Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Saturday - May 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(4/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(4/6/1)-(5/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SA-2   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(5/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(5/1/3)-(4) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
SA-3   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(4)-(7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
SA-4   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/5) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4)-(7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4)-(7/1)-(4/7/8/6) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
SA-5   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1)-(7/1/2/8)-(7/1/2/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/1)-(4/7/8/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(4/7/8/6)-(7/5/3/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SA-6   WIN (4/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/8/6)-(4/7/8/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/8/6)-(4/7/8/6/2)-(4/7/8/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/8/6)-(7/5/3/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (4/7/8/6)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/6/4/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
SA-7   WIN (7/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/3/1)-(7/6/4/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/1)-(7/6/4/2)-(1/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
SA-8   WIN (7/6/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/2)-(7/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/2)-(7/6/4/2)-(7/6/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/4/2)-(1/8) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
SA-9   WIN (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/8)-(1/7/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/8)-(1/7/8)-(1/7/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   05/27/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($65K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ A MACHO GIRL Mar05 Feb11 Jan23 Jan09 Nov26 (metz jeffrey)FREY KYLE 124 10.00 7% 12.90    
HOTITUDE Apr30 Apr10       (mulhall kristin)BRAVO J 124 4.00    
PRINCESS ADALEIGH Apr22 Feb20 Jan22 Nov19 Sep11 (cerin vladimir)VAZQUEZ A 122 1.80 48% 1.10    
SECRETS TOLD Apr29 Mar26 Feb20 Jan13 Oct30 (sadler w)FRESU ANTONIO 122 2.50 9% 9.70    
QUIET SECRETARY Jul23 May01 Mar26 Feb11 Jan09 (kruljac ian)DESORMEAUX J 124 8.00    
BENEDICT CANYON Apr01 Mar24       (d'amat)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 3.00    
 
SA-2   05/27/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($61K) 2 F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IFUAINTFIRSTURLAST         (brinkerhoff va)CEDILLO ABEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of MORNING DANCE by BROKEN VOW)
SMOOVE OVER         (hernandez jos)PAYERAS EDGAR 118 8.00    
  (by PAVEL out of SMOOVE IT by SQUARE EDDIE)
KYTHIRA         (hanson r)ELLINGWOOD A 118 4.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of CASCADING by A.P. INDY)
SHE'S MY NIECE May12         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 118 1.20 35% 1.90    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ANYDAYISMYDAY by AFLEET ALEX)
THEY ARE FOR SALE         (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 5.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of THEN AND NOW by TIZNOW)
BECKY'S DREAM (FR)         (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 118 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by UNKNOWN out of CORPORATE QUEEN by COLONEL JOHN)
 
SA-3   05/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSYMADEMOISELLE May05 Mar27 Feb19 Dec10 Nov12 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 1.80 20% 3.90    
PARCO May07 Mar19 Feb11 Jan27 Jan08 (papaprodromou)VALDIVIA JR 126 3.00    
HOT ROD MAMA Apr21 Mar26 Mar05 Dec30 Oct21 (brinkerhoff )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
MOVINGLIKEAWINNER May05 Sep05 Aug07 Jul23   (knapp steve)HERRERA A 126 3.00    
RUN FOR MY HONEY May07 Dec09 Oct15 Sep05 Aug06 (ordonez aggi)DESORMEAUX J 126 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
SA-4   05/27/2023 4290ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KANDEREL Mar31 Mar12 Feb05 Jan13 Nov05 (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 2.50 14% 6.20    
HEIR (FR) Apr29 Mar28 Feb26 Feb11 Jan25 (belvoir vann)BRAVO J 122 5.00    
ALPINE THUNDER Jan07 Dec18 Nov06 Sep25 Jul08 (hernandez j)HERRERA A 122 15.00    
HEMBREE Apr09 Jan13       (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 120 4.00 62% 0.60    
TOOK CHARGE May06 Apr23 Mar12 Jan15 Dec26 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 3.00    
CHAOS THEORY Apr09 Mar12 Jan22 Nov26 Sep02 (puype )BERRIOS ISAAC 122 2.00    
 
SA-5   05/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BELL May07 Apr09 Mar19 Mar12 Feb11 (metz jeffrey)VAZQUEZ A 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
TROPICANA GIRL Mar17 Jan16 Dec11 Dec02 Oct16 (morfin sergi)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 115 5.00    
WRONG TURN CUPID Dec17 Nov12 Oct28 Aug28   (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 15.00    
VEGAN Apr02 Mar09 Feb17 Jan13 Nov12 (pineda milton)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 3.50    
ISLAND LIFE Aug04 Jul08 Jun25 Mar12 Feb20 (deleon raf)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 122 20.00    
DRIZELLA May05 Feb20 Dec11 Nov18 Nov04 (alvarez )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 10.00    
LUNATIC (CHI) Apr09 May20 Apr10 Mar19 Feb13 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.80 54% 0.90    
TALKATIVE GAL Apr02 Jan06 Dec18 Dec10 Nov06 (kna)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 4.00    
 
SA-6   05/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CLAMPETT Mar12 May08 Apr08 Mar13 Feb19 (glatt mark)VAN DRAYDEN 124 30.00    
MOTOWN MUSIC Mar31 Apr03 Mar19 Feb18 Feb05 (glatt mark)MALDONADO E 124 5.00    
SHOW TIME Apr09 Mar17 Dec17 Nov06 Aug13 (mandella richard )SMITH E 124 5.00    
FINNEUS Apr09 Mar17 Jan28 Jan07 Dec17 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
FLYING DRUMMER         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00    
COASTAL KID Apr24 Mar20 Mar05 Feb11 Jan23 (metz jeffrey)VAZQUEZ A 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
KATONAH Apr30 Apr09 Mar05 Feb03 Jan13 (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
VANZZY May06 Apr02 Jun19 Apr30 Mar25 (blacker da)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 15.00 22% 3.50    
DIVINE ARMOR May07 Jul24 May27 Apr17 Mar19 (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 124 5.00    
 
SA-7   05/27/2023 4290ft TURF RC12 FIRM Daytona Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDIAN PEAK Apr23 Mar19 Jul24 Apr30 Apr10 (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 11% 7.80    
  (by COMIC STRIP out of MS. BOOTY by ROAR)
LOVESICK BLUES May07 Apr08 Mar25 Mar05 Feb05 (miyadi stev)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 6.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of QUEENOFHERCASTLE by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
FAST BUCK May07 Apr09 Mar19 Jul22 Jun19 (dealba)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 2.50 16% 5.20    
  (by GALLANT SON out of ZORRA ROJA by FALSTAFF (IRE))
RESTRAINEDVENGENCE Aug27 Jun19 May30 Apr30 Apr10 (brinkerhoff va)CEDILLO ABEL 124 12.00    
  (by HOLD ME BACK out of CUPIDS REVENGE by RED RANSOM)
WHATMAKESSAMMYRUN Apr23 Mar05 Dec31 Dec03 Oct01 (glatt mark)BRAVO J 124 1.80 19% 4.30    
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of REGGAE ROSE by TOUCH GOLD)
PRINCE LANCELOT (GB)         (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 122 8.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of RAINBOW VALE by MOSS VALE)
BURNIN TURF Apr23 Feb18 May29 Apr09 Mar05 (blacker da)VAN DRAYDEN 120 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by ACCLAMATION out of HOT OUTTA THE OVEN by VRONSKY)
 
SA-8   05/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC13 FAST Triple Bend Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT MAMMOTH Apr22 Mar19 Mar03 Jan15 Dec10 (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 120 6.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of TAKER HOME by VINDICATION)
DESMOND DOSS May07 Sep17 Aug27 Jun25 May28 (miyadi stev)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of MALLEY GIRL by MALEK (CHI))
POSITIVITY Apr22 Jan15       (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 15.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of SAM'S SUNNY CITY by CITY ZIP)
FORBIDDEN KINGDOM Mar11 Dec26 Nov20 Oct01 Apr09 (mandella r)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 23% 3.40    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of JUST LOUISE by FIVE STAR DAY)
HOWBEIT Apr07 Mar11 Feb05 Nov20 Oct01 (papaprodromou geo)SMITH E 122 5.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of EMERLAUDE by EL CORREDOR)
SPIRIT OF MAKENA Mar11 Feb11 Sep11 Aug05   (papaprodromou georg)BRAVO J 122 1.60 28% 2.60    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of WIN FOR M'LOU by GILDED TIME)
C Z ROCKET May13 Feb17 Nov05 Oct01 Aug27 (miller peter)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by CITY ZIP out of SUCCESSFUL SARAH by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
SA-9   05/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($35K) 35 M/F PT- 8:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRECOCIOUS TIMES Mar27 Feb20 Jan08     (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 126 1.60 53% 0.90    
SCR  PICTURE OF A LADY Jun05 May06       (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 126 3.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  CRESCENDO MOLTO Apr21         (blacker daniel)MALDONADO E 118 15.00    
LT'S CHOICE Jun11         (cerin vladi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 118 5.00    
CON SEAL AND KERRY Apr21 Mar25 Mar05 Feb05   (agarie ricky)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 15.00    
WIRLY GIRLY Apr21 Mar25 Feb10 Dec03 Oct22 (puy)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 8.00    
PAID IN GOLD Apr21 Mar31       (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 118 3.50    
BILLY GALLIVAN Apr28         (truman eddi)HERRERA A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.