO TAKE CHARGE Sep14 Aug24 Aug16 Jul27 Jul11 (neilson kathy)MENA E 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BATTUTA D'ORO Aug17 Jul27 Jun26 Mar16 Feb16 (sanchez-pine)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 4.50    
8  MIDNIGHT AWARD Aug22 Jul19 Jul02 Jun13 May23 (solis jacin)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 10.00 5% 18.20    
9  FINGER ROLL Sep28 Sep14 Jun14 May18 Mar06 (deiter kell)ROBLES O 112 15.00    
10  K'S PICK Sep14 Aug24 Jun22 Apr21 Mar06 (smith g)CENTENO E 120 5.00 43% 1.30    
11  RUM TUM TUGGER Sep28 Aug29 Aug14 Jul25 Jun20 (katz r)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  NINTH OF APRIL Sep21 Aug30 Aug13 Jun22 Jun01 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 120 20.00    
SCR  HOMETOWN HERO Oct03 Aug30 Aug22 Jul25 Jul05 (moreno tito)RAMOS O 120 6.00    
SCR  SOCIAL JOE Sep18 Sep07 Aug22 Jul25 Jul03 (betancourt eli)AGUILAR JEAN 117 30.00    
 
DEL-5   10/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEEGEE'S STORY         (simoff andr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 6.00    
  (by SHANCELOT out of AVOREE NOEL by LION TAMER)
2  STELLA E VELOCE         (correa maxine)MARIN SAMUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of TAKE ME TO HARDOON by VIOLENCE)
3  WALKINAFTERMIDNITE         (brinkman )HERNANDEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED out of SITTIN AT THE BAR by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  GRAND EMPRESS Sep08 Aug15 Jul13     (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 10.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of OWAW'S EMPRESS by BODEMEISTER)
5  MAD FOR MADDY Sep11         (allard edward)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 8.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of MAD ABOUT MADNESS by WITH DISTINCTION)
6  CHLOE'S BANKER         (smith colli)ROBLES O 114 12.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of CLEARLY CHEATING by BROKEN VOW)
7  HYSTERICS         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 3.00 32% 2.20    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of CHUBBY STAR by MALIBU MOON)
8  BORDERLINE         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 119 4.00 24% 3.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of FRANK'S FOLLY by MINESHAFT)
9  DRINK THIS CUP         (stidham michae)CEDENO CAROL 119 5.00 6% 16.40    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of BLACK BIRD ROCK by FLOWER ALLEY)
 
DEL-6   10/16/2024 5490ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PANOTTI Sep28 Sep07 Nov19 Sep22 Sep09 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 120 15.00 9% 9.90    
2  TITOSCHANGEDMYLUCK Oct03 Sep05 Aug13 Jun15 Sep21 (lawrence l)RUIZ JORGE 120 12.00    
3  AVATAL HERO Sep28 Sep10 Jul18 Jun26 Jun11 (preciado )HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 27% 2.70    
4  NANA FANNY Oct05 Sep07 Aug24 Jul22 Jun21 (wyner har)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 117 12.00    
5  STELLA MARS Sep04 Aug16 Jun23 May25 Apr27 (jones e)CENTENO E 120 8.00 30% 2.30    
6  BEASTIE GIRL Sep06 May25 May03 Apr14 Mar30 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 120 15.00    
SCR  SHE'SAROLLINGSTONE Sep15 Aug10 Jun09 Apr26 Mar30 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 1.60    
8  STARRY HOPE Sep24 Sep16 Sep05 Aug17 Jul25 (simoff andr)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 8.00 11% 8.50    
9  TAK E LADY Aug24 Aug14 Jun19 Jun07 May23 (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00    
10  MOVING IN STEREO Sep28 Sep15 Sep08 Aug04 Jul28 (harris holly)COTTO L 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  BOARDWALK FRIES Sep07 Aug24 Jul31 Jun27 Jun13 (bailon nesv)ROBLES O 112 2.50    
SCR  PAGEANT PRINCESS Sep23 Jun26 Nov02 Sep19 Aug21 (crook-demasi ka)RUIZ ELISEO 120 4.50    
 
DEL-7   10/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRZINA Sep21 Jul13 Jun21 Jun01 May10 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 1.60 45% 1.20    
2  WINKIWINKI Aug22 Aug03 Jun21 Apr12 Mar01 (alvarado di)ROBLES O 118 8.00 5% 18.30    
3  DELTA CHARM Sep28 Sep05 Jun27 Jun07 Mar28 (smith g)CENTENO E 121 5.00    
4  SEA ART Aug22 Jul11 Jun19 Apr26 Apr03 (carrascoj)HERNANDEZ A 121 12.00 8% 10.80    
5  COOLCALM COLLECTED Sep08 Jun28 Jun07 May12 Oct08 (hills a)RUIZ JORGE 117 6.00    
6  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR Sep18 Aug24 Aug03 Jul11 Mar07 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.50 20% 4.00    
7  YOU'RE THE ONE Sep21 Sep04 Aug12 Jul18 Jun19 (ashby lynn)CEDENO CAROL 121 8.00    
 
DEL-8   10/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UWASNREDDI Jun26 May25 Apr28     (wagner kari)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 6.00    
SCR  LONG ASTRIDE Oct04 Sep08 Aug10 Aug03 Jul04 (serey mario )CASIQUE UBARDO 119 5.00    
3  GOLDEN AL Sep28 Sep18 Aug31 Aug15 Jul17 (bailon nesvil )CEDENO CAROL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  PACIFIC STATES Sep24 Aug28 Aug08 Jul24 Jul15 (solis jac)RODRIGUEZ R 124 10.00 6% 16.00    
5  OUTWORK U Sep28 Aug15       (carrascojr vic)HIRALDO JOHN 121 12.00    
6  EGOR OTAY Oct09 Sep21 Feb02 Sep09 Jul24 (co)LUNA PAUL 122 10.00 8% 11.20    
7  JOEL'S BOY Sep28 Sep08 Sep02 Aug24 Aug10 (swan kirsten)PANAIJO JORGE 121 15.00    
8  AWESOME HARRY Sep27 Sep14 Oct31     (nunn douglas)MENA E 121 10.00 21% 3.70    
9  FOE Aug15 Apr27 Mar22 Mar02 Feb12 (rubley ke)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
10  SUNSHINE JOHNNY Sep28 Sep13 Jun12     (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 4.50 41% 1.50    
11  DOWNPATRICK Oct09 Sep28 Sep18 Aug28 Aug14 (strauss bev)ASTUDILLO FELIX 114 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.