Handicappers' Racing Form

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Emerald Downs
Friday - August 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
EMD-2   Win (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-3   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-4   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-5   Win (2/5/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EMD-6   Win (1/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-7   Win (6/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
EMD-1   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WEGOTTODRINKING Aug09 Jul14 Jun08 Apr14 Apr05 (nunnally jenni)OROZCO E 125 8.00    
SCR  ASK ALICE Jul06 Jun21 Jun14 May19 Aug07 (bozell alan)REYES R 122 6.00    
CAPO SORELLA Aug02 Jul19 Jun22 Jun07 May25 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 121 1.80    
ALWAYS GALLANT Aug03 Jul13 Jul03 Jun14 Jun02 (martinez b)ZUNINO L 121 12.00    
SHE'S A KRAKEN Aug09 Jul27 Jul20 Jun30 Jun14 (christian shawna)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.00 55% 0.80    
REALREALGOOD Aug09 Jul28 Jul13 Jun23 Jun08 (hernandez mi)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.00 9% 10.80    
 
EMD-2   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTIN'S LADY Aug03 Jul13 Jun28 Apr10 Mar21 (tubbs scott)REYES R 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
BLOWING BAYOU Jul26 Sep17 Sep02 Aug20 Aug06 (abrahamson ma)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 10.00    
HEAT SEEKING LETA Aug03 Jul14 Jun22 Jun07 Sep17 (dronen sam)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
LA POPIS Aug02 Jul26 Jun30 Jun23 Jun08 (gabriel me)MONTALVO C 122 2.50    
JAZZY LOVE Jul26 Jul03 May26 May12 Mar10 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 2.00    
CLASSIC LEAH Aug03 Jul26 Jun07 May18 Sep17 (cryderman ca)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
 
EMD-3   08/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RALLIFIED Jul19 Jun29 May25 Oct08 Sep02 (van debbie)MATIAS J 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALLANTE Jul12 Jun23 May25 May04 Sep17 (belvoir howard)MARTIN A 121 8.00    
THE GOLDEN EGG Jul26 Jul12 Jun14 May31 May18 (jahns debi)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 5.00 13% 6.90    
BENNY BUCKETS Jul19 Jun29 Jun15 May25 May04 (silva-martinez al)LOPEZ KARLO 121 1.80 58% 0.70    
THUNDER BALL Jul04 Jun13 Oct12 Sep02 Jul30 (toye joe)CRUZ M 121 3.50    
RED MEMORYS Jun23 May31 Oct02 Sep17   (velasquez rigob)GUTIERREZ M 125 15.00    
FIRST ENDEAVOR Jul19 Jun29 Jun14 May31 Sep17 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 125 4.00    
 
EMD-4   08/16/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M CORFU Jul20 Jun22 Jun07 May25 Oct07 (essex charles)REYES R 122 3.50 47% 1.10    
VALIDATE Jul28 Jul19 Jul07 Jun28 Jun16 (silva-martinez al)LOPEZ KARLO 125 2.50    
SCR  LIL MIRACLE MAN Jun30 Jun15 Apr11 Mar18 Jan28 (cruz pearma)MONTALVO C 125 4.50    
WESTERN RULE Aug04 Jul19 Jun15 May12 Sep03 (belvoir howard)MARTIN A 122 10.00    
PRINCE OF LUCK Aug04 Jul20 Jul12 Jun28 Oct09 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
MOJAVE (GB) Jul20 Jul12 Jun22 Jun01 Sep17 (cruz pearm)CRUZ M 122 4.00 8% 11.00    
 
EMD-5   08/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-11:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESCAPEFROMPARADISE Jul27 Jun30 Jun08 Jun11 May06 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.00    
SQUARE FUN Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 Jun21 Jun02 (bean a)KRIGGER K 123 2.00 34% 2.00    
WINANYWAYUCAN Jun23 Jun01 May18 Aug11 Jul29 (velasquez rigob)GUTIERREZ M 121 8.00    
SPORTY NUGGET Jul13 Jun21 Jun01 Jan26 Jan01 (lucarelli frank)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
PARKER'S FIFTEEN Aug04 Jul27 Jul06 Jun14 May31 (navarro jose)OROZCO E 119 2.50 28% 2.50    
LUTES SEA GYPSY Aug02 Jul19 Jun21 May31 Aug27 (simkins rosie)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 119 15.00    
BETTY LUTE Jul20 Jun30 Aug27 Aug11   (simkins rosie)CRUZ M 119 10.00 11% 7.80    
 
EMD-6   08/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-12:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY CRUISER Aug04 Jul26 Jul05 May03 Apr05 (silva-martinez ale)MONTALVO C 121 3.50 45% 1.20    
INFINITE LOVE Aug04 Jul27 Jul14 Jun22 Jun02 (cryderman ca)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 4.00    
ALICESHOUSEOFHEART Aug04 Jul14 Jun30 Jun09 May26 (essex charles)REYES R 122 6.00    
SMOKEMONTHECLIFF Jul21 Jun30 Jun14 May19 Apr25 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 125 4.00    
BUCCHERA Jul19 Jun02 Apr25 Oct21 Sep09 (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 118 15.00    
BIG JOLT Aug04 Jul27 Jul14 Jun22 May26 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VHAGAR Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 Jun21 Jun02 (bean a)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 6.00    
LIBBY'S GAMBIT Aug04 Jul20 Jul03 Jun14 May18 (tubbs scott)MAWING A 125 10.00    
ON PURPOSE Jul21 Feb19 Jan13 Nov26 Nov17 (markle dan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 28% 2.60    
 
EMD-7   08/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SUNSHINE Jul28 Jul13 Jun22 Jun09 May31 (silva-martinez al)CRUZ M 125 3.50 21% 3.80    
SPROSTON Jul26 Jul06 Jun23 Jun15 Jun01 (navarro jose)MAWING A 125 3.00    
MARKSMAN ON TARGET Aug03 Jul06 Jun23 Jun02 May19 (bean a)REYES R 125 8.00    
PROUD LION Aug03 Jul26 Jun23 Jun09 May19 (belvoir howard)LOPEZ KARLO 125 4.50    
MONGOLIAN MOON Aug04 Jul28 Apr15 Mar25 Mar04 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 125 5.00    
LUCY L Jul13 Jun23 Jun07 Apr22 Mar19 (velasquez rigob)GUTIERREZ M 120 4.00 53% 0.90    
SUMMER SHANDEE Jul28 Jul07 Jun29 Jun09 May31 (gabriel me)MONTALVO C 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.