Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sweetwater Downs
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SWF-8   WIN (3/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/2)-(3/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/2)-(3/1/8/2)-(3/1/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/8/2)-(6/9/4/3/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
SWF-9   WIN (6/9/4/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/9/4/3/7)-(6/9/4/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/9/4/3/7)-(6/9/4/3/7)-(6/9/4/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SWF-8   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR OF STARS Aug10 Jul15 Jul02 May12 Sep14 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 126 2.50 16% 5.30    
2  B MAKER Aug05 Jul14 Jun26 Jun11 Jul11 (thompson grady)LUSK TYSON 126 10.00 15% 5.90    
3  OUR HONEY BUNNY Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 Jun04 (scudder rick)BARRON EZEKIEL 121 4.50 28% 2.60    
4  BENCH'S CONQUEST Jul22 Jul02 Sep24 Sep09 Jun26 (hadley jordan)VIRGEN JESUS 126 15.00    
5  LAMELO Jul23 Jul06 Jun07 May22 Feb17 (ecoffey g)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 3.50    
6  VISONARY STAR Aug05 Jul22 Jul15 Jun16 Jun09 (womochil jeff)GARNETT G 126 8.00    
7  BUMPER POOL Aug07 Jul17 Jul03 Oct25 Oct02 (ibanez albert)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 3.00    
8  BUG ZAPPER Aug05 Jul15 Jul02 Jun16 May27 (womochil jeff)MARTINEZ R 126 12.00 15% 5.70    
 
SWF-9   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Horse Palace Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPERMAN SHAQ Aug05 Sep18 Aug13 Jul23 May27 (dominguez)DE TORRE 128 8.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of DRUMETTE by HENNY HUGHES)
2  FAYETTE WARRIOR Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 Jun18 Jun04 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 128 3.00    
  (by EXCHANGE RATE out of LEGENDARY PEACE by PEACE RULES)
3  WRATH Jul16 May27 May05 Apr15 Apr02 (ecoffey gilbert )MARTINEZ R 128 20.00 8% 11.20    
  (by FLATTER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  MAINTAINANCE MATT Aug05 May20 May06 Mar24 Mar03 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 128 8.00 18% 4.40    
  (by OXBOW out of SAMBORA by HOLY BULL)
5  ALTERNATE TIME Aug05 Jul29 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 (greene skyler)VIRGEN JESUS 128 10.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of TIME FOR ETBAUER by ETBAUER)
6  CAPTAIN SCOTTY Aug05 Jul01 Jun03 Sep24 Aug06 (bunn shawn)CERVANTES OSCAR 128 6.00 31% 2.30    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of SHE IS RAGING by AGGRESSIVE CHIEF)
7  FRANKS DEHERE Aug06 Jul14 Jun18 Jun10 May06 (bunn shaw)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 128 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ST. DEHERE out of SELDOM SILENT by SPEAK)
8  STREET BEHAVIOR Aug06 Jul30 Jul02 Jun04 May29 (giles t)RAMOS MANUEL 128 4.50    
  (by STREET SENSE out of EXOTIC BEHAVIOR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  POPS AWESOME Aug05 Jul29 Jul22 Jul09 Jun25 (williams )RIVAS CARLOS 128 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by DADS CAPS out of WATUSI by AWESOME AGAIN)
10  CREATIVE LETTERS Aug06 Jul23 Jul15 Jun03 May20 (ibanez albert)JIMENEZ DAVID 128 12.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of TRAIL OF LETTERS by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.