Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - September 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(4/9/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(4/9/7/8)-(1/3/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-2   WIN (4/9/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/7/8)-(4/9/7/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/9/7/8)-(4/9/7/5/8)-(4/9/7/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/9/7/8)-(1/3/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/9/7/8)-(1/3/9/4)-(4/6/2/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-3   WIN (1/3/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/9/4)-(1/3/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/9/4)-(1/3/9/4)-(1/3/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/9/4)-(4/6/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/9/4)-(4/6/2/5)-(10/9/5/8/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
HAW-4   WIN (4/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/5)-(4/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/5)-(4/6/2/5)-(4/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/2/5)-(10/9/5/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/5)-(10/9/5/8/3)-(1/6) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
HAW-5   WIN (10/9/5/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/9/5/8/3)-(10/9/5/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/9/5/8/3)-(10/9/5/8/3)-(10/9/5/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/9/5/8/3)-(1/6) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (10/9/5/8/3)-(1/6)-(5/2/9) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
HAW-6   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/4/5/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/4/5/9)-(1/6/4/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6)-(5/2/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(5/2/9)-(5/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-7   WIN (5/2/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/9)-(5/2/9/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/9)-(5/2/9/10/8)-(5/2/9/10/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/2/9)-(5/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/9)-(5/8/7/2)-(5/7/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-8   WIN (5/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/7/2)-(5/8/7/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/7/2)-(5/8/7/2/9)-(5/8/7/2/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/7/2)-(5/7/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-9   WIN (5/7/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/8/2)-(5/7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/8/2)-(5/7/8/2)-(5/7/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET SMILA Sep01 Aug08 Jul18 Jun29 Jun02 (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
2  JACQUEK Sep01 Aug22 Aug04     (perez )ORTEGA JOSEPH 111 20.00    
3  THE J FACTOR Jul29 Jun18 May30 Nov18   (rainwater bradl)COHEN DAVID 121 0.80 43% 1.30    
4  DRAMA QUEENIE Sep01 Aug15 Aug02     (roussel loui)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 5.00 8% 12.00    
SCR  SITTIN ON A BEACH Jul21 Jun20 May30     (cook brian)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 114 6.00    
6  ARRINGTON Sep01 Jul18 Jun23 Jun08 May21 (meraz antonio)LOPEZ A 124 10.00    
 
HAW-2   09/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEMAND RANSOM Sep05 Aug25 Aug08 Jul28 Jul11 (hughes earl )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
2  SPAN Sep10 Aug24 Aug06 Jul20 Jul06 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
3  NAGY AND DA BEARS Sep05 Aug04 Jul21 Jul14 May25 (dizeo dino)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.50    
4  TEMPLE FOOL Jul21 Jun23 Jun09 May25 May05 (moreno irvin)EMIGH A 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
5  A P BLAZING GREEN Sep05 Aug04 Jul28 Jul18 Jun15 (dizeo dino)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 4.00 ★    
6  BRUCE ATTACK Aug29 Aug03 Jun18 Jun04 May07 (childe)ORTEGA JOSEPH 112 30.00    
7  VERRAZANOINTHESKY Sep03 Jul18 Jun29 Jun02 Feb08 (winebaugh cheryl)FELIX E 122 5.00 8% 10.90    
8  J J'S SOLUTION Aug29 Aug11 Jun18 May25 Apr06 (rednour jr)MOJICA O 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  PONCHO ATTACK Sep08 Aug29 Aug04 Jul21 Jul14 (childers vance)REYES FRANK 122 6.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  LATE BLACKSMITH Sep05 Aug24 Jul06 Jun15 Jun01 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00    
 
HAW-3   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUNDBERG Aug17 Jul23 Jun29 May12 Mar08 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
2  CALL ME ICE MAN Jul25 Jun09 May12 Mar29 Mar02 (campbell michael)FELIX E 122 6.00    
3  WHERE YA AT VINCE Sep11 Jun08 Apr26     (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
4  GIMME THE CANDY Aug08 Jun29 Jun08 May11 Mar24 (rodriguez eduar)REYES FRANK 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WILLIE BIRD Jul28 Jun22 Jun16     (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 3.00    
SCR  JOE THE TAILOR Aug25 Jul18 Jun29 May25 Apr21 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 119 8.00    
7  CANYON SHADOWS Sep05 Aug08 Jul07 Jun30 Jun15 (kirby j)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 10.00    
8  GIANNO Aug29 Aug15 Aug08 Jul18 Jul07 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 119 12.00    
9  PROFESSOR HIGGINS Aug22 Aug04 Jul06 Jun06 Feb10 (poulos dee)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 10.00 20% 3.90    
 
HAW-4   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JOCELYN Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 Jul07 Jun16 (campbell )ULLOA JOAN 119 30.00    
2  SMOOTH JUSTICE Aug15 Aug01 Jun25 May30 Apr30 (campbell joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00 22% 3.50    
3  REBA ATTACK Sep01 Aug06 Jul16 Jun16 Jun01 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00    
4  DI'S SURPRISE Aug29 Jul07 Jun09 May19 Mar31 (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 119 1.40 29% 2.40    
5  TWAS LOLA Jul07 Jun22 Jun08 May01 Apr07 (haran john)FELIX E 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  SECRET OPERATION Aug11 Aug01 Jul14 Jun01 May05 (slager mik)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 4.00 27% 2.80    
SCR  CLOEY ATTACK Sep01 Aug11 Jul07 Jun01 May05 (childers vance)REYES FRANK 119 10.00    
8  LUNARCHY Sep08 Aug22 Aug01 Jul11 Jun16 (flores ped)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 30.00    
9  ABSOLUTE MIRACLE Aug15 Jun23 May12 Mar31 Mar02 (roussel loui)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 5.00    
 
HAW-5   09/19/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATHOLIC SUE Aug29 Aug11 Jul07 Jun16 Jun07 (simonovich daniel)FELIX E 119 8.00    
2  BEE A WINNER Aug29 Jul02 Jun15 May25 Jun04 (wilborn kevin)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
3  ANNA AFTER MIDNITE Aug29 Aug11 Jul18 Jun29 Jun08 (meraz anto)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BABE IN THE WOODS Sep01 Aug08 Jul21 Jun30 Jun09 (haran john)MOJICA O 121 8.00    
5  TRIBEST (ARG) Aug25 Aug11 Jul07 Jun23 Jun02 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00 17% 4.80    
6  COWGIRL FRANKIE Aug20 Jul02 Jun16 Jun01 Apr28 (rednour jr)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00    
7  BIA BOLT RUNNER Sep05 Aug20 Feb29 Feb01 Jan05 (gonzalez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
8  MADELYN ATTACK Aug08 Jul21 May19 May05 Apr06 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 5.00 9% 10.30    
9  ROYAL LAUGHTER Apr13 Mar24 Mar03 Feb04 Oct12 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
10  GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN Aug29 Aug18 Aug01 Jul18 Jul11 (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
HAW-6   09/19/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VANISKY Nov17 Oct22 Oct07 Sep09 Aug13 (simonovich d)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 49% 1.00    
2  EUCLID AVENUE Aug08 Aug01 Jul14 Jun23 Jun01 (haran john)REYES FRANK 119 8.00    
3  ELECTRIC CHARGE Aug08 Jul20 Jun09 May18 Apr06 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
4  PATH TO SUCCESS Aug08 Jul18 Jul11 Jun23 Jun02 (rodriguez eduar)COHEN DAVID 122 4.50 ★    
5  BRUCE BANNER Aug23 Jul26 Jun30 Jun01 Feb21 (campbell michael)FELIX E 122 6.00 ★    
6  HOPPIN JOHN Aug29 Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 May19 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
7  SLAVA UKRAINI Sep01 Aug04 Jul18 Jun30 Jun23 (rosas rigo)COLON H 122 8.00    
8  SMILE LIKE KYLE Aug31 Aug20 Jul09 Jun30 Jun11 (pompell rob)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 15.00    
9  WE MISS ARLINGTON Aug29 Aug11 Jul21 Jun30 Apr21 (rodriguez )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 112 5.00 ★    
10  BLUE NORTHER Sep07 Jul20 Jun26 Jun01 May07 (wells )ORTEGA JOSEPH 112 30.00    
 
HAW-7   09/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED RIZZLER Aug04 Jul25 Jul06 Jun16 May11 (rosas rigo)REYES FRANK 121 6.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of ULTIMATE CLASS by DURING)
2  DOMINANT D Aug18 Aug03 Jul07     (lopez elias)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 4.50 23% 3.40    
  (by DOMINUS out of TALLYMOOR by DEHERE)
3  FLYING CRICKET Aug29 Aug18 Oct21 Sep23 Sep16 (dizeo )ORTEGA JOSEPH 114 30.00    
  (by WEST RANGER out of FLYER'S FANTASY by EARLY FLYER)
4  GOOD YEGG Aug18 Jul28 Jul07     (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 124 8.00    
  (by BIG BAD MIKE out of CUPID'S BEST by POSSE)
5  BRODY Apr26 Apr13 Mar23 Mar01 Feb16 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 4.00 33% 2.10    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of CINNIE by MARTE)
6  BLACK RUSSIAN Aug15 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 May25 (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 12.00    
  (by CORDON out of LOVE ME OR LEAVE by QUIET AMERICAN)
7  C V RONIN LEGACY Aug22 May13 Nov25     (gonzalez a)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 30.00    
  (by VICTOR'S CRY out of MSPREACHERSLILGIRL by STORMIN FEVER)
8  ANGER RISING Aug29 Feb02 Dec23     (block chris)FELIX E 124 5.00 ★    
  (by JUSTIFY out of HOUSE OF DIXIE by WAR FRONT)
9  LICENSE TO STEAL Aug08 Jul18 Jun29 Jun02   (block chris)MOJICA O 121 3.50 16% 5.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of APRIL FIFTEENTH by FORT PRADO)
10  LONE RETURN Sep05 Aug04 Jun30 Jun15 May25 (dizeo dino)COHEN DAVID 124 8.00 ★    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SLIGO ROSE by SHORE BREEZE)
 
HAW-8   09/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET HONOR Aug29 Aug20 Aug11 Jul21 Jul06 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 20.00    
2  ANCIENT MAN Sep05 Aug11 Jul14 Jun16 Jun01 (candelas blanca)COHEN DAVID 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  STOLICH Aug29 Aug08 Jul14 Jul07 Jun16 (childers vanc)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 10.00    
4  THE GEEK Aug29 Aug08 Jul07 Dec10 Oct28 (ramire)ORTEGA JOSEPH 112 30.00    
5  ALIBI IKE Jun22 Jun09 May11 Apr21 Apr07 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 56% 0.80    
6  RED MOSCATO Sep05 Aug08 Jul25 Jul06 May28 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 119 3.50    
7  SENDEMDOWNTHEROAD Aug29 Aug11 Jul21 Jul14 Jun30 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 119 6.00 7% 12.80    
8  CHAMPAGNE MIKE Aug29 Aug11 Jun29 Jun02 Apr21 (simonovic)ULLOA JOAN 119 4.50 15% 5.70    
9  MINING CAMP Jul25 Jun30 Jun08 May18 Apr13 (slager mik)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 4.00 ★    
 
HAW-9   09/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND HIDEAWAY Jul28 Jul13 Oct03 Aug30 Aug02 (reid r)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50    
2  MCVICKER Aug29 Jul07 Jun16 May18 Apr06 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  PINBALLER Aug18 Jul28 Jul07 Jun22 Jun09 (poulos dee)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 10.00    
4  THREEFIFTYSEVEN Aug18 Jul28 Jul07 Jun08 May04 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
5  CHANNEL WON Jul07 May25 Feb02 Jan11 Sep16 (tracy tanner)COHEN DAVID 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
6  RIVZONAROLL Aug15 Jul28 Jul07 Jun22 Jun09 (rodriguez jose)COLON H 122 8.00    
7  MIDNIGHT SPECIAL Nov23 Oct15 Sep24 Sep15 Jul03 (simonovich d)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
8  DRAGON DREW Sep05 Jul28 Jul13 Jun22 Mar28 (cook brian)MOJICA O 122 6.00 10% 9.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.