Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Friday - May 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/1)-(6/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
GP-2   WIN (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/7)-(6/7/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/7)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/7)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-3   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-4   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/3)-(4/2/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(1/9/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-5   WIN (1/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/9/6)-(1/9/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/9/6)-(1/9/5/6)-(1/9/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/9/6)-(6/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-6   WIN (6/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/4)-(6/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/3/4)-(6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
GP-7   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-8   WIN (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/8)-(2/8/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8)-(2/8/1/5)-(2/8/1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   05/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA DAME DE FER Apr23 Apr08 Dec21     (james ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 8.00 7% 14.40    
SCR  PLANET FROLIC Apr15 Jan26       (joseph saffie )REYES LEONEL 118 5.00    
BULLET VALENTINA Apr29 Feb24 Feb02 Dec17 Aug05 (amaya gust)PIMENTEL JR 118 12.00    
SCR  KHARKIV Apr05 Mar05 Dec30 Nov25   (sweezey kent)USKE S 118 12.00    
FAR ABOVE Apr27 Apr08 Feb12 Dec17   (dobber arnoud )RIOS M 118 6.00    
CONFER Apr27 Mar17 Jan15 Dec18 Nov11 (cazares laur)MORELOS E 118 2.50 63% 0.60    
QUEEN ROCKET Mar30 Feb16 Jan22 Dec04   (de cerda)PEREZ EDGAR 118 1.60    
 
GP-2   05/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOE IRISH Mar26 Mar05 Apr09     (lerman micha)GONZALEZ EDWIN 124 30.00    
FLORIDA STAR May06 Apr07 Mar10 Dec30 Nov26 (crichton )ZAHABEDRA EDUARDO 118 30.00    
W. P. CADET Apr21 Mar17 Feb19 Jan13   (nicks e)REYES LEONEL 118 10.00    
CLASSIC BOURBON Apr21 Feb26 Feb03 Jan07 Dec03 (antonucci je)MORELOS E 118 8.00    
SCR  RED GUN Feb19 Jan27 Jan06 Dec17 Nov26 (bayeh edgar)PEREZ EDGAR 118 1.80 30% 2.40    
GOTTA LIKE HIM Apr27 Apr01 Feb25 Jan21 May27 (d'angelo f)JARAMILLO E 118 1.20 26% 2.90    
CAN'T BE BROKEN Apr21 Mar23 Feb22 Jan15 Nov27 (catanese joseph)PANICI LUCA 124 5.00 25% 3.10    
 
GP-3   05/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVIN MAKES CENTS Mar17 Feb18 Jan14 Dec21 Dec04 (mckathan kevin)REYES LEONEL 120 15.00    
TREVESS Apr22 Mar17 Feb18 Jan15 Dec18 (cazares laura)MORALES ANGEL 115 2.00 16% 5.10    
SEQUIN LADY Apr06 Mar22 Feb16 Jan06 Dec15 (david a)PEREZ EDGAR 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  DRINKS ON ME Apr28 Feb23 Feb01 Jan04 Oct21 (barboza vict)MENESES MARCOS 120 5.00    
OAXACA Apr09 Feb25 Feb04 Jan20 Dec30 (barboza victor )JARAMILLO E 120 3.50    
FLYING BLACK Dec23 Nov13 Oct14 Sep10 Jul30 (ramirez luis)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 4.00 14% 6.30    
 
GP-4   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPRINT BREAKER Apr28 Mar19 Jan19 Nov25 Oct21 (budhoo ste)PIMENTEL JR 118 30.00    
SHARP PIPPA Apr16         (pletcher todd )REYES LEONEL 118 3.00 22% 3.60    
SHOW ME LOVE Apr20 Apr09 Mar05 Jan26 Dec15 (negrete ja)HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 117 20.00    
SHE KNOWS IT ALL         (d'angelo f)JARAMILLO E 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
FOR THE THRILL Apr28 Mar01 Feb05 Jan14 Dec17 (williams mat)MORRISON AILSA 111 5.00    
PINK PARTY PANTS Apr08 Mar08 Feb15 Feb03 Jan25 (bayeh edgar)PEREZ EDGAR 118 4.00 21% 3.80    
VIMISOFA Apr28 Mar08 Jan20 Nov04   (barboza victo)MORALES ANGEL 111 5.00    
 
GP-5   05/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREFECT Apr15 Mar25 Jan21 Jul01 Apr21 (hess b)PEREZ EDGAR 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  TIMMY M. Apr15 Apr02 Feb24 Jan29 Jan12 (abreu fernando)JARAMILLO E 120 2.00    
VALID EXCHANGE Mar30 Feb08 Dec26 Nov18 Oct30 (mcgoey monica)RAMIREZ R 120 30.00    
SILENT CHAOS May06 Mar24 Feb23 Jan19 Dec28 (figueroa ces)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 20.00    
VELOCE May06 Apr15 Mar25 Mar05 Feb11 (gutierrez fau)MORALES ANGEL 115 3.00    
OFFICER COUNTRY Apr29 Feb02 Jan19 Jan04 Dec10 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
EDEN PARADISE Apr28 Mar24 Feb26 Feb15 Feb04 (james gerald)MORELOS E 120 20.00    
SCR  CASTAGNO Apr15 Mar25 Mar12 Jan15   (gallegos jose )REYES LEONEL 120 12.00    
UNLEVERAGED Apr14 Mar26 Feb25 Feb11 Jan15 (sweezey kent)RIOS M 120 10.00 21% 3.80    
10  SUMMER SHANDEE Apr15 Mar05 Feb17 Jan29 Dec28 (labo frederick )PANICI LUCA 120 12.00    
 
GP-6   05/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELLO SUCKER Apr28 Apr15 Mar31 Mar10 Feb05 (mcgoey monica)MORALES ANGEL 111 4.50 17% 5.00    
PARADISE DRIVE Apr30 Apr07 Mar23 Mar10 Feb22 (williams matthe)PANICI LUCA 118 8.00    
NETWORKING Mar23 Mar10 Feb22 Jan06 Sep03 (lerman micha)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 4.00 16% 5.20    
DONTKISSDAMINISTER Apr21 Mar30 Feb19 Feb02 Jan14 (antonucci je)MORELOS E 118 2.50 10% 8.70    
SPY TOWN Apr29 Mar29 Mar10 Feb19 Jan29 (aboughaid)CAMACHO JR 118 20.00    
SIR GOOSA Apr21 Mar11 Feb10 Jan06 Nov20 (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 118 2.00 34% 2.00    
BLUE SOLDIER Apr21 Mar10 Feb19 Feb02 Nov23 (gonzalez javie)REYES LEONEL 118 10.00    
 
GP-7   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41K) 3 F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIRVIN GIRL Feb22 Jan11       (croft barry)PANICI LUCA 118 10.00    
CHASING SILVER Mar11         (spatz ronald )MORALES ANGEL 113 8.00    
HIALEAH HOTTIE Mar26 Jan29 Dec09 Nov05 Oct15 (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 120 4.00 6% 17.10    
TAP'ER LIGHT Apr29 Aug14 Jul22     (dibona robert )REYES LEONEL 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
OLGA Apr16 Feb23 Jan20 Dec02 Nov20 (alvarado juan)JARAMILLO E 120 3.00    
AWESOME PIC Mar26 Feb10 Jan14 Dec03 Nov19 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
 
GP-8   05/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REGARDS         (dibona robert )REYES LEONEL 118 4.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of COLD AWAKENING by DEHERE)
QUEEN KARIMA Apr02 Jan27       (perez lu)PEREZ EDGAR 118 1.40 46% 1.20    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SHAKEDOWN SISTER by PUT IT BACK)
CINDYLOUWHO Mar16 Mar03 Jan21 Sep03 Jul30 (palmer nicholas)PANICI LUCA 124 12.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of GOLDSPUN by HARD SPUN)
OAK STREET BEACH         (proctor thom)GONZALEZ EDWIN 118 4.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of LUNAR GAZE by MALIBU MOON)
COMPASS FIRE Mar31 Jan15       (seale chr)CAMACHO JR 118 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of LILY'S SPARK by MINESHAFT)
LONGING FOR MINTS Apr28         (baker r)BRACHO A 118 15.00    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of ALOHA STREET by HERE COMES BEN)
DANCING DEB Apr22         (danner kelsey)KRIGGER K 118 15.00    
  (by CURLIN out of HOT BLOODED GIRL by TAPIT)
FELINE Apr28 Mar03 Feb03 Jan05 Dec09 (alvarado juan)JARAMILLO E 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
  (by BRETHREN out of FELINE STORY by TALE OF THE CAT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.