Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/7)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7)-(6/5)-(2/1/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/5)-(2/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(2/1/7)-(5/2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/7)-(2/1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/7)-(2/1/4/7)-(2/1/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/7)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7)-(5/2/4)-(5/6/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(5/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(5/6/7/1)-(7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1)-(5/6/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/7/1)-(7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/1)-(7/6)-(7/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/6)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(7/2/1)-(2/8/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/5/1)-(7/2/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/1)-(2/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6)-(2/8/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   07/04/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S EAT Jun13 Apr27 Mar16 Feb28 Jan31 (gillespie rya)THORPE DARIUS 124 15.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NAKED BOOTLEG by PASS RUSH)
SCR  WHISKEY AND WINE Jun19 May14 May04 Feb01 Jan11 (viands gregor)ADAMS L 117 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BRANDY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
3  RUN ROCKY RUN Jun12 May25 Apr12 Feb28 Jan31 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of LA TINA by LABEEB (GB))
4  SHARP STYLE May30 May08 Apr12 Mar16 Feb28 (stites fl)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 17% 4.70    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of DECORATEDWITHSTYLE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
5  RAMSEY Jun13 May25 May15 Apr12 Mar14 (joy j)ACOSTA D 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of UNDO by FLATTER)
6  BLOOD BROTHER Jun16 May23 May09 Feb22   (viands )NUNEZ MAURICIO 119 4.50    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of PINE NEEDLES by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  ICETECA Apr27 Mar16 Jan31 Nov18 Oct21 (hunt d)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of RIGHT DECISION by HAY HALO)
 
CT-2   07/04/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DING DING May09 Mar20 Feb22 Feb02 Jan05 (sanderson s)HO WESLEY 122 3.50 ★    
2  GARY DOING BIZ Mar20 Feb01 Nov10 Sep29 Sep08 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00    
3  SHUTUPN'KISSME Jun07 Apr26 Mar20 Feb21 Feb07 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50    
4  MIDNIGHT REGRET Jun08 May10 Apr06 Mar27 Feb01 (dillon l)LARROSA G 122 5.00    
5  GREEN GABLES May09 Apr17 Mar13 Feb29 Jan26 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  ABOVE PAR May29 Apr24 Apr05 Mar07 Jan20 (simone micha)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 3.00 67% 0.50    
 
CT-3   07/04/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DADSNUMBRONEHELPR         (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by JUBA out of ROMANTIC CORK by DENIS OF CORK)
2  THIS JUICE B LOOSE         (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of JACKY JUICE by FRIENDS LAKE)
3  BABY BOSS ALLEN         (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  BAIL IS DENIED         (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 6.00 ★    
  (by JUBA out of WON'T BE DENIED by WINDSOR CASTLE)
5  IM THE DIRECTOR         (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50    
  (by REDIRECT out of CAT THATS GREY by FIBER SONDE)
6  DIRECT APPEAL         (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of BROOKE'S APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
7  OUR BRIGHTEST STAR         (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of WINDSOR'S PUNCH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
 
CT-4   07/04/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($28.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRAFTY WINDSOR CAT Jun14 Jun01 May03 Feb29 Jan10 (bass curtis )LEWIS M 115 10.00    
2  FULL MOON LOVER Jun13 Jun01 Feb15 Jan18 Dec16 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
3  CEDAR'S WISH Jun13 Jun01 Mar29 Feb15 Jan18 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 4.00    
4  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Jun01 May09 Apr25 Mar20 Mar09 (dollinger-sth)ADAMS L 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  STRYDA Jun01 Oct14 Sep07 Aug25 Jul27 (johnson jamey)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 1.00 45% 1.20    
6  ALPINE MOON Jun13 Jun01 May25 Mar23 Feb15 (davis e)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
 
CT-5   07/04/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARDLY EVER BETTER Jun07 May18 May09 Mar22 Feb02 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAKIN' GOLD May24 May09 May02 Apr13 Nov01 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
3  TWO BRONZE STARS Jun20 May31 May11 Nov03 Sep29 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 116 5.00    
4  BERTRAM FLIGHT May18 May02 Apr13 Mar22 Mar02 (boggs joanna)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
5  FURREAL May31 Jan24       (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.00 34% 2.00    
6  SARAH'S CANDY CAMP May18 Apr13 Mar29 Nov02 Oct13 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 116 3.50 26% 2.80    
7  POWERED BY LOVE May18 May02 Apr13 Mar22 Mar08 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 6.00 18% 4.70    
 
CT-6   07/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN NEFERTARI Jun13 May23       (reynolds joan)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 12.00    
2  IHEARTRAINACOMN Jun22 Jun06 May25 Mar22 Feb28 (dollinger-)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 124 15.00    
3  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Jun13 May23 May02 Apr11 Mar22 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00    
4  MUSIC LASS Jun13 May21 May07 Apr21 Mar22 (tuomisto cli)LEWIS M 119 10.00 ★    
5  AIM'S JUBILEE Jun22 Jun06 May25 May11 Apr25 (regget)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 8.00 ★    
6  NO DENYING DENIS Jun22 May23 May03 Apr11 Nov25 (sigler ronald)THORPE DARIUS 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  DIRECT THE CAT Jun20 Nov04 Oct14 Sep22 Aug10 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 0.20 75% 0.30    
 
CT-7   07/04/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUFFALO SHUFFLE Jun08 Apr20 Mar22 Mar14 Jan05 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  PINK DINGHY May25 May03 Mar02 Feb03 Dec08 (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 8% 10.90    
3  JUBA BOUND Jun15 May17 May04 Apr18 Mar16 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 120 10.00    
4  UNCLE CHINITO Jun13 May26 Apr28 Apr07 Mar01 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 116 15.00    
5  HOPPING HENRY Jun20 May04 Apr06 Mar16 Feb24 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 5.00 ★    
6  AREYOUGONNAKISSME May18 May10 Apr12 Mar29 Mar08 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
7  UNISON May18 Apr27 May05 Nov23 Nov12 (curtis la)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.80 66% 0.50    
 
CT-8   07/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOODSONG'S CASTLE May23 May09 Apr19 Apr06 Mar28 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00    
2  WHATTA NOTION Mar28 Jan03 Nov25 Oct25 Oct26 (cruz jesus)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
3  APPEALING ROAD May23 Apr11 Mar20 Feb28 Feb07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  MARTHA'S BANNER Jun23 Jun06 May27 Oct15 Sep24 (haughton donnovan)HO WESLEY 124 20.00    
5  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Jun21 May23 May02 Mar27 Mar09 (comi w)LEWIS M 117 4.50    
6  GLOBAL EMPRESS May23 Apr11 Mar20 Feb29 Feb01 (couchenour lee)PELTROCHE F 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  FLITTER Jun15 May16 Apr25 Mar30 Feb25 (andreadakis g)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 12.00    
8  SHEWEARSSTILETTOS May21 Apr18 Mar30 Mar02 Jan26 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 3.50 19% 4.30    
9  LET'S DO THIS Jun08 May31 Mar21 Mar09 Oct26 (aylor natasha )REAP E 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.