Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lethbridge
Sunday - October 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LBG-1   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-2   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-3   WIN (8/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/6)-(8/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/6)-(8/1/6)-(8/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-4   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LBG-7   WIN (2/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/7)-(2/8/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/8/7)-(2/8/3/7)-(2/8/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LBG-8   WIN (2/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/1)-(2/8/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/1)-(2/8/7/1)-(2/8/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LBG-9   WIN (8/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/4/6)-(8/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/4/6)-(8/3/4/6)-(8/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LBG-1   10/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HASHTAGUGOTTHIS Sep23 Sep10 Aug27     (blattler cod)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 4.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of KATY'S KITTY by OSIDY)
2  FINN VALLEY Sep07         (bugeaud mike)BUGEAUD L 124 10.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of FAIRLY WELL TUNED by SEATTLE SLEET)
3  CHARMING DIAMOND Sep23         (ferguson )STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by SCOTTISH ROGUE out of ONESMARTBELLE by PREACHINATTHEBAR)
4  NIGHTFALL Sep10 Jul30 Jun30     (ferguson laurie)SIMPSON W 124 2.50    
  (by NUMAANY out of DA SVEDONYA by LIL TYLER)
5  SCAT THE BLUES         (mcconaghie sha)POWELL ANDRE 124 10.00 26% 2.90    
  (by MR. RECIO out of DUSTY BLUE by CAPTAIN BODGIT)
6  BOLD NEW TRICKS Sep20 Sep04 Aug23 Aug01 Jun23 (mead bra)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLD CHIEFTAIN out of NO TRICKS FOR JACK by JACKPOT)
 
LBG-2   10/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONNA'S BOY Oct10 Sep25 Sep11 Sep04   (mike christopher)MOCCASIN T 124 12.00 8% 12.20    
2  SAND WALKER Sep16 Jul22 Jun23 Jun10 Jun04 (depew jim)POWELL ANDRE 124 4.50 42% 1.40    
3  WITTS SHORT STOP Sep30 Aug05 Jul29 Jun18 Jun11 (calfrobe kaylo)ALLEN LARRIS 124 3.00    
4  MY FATHER'S EYES Sep30 Sep16 Aug28 Aug21 Aug08 (brown joh)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 5.00    
5  KING WITT Sep30 Sep17 Sep04 Aug06 Jul15 (calfrobe shaw)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 10.00    
6  DR A TO D Sep30 Sep09 Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 (little bear )BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 8.00    
7  DOC ROSS Sep30 Sep17 Sep03 Aug27 Aug20 (clarke chand)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
LBG-3   10/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME 'N TIME AGAIN Sep09 Aug11 Jul14 Jun03 May15 (fike jordie)GORDON GARFIELD 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
2  WE NEED V L TS PLZ Sep29 Sep16 Sep09 Aug27 Aug20 (miyashiro ta)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 10.00    
3  MACER THE RACER Jul24 Jul12 Jun14 May03 Apr04 (rowe michael)WRIGHT ANDREW 124 12.00    
SCR  JUST LOUIE Oct10 Sep25 Sep11 Aug21 Aug07 (ladouceur doug)POWELL ANDRE 124 12.00    
5  AX 'S SHORE Sep24 Sep09 Aug10 Jul30 Jul08 (dennis clifton )SIMPSON W 124 2.50    
6  RATTLESNAKE JACK Sep24 Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 Aug06 (smith w )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 3.00 13% 6.70    
7  QUICK SIX Sep29 Sep24 Sep09 Aug27 Aug20 (snider corey)APANGO JUAN 124 8.00    
8  THE ITALIAN MAN Sep24 Aug27 Jul30 Jul22 Jun23 (bugeaud mike)BUGEAUD L 124 4.50 39% 1.60    
 
LBG-4   10/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVAESQUE Aug30 Aug21 Jul12 Jul01 Jun02 (tourangeau rus)ALLEN LARRIS 124 6.00 13% 6.90    
2  MIAMI SOUVENIRS Sep29 Sep20 Sep12 Aug30 Aug21 (mead bra)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 1.80 37% 1.70    
3  FAMILY IS GOLD Sep17 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jul15 (bugeaud mik)GORDON GARFIELD 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
4  LASKA (CHI) Sep29 Sep10 Aug27 Aug20 Jul29 (robson tra)RIZO ALEXIS 124 2.00    
5  UBBADEETS Sep29 Sep10 Aug20 Aug05 Nov04 (smith darcy)SIMPSON W 124 8.00    
6  SOLANA (IRE) Aug27 Aug20 Jul29 Jul08 Sep03 (marks gar)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 8.00    
 
LBG-7   10/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREUDS VISION Jun26 May29 Oct10 Sep11 Aug06 (kinch bill)ALLEN LARRIS 124 2.00    
2  BENNYBOB Sep09 Aug27 Aug06 Jul22 Jul09 (rycroft clinton)SIMPSON W 124 2.50 64% 0.60    
3  JHAWK FLYER Sep24 Sep10 Aug18 Jun25 Jun11 (dennis g)BUGEAUD L 124 6.00 ★    
4  PEPPER HEAD Sep10 Nov04       (adams les)POWELL ANDRE 124 12.00    
5  SUPER D'ORO Sep29 Sep24 Sep09 Aug07 Jul26 (ellis andre)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 12.00    
6  EXPLICIT FIRE Sep24 Sep10 Aug19 Jun09 May26 (robson tra)APANGO JOSE 124 7.00    
7  ACCELERATE EXPRESS Sep24 Sep09 Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 (smith darc)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  FINE SOFT MORNING Sep12 Aug28 Aug23 Aug09 May29 (tourange)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 4.00 13% 7.00    
 
LBG-8   10/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fillies Oaks Purse ($11K) 3 F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLORIOUSLY WICKED Sep02 Jul23 Jun24 May29 May05 (conway laura )WRIGHT ANDREW 124 12.00 8% 11.40    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of BE GLORIOUS by RED BULLET)
2  THE COMRIE RULE Sep23 Sep17 Aug23 Aug02 Jul10 (brown joh)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 1.80 24% 3.10    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of STAR CHANT by MR. GREELEY)
3  YOGA RULER Sep23 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jul22 (blattler codi)APANGO JUAN 124 10.00    
  (by IMPERIALISM out of MOVE WITH JOY by WHERE'S THE RING)
4  SUBLIME EUPHORIA Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 Jun17 (gardipy raym)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 5.00    
  (by OXBOW out of EUPHORIUM by TAPIT)
5  EVERYTHING TO GAIN Sep29 Sep23 Sep10 Aug26 Jul25 (clarke chandra)POWELL ANDRE 124 8.00    
  (by MR. Z out of GLAMOUR MANOR by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  FLASHING JOKER Sep24 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jul22 (robson tra)APANGO JOSE 124 12.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of AMNESIAN by BOLD N' FLASHY)
7  CORONA DEL MAR Sep24 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 (mohindee ma)GORDON GARFIELD 124 3.00 15% 5.70    
  (by GORMLEY out of SUPERBOWL SALLY by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
8  NORTHERN MISSILE Aug20 Jul30 Jul22 Jul08 Jun25 (robson tra)RIZO ALEXIS 124 1.00 21% 3.80    
  (by MR O'PRADO out of NORTHERN SWALLOW by NORTHERN AFLEET)
 
LBG-9   10/08/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Amtote Open Derby Purse ($11K) 3 ALL PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SABURO'S GRACE Sep24 Sep04 Aug20 Aug06 Jul22 (magnuson lyle)ALLEN LARRIS 124 2.50    
  (by SABURO out of MIZ GRAYCEE by MIZZEN MAST)
2  QUALITY GRANDSON Sep23 Sep08 Aug19 Jul29 Jul23 (giesbrecht j)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 12.00    
  (by LINCHPIN out of JUDICATURE by TRIBUNAL)
3  FLASHIN ACES Oct01 Aug26 Aug06 Jul30 Jul01 (brown r)SIMPSON W 124 2.00 25% 2.90    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of SWEET DREAMIN by NAJRAN)
4  YES NO MAYBE SO Sep24 Sep03 Aug13 Jul30 Jul22 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 8.00 12% 7.40    
  (by ILIAD out of LOST MEMORY by THUNDER GULCH)
5  BIG JIM Sep24 Aug07 Jul17 Jun24 Jun10 (giesbrecht j)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 15.00    
  (by BIG LIGHTNING out of JIM N PEG'S GAL by ROYAL ACADEMY)
6  FULLOUT FIRE Sep24 Sep03 Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 (robson tra)RIZO ALEXIS 124 6.00 10% 9.50    
  (by FIRESPIKE out of OTHLADY by OTHELLO)
7  CLEVER CONNECTION Sep29 Sep16 Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 (robson travis)APANGO JUAN 124 12.00    
  (by MR O'PRADO out of BLINKANSHESGONE by LOST CANYON (GB))
8  ALTITUDE Oct01 Aug26 Jul30 Jun24 Jun17 (brown ji)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 1.00 28% 2.60    
  (by MARK VALESKI out of GRATZIE by TWO PUNCH)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.