Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Friday - July 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (8/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/3)-(8/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/3)-(8/7/2/3)-(8/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/2/3)-(6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-2   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/5)-(7/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-3   WIN (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/1)-(7/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-4   WIN (7/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/6)-(7/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/6)-(7/5/1/6)-(7/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/6)-(7/5/3/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
GP-5   WIN (7/5/3/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/1/6)-(7/5/3/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/1/6)-(7/5/3/1/6)-(7/5/3/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/3/1/6)-(1/6/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
GP-6   WIN (1/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/3)-(6/8/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-7   WIN (6/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7)-(6/8/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/5/7)-(3/4/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-8   WIN (3/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/1)-(3/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/1)-(3/4/8/1)-(3/4/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET TO SUCCESS Jun10         (bradd)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 20.00    
SHARP PIPPA May28 May12 Apr16     (d'angelo jose)PINTO EDUARDO 109 6.00 12% 7.60    
UNCAPTURED SKEET Jul08 Jun18 May21     (minguet ramo)MORELOS E 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OVERRUN Jul01 Jun24 Jun16     (crooks je)SCAMPTON BRITTANY 119 20.00    
FOR THE THRILL Jun16 Jun03 May12 Apr28 Mar01 (willia)VASQUEZ ANGEL 119 10.00    
MOON ROSE Jun30 May21 Mar11 Feb17 Jan11 (dobber w)LEON SONNY 119 4.50    
MISS UNCONCERNED Jun16         (proctor thom)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 3.00 15% 5.70    
LAVEAU Jun24 May07 Apr19 Mar25 Mar12 (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 124 1.60 53% 0.90    
 
GP-2   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 2 F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW DIAMOND         (biancone pa)SPANABEL SKYLER 118 3.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of SHIRL'S SOUL by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
SCR  DREAM DIAMOND Jun09         (biancone )CAMACHO JR 118 15.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of SKIP A STEP by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
WELLTON GIRL Jun23         (parra hernan)MORELOS E 118 8.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of NEWELLTON by TRAPPE SHOT)
BIANCA LUNA Jun16         (pita d)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 10.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of ITSINTHESTARS by ASTROLOGY)
LADIDA Jun09         (braddy david)LEON SONNY 118 20.00 10% 8.80    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of WILD LEMON GAL by LEMON DROP KID)
JUST TAKE NOTES Jun16 Jun02       (rodriquez ro)ZAYAS J 118 2.00 25% 3.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of I'LL TAKE NOTES by BELGRAVIA (GB))
MIST Jun02 Apr20       (alvarado juan)JARAMILLO E 118 1.80 21% 3.90    
  (by BRETHREN out of SWEET KHALEESI by MAIMONIDES)
 
GP-3   07/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($31K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAVID'S ROSE Jun17 May19 Apr22 Mar09 Feb10 (plesa edward)ZAYAS J 122 4.50 15% 5.60    
LOVIN MAKES CENTS Jun17 Jun03 May12 Mar17 Feb18 (mckathan kev)MORELOS E 120 6.00    
SEQUIN LADY Jun17 May12 Apr06 Mar22 Feb16 (young jennifer )PEREZ EDGAR 122 3.00 19% 4.10    
BEANTOWN BABY Mar11 Feb09 Aug01 Feb19   (nicks ralph )GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 5.00    
NIKEE KAN Jun17 May20 Apr22 Feb18 Dec23 (d'ang)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50    
SCR  PRUDENT SONG Jun11 Apr29 Mar26 Mar11 Feb08 (hunt dona)CAMACHO JR 120 12.00    
RAPTUROUS Jun03 Aug19 Jul16 Jun18 May07 (walder)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 4.00 39% 1.60    
 
GP-4   07/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADIOS GARY Jun17 Mar18 Feb18 Jan21 Dec23 (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 125 8.00 17% 5.00    
LORD EDDARD STARK Jun16 May28 Oct06 Aug29 Aug11 (orseno joseph)JIMENEZ MANNY 125 3.00    
AWESOME CRUSADER May28 Apr21 Apr01 Mar01 Dec08 (nicks ralph )GONZALEZ EDWIN 125 6.00    
COOLER KING May20 Apr07 Feb19 Jan26 Jan07 (plesa edward)ZAYAS J 120 8.00    
LIEUTENANT STAN May27 May07 Feb10 Jan11 Dec17 (casse mark)JARAMILLO E 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
BEST DEFENSE Jun16 Apr16 Mar19 Feb22 Jan12 (bates )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
WOW WISH Jun16 Apr26 Feb24     (sanchez amad)MORELOS E 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
GP-5   07/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HITS DIFFERENT Jun16 Apr15 Mar16     (sweez)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
LONGING FOR MINTS May12 Apr28       (philipp kar)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 20.00    
LOVE RHAPSODY May26 Apr27 Apr01 Feb05 Jan08 (crichton rohan)JARAMILLO E 119 4.50 6% 16.50    
DAN'S CANDI GIRL Jun16 May05 Apr07 Mar16   (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 119 3.50    
SILVIA V'S HEROES Jun16 Sep23 Aug21     (dwoski)VASQUEZ ANGEL 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
APACHE RIDE May26         (mongeon p)LEON SONNY 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
CALL ME SPICY Jun16 Jun23       (d'angelo jos)GONZALEZ EDWIN 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
MY CHUTZPAH Jun10 Apr28       (braddy dav)ZAYAS J 119 15.00    
ONE SMOKIN' RITA May26 Jul22 Jun03     (nicks e)PANICI LUCA 119 6.00    
 
GP-6   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEALS THE SOUL Apr29 Apr08 Mar11 Feb12 Dec23 (david )VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
UNCAPTURED STAR Jun17 May20 Apr28 Mar29 Feb09 (dobber arnoud )BORACO DAVID 118 20.00    
BORIS Dec04 Oct08 Sep23 Aug20 Jul23 (abreu fernando)RIOS M 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
CROSS HASTE Jun24 May21 Apr02 Sep18 Aug19 (antonucci je)MORELOS E 124 4.00    
COMMANDANT Oct01 Sep03 Aug06 Jun25   (braddy dav)ZAYAS J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
BIG MARTINI Jun24 Jun03 May04 Apr09   (crichton rohan)JARAMILLO E 118 1.60 34% 1.90    
SONG RUNNER Jun24 May28 Mar30 Feb25 Jan07 (dobber w)LEON SONNY 122 5.00    
 
GP-7   07/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHA TIN Jun24 Jun11 May27 May05 Mar29 (biancone pa)SPANABEL SKYLER 125 15.00    
IL MALANDRINO May27 May11 Apr06 Mar11   (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
DREAM OF BLESSINGS Jul01 May27 May07 Apr23 Mar22 (maragh collin)PEREZ EDGAR 120 4.50    
DUKE SKYWALKER Jun30 May26 Apr29 Mar24 Mar03 (gonzalez javie)RIOS M 125 6.00    
SEBARAY Jun11 May13 Apr23 Apr08 Mar25 (antonucci je)MORELOS E 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
NORTH CAROLINA Jun30 Jun11 Apr22 Feb10 Jan06 (guciardo kathy)LEON SONNY 125 3.50 61% 0.60    
DANLEY Jun24 May27 May07 Apr22 Feb22 (lutchman pad)GONZALEZ EDWIN 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
TEPPER Jun11 May20 Apr16 Apr07 Mar05 (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 125 1.80 18% 4.70    
 
GP-8   07/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROPELLANT Mar31 Mar19 Mar04 Jan22 Dec14 (maker)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
PARTNER TOURS Jun03 Apr02       (o'connell ka)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 8.00    
CARSOWN Jun16 May20 Mar04     (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 118 3.00 35% 1.80    
ROUGH AND ROWDY May27 Apr06 Mar01     (danner kelsey)PEREZ EDGAR 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
THE DOORMAN May25         (o'connell kathl)PANICI LUCA 118 12.00    
DOLLAR BILL Jun16 May20 Apr16 Nov12   (o'conn)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 4.50    
SCR  ROYAL FOX HILLS Jun30 Jun09 Mar30 Mar11 Dec24 (jehaludi mohame)JARAMILLO E 118 15.00    
BROOKLYN DREAMS Jun03 May14 Apr27     (garoffalo jose)LEON SONNY 118 6.00 11% 8.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.