Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - September 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/2)-(7/6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/2)-(7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/2)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/2)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-2   WIN (4/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/8)-(1/6/4/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-3   WIN (4/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/8)-(4/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/8)-(4/7/8)-(4/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/8)-(1/6/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8)-(1/6/4/9)-(7/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (1/6/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/9)-(1/6/4/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/9)-(1/6/4/8/9)-(1/6/4/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/4/9)-(7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/9)-(7/6/5)-(5/8/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6/5)-(7/6/5)-(7/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/6/5)-(5/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/5)-(5/8/3/6)-(5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-6   WIN (5/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/6)-(5/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/6)-(5/8/3/6)-(5/8/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/3/6)-(5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3/6)-(5/4)-(7/9/2/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-7   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(7/9/2/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(7/9/2/1)-(8/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-8   WIN (7/9/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/2/1)-(7/9/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/2/1)-(7/9/2/1)-(7/9/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9/2/1)-(8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-9   WIN (8/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/1)-(8/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5/1)-(8/5/1)-(8/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   09/26/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SON OF GRACE Sep15 Sep08 Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 (hughes ear)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00    
2  WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR Sep15 Sep05 Aug15 Aug01 Jul06 (dizeo din)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MISTER CHARMING Sep08 Aug15 Aug01 Jul06 Jun15 (spagnola )ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 2.50    
4  STOLICH Sep19 Aug29 Aug08 Jul14 Jul07 (childers vanc)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00    
5  SLAVA UKRAINI Sep19 Sep01 Aug04 Jul18 Jun30 (rosas rigo)REYES FRANK 122 4.00 ★    
6  VANISKY Sep19 Nov17 Oct22 Oct07 Sep09 (simonovich dan)COLON H 122 6.00 13% 6.90    
7  PLAIN OR PEANUT Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 Jun01 May25 (dizeo dino)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 2.00 60% 0.70    
 
HAW-2   09/26/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLUCKSTADT Aug22 Jul21 Jul06 Jun09 May27 (haran john)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
2  HANDSOFFTHEGOODS Sep01 Jul18 Jun30 Jun08 May26 (moreno irvin)EMIGH A 122 10.00    
3  VICTORIOUS VANDA Sep12 Sep01 Aug10 Jul03 Jun23 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ATKINS Aug29 Aug22 Jun26 Jun07 May01 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  DANVILLE Aug11 Jul21 Jul06 Jun09 Jun01 (villa francisco)REYES FRANK 122 4.00    
6  FINDAWAY Sep14 Aug18       (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 119 4.50 6% 16.50    
7  CHAOS REIGNS Jun08 May26 May04 Apr19 Mar24 (divito p)FELIX E 122 3.00 31% 2.30    
 
HAW-3   09/26/2024 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRINITYTHREEINONE Sep08         (spagnola i)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 112 20.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of FOLLOW MY LUCK by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  FAITH HOPE N LOVE Sep10 Aug24 Aug01 Jul11 Jun23 (pompell robert)DIEGO JAVIER 119 12.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of PUT AND TAKE by PUT IT BACK)
SCR  GOLDENAGEACTRESS         (goldfine a)MOJICA O 119 4.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of APPEALING AUDREY by MALIBU MOON)
4  STABLE CURRENCY Sep08         (block chris)COLON H 119 3.50 42% 1.40    
  (by AUDIBLE out of BE SMART by SMARTY JONES)
SCR  MARGARITA BLUEBIRD Sep08 Aug22       (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 20.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of WIDE RANGE by MINESHAFT)
6  SHOW ME THE LIGHT Aug31 Aug01 Jul09     (wells duan)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 20.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SWEET SEVENTEEN by HARD SPUN)
7  CURLS NITE OUT         (block chris)COHEN DAVID 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of CURLITA by CURLIN)
8  CLASSYCOWTOWNLADY Aug09         (tracy tanner)FELIX E 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of SING LADY SING by SCAT DADDY)
9  NADJAMEANSBUSINESS         (simonovich daniel)EMIGH A 119 4.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of JULIAS GENTLE GIRL by WERBLIN)
 
HAW-4   09/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17.5K) 2 ALL PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD TO BE PRINCE Sep08         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
2  LEOS WISH Sep08 Aug25       (lopez elias)EMIGH A 119 5.00    
3  HOLDEN MICHAEL Sep08         (catalano )ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 109 10.00    
4  HARRYK         (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 20.00 9% 10.60    
5  BEST DRESSED MAN Aug11         (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 119 8.00    
6  MAN OF QUALITY Aug31 Jul15 Jun24 Jun11   (martin da)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
7  LYLAH RENEE Sep08 Aug01       (catalano w)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 109 15.00    
8  MARK MY MEMORY Sep15         (berndt joel)REYES FRANK 119 6.00 ★    
9  SNEAKY FEET Sep15 Aug25 Aug11     (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-5   09/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTED ECLAIR Sep01 Aug18 Aug11 Jul21 Jul02 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 10.00    
SCR  CHROME ATTACK Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 Apr14 (childers vance)COHEN DAVID 124 4.50    
SCR  HA HA GLORIA (IRE) Sep01 Aug04 Jul21 May19 Oct22 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00    
4  ICY RIVER Aug10 Mar23 Nov18 Sep30 Sep09 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 12.00    
5  SHE'S WANDAFUL Sep01 Aug08 Jul21 Jun30 Aug23 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MADELYN BELLE Sep01 Aug11 Jun30 May25 Apr13 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 2.50 23% 3.40    
7  MOMENT TO SHINE Sep09 Aug21 Jul18 Sep21 Jun11 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 124 3.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  RAMBERT Sep01 Aug11 Jul28 Jul21 Jun30 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00    
 
HAW-6   09/26/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUIERO DINERO Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 Jul06 Jun19 (haran john)FELIX E 122 5.00    
2  RESOLUTION (FR) Sep05 Jul25 Jul14 Jun02 May18 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 119 6.00    
3  BLUE LILY Sep08 Aug01 Jul06 May24 Jan06 (de mora)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 10.00 8% 10.90    
4  CRYSTAL SNOW Sep11 Aug14 Jul18 Jun27 Jun05 (cristel mark)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50    
5  PEGGY'S WAY Sep05 Aug15 Jul18 Jun02 May18 (rodriguez hugo)EMIGH A 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
6  PROBLEMATICA Aug15 Jul25 Jul06 May04 Apr07 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  LUTION Sep07 Aug20 Aug03 Jul16 Jun11 (lynch har)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
8  BACKSTAGE PASS Aug11 Jul21 May18 Jun19   (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
 
HAW-7   09/26/2024 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALL CHOKED UP Sep05 Aug22 Aug01 Jun23 Jun09 (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00    
SCR  MAN ON ATTACK Aug25 Aug04 Jul06 Jun23 Jun08 (childers vance)BAIRD T 122 8.00    
SCR  C'EST MAGNIFIQUE Aug04 Jun16 May25 Mar24 Aug17 (roussel j)FELIX E 122 6.00    
4  PROFESSOR HIGGINS Sep19 Aug22 Aug04 Jul06 Jun06 (poulos dee)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 15.00 7% 12.60    
5  SIR PISTOLERO May27 May11 Apr16 Mar27 Dec31 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 122 5.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  SHTARKER Sep05 Jul21 Jun08     (divito p)COLON H 119 20.00    
7  KING OF THE PALACE Sep05 Aug03 Jul10 Mar07 Feb13 (tracy tanner)HERNANDEZ K 119 10.00    
SCR  GREAT COOLNESS Sep05 Jan13 Dec09 Jul19 Jun21 (roussel j)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00    
9  SHARP STICK Sep08 Aug11 Jul21 Jun23 Jun01 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 3.00    
 
HAW-8   09/26/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAIRO SUMMER Sep15 Sep08 Aug04 Jul21 Jul11 (hughes ea)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  PADDY GAL Sep12 Aug31 Jul06 Jun11 May14 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 3.50 17% 4.80    
3  NO NANNETTE NO Sep15 Aug18 Aug04 Jul21 Jul11 (rodriguez )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 6.00    
4  SUMMER AT THE SPA Sep12 Aug11 Jul25 Jun23 Jun01 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.00    
SCR  JOCELYN Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 Jul07 Jun16 (campbell joel)HERNANDEZ K 119 20.00    
SCR  DIXIE LOVING Sep12 Jul25 Jul11 Jun16 Nov18 (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
7  PRINCESS TENKO Sep12 Aug11 Jul14 Jul05 Jun08 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 122 4.50 28% 2.60    
8  MORNING LINE NEWS Sep15 Aug11 Aug04 Jul25 Jul06 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
9  TIMELESS GLORY Sep08 Aug18 Jul21 Jun23 Jun15 (rosas rigo)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 20% 4.00    
 
HAW-9   09/26/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSED (GB) Aug01 May30 Apr27 Mar16 Feb15 (gonzalez )ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 20.00 7% 12.70    
SCR  BIA BOLT RUNNER Sep19 Sep05 Aug20 Feb29 Feb01 (gonzalez agust)COLON H 122 20.00    
SCR  GET THE CANDY Sep01 Aug18 Jul28 Jul21 Jun08 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 4.50    
4  I THINK I KNOW YOU Sep15 Sep08 Sep01 Aug19 Aug05 (tracy tanner)COHEN DAVID 122 15.00    
5  BALI BABY Sep05 Aug08 Jul28 Jul06 Jun30 (rosas rigo)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  SENSE OF SELF Sep05 Aug25 Aug04 Jun23 Jun16 (ramirez carlos)LOPEZ A 122 30.00    
SCR  LIPLINER Aug18 Jul21 Jun30 Jun08 Aug17 (childers vance)BAIRD T 122 6.00    
8  DOCS SEVEN Sep05 Aug11 Jul17 Jun30 Jun08 (manley steve)MOJICA O 124 1.40 61% 0.60    
9  ORNERY ANGEL Aug06 Jul06 Jun15 Jun01 May11 (randazzo )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
SCR  TRIBEST (ARG) Sep19 Aug25 Aug11 Jul07 Jun23 (rodriguez )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.