Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Wednesday - May 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(5/3)-(5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/3)-(5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(5/3)-(3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
WRD-3   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/3)-(3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(3)-(5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
WRD-4   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (3)-(5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3)-(5/3)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
WRD-5   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/3)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(1/3/4)-(6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-6   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/2)-(1/3/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(6/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(6/7)-(2/8/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-7   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/7/2/3)-(6/7/2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/7)-(2/8/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7)-(2/8/6)-(6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-8   WIN (2/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/6)-(2/8/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/6)-(2/8/6)-(2/8/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/6)-(6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
WRD-9   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2/7/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/2/7/1)-(6/2/7/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FETCHING FURY May02 Dec13 Dec05 Oct24 Sep20 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 10.00 22% 3.50    
2  RIVER LIBERTY Apr10 Mar27 Feb24 Feb04 Nov03 (williams f)KIMES C 124 1.40 24% 3.20    
3  ROSE OF EKITA May08 Apr23 Apr08 Mar26 Mar12 (lambert joanna)SANCHEZ OBED 124 1.20    
4  HARPERS VISION Apr12 Mar28 Sep16 Aug27 Jun20 (morales a)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 3.50    
5  FOREIGN CREATION May02         (alexander th)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 15.00 18% 4.60    
 
WRD-2   05/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NITRO NINA May01 Apr24 Apr03     (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 3.00    
2  BIKER BABE Apr24 Apr10 Mar27 Mar06 Dec02 (blatchford geo)SANCHEZ OBED 124 4.00 ★    
3  SALT CREEK CAT         (ibarra jose)LANDEROS C 124 15.00 27% 2.80    
4  FLASHY GAIL May02 Apr24 Mar28 Mar03 Feb10 (davis steve )HEBERT LINDSEY 113 8.00    
5  OKIE HOPE May08 Apr24 Apr04     (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 118 1.20 40% 1.50    
6  BOTTLES AN BIBLES May08 Apr24 Mar27 Mar13 Mar06 (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 5.00    
 
WRD-3   05/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT SPRINGS BLING Apr25 Mar17 Mar04 Feb03 Dec30 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 15.00    
2  DO YOU BILEVE Sep28 Sep17 Jul04 Jun11 May10 (swan e)SANCHEZ OBED 124 15.00 ★    
3  TIFFANY TWIST Apr24 Apr04 Mar20 Mar06 Jan20 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 1.00 34% 1.90    
4  MISS M J May08 May01 Apr07 Mar18 Mar10 (davidson brent)KIMES C 124 15.00    
5  BRING IT ON BABY May03 Apr24 Apr03 Dec09 Nov18 (williams al)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 0.80 42% 1.40    
 
WRD-4   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARING CROSS May01 Apr24 Mar20 Dec15 Dec02 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 124 8.00    
2  LIMBO'S PROMISE May02 Apr24 Apr03 Mar06 Dec15 (david ron)KIMES C 124 2.50 ★    
3  SHANGHAI SKIPPER May09         (trett donald)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 2.00 60% 0.70    
4  SCHLEICHER May03 Apr25 Mar20 Mar06   (morales arnold)LANDEROS C 121 20.00    
5  KWIK Apr24 Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 Dec08 (williams steve)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  JOHN ALLEN May02 Apr24 Apr03 Oct07 Sep25 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 6.00    
7  MORHAWK Apr10 Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 Feb26 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00    
 
WRD-5   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOSPEL GRAYSTONE May02 Sep30 Aug27     (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 118 20.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of FORESTSTONE by BIRDSTONE)
SCR  FOOL'S MIRAGE May08 Apr26 Dec07 Nov15 Aug20 (offolter jo)WETHEY JR 124 5.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of CLASSIC MIRAGE by CLASSIC ALLIANCE)
3  SWORD OF GOLD Apr26 Mar28 Mar21 Dec01 Nov15 (ashford ray)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 2.50 16% 5.50    
  (by SONG OF THE SWORD out of LADY BE GOLD by COUNTRY BE GOLD)
4  MAGNA TAP Apr26 Mar28 Dec07 Nov14 Nov08 (davidson brent)KIMES C 118 5.00    
  (by MAGNA GRADUATE out of PERFECT TAP by PLEASANT TAP)
5  MAJESTIC LIAISON Apr24 Apr10 Mar21     (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 2.00 59% 0.70    
  (by LIAISON out of MAJESTIC CHIVETTE by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
6  GRANDSONSAM Apr26 Mar28 Mar06 Feb03 Dec14 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 118 3.00 ★    
  (by CODE WEST out of MISS HOCKADAY by GREENWOOD LAKE)
 
WRD-6   05/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELIZA ROSE Apr25 Mar28       (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 0.60 44% 1.30    
2  DONNATHEPRIMADONNA Dec14         (williams ala)MORA GERARDO 118 6.00 ★    
3  IZZY'S G         (gunter michael)LANDEROS C 124 12.00 14% 5.90    
4  LITTLE MO BROWN         (trett donald)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 10.00 14% 5.90    
5  YANKEES MIRACLES Mar28 Dec08 Sep03     (rodriguez-garc)SANCHEZ OBED 118 20.00    
6  DEVINE CANDY Apr10 Mar13 Mar04 Feb18 Jul11 (martin steve)KIMES C 124 8.00    
7  TOTAL RUSH May02         (komardley evan)LINDSAY CHAD 124 5.00    
 
WRD-7   05/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAWK'S LIL AVA Apr10 Mar20 Feb04 Nov04 Oct14 (pruitt m)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00    
2  CAT TALE SKY Apr24 Apr12 Mar27 Mar03 Feb05 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 3.50 ★    
3  ALL AFLUTTER Apr26 Apr10 Mar05 Feb20 Dec10 (davidson nico)KIMES C 124 3.00 ★    
4  CAROLS KITTEN Apr05         (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 6.00    
5  MISS COFFEYVILLE Apr26 Apr10 Mar13 Jul11 Jun28 (ibarra jose)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 12.00    
6  RAINBOW SMILES Apr26 Apr10 Mar28 Nov25 Nov04 (young e)MORA GERARDO 118 4.00 44% 1.30    
7  LADY ENVOY Mar30 Feb26 Feb12 Jan21 Dec30 (dixon tim)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 2.50 20% 4.10    
 
WRD-8   05/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVEN VISIONS May08         (rodriguez)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 15.00    
2  BLUESKIESANDANGELS Apr26 Apr12 Mar14 Dec17 Dec03 (ashford ray)KIMES C 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
3  TATER Mar26 Dec16 Dec09 Nov14 Oct20 (davidson br)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 8.00    
4  KYEMBEA Apr12 Mar07 Dec17 Dec01 Nov03 (brooks jimm)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 3.00    
5  GOSPEL DANDY May08 Apr26 Apr03 Mar07 Dec01 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00    
6  DOMINANT OKIE May08 May02 Apr04 Mar14 Mar04 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 2.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  FURIOUS AVENGER Apr12 Mar21 Nov30 Nov19 Oct26 (biehler michae)SANCHEZ OBED 118 12.00 7% 13.80    
8  GRAYGHOSTGRANVILLE May10 Apr25 Apr05 Sep03 Jul12 (williams ala)MORA GERARDO 124 4.00 26% 2.80    
 
WRD-9   05/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY PAYNTER Apr29 Apr16 Oct21 Aug27 Aug16 (dixon tim)LINDSAY CHAD 118 8.00 ★    
2  RANCHO A GO GO         (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  IKE WAZOWSKI May05 Mar05 Feb17     (green ike)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 3.00    
SCR  RED ACE May03 Apr04 Mar07     (lee mark)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 20.00    
5  LITTLE MAD MAX May10 May03 Apr24     (morales arnold)MORA GERARDO 124 12.00    
6  FORT NECESSITY May03 Apr24 Mar21 Dec08 Oct27 (corderman scott)KIMES C 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
7  GOSPEL BONANZA May10 Apr24       (williams steve)SANCHEZ OBED 124 8.00 ★    
8  MR GYPSY Apr25 Apr04 Mar14     (gladd andy)CRUZ ROMAN 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.