Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Monday - August 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(3/2/1)-(2/3) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
ASD-2   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/2/1)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(2/3)-(1/4/6/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
ASD-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(1/4/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(1/4/6/2)-(6/5/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
ASD-4   WIN (1/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (1/4/6/2)-(6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/2)-(6/5/1)-(3/6/1/8) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/2/1)-(6/5/2/1) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (6/5/1)-(3/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(3/6/1/8)-(3/9/7/2/8) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
ASD-6   WIN (3/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/8)-(3/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/8)-(3/6/1/8)-(3/6/1/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/6/1/8)-(3/9/7/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ASD-7   WIN (3/9/7/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/9/7/2/8)-(3/9/7/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/9/7/2/8)-(3/9/7/2/8)-(3/9/7/2/8) 60 $0.20 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO BARB WIRE Jul30 Jul08 Sep12 Aug29 Jun26 (johnson marion)BELLE SHAVON 123 2.50    
CHATTER UP Jul22 Jul01 Jun19     (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 3.00 5% 18.60    
DAISYSADOOZY Jul22 Jul15 Jun25 Jun10 May27 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 0.80 59% 0.70    
SKOLLINE Jul22         (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 123 20.00    
SCR  B B BEAR Jul30 Jul10 Jul01 Jun03   (anderson carl)BALROOP SVEN 117 12.00    
 
ASD-2   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HA HA FOR YOU Jul22 Jun26 Apr21 Jan11 Nov28 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 8.00 7% 12.70    
BRONZE ONE Jul09 Jul01 May20 Jan21 Jan05 (anderson wendy)BALROOP SVEN 122 1.60 24% 3.20    
CALL THE COPS Jul22 Jul09 Jun25 Jun11 May28 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 3.00 35% 1.80    
SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 May21 (desjar)PATTERSON R 122 12.00    
SCR  POSEIDONS WAVE Jul28 Jun30 May04 Apr21 Mar24 (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 124 5.00    
CANYOUHEARMENOW Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 122 3.50    
 
ASD-3   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTHS Sales Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWOLEFTTOLOAD Jul23 Jul09       (nault michael)CUMBERBATCH R 119 5.00    
  (by SPECULATING out of TALKN TIL MIDNIGHT by BROKEN VOW)
BETTERLUCKNEXTTIME Jul29         (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 0.80 60% 0.70    
  (by NONIOS out of NICKEL CANDY by SILVER DEPUTY)
MR. SPLASH Jul29 Jul16       (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by NONIOS out of DREAMING OF SASHA by WHEATON)
HE KNOWS WE KNOW Jul29         (brown jared)ALI RONALD 122 2.50    
  (by KENTUCKY BEAR out of NOSE THE POSE by GOING COMMANDO)
 
ASD-4   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I LOVE MY LIFE Jul22 Jul08 Jun12 May28 Sep12 (pruitt lise)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 1.00 53% 0.90    
AMMA'S STAR Jul29 Jun24 Jun10 Aug23 Jul31 (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SETTEBELLO Jul03 Jun11 Jun04 Jul16 Jun25 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 122 30.00    
ADJOURNMENT Jun24 Jun17 May27 Sep18 Aug29 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 122 5.00 15% 5.50    
MOSIE'S ON MAIN Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 Sep20 (husbands tiffa)BUDHU ARTHUR 122 20.00    
NOIWONTBACKDOWN Jul01 Jun12 Sep20 Sep06 Aug22 (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.00 6% 15.60    
ENANO CARO Aug06 Jul16 Jul01 Jun04 Apr14 (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 119 6.00    
 
ASD-5   08/12/2024 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I AM MILA Aug06 Jul23 Jul02 Jun19 Jun10 (jordan jennife)DAWKINS DANE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
OFFLEY SPECIAL Jul22 Jul09 Jun11 May27 Sep13 (gaskin steven)CUMBERBATCH R 117 3.50    
CHARMINGLY WITT Jul02 Jun25 Mar30 Mar02 Feb18 (delaronde lee)BUDHU ARTHUR 117 25.00    
MIDNIGHTCANDYSTORM Jul02 Jun19 May27 Dec29 Oct18 (gardip)PATTERSON R 121 10.00    
UNDER BUDGET Jul15 Jul02 Jun19 Jun11 May21 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 117 2.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  SEBADAS Jul02 Jun17 Sep03 Jul30   (hrymak br)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 2.50 49% 1.10    
OLIVE'S CANDY Jul30 Jul02 Jun19 Jun11 May27 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 116 15.00    
AWARENESS AUTISM Jul30 Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 May27 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 117 12.00    
 
ASD-6   08/12/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AYY LADIES Jul29 Jul16 Jun17 Jun05 Jan30 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 10.00 21% 3.70    
ANNAKHOZANA Jul29 Jul08 Jun19 Jun05 May28 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 15.00    
SHE'S MY PRIORITY Jul29 Jul16 Jun10 May21 May04 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 1.80 31% 2.20    
LADY NYLA Jul16 Jul03 Jun17 Jun05 Sep13 (delaronde lee)BELLE SHAVON 123 20.00    
SCR  STREAMER Jul08 Jun10 Apr26 Mar15 Sep20 (delaronde lee)CUMBERBATCH R 123 8.00    
WITT'S TENNY TEN Jul30 Jul10 Jun12 Oct22 Oct14 (gaskin s)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCARLETT'S FLOWER Jul29 Jul03 Jun17 Jun10 May28 (jordan jenn)BADALOO DOUGLAS 118 25.00    
FIELD LETTERS Jul29 Jul08 Jun12 Dec21 Nov30 (brown shell)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
FILLY FATALE Jul23 Jul09 Jul02 Jun10 May21 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 5.00    
 
ASD-7   08/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TERAWATT Jul23 Jul15 Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 (delaro)PATTERSON R 124 20.00    
ORCADIAN STORM Jul29 Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 May03 (ellis an)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00 7% 13.50    
CLUB CHAMP Jul23 Jul03 Jun18 Jun04 May21 (tourangea)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
LAB RAT Jul23 Jul03 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 3.00    
EURONTHEMONEY Jul29 Jul23 Jul02 Jun04 Oct09 (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 124 12.00    
FRANKS RELOAD Jul22 Jun24 Jun17 Jun03 May21 (stanford ma)BADALOO DOUGLAS 119 25.00    
SHOOTIN MONEY Jul02 Jun24 Jun18 May20 Sep04 (dickey elton)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 4.00 9% 10.40    
GOLDENEYED Jul29 Jul23 Jul10 Jun18 Sep06 (jordan jennife)DAWKINS DANE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
EXCHEQUER Jul23 Jul10 Jun18 Jun04 Sep06 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.