Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-5   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(4/3)-(4/7/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-6   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(4/7/6)-(3/1/8/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-7   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(3/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(3/1/8/6)-(6/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-8   WIN (3/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/6)-(3/1/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/6)-(3/1/8/6)-(3/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/8/6)-(6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8/6)-(6/3/1)-(1/4/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-9   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(1/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(1/4/7/3)-(4/5/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-10   WIN (1/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/3)-(1/4/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/3)-(1/4/7/3)-(1/4/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/3)-(4/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PRM-11   WIN (4/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7)-(4/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-5   07/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET STROLL Jun19 May27 May12 Sep16 Aug21 (von kelly)CORBETT W 119 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by STROLL out of BLUMIN SWEETHEART by BLUMIN AFFAIR)
2  KYLIES HOPE Jul14 Jun25 May29 May12 Aug21 (wellington)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 6.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of AMPLY REWARDED by GRAND SLAM)
3  BIZ B QUICK Jun30 Jun09       (wellington to)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 4.00 10% 9.20    
  (by TAPITURE out of MISS BIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
4  HOODWICKED Jul16         (johnston d)ROMAN KEVIN 119 1.80 32% 2.10    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of BABY IT'S MINE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
5  CAN'T MAKE ME Jul16 Jul03 Jun19 May27 Oct02 (mcshane davi)SALAZAR TERESA 119 3.50    
  (by NATIVE RULER out of CAN'T BUY CLASS by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  SONG OF PRAISE Jun30 Jun05 May26 Sep16 Aug27 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 119 8.00    
  (by SING BABY SING out of STONE WEDGE by WESTERN EXPRESSION)
 
PRM-6   07/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($44.554K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BE SINCERE Jul16 Jun30 Jun09 May26 May12 (fett brandi)BIRZER E 120 5.00    
2  ARCHAIC Jul16 Jun30 Jun09     (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 4.00    
3  BATTER UP BETTY Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 Oct01 Aug26 (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  SIMMERING (GB) Jul02 May28 May12 Sep30 Sep12 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 123 3.50 45% 1.20    
5  STREAKIN' EASY Jul23 Jul03 Jun19 May27 Sep24 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 6.00    
SCR  LAVENDER LIL Jul21 Jul02 Jun19 May21 Oct01 (clark r)CORBETT W 120 2.50    
 
PRM-7   07/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BILLY YANK Jul23 Jul15 Jun30 Jun12 May27 (roe w)TOHILL S 125 5.00    
2  BIG HEARTED FACTOR Jul15 Jun30 Jun12 Apr29 Apr15 (arceo sal)TRIANA JR 125 4.00    
3  COOL CATOMINE Jul10 Jun12 Apr29 Feb10 Dec17 (roe ro)FLETCHER D 123 12.00    
4  PARALISSFRMANALYSS Jul09 Jun12 May27 Apr15 Mar18 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 40% 1.50    
5  FAKE SOLUTION Jul10 Jun12 May27 May06 Apr23 (condon schuyler)CORBETT W 125 8.00    
6  INCITATUS Jun12 May09 Apr21 Apr07 Mar11 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 123 6.00 10% 8.50    
7  RECORDER Jul09 May12 Apr22 Apr15 Mar18 (arnett g)BIRZER E 125 3.00 20% 4.00    
 
PRM-8   07/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLE SPUR Jul14 Jun26 Jun09 Apr28 Mar25 (rufino eu)DE CRUZ 124 4.00 12% 7.50    
2  TWIRLING CHIEF Jul10 Jun26 Jun16 May27 May19 (flores oscar)BIRZER E 121 3.50    
3  RIVERSPORT Jul17 Jul02 Jun19 Dec16 Dec02 (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.00 62% 0.60    
SCR  REVENIR Jul14 Jun24 Jun02 Jun19 May29 (clark r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 15.00    
5  SKYLINE Jul14 Jun24 May27 May19 Apr29 (schleis casey)TOHILL S 124 4.50    
6  GINGER RULES Jul23 Jul14 Jul02 Jun17 Jun03 (roe ro)FLETCHER D 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  WHONEW Jul17 Jun11 May22 Apr30   (donlin la)TRIANA JR 120 10.00    
8  APOLLO BAY Jul10 Jun30 Jun16 Jun03 Oct02 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-9   07/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUBWAY SUSIE         (murphy tra)WELLINGTON KYLIE 114 8.00 6% 17.10    
  (by UNIFIED out of DETAIL by CITY ZIP)
SCR  FULL MOON BEACH         (murphy)FLETCHER D 119 6.00 6% 17.10    
  (by ACCELERATE out of PRIVATE BEACH by MALIBU MOON)
3  X RAY VISION Jun26 Jun11 May06 Apr15   (rollins s)DE CRUZ 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of WINNING VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
4  KONA KINLEY         (murphy s)ROMAN KEVIN 119 4.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of SUGAR QUEEN by GEMOLOGIST)
5  CONVALIDATION Jun26         (arnett g)BIRZER E 119 3.50    
  (by UNIFIED out of VALID ENCHANTMENT by TIZNOW)
6  ARIZONA LINDY Jul02         (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of AWESOME EFFORT by AWESOME AGAIN)
7  NO COST Jun26         (arceo sal)TRIANA JR 119 12.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of COST by PULPIT)
 
PRM-10   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.477K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACCELERITAS Jul09 Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 Dec21 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 120 6.00 33% 2.10    
2  MY BOAZ Sep05 Aug15 Jul25 Jun27   (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 12.00    
3  DAY MONEY Jul15 Jun26 May26 Oct02 Sep23 (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 124 3.50 10% 8.60    
4  STAR OF MINE Jul15 Jul03 Jun19 Jun05 May13 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 4.00 15% 5.50    
5  FRANKLY EPIC Jul09 Jun30 Jun18 May19 Sep30 (mcshane d)CORBETT W 124 3.00    
6  SOLE SURVIVOR Jul10 Jun30 Jun18 May28 Sep16 (tibbitts dave)TOHILL S 124 8.00    
7  LURCH Jul09 Jun16 May27 May12 Sep26 (compton jesse)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 2.50 13% 7.00    
 
PRM-11   07/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARACTER COUNTS Jul09 Jun16 May14 Apr28 Apr16 (houghton bryan)TOHILL S 119 10.00    
2  CZECHITOUT Jun05         (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 124 6.00    
3  BELLEFIRE Jun24 May29 Apr20 Sep10 Jul28 (tracy tann)WELLINGTON KYLIE 119 15.00    
4  DAPHNE'S FIRE Jul02 Jun17 Jun02 May21 Apr22 (flores oscar)JORDAN R 119 4.00 32% 2.10    
5  PREORDAINED Jul09 Jun25 Jun04 Apr30 Apr14 (martin e)BIRZER E 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
6  ALTAR GIRL Jun25 Jun04 Apr30 Apr22 Mar30 (schleis casey)CORBETT W 119 3.00 18% 4.70    
7  BRODY'S MINE         (jordan to)TRIANA JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  RELENTLESS ROCKET Jul09 Jun16 May26 Apr30 Mar17 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.