Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Golden Gate Fields
Saturday - October 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GG-1   WIN (8/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/3)-(8/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/3)-(8/5/7/3)-(8/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/7/3)-(1/4/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/3)-(1/4/2)-(6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
GG-2   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(6/2)-(7/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
GG-3   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/2)-(7/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(7/3/6)-(8/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
GG-4   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/1/6)-(7/3/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(8/4/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6)-(8/4/7)-(6/7/4/5/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
GG-5   WIN (8/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/7)-(8/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/7)-(8/4/7)-(8/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/4/7)-(6/7/4/5/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (8/4/7)-(6/7/4/5/3)-(7/1/11/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
GG-6   WIN (6/7/4/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/5/3)-(6/7/4/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/5/3)-(6/7/4/5/3)-(6/7/4/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/4/5/3)-(7/1/11/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/5/3)-(7/1/11/10)-(7/12/3/2/11) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
GG-7   WIN (7/1/11/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/11/10)-(7/1/11/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/11/10)-(7/1/11/10)-(7/1/11/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/11/10)-(7/12/3/2/11) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (7/1/11/10)-(7/12/3/2/11)-(7/4/9/11) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
GG-8   WIN (7/12/3/2/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/12/3/2/11)-(7/12/3/2/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/12/3/2/11)-(7/12/3/2/11)-(7/12/3/2/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/12/3/2/11)-(7/4/9/11) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
GG-9   WIN (7/4/9/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/9/11)-(7/4/9/11/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/9/11)-(7/4/9/11/1)-(7/4/9/11/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GG-1   10/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARBOR'S BEAUTY Oct06 Sep10       (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 123 6.00    
NORTHERN LINCHPIN Sep16         (essex charles)MONTALVO C 123 15.00    
DADDY INDEED         (sherman s)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 10.00 9% 10.10    
AFTER MY OWN HEART Sep10 Oct21       (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 12.00    
SPAIN MOONLIGHT (IRE) Sep30 Apr07       (mathis andy)ROMAN A 123 3.00 20% 4.00    
MERRY BLUE         (mathis andy)RIVERA SANTOS 123 8.00    
GRAZED N' CONFUSED Jun11 May26 Apr22 Apr01 Sep17 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 123 5.00 10% 8.90    
HEY BARMAID Aug13 Jun17 May19     (wright blaine)RADKE K 123 1.60 24% 3.20    
 
GG-2   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMANDA ROSE Oct01 Sep09 Aug26 Aug05 Jun30 (bellasis tim)RADKE K 125 1.60 50% 1.00    
OUT OF STARS Sep16 Aug26 Aug13 Jul21 Sep17 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 2.50 7% 13.10    
ENGEE OMBEE Oct07 Aug25 Aug19 Jul21 Jul02 (hansen r)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 8.00    
SEASON TO REMEMBER Oct13 Mar07 Feb13 Jan17   (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 3.50 22% 3.50    
TIME TO SMILE Oct01 Sep11 Aug11 May21 May01 (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 5.00    
JERSEY BIRD Oct01 Aug25 Aug18 Aug05 Jul21 (eaton terr)MONROY FRANCISCO 123 10.00    
 
GG-3   10/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR BEETS Sep23 Aug27 Aug11 Jun25 Jun03 (badilla man)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 5.00    
COBRA JET Sep16 Aug06 Jul08 Jun17 May28 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 8.00 14% 5.90    
SCR  GROWTH ENGINE Oct15 Sep23 Aug27 Aug11 Jul02 (tama)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 2.00    
SCR  CHIEF JACKSON Oct02 Jun03 May26 Apr22 Apr08 (baker wayne)OROZCO IRVING 123 10.00    
LOOKIN FOR REVENGE Sep09 Jul30 Jul21 Jun24 May29 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 123 6.00    
SEA OF LIBERTY Sep23 Sep02 Aug11 Jul21 Jun11 (thomas jamey)ROMAN A 123 3.00 41% 1.50    
WINE AND WHISKY Sep24 Aug27 Aug13 Jul02 Jun17 (hobson sim)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 4.00    
 
GG-4   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANDOS LADY         (specht steve)ALVARADO T 120 5.00    
  (by TAMARANDO out of LADY RAILRIDER by RIDE THE RAILS)
ENGLISH DANGER         (quinonez rolan)ROMAN A 120 6.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of ENGLISH DANCER by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
LAST ELIZABETHAN Sep17         (galvin bren)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 4.00 33% 2.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of SURF by TAPIT)
VHAGAR Sep30         (jauregui o)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of MISSYOULIKECRAZY by LION HEART)
LONGHORN LASSIE Sep02 Aug11       (france reid)OROZCO IRVING 120 10.00    
  (by TEXAS RYANO out of LAUREN'S EXPORT by LONHRO (AUS))
STAY UP Sep17         (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of STARDUST UP by BERNSTEIN)
BROADWAY TIGER Oct02 Sep17       (badilla manue)RIVERA SANTOS 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of FINISH RICH IN NYC by GOTHAM CITY)
YO BABY         (rondan feli)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 10.00    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of JOYOUSLY by HALF TERM)
PRINCESS K Sep10         (essex charles)RADKE K 120 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of PRINCESS HILLARY by MARIA'S MON)
 
GG-5   10/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TITOS WITH A TWIST Sep11 Jul30 Jun10 Jun02 Apr28 (miyadi steven)ALVARADO T 121 8.00    
STRAIT OF GEORGIA Sep16 Jun10 May21 May04 Nov27 (wright blaine)ROMAN A 123 4.50    
HOT JOURNEY Sep24 Aug27 Jul28 Jul09 Jun23 (maravilla jorg)HERRERA HUGO 123 8.00    
YOU KIDDING ME Sep24 Sep11 Jun11 May19 Apr08 (bellasis tim)OROZCO IRVING 125 6.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  RICH GOLD Sep30 Sep10 Aug13 Jan29 Dec02 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 2.50    
MOVIETIME Sep16 Aug27 Aug06 Jul07 Jun10 (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 6.00    
HICKORY WIND Oct01 Jun11 May19 Apr28 Apr07 (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 125 3.50 18% 4.70    
DE LA LUNA Sep11 Aug05 May14 Apr30 Apr02 (eaton ter)MARTINEZ CATALINO 123 10.00 29% 2.40    
 
GG-6   10/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 2 ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IM GUNNA Sep17 Aug31       (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
OLD TRIANGLE Sep03         (bellasis tim)HERRERA HUGO 120 12.00    
CROWN MAGIC         (specht steve)OROZCO IRVING 120 8.00 6% 16.40    
BABY WAYLON         (bain)ANTONGEORGI JR 120 12.00 7% 13.60    
MOOLA MAN         (mclean bill)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 15.00 7% 13.60    
KEEP MOVIN' ON         (specht st)MARTINEZ CATALINO 120 2.00 31% 2.20    
UNCLE LEON Sep24 Sep03       (perez serg)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 120 4.00 29% 2.40    
PRECEDENT LUKE Sep17         (taylor faith)RIVERA SANTOS 120 10.00    
RAMATHORN Sep24 Sep03       (jauregui j)ROMAN A 120 5.00    
10  DAD'S JUBILEE Sep17 Jul21 Jun11     (moger jr)DURAN F 120 10.00    
 
GG-7   10/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE SLAP Sep23 Sep11 Mar09 Dec04 Oct29 (troy a)RADKE K 121 8.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  EARTHLY TIGER         (thomas ruby)OROZCO E 123 12.00    
CAPIAT Sep16 Aug04 Jun09 May06 Apr18 (wright blaine)MONTALVO C 121 12.00    
LUCKY RAPPER Oct01 Aug26 Jul30 Jun25 May28 (mclean bill)RIVERA SANTOS 121 20.00    
SON OF SHANGHAI Oct02 Sep11 Jul07 Jun24   (taylor faith)OROZCO IRVING 123 12.00    
TRIBUTE TO M Sep23 Aug27 Aug06 Jul07   (dunham dani)GARCIA EPIFANIO 123 8.00    
EXCESS ENGLISH Sep11 Jul31       (thom)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  CHIEFS BLANKET Sep29 Aug24 Aug13 Jun24   (o'neill do)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 4.00    
DEO Sep18 Aug28 Jun04 May19 Apr15 (haley glo)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 12.00    
10  MOONRISE DRIVE Sep23 Jul30       (callaghan simo)ROMAN A 123 6.00 7% 12.80    
11  WAY TOO HOT Aug27 Aug06 Jul07 Jun10 May21 (mccanna tim)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 5.00 16% 5.30    
 
GG-8   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEZARUNAWAY Jun02 May14 Apr07 Feb19 Jan28 (mark)ANTONGEORGI JR 127 30.00    
A DIME FOR ME Mar26 Mar05 Feb12 Jan20 Dec10 (tamayo isidro)ALVARADO T 123 10.00 7% 12.60    
DOLCE GHOST Jul01 Jun03 May13 Apr22   (galvin bren)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 12.00 13% 6.90    
WARRIOR'S MOON Sep30 Sep03 Aug18 Jun17 May14 (sadler joh)AMERICANO MANUEL 113 15.00    
GRAZEN IN THE SUN Jan29 Dec30 Nov26 Oct29   (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 20.00    
LADY'S SERMON Sep17 Aug27 Jun24 May13 Apr21 (specht st)MARTINEZ CATALINO 127 15.00    
HOUSE OF MAGIC Aug25 Aug10 Jul04 Aug21   (miller peter)ROMAN A 121 1.80 26% 2.80    
SWALL Sep17 Aug25 Jul22 Jun09 May13 (mathis andy)RIVERA SANTOS 121 6.00    
EM N HOLL'S FIESTA Sep25 Sep04 Jun30 Jun09 May21 (lenzini mich)OROZCO E 121 20.00    
10  MY YAMMY LADY Oct02 Sep10 Aug12 Jun04 May20 (sherman m)RADKE K 123 10.00    
11  ZAZEN Jun25 Jun03 May13 Mar31 Feb20 (markle dan)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 127 8.00 6% 16.20    
12  BREVE Sep24         (badilla manue)OROZCO IRVING 121 4.50 26% 2.90    
 
GG-9   10/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARDINAL TRICK Sep24 Sep11 May28     (hansen rog)MONROY FRANCISCO 123 8.00    
  (by STANFORD out of TRICKED AGAIN by HAT TRICK)
DANZING ALYDAR         (galvin w)DURAN F 123 12.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of COTTONWOOD BABE by BENCHMARK)
DESERT ROCKET         (callaghan simo)ROMAN A 123 10.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of DESERT STEEL by DESERT CODE)
PASS THE BATON Sep17 Aug26       (mclean bill)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 6.00 20% 4.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of WHITE STILETTO by TAPIT)
COLLECT DIS MONEY Sep10 Aug26 Jul19 Jul01 Dec17 (o'neill do)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 8.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of ASCENT by CAPOTE)
WHENTHEFOGLIFTS Sep02 Jun11       (hobson si)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 20.00    
  (by STANFORD out of FRISCO FOG by DELINEATOR)
RUNNING ON FIRE Dec03 Nov20 Oct22     (specht steve)ALVARADO T 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
  (by TAMARANDO out of HEAT STRIKER by UNUSUAL HEAT)
MISCHIEVOUS PADDY         (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of PADDY JEAN by PADDY O'PRADO)
ATTA BOY LLOYD Sep24 Sep02 Aug11     (taylor faith)RIVERA SANTOS 123 4.00 7% 13.30    
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of THAT'SENOUGHSINGIN by SWISS YODELER)
SCR  R HEART OF GOLD Oct01 Sep16 Aug26 Jun04 May06 (puentes j)MARTINEZ CATALINO 123 12.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of KIMBERLY'S GOLD by CEE'S TIZZY)
11  CHELSIESDANZIGLITE Oct08 Sep18 Aug28 Aug03 Jul07 (mcda)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WINNING CAUSE out of LEAPS 'N BOUNDS by VRONSKY)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.