Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - August 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(6/1/3)-(3/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-2   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(3/5/1)-(5/6/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-3   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(5/6/7)-(4/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-4   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(4/5/6)-(6/2/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-5   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(6/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(6/2/8)-(8/5/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-6   WIN (6/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/8)-(6/2/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/8)-(6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/2/8)-(8/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-7   WIN (8/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/2/7)-(8/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/2/7)-(8/5/2/7)-(8/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   08/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEAN SHARON Aug02 Jul03 Jun09 May12 Oct09 (gibson vince)LOPEZ KARLO 125 5.00 35% 1.90    
2  NEISSA Aug03 Jul14 Jun23 May26 May11 (baze rober)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 12.00 9% 10.40    
3  MISCHIEF MAMA Jul28 Jul13 Jun30 Jun16 Jun07 (gibson howar)OROZCO E 125 6.00    
4  MIST OONA B Jul19 Sep16 Aug27 Aug12 Jul21 (toye joe)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 3.50    
5  CONFIDENCE BUILDER Aug02 Jun30 Jun07 May18 Oct08 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 3.00 20% 4.00    
6  NOMI LACKEE Jul14 Jul03 Jun07 May25 May12 (garcia serjio )REYES R 125 2.00    
 
EMD-2   08/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POCKET KNIFE Jul28 Jul13 Jun16 Jun02 May18 (carlson a)ZUNINO L 125 5.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  MONEY IS TIME Jul28 Jul13 May20 Apr28 Mar28 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 8.00    
3  ENGAGING SOUL Jul21 Jul12 Jun30 Jun21 Jun02 (bean robert)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  GORMLEY GAL Jul28 Jul13 Jun21 Jun01 May18 (crowe shel)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 10.00    
5  MY MOTORHOME Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 May18 May04 (nunnally je)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 2.50    
6  DEVIL D' ORO Jul21 Jul13 May31 May10 Apr04 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 121 1.00 54% 0.90    
 
EMD-3   08/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PASS THE CROWN Jul26 Jun28 Jun14 Oct01   (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  NIGHT TO REMEMBER Jul12 Aug20 Aug12 Jul16 Jul03 (patino faustino)ZUNINO L 122 4.00    
3  PEDAL TO THE METAL Jul28 Jun16 Sep17 Sep03 Aug27 (seymour car)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 1.80 29% 2.50    
4  SUPER CREATIVE Jul28 May31 May12 Jul29 Jul07 (johnston ki)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00    
5  SOLDATNA Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 Apr19 (cryderman cand)REYES R 125 4.50 23% 3.40    
6  ICE TOWER Jul28 Jul12 Jun01 Sep02 Aug04 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 122 3.00    
 
EMD-4   08/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAXIMUM SPARKLE         (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 119 4.50 ★    
  (by INSTAGRAND out of DIAMONDS R by ALTERNATION)
2  MISTY MALIBU         (puhich mike)MAWING A 119 12.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of ROYALTON by EL PRADO (IRE))
3  SOCIAL PROMISE         (johnston ki)MORALES ALLYSSA 119 15.00    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of SOCIAL STATEMENT by SUAVE)
4  IMA MARGARITA GIRL         (puhich mike)OROZCO E 119 5.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of PERFECT PROMISE by ABRAAJ)
5  REBEL GAL Jul14 Jun22       (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by COAST GUARD out of CREME by SOMERSHAM)
6  EMERY'S ROSE         (cryderman cand)REYES R 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of DANCES ON WATER by IN EXCESS (IRE))
7  LIMO TO VEGAS         (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of BECOMES A QUEEN by STORM WOLF)
8  BEAUTY BARK         (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 119 6.00    
  (by BARKLEY out of ARLINGTON LADY by NATIONHOOD)
 
EMD-5   08/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAFANELLI Jul13 Jun23 Jun01 May12 Apr14 (tubbs scot)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  GOLD COAST GIRL Jul19 Jan19 Sep10 Aug20 Aug04 (bullock steve)KRIGGER K 122 3.00    
3  SCATALICIOUS Jul19 Jun22 Jun09 May12 Sep10 (toye joe)CRUZ M 125 2.50    
4  DON'T TELL HYDEE Jul19 Jun28 Jun09 May26 Apr23 (tubbs scott)REYES R 122 2.00 51% 0.90    
5  DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Jul13 Jun23 May04 Apr02 Mar20 (silva-martinez )LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 14% 6.40    
6  LEMON DROP LADY Jul19 Jun23 Jun16 May11 Apr22 (bean robert)MORALES ALLYSSA 125 10.00    
 
EMD-6   08/10/2024 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHES GOT THE POWER Jul28 Jul13 Jun23 Jun07 May12 (crowe shel)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00    
2  PARCO Jul28 Jul19 Jul03 Jun23 Jun08 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 2.50 12% 7.40    
3  RED PANTY NIGHT Jul28 Jun28 Jun07 May04 Apr10 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.50    
4  WARREN'S MEMORABLE Jul13 Jun30 May25 May12 Oct09 (tubbs scott)REYES R 122 6.00 ★    
5  LUVAHAPPYENDING Aug02 Jul13 Jun30 Jun23 Jun09 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 122 15.00    
6  WILLING TO BURN Jul20 Jun22 Sep17 Sep02 Aug20 (essex charles)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 61% 0.60    
7  LAKER JET Jun23 Jun07 May25 Apr24 Apr16 (bean a)KRIGGER K 122 5.00    
8  METAROSE Jul20 May25 Apr29 Apr10 Mar20 (nunnally jennife)MAWING A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-7   08/10/2024 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KALINE Jul26 Jun23 Jun09 Apr29 Apr08 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 2.50    
2  HEY SEQUOIA Jul07 Jun22 Jun09 May25 Oct09 (velasquez rigobe)MAWING A 122 6.00 8% 11.40    
3  EMPEROROFTHENORTH Jul27 Jun28 Jun08 May19 Apr23 (tubbs sc)AMADOR RUIZ 122 5.00    
4  CLAYTON DELANEY Jul27 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 May18 (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
5  REGULATION DAZED Jul27 Jun29 Jun15 Jun02 Mar22 (silva-martinez)REYES R 122 10.00 28% 2.50    
6  MADE THE TEAM Jul26 Jul19 Jul06 Mar22 Mar01 (gabriel luciano )MONTALVO C 122 5.00    
7  ANNA'S IRON MAN Jul28 Jul06 Jun28 Jun15 May18 (morris l)ZUNINO L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  BEAU MISCHIEF Jul27 Jul07 Jun22 Jun01 May19 (madrigal elodio)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 35% 1.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.