Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Sunday - September 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-3   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(1/5/2)-(6/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTD-4   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-5   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-6   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-7   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(4/5/3/7)-(4/3/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTD-8   WIN (4/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/7)-(4/3/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTD-9   WIN (4/3/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/8/6)-(4/3/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/8/6)-(4/3/8/6)-(4/3/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-3   09/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INDEPENDENCE NEIGH Sep06 Aug16 Jul24 Jul10 Jun21 (reid c)STEADMAN LEON 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  A LATE ONE Sep06 Aug10 Jul31 Jun22 Jun07 (brown r)BECKLES JARELLE 125 1.20 53% 0.90    
3  ROCKTILLYOUDROP Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 Jul12 Jun22 (cone rodney)NELSON DANE 125 3.50    
4  ARGENTINA CRIES (IRE) Aug31 Aug10 Jul31 Jul10 Jun22 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 1.60    
5  BOSS MAN CAN Aug31 Aug16 Aug02 Jul10 Oct21 (grieves ro)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 8.00 16% 5.30    
 
CTD-4   09/22/2024 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T LET ME DOWN Aug24 Aug10 Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.00 55% 0.80    
2  STREET VENDOR Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jul17 Jul05 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  SAXON SAGA Sep06 Aug24 Aug09 Jul19 Jul01 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 3.00    
4  VIATURE Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Jul12 Jun28 (rycroft tim)NELSON DANE 123 4.50    
5  KYSTONE Sep07 Aug24 Jul12 Jun28 Jun01 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 123 2.50 18% 4.70    
 
CTD-5   09/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BEAT Aug24 Aug09 Jul27 Jul13 Jun21 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  PERDITION Sep07 Aug23 Jul06 Jun15 May31 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 6.00 31% 2.20    
3  LIFES ADVENTURE Aug06 Jul26 Jun28 Jun14 May18 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 125 3.50    
SCR  IT WORKED Sep07 Aug24 Aug02 Jul06 Jun15 (brown r)BECKLES JARELLE 125 8.00    
5  MAGNIFICENT MARIO Sep06 Jul29 Jun26 Jun12 Dec10 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 3.00    
6  ISLE OF SKYE Sep07 Aug23 Jul31 Jul13 Jun29 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 1.60 38% 1.60    
 
CTD-6   09/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONE IT UP Oct21 Sep30 Aug26 Aug04 Jul21 (nicholson)ZENTENO JR 123 4.50 11% 7.90    
2  PRETTY ARIA Aug09 Jul26 Jul10 Jun21 May31 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 123 2.50    
3  TELLTALE Aug24 Aug09 Jul27 Jul06 Jun21 (gil)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 8.00    
4  FORCE TO REKN WITH Aug24 Jun21 May31 May10 Sep16 (vanove)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.00 54% 0.80    
SCR  MINE ME Aug30 Aug05 Jul12 May31 May10 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 123 3.50    
6  PRANCE Aug31 Aug11 Jul24 Jul10 Jun14 (brown r)BECKLES JARELLE 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTD-7   09/22/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOY IN GRACE Sep07 Aug31 Aug10 Aug03 Jul24 (brown r)NELSON DANE 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  OOPS AND DOWNS Aug30 Aug03 Jul19 Jul05 Jun21 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 10.00    
3  STEVIE WONDER GIRL Sep07 Aug17 Jul27 Jul10 Jun14 (kettleson al)HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.50    
4  MACHINA Sep07 Aug31 Aug03 Jul27 Jul10 (rycroft tom)POON ANDREW 123 4.50    
5  JELLI Aug31 Aug03 Jul10 Jun14 May31 (nicholson david)BRYAN D 123 6.00 7% 12.40    
6  ARUNDEL CASTLE Aug31 Aug24 Aug03 Jul10 May31 (gilkyson as)BECKLES JARELLE 123 20.00    
7  HIGHER IMAGE Sep07 Aug24 Aug02 Jul12 Jul01 (vanove)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
CTD-8   09/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEGAL ASSASSIN Aug30 Aug03 Jul19 Jul06 Jun08 (heggie rod)HUGHES RASHEED 122 10.00    
2  SPEEDY PIEDY Aug31 Aug09 Jul24 Jul05 Jun21 (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 122 20.00    
3  BOBS BUDDY Oct22 Oct14 Sep17 Sep01 Jul30 (ward anders)BECKLES JARELLE 125 15.00 18% 4.70    
4  LAHUN Aug31 Aug16 Jul26 Jul06 Jun22 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 2.50 27% 2.80    
5  REMARKABLE ELI Aug31 Aug09 Jul24 Jun28 Sep30 (gilkyson ashley)BRYAN D 125 6.00 23% 3.40    
6  OAK BAY QUALITY Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05   (grieves ron)NATERA KEIHTON 122 3.00    
7  KISS ME HELLO Aug31 Aug09 Jun28 Jun14 May31 (kingston robert)NELSON DANE 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  STARMA Sep13 Aug31 Aug09 Jul26 Jul06 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 122 4.50    
 
CTD-9   09/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHINING TIGER Aug24 Jul28 Jul05 Jun22 Jun08 (brown r)BECKLES JARELLE 122 10.00    
2  THISCATSGOTSPEED Aug30 Aug10 Jul31 Jul19 Jun07 (hedge )ASENCIO MARIANO 122 15.00    
3  TAYLOR FIELD Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jun22 Sep23 (pet)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
4  DONTBRINGMEDOWN Aug03 Jul06 Jun22     (kingston k)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  DOUG'S HERO Aug30 Aug09 Jul17 Jun22 Jun08 (petrowski joan)NELSON DANE 122 6.00    
6  HANDSOME HENRY Aug30 Aug10 Jul17 Jul05 Oct14 (grieves ron)NATERA KEIHTON 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  JUMP THE QUEUE Aug30 Jul31 Oct07 Aug19   (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 4.50    
8  TENNESSEE MOSES Aug30 Jul31 Jul06 Jun07 May04 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 6.00 7% 12.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.