Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Delaware Park
Saturday - August 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DEL-1   WIN (7/4/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8)-(7/4/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/8)-(4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/8)-(4/7/6)-(4/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-2   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(4/2/5)-(8/1/9/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DEL-3   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(8/1/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(8/1/9/10)-(5/6/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DEL-4   WIN (8/1/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/9/10)-(8/1/9/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1/9/10)-(8/1/9/5/10)-(8/1/9/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/1/9/10)-(5/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/9/10)-(5/6/2/3)-(2/3/1/10) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
DEL-5   WIN (5/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/2/3)-(2/3/1/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/3)-(2/3/1/10)-(2/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
DEL-6   WIN (2/3/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/10)-(2/3/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/10)-(2/3/1/10)-(2/3/1/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/1/10)-(2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/10)-(2/4)-(7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
DEL-7   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
DEL-8   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DEL-1   08/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GUCCI MAN Jun27 May10 Apr22 Apr03 Mar06 (solis jacinto)RUIZ ELISEO 117 6.00    
BAD HENRY Aug17 Aug01 Jul03 Jun15 Jun01 (iannotti thomas)GOMEZ KEVIN 122 6.00    
BAD HOMBRE Aug17 Jul27 Jul03 Jun07 Feb09 (raven ker)MALDONADO GABRIEL 110 4.50 14% 6.00    
DUKE OF DOOLY Aug17 Jul07 Jun15 Jun05 May23 (sepulveda ca)BATISTA A 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
SETTE STELLE Aug17 Aug01 Jul18 Jun05 May23 (siculietano)ASTUDILLO FELIX 115 10.00    
SOMETIMES I DO Aug24 Aug15 Jul28 Jul06 Jun26 (davis g)MENA E 122 10.00    
SIDNEY'S BID Aug17 Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 Jun05 (nambo ces)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
THENAME OF THEGAME Aug24 Aug16 Jul18 Jun30 Jun15 (mancilla ca)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
DEL-2   08/31/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARRY GRANT Jun25 Jun03 May08 Apr17 Mar18 (siculietano)ASTUDILLO FELIX 112 8.00    
CAPITAN GEORGE Jun19 Jun03 May14 Feb17 Dec23 (del e)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
SOUTHERN PASS TIME Aug21 Jul11 Jun29 Feb28   (rodriguez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 6.00    
MAT MATTERS Aug18 Jul24 Jul12 Jun18 May22 (kravets b)HERNANDEZ A 119 1.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  BRAVE SAND RIDER Aug14 Aug01 Jun22 Jun01 Apr06 (jo)LUNA PAUL 119 8.00    
JOHNNY FROM BOSTON Aug14 Aug01 Apr13 Mar03 Aug20 (cudworth paul)CENTENO E 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
TOADY HOPPER Aug15         (nazario ped)VILLASMIL EDGAR 119 5.00 19% 4.10    
 
DEL-3   08/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STACKS OF SILVER Aug17 Jun22 Jun12 Apr13 Mar15 (ge)LUNA PAUL 120 10.00    
POLTERER Jul25 Jun22 May05 Apr20 Apr05 (compton greg)MENA E 122 2.50 31% 2.30    
CONSPIRACY FACT Jun22 May25 Apr20 Mar03 Feb18 (arriagada ju)BATISTA A 120 4.00    
FREEDOM ROAD Jul25 Jun29 Jun08 May18 Mar30 (sillaman ri)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 1.20 34% 1.90    
MUST BE LOVE Aug21 Jul14 Jun17 May22 Apr27 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MY DANNY BOY Aug03 Jul20 Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 (strauss bev)ASTUDILLO FELIX 117 15.00    
 
DEL-4   08/31/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOHAI Aug10         (lynch cat)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 5.00 28% 2.60    
  (by GORMLEY out of GOLDEN GEM by GOLDEN DODGER)
SCR  SWEET AND FEISTY Aug17 Jul31 Jul13 Jun20   (na)LUNA PAUL 119 20.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of SUGAR SHACK by SHACKLEFORD)
A SHAWTOWN GIRL         (deiter kell)VILLASMIL EDGAR 119 12.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SMILES FROM SADIE by FREUD)
SCR  CURB         (capuano phi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 6.00    
  (by BARBADOS (IRE) out of CARAMORE by PURGE)
HOLD ON (GER)         (brion keri)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 6.00    
  (by FLATTER out of PATTITUDE by CITY ZIP)
BACKSEAT ROMANCE         (smith rob)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of CONCORD COUPE by CONCORD POINT)
VIVY Aug10         (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 119 10.00    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of PAT PAT PAT by REAL SOLUTION)
READY TO ROCKNROLL Aug13         (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TAP CLASS by TAPITURE)
MARIA MOON         (schultz lindsa)HIRALDO JOHN 119 5.00 16% 5.10    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of STOPSPENDINGMARIA by MONTBROOK)
10  NOMORETANLINES         (brinkman )HERNANDEZ A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of MARY DELANEY by HENNESSY)
11  SANDY GIRL (ARG)         (gallimore t)WILLIAMS AJHARI 119 12.00    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of LOVING LORRI by TALE OF THE CAT)
12  RISK AND REGRET         (woolley tim)CEDENO CAROL 119 10.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of SUMMERTIMEMISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  ALYVIA MAVIS Aug19         (gallimore trevor)CASTILLO A 119 15.00    
  (by GAME WINNER out of J'RAY'S SUNSHINE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  LUCKY FLAY Jul20         (smith g)CENTENO E 119 10.00    
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of FLAY MIGNON by YESBYJIMMINY)
 
DEL-5   08/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RENEWING VOWS Jul25 Jun22 May31 Apr14 Dec15 (bennett j)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
ARROW SPEED Aug03 Jul04 Jun20 Jun02 Apr20 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 2.00 14% 6.10    
SHELLBACK Mar15 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 Jun17 (gorham michael )MENA E 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
ARROGANT RIDER Jul11 Jun26 May22 Apr04 Mar15 (pickett crysta)CEDENO CAROL 122 6.00    
SECRET ZIPPER Aug17 Mar16 Nov17 Oct07 Aug30 (capuano g)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 4.00 41% 1.40    
QUISTMER Aug10 Aug03 Jun30 Apr27 Sep09 (pompay terri)CENTENO E 120 3.00 17% 4.80    
MR RAMIREZ Jun22 Mar06 Feb09 Jan11 Dec02 (de)LUNA PAUL 118 8.00    
 
DEL-6   08/31/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RETURN FIRE Aug13 Jul07 Jun20 Jun07 May25 (sanchez-salomon)MENA E 120 10.00 6% 16.30    
INBOUND Aug07 Jun14 Oct24 Oct13 Sep19 (hendriks richar)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 40% 1.50    
HOYA Aug01 Jun14 Feb11 Jan13 Dec03 (lynch cat)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 12.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  MUNGO Aug14 Aug01 Mar20 Feb28 Jan05 (richards re)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 124 3.50    
SCR  TABLOID CITY Jul28         (toner jame)ROWLAND MADELINE 120 6.00    
SHIP MASTER Jul11 Jun15 Oct13 Sep02 Jun30 (salazar m)HERNANDEZ A 124 20.00    
SCR  IF I WERE YOU Jul06 Jun15 Apr12 Jan31   (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 120 5.00    
SCR  GALLANT CREEK Aug15 Jul24 Jul04     (deiter kell)VILLASMIL EDGAR 120 30.00    
SCORESTOSETTLE Jul11 Jun15 Apr28 Sep17 Aug04 (meister willia)HIRALDO JOHN 124 30.00    
10  NANGA PARBAT (GB) Aug15 Jul11 Jun20 May29 May16 (saville nia)ASTUDILLO FELIX 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOURBON EXPRESS Aug01 Jul11 Jun20 May22 Apr12 (moysey chelsey)LUNDIE KEVIN 124 12.00    
12  GOLDEN AL Aug15 Jul17 Jun29 May25 May16 (bailon ne)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 20.00    
SCR  ICANDOTHAT Aug15 Jul18 Jun29 Jun08 Sep20 (mcdermott)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 15.00    
SCR  STARFORCE Aug15 Aug01 Jul11 Jun25 Jun06 (hendriks )HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00    
 
DEL-7   08/31/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK ICE Jul10 Jun11 May07 Apr15 Mar24 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 1.80    
MAVILUS Aug21 Jul27 Jul13 Jun16 May25 (mancilla carlo)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  MO TOUGH Aug18 Aug08 Jul27 Jun13 May24 (simone mi)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50    
MUSICAL DESIGN Aug10 Jul20 Nov17 Jul28 May07 (smith g)CENTENO E 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
ARIJANA'S PEARL Aug07 Jul18 Mar23 Dec16 Oct13 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 115 8.00    
SCR  AMERICAN SAINT Aug14 Jul23 Jun20 May25 Apr05 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 114 8.00    
 
DEL-8   08/31/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS DIZ Aug24 Jul27 Jul14 Jun23 Jun02 (hawthorne bo)HADDOCK DEXTER 123 8.00 22% 3.60    
WOKE UP A DIVA Aug21 Aug14 Jun05 May25 May15 (siculietano)VILLASMIL EDGAR 123 12.00    
LADY GABRIELLE Aug14 Aug07 Jul19 Jul05 Jun26 (nazario ped)ASTUDILLO FELIX 116 10.00    
TIZ D AMAZIN LADY Aug21 Jul07       (de)LUNA PAUL 118 4.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  ESTRELLIS Aug14 Jul18       (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 118 10.00    
SCR  LUCKY IN LOVE Aug14 Jul18 Jul07 Jun14 May25 (simone mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.00    
BIG BOLT Aug21 Aug02 Jul24 Jul07 Jun14 (smith coll)MENDOZA JHONATAN 118 1.60 32% 2.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.