Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Wednesday - May 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WRD-1   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1)-(3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1)-(3/1/2)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
WRD-2   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(3/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(3/2/4)-(1/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-3   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(1/4/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(1/4/6)-(6/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-4   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(6/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(6/5/3)-(6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-5   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(6/1)-(1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
WRD-6   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/4/2)-(6/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1)-(1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(1)-(8/7/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
WRD-7   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (1)-(8/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1)-(8/7/3/1)-(1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-8   WIN (8/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/3/1)-(8/7/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/7/3/1)-(8/7/3/1)-(8/7/3/1) 24 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/3/1)-(1/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
WRD-9   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   05/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EASTER VISION Apr10 Mar13 Dec16 Dec02 May11 (rarick wa)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 0.80 47% 1.10    
PREACH IT GIRL Apr24 Apr05 Mar20 Mar06 Feb09 (dixon tim)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 3.00    
SCR  SALT CREEK CAT         (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 124 8.00 25% 3.00    
SWEET OLIVE Apr05 Mar19 Jan22 Dec22 Jul23 (corderman)TRIANA JR 118 6.00    
LIL' BIT OF CHROME Feb12 Dec30 Nov22 Nov02 Sep29 (creighton brett)KIMES C 124 5.00    
 
WRD-2   05/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG NORTHERN RIVER Apr10 Mar14 Dec01 Nov05   (gladd andy)KIMES C 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
SCHLEICHER Apr25 Mar20 Mar06     (morales arnold)MORA GERARDO 124 12.00 11% 8.00    
GOLDBRIDGE Apr10 Mar21 Mar13 Dec16 Nov30 (gladd andy)JORDAN R 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
BLAKE FROM TISH Apr11 Mar28 Mar14 Feb26 Feb04 (buehrer m)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 5.00    
SCR  COMPUTATION Apr25 Mar28 Mar07 Dec14 Dec02 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 3.50    
TEQUILA REVOLUTION Mar13 Feb19 Jan06 Dec11 Nov22 (mason ingrid)WALES T 124 1.60    
 
WRD-3   05/03/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OKIE UNION Apr05 Sep30 Aug26 Jul11 Jun20 (hunt s)LANDEROS C 121 20.00    
JUST CHILLIN Apr05 Mar13 Mar28     (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 124 1.80 26% 2.80    
MOVER Feb24 Feb04 Jan06 Nov14 Oct12 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 121 1.40 32% 2.20    
TIME MACHINE Apr24 Mar28 Mar13 Feb24 Nov14 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 124 1.60 21% 3.70    
CANDY'S LITTLE TIP Apr12 Apr05 Nov18 Oct30 Aug27 (green gerald)LINDSAY CHAD 118 20.00    
 
WRD-4   05/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLCOMBE Apr24 Apr10       (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 5.00 37% 1.70    
  (by HOME OF THE BRAVE out of CREATIVE SPIRIT by SMARTY JONES)
MY CALANTE Apr11 Mar18 Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 (roberts bl)MORA GERARDO 118 4.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ESCALANTE by HONOR GRADES)
SOMERSETSLASTRIDE Apr10 Mar18 Mar04 Feb17 Sep08 (bravo fra)TRIANA JR 124 6.00    
  (by GAZEBO out of SHOT OF SILVER by SHOT OF GOLD)
PRINCE OF EARL Apr10 Dec09 Nov25 Nov12 Oct13 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of AUSSIEAUSSIEAUSSIE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
MANDOLIN WIND Apr10 Mar27 Nov22     (luneack ther)JORDAN R 118 1.60    
  (by MASTERY out of ANOTHER WORLD by CARR DE NASKRA)
OKLAHOMA MOON Apr24         (williams alan)BIRZER E 118 8.00 5% 18.60    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of BEST PRESENT EVER by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
WRD-5   05/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPERBLEA Apr10 Apr04 Mar06 Dec13 Nov21 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00    
MO ARETHA Mar28 Dec10 Oct28 Sep30   (hartman alex)JORDAN R 118 12.00    
BRING IT ON BABY Apr24 Apr03 Dec09 Nov18 Oct21 (williams alan)BIRZER E 124 2.00 12% 7.30    
MISS RITA Mar18 Feb12 Jan22 Dec11 Nov07 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 15.00    
PATSY R Apr04 Nov18 Oct05 Sep16 May11 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
SINNIN N GRINNIN Mar27 Mar13 Feb24 Feb04 Jan16 (craddock ka)WETHEY JR 124 1.40 36% 1.80    
 
WRD-6   05/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EURA NORTHERN SKY Apr04 Mar14 Dec15     (caster boyd)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by DA STOOPS out of EURAROOKIE by EUROEARS)
SCANDALOUS AFFAIR         (rarick wa)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 8.00    
  (by LIAISON out of EASTER FITE by FISTFITE)
OKIE HEAT Apr11 Dec02       (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 6.00    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of I'M WORKIN ON IT by QUIEN)
CAT TALE BREEZE Apr25 Apr10 Mar27 Mar06 Dec15 (corderman)TRIANA JR 124 3.50    
  (by DIAMOND out of GIANT CAT TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  RIVER BLING Apr26 Apr05 Jul11     (thomas dena)SANCHEZ OBED 124 30.00    
  (by FOREIGN POLICY out of JANSY by SILVER DEPUTY)
OKIE CODE Apr04         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by CODE WEST out of PIPPA OKIE by CAVVY)
SUPRISING CODE         (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 118 4.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of SATURDAY SUPRISE by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
WRD-7   05/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUFF MANDATE Apr11         (sneed todd)LANDEROS C 124 3.50 64% 0.60    
NORTHERN ORBIT Apr05 Mar14 Feb17 Jan20 Nov12 (pruitt jody )JORDAN R 124 5.00    
LITTLE MAD MAX Apr24         (morales arnold)MORA GERARDO 124 12.00    
PROBATION ROYALTY Mar11         (swan patric)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 20.00    
RED ACE Apr04 Mar07       (lee mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 20.00    
RIGGED RIGHT Nov07 Jul11 Jun04     (davidson )TRIANA JR 124 6.00    
SILENT SAILOR Sep14 Aug06 Jul17 Jun26 Jun04 (biehler michael )BIRZER E 124 4.00    
MACER THE RACER Apr04 Mar07 Feb23 Feb11 Jan26 (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 8.00    
SCR  SPEND AGAIN Apr02 Mar12 Feb04 Jan16 Nov25 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00 7% 12.90    
 
WRD-8   05/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILBERT Apr12 Mar28 Mar04 Feb10 Jan20 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
FRIGERATOR Apr10 Mar20 Mar14 Dec15 Nov25 (hunt s)MORA GERARDO 124 12.00    
CHEROKEE LEGACY Apr10 Mar20 Feb25 Jan28 Dec17 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 3.00 11% 7.80    
GOSPEL BUZZ Apr10 Mar14 Jan20 Dec17 Dec07 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 12.00    
BRIGGSEY Apr04 Mar20 Mar04 Dec07 Nov08 (craddock kari)BIRZER E 118 6.00    
KWONTRO Apr04 Mar14 Dec15 Nov04 May11 (swan patrick)JORDAN R 124 5.00    
HUNTER QUICK Apr04 Mar20 Mar14 Jan14 Dec17 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 4.50 17% 4.90    
HEPUTTHEACEINRACE Apr10 Mar28 Mar07 Feb25 Feb03 (young sco)TRIANA JR 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
 
WRD-9   05/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSIN HOLLYWOOD Apr08 Mar11 Jan28 Dec02   (ashford ray)BIRZER E 118 1.00 42% 1.40    
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of REDVERSE by MENIFEE)
SCR  HERO TIME Apr24 Apr07 Oct21 Sep21 Aug27 (davidson b)JORDAN R 118 4.00 12% 7.30    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of SHARE THE GLORY by GRAND SLAM)
DEN'S DYNASTY         (caster boyd)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 15.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of FOREVER JENNY by SIR SHACKLETON)
SEARCHIN SAFARI         (bravo francisc)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00    
  (by AMERICAN LION out of MINE SEARCH by MINESHAFT)
KENNY T Apr24         (oberlander)ERAMIA E 118 20.00    
  (by FOREIGN POLICY out of BIRTHSTONE by NORTHERN BABY)
FORT NECESSITY Apr24 Mar21 Dec08 Oct27 Oct12 (corderman scott)KIMES C 124 6.00 13% 6.70    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of CARRIE THE COWGIRL by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
MAJESTIC FLASH         (caster boyd)SANCHEZ OBED 118 5.00 12% 7.50    
  (by MAJESTIC HUSSAR out of BOX OFFICE APPEAL by CATIENUS)
AMMENTHEDESTROYER         (espiritu luci)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 15.00    
  (by MISTER LUCKY CAT out of HITCH YOUR WAGON by WAGON LIMIT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.