Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Canterbury Park
Thursday - August 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CBY-1   WIN (5/9/3/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/3/7/6)-(5/9/3/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/3/7/6)-(5/9/3/7/6)-(5/9/3/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/3/7/6)-(4/1/6/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (5/9/3/7/6)-(4/1/6/5)-(3/8/6/2/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
CBY-2   WIN (4/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/5)-(3/8/6/2/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/5)-(3/8/6/2/4)-(3/4/2/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CBY-3   WIN (3/8/6/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/6/2/4)-(3/8/6/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/6/2/4)-(3/8/6/2/4)-(3/8/6/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/8/6/2/4)-(3/4/2/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (3/8/6/2/4)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/4/8/2/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CBY-4   WIN (3/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/8/2/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
CBY-5   WIN (3/4/8/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/2/9)-(3/4/8/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/2/9)-(3/4/8/2/9)-(3/4/8/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CBY-1   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.5K) 35 M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED HOPE Jul28 Jul11       (hanson vic)ARROYO MIGUEL 119 15.00    
GLOBAL RISK Jul11 Jun23 Jun09 May03 Apr07 (ra)DA FAUSTO 119 5.00    
SCR  LAST BEAUTY         (smith r)FRINK D 119 15.00 8% 12.00    
MIA'S ANGEL Jul11 May03 Mar23 Mar03   (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 4.50    
SNOW FLURRY Jul24 Jun23 May19 Apr28 Mar23 (litfin vero)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 3.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  DAYTRIP SELFIE May25         (ramaekers)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
KARATS KOUNT Jun23 Jun09 Mar15 Mar03 Sep16 (smith r)HARR KELSI 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
PURR TIGER Jun30 Jun09 Nov08 Oct16   (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 119 12.00    
KOOL KARMA Jul28 Jul04 Jun16 Sep09   (berndt jo)VALENZUELA A 119 3.50 12% 7.70    
10  HAZARDTOYOURHEALTH Jul27 Jun16 May31     (roberts j)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 8.00    
 
CBY-2   08/15/2024 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANJO CHRIS Jul27 Jun23 Jun05 Mar01 Feb16 (wismer gle)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 1.80 25% 3.10    
BLUEJAY WAY Aug01 Jul07 Aug13 Jul23   (vanwinkle)VALENZUELA A 119 12.00    
WAR RASCAL Jul28 Jul14 Jun29 May10 Apr15 (garrett j)FUENTES A 124 5.00    
MENDELSSOHN JOY Jul28 Aug27 Aug03 Jul16 May29 (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 3.50 26% 2.90    
HAUNTED HAZE Jul28 Jul07 Jun09 May25 Sep03 (martinez es)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
JUSTIN AZTECA Aug01 May02 Apr17 Mar14 Feb27 (lu)DA FAUSTO 124 12.00 19% 4.40    
OUTLAW RUN Jul28 Jul13 Jun29 Jun16 May05 (cline n)HARR KELSI 124 10.00    
BRIT BLITZ Jul13 Jun20 Jun02 May11   (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 119 4.50    
 
CBY-3   08/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I CAME TO SHAME Jul06 Jun13 Jun02 Apr20 Mar22 (smith geo)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 15.00    
EXTRA INDY Jul24 Jul06 Jun20 Jun02 May18 (westerm)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 9% 10.00    
BANGO'S HEAT Jul27 Jun27 Apr29 Apr08   (martinez esteban)PENA BRYAN 124 5.00 26% 2.80    
HOLY IMAGE Jul25 Jun30 Jun09 May25 Apr28 (we)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
DIAMOND DEE Aug04 Jun23 Jun06 May25 Apr30 (lund valorie)FUENTES A 119 12.00    
AMARETTO DI AMORE Jul14 Jun29 Jun02 Apr25 Apr09 (kereluk edward)HARR KELSI 124 12.00 18% 4.70    
ALTAR GIRL Jul14 Jun16 Apr20 Mar15 Feb23 (litfin ver)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 8.00    
NANG SINGHA Jun22 Jun02 Apr29 Jun03 Jun10 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
MINNESOTA ROSE Jul13 Jun29 Jun06 May18 Apr10 (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 8.00    
10  CLOUDLESS BLUE Jul24 Jul04 May26 Sep09 Aug09 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00    
SCR  SCREAM MACHINE Jul27 Jul14 Jun27 Nov03 Oct26 (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 4.00    
 
CBY-4   08/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORING PARK Jul27 Jul03 Jun23 Jun08 May26 (bethke )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00    
TWOKO BAY Jul27 Jul03 Mar14 Feb22 Feb01 (scherer gar)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 4.50 8% 11.00    
BIG TO DO Jun13 May05 Mar28 Mar01   (wismer gle)GALLARDO EDUARDO 117 3.00 47% 1.10    
THICK HAZE Jul28 Jun27 Jun06 May18 Apr07 (roberts joe )FUENTES A 124 4.00 14% 6.10    
MISSION KEY Jul13 Jun20 Jun08 Apr21 Apr10 (rarick ly)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 10.00    
SCR  ARTIE'S ANGEL Jul03 Jun08 Apr20 Mar30 Jan24 (padilla t)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 15.00    
BOURBON AFICIONADO Jul27 Jul14 Jun22 Jun09 Apr28 (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 112 6.00 5% 19.00    
IL CAPITANO (GB) Aug03 Jul04 Jun20 Jun08 May26 (li)DA FAUSTO 122 12.00    
SCR  CRAFTY KING Jul27 Jul03 Jun08 Apr21 Mar20 (vanwinkle)VALENZUELA A 122 15.00    
SCR  SKIPPY'S STRIKE Aug04 Jul27 Jul03 Jun22 Jun13 (bedford katlin)HARR KELSI 122 12.00    
 
CBY-5   08/15/2024 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 35 M/F PT- 8:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MELANIA T Jul14 Jun16 May25 Apr28 Apr04 (tranquilino )FUENTES A 124 3.50    
  (by JONESBORO out of MEGHAN W by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
YAMILE'S Mar10 Feb12 Dec03     (miller m)HARR KELSI 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of AWESOME OMI by AWESOME AGAIN)
MARK OF VICTORY Jul14 Jun30 Jun16 Jun06 May01 (lund valor)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 2.00 53% 0.90    
  (by MACHO UNO out of MAKINMYMARK by MAKORS MARK)
SMARTY BE GOOD Aug04 Jun23 May25 Apr27   (robertson m)CARMONA SERAFIN 114 4.00 16% 5.20    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of INTROVERT by SMARTY JONES)
TAPITARA Jul14 Jun23 Nov10 Oct01 Sep02 (fuentes r)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 8.00    
  (by TAPIT out of TARA COURT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
TOO HOT TO STOP Jul28 Jul07 Jun16 May02 Mar06 (rarick ly)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 119 15.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of A SIRE OF DESIRE by CURLIN)
TACTICAL EXPRESS Aug04 Jul24 Sep13 Aug26   (tr)DA FAUSTO 119 20.00    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of TACTICAL GIRL by TACTICAL CAT)
AUNT ALEX Jun30 Jun16 Jun06 Apr21 Mar29 (riecken)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of VALLEY OAK by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
MISS CLASSIFIED Jul21 Jun16 May11 Apr06 Mar07 (von k)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of LETTING GO by JOHANNESBURG)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.