Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Del Mar
Friday - November 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DMR-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(4/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(4/3/2)-(2/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
DMR-2   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(2/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(2/4/5)-(4/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
DMR-3   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(4/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(4/5/3)-(7/6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DMR-4   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(7/6/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(7/6/4/5)-(9/6/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DMR-5   WIN (7/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5)-(7/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/4/5)-(9/6/1/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/5)-(9/6/1/8)-(8/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
DMR-6   WIN (9/6/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/1/8)-(9/6/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/1/8)-(9/6/1/8)-(9/6/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/6/1/8)-(8/1/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/6/1/8)-(8/1/4)-(4/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DMR-7   WIN (8/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/4)-(8/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/4)-(8/1/4)-(8/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/4)-(4/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/1/4)-(4/5/1)-(5/1/8/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
DMR-8   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(5/1/8/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
DMR-9   WIN (5/1/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/8/7)-(5/1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/8/7)-(5/1/8/7)-(5/1/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DMR-1   11/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS PIXY STIX Oct22 Sep22 Aug17 Jul27 Jun10 (hess b)VAZQUEZ A 123 8.00    
INTO YELLOWSTONE Oct15 Sep10 Jul30     (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 120 3.00    
ACCLAIMED PREACHER Oct30 Sep30 Aug25 Aug04   (mathis andy)FREY KYLE 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
SAKURA BLOSSOM Oct15 Jul28 Jun29     (powell)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.00    
HIGHLANDS Sep19         (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.60 42% 1.40    
 
DMR-2   11/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EAGLES LANDING Sep23 Sep04 Aug18 Jul01 Aug26 (brinkerhoff val)FREY KYLE 122 6.00    
COOL PAPA G Nov11 Sep17 Aug17 Jan01   (barocio libra)FRESU ANTONIO 124 3.00 14% 6.10    
STORM THE NIGHT Sep09 Aug17 Jun09 May14 Apr23 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
PRINCIP Oct08 Jul21 Apr23 Feb20 Dec26 (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
SUPERMAX Jun04 May27 Sep04 Aug07 Jul17 (hollendorfer je)MALDONADO E 122 8.00    
VAGABOND SHOES Nov02 Sep10 Aug13 Feb10   (quinonez rolando)BAZE C 122 6.00    
BRACE FOR IMPACT Apr02 Feb11 Jan02 Dec04 Nov06 (headley kar)AGUILAR ARMANDO 119 8.00    
 
DMR-3   11/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCRETIONARY DAY Oct27 Oct09 Aug27 Jul30 Apr30 (bon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 123 6.00    
SINGLE TRACK MIND (IRE) Oct15 Aug31 Jul27 Jun09 Apr22 (gutierrez j)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
SANGER Oct07 Aug27 Aug03 Jul01   (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 123 5.00    
MEGA MOON Oct15 Sep10 Jul30 Jun18 May27 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.80 36% 1.80    
GOLDENEYE Sep10 Aug13 Jul21 Jun02 May07 (eurton peter)MALDONADO E 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
REMOTE Oct15 Aug19 Feb11 Jan20 Oct28 (hanson ryan)BAZE C 123 12.00    
ST IGNACIO Nov10 Oct14 Sep10 Aug26 Jul30 (hess b)FREY KYLE 122 4.00    
 
DMR-4   11/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIOVINAZZO Oct14 Aug24 Aug13 Jul23 Jun04 (o'neill doug)TORREALBA JG 109 6.00    
SEATTLE BREAKOUT Oct14 Sep10 Aug11 Jun18 May28 (headley kar)AGUILAR ARMANDO 116 12.00    
BIG BUZZ Oct21 Aug19 Jul21 Jun03 Mar25 (ellis ronald)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 2.00 11% 8.40    
SETTECENTO Oct21 Jul21 Jun11 May21 Apr23 (knapp steve)SMITH E 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
GOOD JUJU Oct21 Oct06 Sep10 Jul21 Jun30 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
PARK CITY Nov11 Oct21 Sep30 Sep01 Jul21 (hess b)MALDONADO E 118 4.50    
 
DMR-5   11/24/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO SHOW JONES Sep17 Aug27       (naranjo sal)HERRERA A 120 20.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of SUN BELT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
BEER MONEY Sep16         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 6.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of TAP TAP UR IT by TAPIT)
FACT OR FICTION Nov10 Oct20 Oct07 Aug10 Jul29 (nunez jesus)FREY KYLE 120 5.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of BELLA BE READY by MORE THAN READY)
DON'T HIT ME BASH Oct22 Sep29       (fre)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 4.00 8% 12.20    
  (by MRAZEK out of OCTOGARIAN by ROCK HARD TEN)
RUN BRYCE RUN         (o'neill doug)TORREALBA JG 113 12.00 7% 14.20    
  (by GRAZEN out of SHES ALL WOUND UP by COIL)
WHO IS PAVEL Aug13 Jul30       (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
  (by PAVEL out of QUANT SAVANT by SQUARE EDDIE)
STAGGER LEE Oct22         (miyadi ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
  (by GRAZEN out of SKY MARNI by SKY MESA)
SMILING JOJO Oct22         (koriner brian)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ACCOMPLISHEDSISTER by ACCLAMATION (GB))
 
DMR-6   11/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEN'S LUCK Oct06 Aug11 Jul22 Jul03 Oct02 (scolamieri sa)VALDIVIA JR 125 3.50 13% 6.90    
SCR  BARTON STRONG Oct29 Sep23       (dry)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 125 5.00    
DONTTESTYOURLUCK Nov11 Oct27 Oct06 Sep17 Sep01 (morfin sergio)HARVEY B 122 12.00    
BIG GEORGE Oct01 Aug31       (gallagher p)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 6.00    
CHAOS REIGNS Oct14 Sep04 Aug17 Jun19 May30 (ellis rona)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.50 27% 2.60    
RANGER JOE Oct27 Sep15       (drysdale ne)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 12.00    
MY PARTNER GLEN Nov05 Oct14 Sep09 Nov04 Oct07 (kruljac ian)FREY KYLE 122 4.00 6% 16.20    
MONTANA Oct06 Aug11 Jul27 Jun02 May06 (hess b)MALDONADO E 122 4.00 32% 2.20    
10  REEF CITY Sep23 Sep04 Jul27 Jul03 Jun02 (bonde jeff)BAZE C 122 15.00    
11  VENOM Oct22 Oct01 Aug26 Nov27   (dunham daniel)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 20.00    
SCR  TOKAMAK Oct27 Sep29 Sep09 Aug17 Nov19 ( )TBA null      
 
DMR-7   11/24/2023 7920ft TURF RC13 FIRM Hollywood Turf Cup Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANCESCO CLEMENTE (IRE) Oct19 Sep21       (brown chad )RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of JUSTLOOKDONTOUCH by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  YES THIS TIME Oct01 Aug31 Jul21 May29 May06 (mil)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 15.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SMART JILLY by SMART STRIKE)
LUKKA (CHI)         (drysdale neil)VAZQUEZ A 126 6.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of ANTIC by KITTEN'S JOY)
PLANETARIO (BRZ) Oct01 Sep02 Jul22 Jun18 May13 (mandel)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 5.00 20% 4.10    
  (by IL DOGE out of AEROSFERA by CRIMSON TIDE (IRE))
ASTRONAUT Oct07 Mar04 Nov26 Oct08 Sep03 (shirreffs john)SMITH E 124 5.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ARMANDA by ACATENANGO)
BALLADEER Nov04 Oct01 Sep09 Aug19 Jul21 (papaprodromou ge)ESPINOZA V 124 4.00    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of GOLDEN BALLAD by GALILEO (ARG))
EASTERN OCEAN Oct29 Oct01 Sep09 Aug13 Aug03 (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 122 15.00    
  (by STORMY ATLANTIC out of ASHBECCA by SANDPIT (BRZ))
SPEAKING SCOUT Oct01 Aug31 Aug05 Jun17 May20 (motion g)HERNANDEZ J 126 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MISS SCOUT by PLEASANT TAP)
 
DMR-8   11/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT FLIGHT Oct29 Aug25 Jul30 May27 Feb25 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
HEYWOODS BEACH Mar04 Dec26 Nov04 Oct02 Sep03 (sadler john)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 5.00    
ORDER AND LAW Oct01 Sep02 Jul23 Jun06 Apr23 (hess b)VAZQUEZ A 121 6.00    
TAHOE SUNRISE Sep03 Jul21 Jun04 May06 Mar18 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 50% 1.00    
FULL SCREEN Nov02 Oct01 Aug12 Jul20 Jun04 (casse mark)MALDONADO E 121 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  FAST DRAW MUNNINGS Sep16 Aug12 May08 Feb19 Jan15 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 2.50    
MCLAREN VALE Jul30 Jun04 Mar19 Feb05 Jan15 (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 114 10.00    
 
DMR-9   11/24/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONG OF SHADOWS Nov02 Sep24 Aug25 Aug10 Jul02 (miyadi steven)TORREALBA JG 115 3.50 29% 2.50    
ILLHAVEANOTHERKISS Oct28 Sep22 Sep08 Aug06   (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 120 6.00    
YO YO MAMA Oct06 Aug25 Sep05 Jul29 Jun26 (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 120 8.00    
SQUARE TOMATOES Aug06 Dec17       (cunningham br)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 15.00    
DON'T JU FORGET Nov10 Nov02 Oct06 Sep03 Aug06 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  QUEEN OF POMPEII Nov02 Oct06 Sep03 Aug06 Oct28 (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.00    
KEEP YOUR COIL Jul02 Mar12 Jan20 Dec17 Oct16 (nar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
UNWRITTEN CODE Oct29 Oct06 Sep01 Mar04 Feb10 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 6.00 13% 6.80    
COCKTAIL PRINCESS Dec11 Nov05 Oct10 Jul29 Jun26 (papaprodromou geo)FREY KYLE 120 6.00    
SCR  BARBERA Oct20 Sep09 Aug19 Jun30 Jun10 (stute gary)TORREALBA JG 113 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.